Kilmarnock v Aberdeen — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Kilmarnock

15:00 UTC

Aberdeen

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 604h before kick-off

Kilmarnock win

45.3%

model 43.3%

Draw

23.8%

model 24.9%

Aberdeen win

30.9%

model 31.8%

452431

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.8%
1-0 9.7%
2-1 9.0%
0-1 8.1%
1-2 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.2%	Under 2.5	47.8%
BTTS yes	55.5%	BTTS no	44.5%
Kilmarnock 1+	77.9%	Kilmarnock 2+	44.5%
Aberdeen 1+	71.5%	Aberdeen 2+	35.7%

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.26. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

1-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 80%

78.8% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2624 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Aberdeen not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 85%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Kilmarnock.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Kilmarnock have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for Aberdeen and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.51 for Kilmarnock and 1.25 for Aberdeen.

Why Kilmarnock

Nothing in the data singles out Kilmarnock.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Aberdeen can win

Nothing in the data singles out Aberdeen.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kilmarnock, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Aberdeen, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kilmarnock: 45% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Aberdeen: 45% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Kilmarnock are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	432532	1.51–1.26	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	432532	1.47–1.23	1-1 12%	51%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to win	42.7%	42.9%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
Aberdeen to win	31.9%	30.4%	31.0%	0.98×	3.29
Draw	25.3%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock & not both score	22.6%	21.8%	27.5%	0.79×	4.59
Kilmarnock & both teams score	20.1%	21.8%	18.6%	1.17×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Aberdeen & not both score	16.5%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.57
Aberdeen & both teams score	15.4%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.57
Draw & not both score	6.6%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock & over 1.5	32.7%	30.8%	36.6%	0.84×	3.25
Kilmarnock & under 3.5	29.7%	26.1%	30.2%	0.86×	3.84
Kilmarnock & over 2.5	25.4%	26.1%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Aberdeen & over 1.5	23.5%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.63
Aberdeen & under 3.5	23.2%	21.6%	22.5%	0.96×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Aberdeen & over 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.56
Kilmarnock & under 2.5	17.3%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.56
Aberdeen & under 2.5	13.6%	12.8%	10.7%	1.19×	7.79
Kilmarnock & over 3.5	13.0%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Kilmarnock & under 1.5	10.0%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
Aberdeen & over 3.5	8.8%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Aberdeen & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.7%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.7%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (1UP)	58.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Aberdeen (1UP)	49.2%	44.0%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (2UP)	42.7%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Aberdeen (2UP)	31.9%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	35.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Kilmarnock to win 2nd half	35.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Aberdeen to win 2nd half	29.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Aberdeen over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Aberdeen under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Aberdeen over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.6%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Kilmarnock over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Kilmarnock under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Kilmarnock over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.4%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (+2.5)	92.1%	92.1%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
Aberdeen (+1.5)	79.4%	78.5%	73.6%	1.07×	1.27
Kilmarnock (+0.5)	68.1%	68.7%	69.0%	1.00×	1.46
Aberdeen (+0.5)	57.3%	57.0%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75
Kilmarnock (-0.5)	42.7%	43.0%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
Aberdeen (-0.5)	31.9%	31.3%	31.0%	1.01×	3.19
Kilmarnock (-1.5)	20.6%	21.5%	26.4%	0.81×	4.65
Kilmarnock (-2.5)	7.9%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen to concede	76.9%	78.7%	79.5%	0.99×	1.27
Aberdeen clean sheet	23.1%	21.3%	20.5%	1.04×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen clean sheet in 1st half	53.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Aberdeen to concede in 1st half	46.7%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen to concede in 2nd half	56.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Aberdeen clean sheet in 2nd half	43.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen under 6.5 corners	79.9%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Aberdeen over 2.5 corners	78.8%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Aberdeen under 5.5 corners	68.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Aberdeen over 3.5 corners	62.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Aberdeen under 4.5 corners	53.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Aberdeen over 4.5 corners	46.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Aberdeen under 3.5 corners	37.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Aberdeen over 5.5 corners	31.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Aberdeen under 2.5 corners	21.2%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Aberdeen over 6.5 corners	20.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen under 3.5 goals	96.3%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Aberdeen under 2.5 goals	87.3%	87.8%	85.5%	1.03×	1.14
Aberdeen over 0.5 goals	70.8%	71.8%	66.9%	1.07×	1.39
Aberdeen under 1.5 goals	65.1%	68.0%	63.2%	1.08×	1.47
Aberdeen over 1.5 goals	34.9%	32.0%	36.8%	0.87×	3.12
Aberdeen under 0.5 goals	29.2%	28.2%	33.1%	0.85×	3.55
Aberdeen over 2.5 goals	12.7%	12.2%	14.5%	0.84×	8.20
Aberdeen over 3.5 goals	3.7%	2.5%	3.7%	0.68×	39.78

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen under 1.5 in 1st half	91.2%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Aberdeen under 0.5 in 1st half	61.1%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Aberdeen over 0.5 in 1st half	38.9%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Aberdeen over 1.5 in 1st half	8.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.36

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen scores equally in both	40.8%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Aberdeen scores more in 2nd half	37.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Aberdeen scores more in 1st half	21.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (away no bet)	62.8%	61.9%	66.3%	0.93×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.2%	38.1%	33.7%	1.13×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen even goals	54.3%	52.7%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Aberdeen odd goals	45.7%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.18

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.1%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.0%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Kilmarnock to score 2+ in a row	34.7%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Aberdeen to score 2+ in a row	26.4%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Kilmarnock to score 3+ in a row	11.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Aberdeen to score 3+ in a row	7.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.18

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock corners (+3.5)	88.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Kilmarnock corners (+2.5)	82.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Aberdeen corners (+3.5)	77.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Kilmarnock corners (+1.5)	73.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Aberdeen corners (+2.5)	68.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Aberdeen corners (+1.5)	58.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Kilmarnock corners (-1.5)	41.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Kilmarnock corners (-2.5)	31.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Aberdeen corners (-1.5)	26.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Kilmarnock corners (-3.5)	22.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Aberdeen corners (-2.5)	18.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Aberdeen corners (-3.5)	11.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	30.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	27.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	22.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.0%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
1-0	10.0%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.72
0-1	8.5%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-0	6.6%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
1-2	7.5%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
2-0	7.2%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-2	5.1%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-0	3.5%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	2.5%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (2nd half DNB)	54.3%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Aberdeen (2nd half DNB)	45.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock leading at HT (DNB)	57.9%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Aberdeen leading at HT (DNB)	42.1%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock or Aberdeen (12)	74.7%	72.1%	76.7%	0.94×	1.39
Kilmarnock or draw (1X)	68.1%	69.6%	69.0%	1.01×	1.44
Aberdeen or draw (X2)	57.3%	57.1%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock or draw at HT	76.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Aberdeen or draw at HT	67.2%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Kilmarnock or Aberdeen at HT	56.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock or draw (1UP)	68.1%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Aberdeen or draw (1UP)	57.3%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock or draw in 2nd half	70.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Aberdeen or draw in 2nd half	65.0%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Kilmarnock or Aberdeen in 2nd half	64.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (DNB)	57.2%	58.1%	59.7%	0.97×	1.72
Aberdeen (DNB)	42.8%	41.9%	40.3%	1.04×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to score first	50.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Aberdeen to score first	42.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	6.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.26

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.3%	51.3%	52.3%	0.98×	1.95
Not both teams to score	45.7%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.3%	41.6%	43.2%	0.96×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	37.4%	38.5%	34.1%	1.13×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.0%	82.7%	83.9%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	15.0%	17.3%	16.1%	1.08×	5.77

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.5%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.7%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	24.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	5.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.84

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.9%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.1%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	46.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.4%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	26.5%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
0-1 goals	25.1%	26.6%	21.7%	1.23×	3.76
7+ goals	2.0%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.36

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.79
Aberdeen to score exactly 0	29.2%	27.5%	33.1%	0.83×	3.64
Aberdeen to score exactly 2	22.1%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
Aberdeen to score 3+	12.7%	12.9%	14.5%	0.89×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to score exactly 1	33.9%	32.6%	31.2%	1.04×	3.07
Kilmarnock to score exactly 2	24.8%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Kilmarnock to score exactly 0	23.1%	23.3%	20.5%	1.14×	4.29
Kilmarnock to score 3+	18.2%	18.8%	23.8%	0.79×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Kilmarnock leading at HT	32.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Aberdeen leading at HT	23.8%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock -1: 2	57.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Kilmarnock -1: X	22.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Kilmarnock -1: 1	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (0:1)	57.3%	55.8%	54.1%	1.03×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	22.1%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13
Kilmarnock (0:1)	20.6%	24.2%	26.4%	0.92×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (0:2)	79.4%	79.4%	73.6%	1.08×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.7%	11.0%	14.5%	0.76×	9.10
Kilmarnock (0:2)	7.9%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (0:3)	92.1%	92.7%	87.8%	1.06×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.4%	5.8%	6.8%	0.85×	17.27
Kilmarnock (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.03

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.77
Kilmarnock (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.90

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (1:0)	68.1%	70.2%	69.0%	1.02×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.6%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.85
Aberdeen (1:0)	13.4%	12.7%	13.4%	0.95×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (2:0)	86.6%	88.5%	86.6%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.0%	6.4%	7.6%	0.84×	15.64
Aberdeen (2:0)	4.4%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.9%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede	70.8%	73.0%	66.9%	1.09×	1.37
Kilmarnock clean sheet	29.2%	27.0%	33.1%	0.82×	3.70

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock clean sheet in 1st half	61.1%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Kilmarnock to concede in 1st half	38.9%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede in 2nd half	52.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Kilmarnock clean sheet in 2nd half	47.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock over 2.5 corners	85.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Kilmarnock over 3.5 corners	72.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Kilmarnock under 6.5 corners	69.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Kilmarnock over 4.5 corners	58.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Kilmarnock under 5.5 corners	56.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Kilmarnock over 5.5 corners	43.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Kilmarnock under 4.5 corners	42.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Kilmarnock over 6.5 corners	30.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Kilmarnock under 3.5 corners	27.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Kilmarnock under 2.5 corners	14.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 3.5 goals	93.9%	92.2%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
Kilmarnock under 2.5 goals	81.8%	82.2%	76.2%	1.08×	1.22
Kilmarnock over 0.5 goals	76.9%	77.8%	79.5%	0.98×	1.29
Kilmarnock under 1.5 goals	57.0%	58.6%	51.4%	1.14×	1.71
Kilmarnock over 1.5 goals	43.0%	41.4%	48.6%	0.85×	2.42
Kilmarnock under 0.5 goals	23.1%	22.2%	20.5%	1.09×	4.50
Kilmarnock over 2.5 goals	18.2%	17.8%	23.8%	0.75×	5.62
Kilmarnock over 3.5 goals	6.1%	7.8%	7.9%	0.99×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 1.5 in 1st half	86.8%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Kilmarnock under 0.5 in 1st half	53.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Kilmarnock over 0.5 in 1st half	46.7%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Kilmarnock over 1.5 in 1st half	13.2%	10.0%	—	—	10.05

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock scores more in 2nd half	37.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Kilmarnock scores equally in both	37.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Kilmarnock scores more in 1st half	25.5%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (home no bet)	55.8%	56.3%	57.0%	0.99×	1.78
Draw (home no bet)	44.2%	43.7%	43.0%	1.02×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock even goals	52.7%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Kilmarnock odd goals	47.3%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.5%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	20.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	16.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	10.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	6.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
Any other HT score	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	25.1%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Aberdeen at HT / Aberdeen at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Aberdeen at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Kilmarnock at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Aberdeen at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Kilmarnock at HT / Aberdeen at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Aberdeen at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to score last	50.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Aberdeen to score last	42.7%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	6.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.26

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Kilmarnock to lead by 1 at any time	58.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Aberdeen to lead by 1 at any time	49.2%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Kilmarnock to lead by 2 at any time	26.9%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Aberdeen to lead by 2 at any time	19.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Kilmarnock to lead by 3 at any time	9.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.93
Aberdeen to lead by 3 at any time	5.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.11

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock most corners	52.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Aberdeen most corners	36.2%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.8%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.8%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.9%	72.3%	76.7%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.3%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.9%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	48.5%	48.4%	55.2%	0.88×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.4%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.9%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
1-2 goals	42.9%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.9%	39.2%	42.4%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.5%	30.2%	31.2%	0.97×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.9%	24.5%	25.6%	0.95×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.6%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.76
7+ goals	2.0%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.18

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock never behind	44.2%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Aberdeen never behind	34.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.74

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.2%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.4%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.9%	72.5%	78.3%	0.93×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	71.5%	72.5%	67.1%	1.08×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	50.5%	52.5%	56.8%	0.92×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	49.5%	47.5%	43.2%	1.10×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	28.5%	27.5%	32.9%	0.84×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	25.1%	27.5%	21.7%	1.27×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	13.6%	12.4%	14.7%	0.85×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.9%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.9%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.0%	81.1%	82.1%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.8%	67.5%	72.4%	0.93×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.4%	61.9%	56.8%	1.09×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.6%	38.1%	43.2%	0.88×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.2%	32.5%	27.6%	1.18×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.0%	18.9%	17.9%	1.05×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.1%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.1%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.6%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.1%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.9%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.18

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen not to score in both halves	79.7%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Kilmarnock not to score in both halves	73.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Kilmarnock to score in both halves	26.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Aberdeen to score in both halves	20.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.3%	53.8%	52.3%	1.03×	1.86
Only Kilmarnock scores	22.6%	22.3%	27.5%	0.81×	4.49
Only Aberdeen scores	16.5%	16.0%	14.9%	1.08×	6.24
Neither team scores	6.6%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.4%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.5%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.9%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	8.0%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.6%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.6%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	32.5%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	10.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.6%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.7%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen not to win both halves	93.0%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Kilmarnock not to win both halves	88.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Kilmarnock to win both halves	11.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Aberdeen to win both halves	7.0%	5.8%	—	—	17.15

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to win either half	56.3%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Aberdeen to win neither half	53.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Aberdeen to win either half	46.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Kilmarnock to win neither half	43.7%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen not to win to nil	83.5%	83.1%	85.1%	0.98×	1.20
Kilmarnock not to win to nil	77.4%	78.1%	72.5%	1.08×	1.28
Kilmarnock to win to nil	22.6%	21.9%	27.5%	0.80×	4.57
Aberdeen to win to nil	16.5%	16.9%	14.9%	1.14×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.3%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
Kilmarnock by 1	22.1%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Aberdeen by 1	18.6%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.86
Kilmarnock by 2	12.7%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.51
Aberdeen by 2	9.0%	7.2%	7.6%	0.94×	13.90
Kilmarnock by 3+	7.9%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.91
Aberdeen by 3+	4.4%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.83