Kilmarnock v Hibernian — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 2 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Kilmarnock

19:45 UTC

Hibernian

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 873h before kick-off

Kilmarnock win

26.7%

model 25.8%

Draw

22.2%

model 22.9%

Hibernian win

51.1%

model 51.3%

272251

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.6%
1-2 9.7%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 8.0%
2-1 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.9%	Under 2.5	42.1%
BTTS yes	58.5%	BTTS no	41.5%
Kilmarnock 1+	70.2%	Kilmarnock 2+	34.1%
Hibernian 1+	83.5%	Hibernian 2+	53.7%

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.80. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Hibernian (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 31%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Hibernian not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Hibernian carry the stronger rating, 1587 Elo against 1393.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Hibernian have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for Kilmarnock and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.21 for Kilmarnock and 1.80 for Hibernian.

Why Kilmarnock

Nothing in the data singles out Kilmarnock.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Hibernian can win

Hibernian carry the stronger rating, 1587 Elo against 1393.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kilmarnock, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Hibernian, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kilmarnock: 45% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Hibernian: 36% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Hibernian are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	262351	1.21–1.80	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	232255	1.17–1.93	1-1 10%	60%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to win	55.2%	53.9%	31.0%	1.74×	1.86
Kilmarnock to win	23.0%	24.5%	45.9%	0.53×	4.09
Draw	21.9%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian & both teams score	28.5%	25.2%	16.3%	1.54×	3.97
Hibernian & not both score	26.7%	25.2%	14.9%	1.69×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.57
Kilmarnock & both teams score	12.8%	13.3%	18.6%	0.71×	7.54
Kilmarnock & not both score	10.1%	13.3%	27.5%	0.48×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.4%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian & over 1.5	46.3%	45.0%	24.4%	1.85×	2.22
Hibernian & over 2.5	37.9%	34.9%	20.5%	1.71×	2.87
Hibernian & under 3.5	32.5%	30.8%	22.5%	1.37×	3.25
Hibernian & over 3.5	22.7%	21.6%	8.7%	2.49×	4.63
Kilmarnock & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	36.6%	0.49×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Hibernian & under 2.5	17.3%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.56
Kilmarnock & under 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	30.2%	0.60×	5.56
Kilmarnock & over 2.5	14.5%	12.8%	28.1%	0.46×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	14.5%	12.8%	14.9%	0.86×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.5%	12.8%	14.9%	0.86×	7.79
Hibernian & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Kilmarnock & under 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	18.0%	0.44×	12.63
Kilmarnock & over 3.5	7.3%	7.9%	15.9%	0.50×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Kilmarnock & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.8%	0.83×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (1UP)	69.8%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Kilmarnock (1UP)	42.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (2UP)	55.2%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Kilmarnock (2UP)	23.0%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to win 2nd half	47.6%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	31.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Kilmarnock to win 2nd half	21.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.5%	69.7%	—	—	1.43
Hibernian under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.8%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Hibernian over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.2%	30.3%	—	—	3.30
Hibernian under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.5%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Kilmarnock under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Kilmarnock over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Kilmarnock over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	11.4%	—	—	8.78

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (+2.5)	97.3%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Hibernian (+1.5)	91.1%	92.1%	73.6%	1.25×	1.09
Hibernian (+0.5)	77.0%	78.5%	54.1%	1.45×	1.27
Hibernian (-0.5)	55.2%	57.0%	31.0%	1.84×	1.75
Kilmarnock (+0.5)	44.8%	43.0%	69.0%	0.62×	2.33
Kilmarnock (-0.5)	23.0%	21.5%	45.9%	0.47×	4.65
Kilmarnock (-1.5)	8.9%	7.9%	26.4%	0.30×	12.69
Kilmarnock (-2.5)	2.7%	3.7%	12.2%	0.30×	27.16

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to concede	68.9%	72.3%	79.5%	0.91×	1.38
Hibernian clean sheet	31.1%	27.7%	20.5%	1.35×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 1st half	60.5%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Hibernian to concede in 1st half	39.5%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 2nd half	51.4%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Hibernian to concede in 2nd half	48.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian over 2.5 corners	79.3%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Hibernian under 6.5 corners	79.2%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Hibernian under 5.5 corners	67.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Hibernian over 3.5 corners	63.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Hibernian under 4.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Hibernian over 4.5 corners	47.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Hibernian under 3.5 corners	36.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Hibernian over 5.5 corners	32.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Hibernian under 2.5 corners	20.7%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Hibernian over 6.5 corners	20.8%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 3.5 goals	87.0%	87.8%	96.3%	0.91×	1.14
Hibernian over 0.5 goals	85.5%	87.8%	66.9%	1.31×	1.14
Hibernian under 2.5 goals	69.6%	68.0%	85.5%	0.80×	1.47
Hibernian over 1.5 goals	57.4%	59.4%	36.8%	1.62×	1.68
Hibernian under 1.5 goals	42.6%	40.6%	63.2%	0.64×	2.47
Hibernian over 2.5 goals	30.4%	32.0%	14.5%	2.21×	3.13
Hibernian under 0.5 goals	14.5%	12.2%	33.1%	0.37×	8.19
Hibernian over 3.5 goals	13.0%	12.2%	3.7%	3.28×	8.20

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 1st half	81.9%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Hibernian over 0.5 in 1st half	53.8%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Hibernian under 0.5 in 1st half	46.2%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Hibernian over 1.5 in 1st half	18.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian scores more in 2nd half	44.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Hibernian scores equally in both	30.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Hibernian scores more in 1st half	24.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (away no bet)	51.2%	51.7%	66.3%	0.78×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	48.8%	48.3%	33.7%	1.43×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian even goals	51.1%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Hibernian odd goals	48.9%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.2%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.8%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.08

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.3%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Hibernian to score 2+ in a row	48.5%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.1%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Kilmarnock to score 2+ in a row	22.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Hibernian to score 3+ in a row	20.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Kilmarnock to score 3+ in a row	5.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.33

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock corners (+3.5)	87.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Hibernian corners (+3.5)	80.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Kilmarnock corners (+2.5)	80.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Kilmarnock corners (+1.5)	71.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Hibernian corners (+2.5)	71.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Hibernian corners (+1.5)	61.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Kilmarnock corners (-1.5)	38.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Kilmarnock corners (-2.5)	28.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Hibernian corners (-1.5)	28.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Kilmarnock corners (-3.5)	20.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Hibernian corners (-2.5)	19.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Hibernian corners (-3.5)	12.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	70.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	61.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	60.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	39.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	38.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	28.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.1%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.72
0-1	8.8%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
0-2	8.4%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
1-2	9.8%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
0-3	5.4%	7.4%	3.3%	2.24×	13.51
1-0	5.4%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
1-3	6.3%	7.4%	3.1%	2.39×	13.51
2-1	6.0%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
Any other score	5.3%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
0-0	4.4%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.29
0-4	2.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.30
1-4	3.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.30
2-0	3.1%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.30
2-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
3-0	1.2%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-1	2.3%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.32
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (2nd half DNB)	69.1%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Kilmarnock (2nd half DNB)	30.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian leading at HT (DNB)	63.9%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Kilmarnock leading at HT (DNB)	36.1%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock or Hibernian (12)	78.1%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Hibernian or draw (X2)	77.0%	75.5%	54.1%	1.40×	1.32
Kilmarnock or draw (1X)	44.8%	46.1%	69.0%	0.67×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian or draw at HT	78.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Kilmarnock or draw at HT	61.6%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Kilmarnock or Hibernian at HT	60.1%	60.9%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian or draw (1UP)	77.0%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Kilmarnock or draw (1UP)	44.8%	53.0%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian or draw in 2nd half	78.8%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Kilmarnock or Hibernian in 2nd half	68.9%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Kilmarnock or draw in 2nd half	52.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.7%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	41.3%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (DNB)	70.6%	71.4%	40.3%	1.77×	1.40
Kilmarnock (DNB)	29.4%	28.6%	59.7%	0.48×	3.49

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to score first	59.5%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Kilmarnock to score first	36.1%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	4.4%	4.4%	—	—	22.76

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.8%	55.0%	52.3%	1.05×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.2%	45.0%	47.7%	0.94×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.7%	44.3%	43.2%	1.03×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	30.1%	34.5%	34.1%	1.01×	2.90
Not both score & over 2.5	11.1%	12.4%	13.8%	0.89×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.1%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.3%	82.6%	83.9%	0.98×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.7%	17.4%	16.1%	1.08×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.2%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Both score 1st half only	14.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	7.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.75

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.3%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
A half without a goal	39.7%	40.7%	—	—	2.45

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.9%	42.2%	45.7%	0.92×	2.37
4-6 goals	33.6%	30.7%	31.2%	0.99×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.7%	20.2%	21.7%	0.93×	4.94
7+ goals	3.8%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to score 3+	30.4%	33.8%	14.5%	2.34×	2.96
Hibernian to score exactly 1	28.0%	27.5%	30.4%	0.90×	3.64
Hibernian to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	22.5%	1.22×	3.64
Hibernian to score exactly 0	14.5%	12.9%	33.1%	0.39×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.5%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
Kilmarnock to score exactly 0	31.1%	32.6%	20.5%	1.59×	3.07
Kilmarnock to score exactly 2	21.2%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.30
Kilmarnock to score 3+	11.4%	14.3%	23.8%	0.60×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.9%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Hibernian leading at HT	38.4%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Kilmarnock leading at HT	21.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian -1: 1	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Hibernian -1: 2	32.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Hibernian -1: X	23.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:1)	77.0%	73.8%	54.1%	1.36×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	14.1%	13.7%	19.6%	0.70×	7.29
Kilmarnock (0:1)	8.9%	9.3%	26.4%	0.35×	10.80

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:2)	91.1%	90.7%	73.6%	1.23×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.2%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.07
Kilmarnock (0:2)	2.7%	3.7%	12.2%	0.31×	26.74

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:3)	97.3%	96.6%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.05
Kilmarnock (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:4)	99.3%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.91
Kilmarnock (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (1:0)	44.8%	43.6%	69.0%	0.63×	2.29
Hibernian (1:0)	32.1%	30.0%	13.4%	2.23×	3.33
Draw (1:0)	23.1%	21.7%	17.8%	1.22×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (2:0)	67.9%	70.9%	86.6%	0.82×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	16.8%	15.8%	7.6%	2.07×	6.31
Hibernian (2:0)	15.3%	15.8%	6.0%	2.64×	6.33

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.4%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede	85.5%	85.5%	66.9%	1.28×	1.17
Kilmarnock clean sheet	14.5%	14.5%	33.1%	0.44×	6.87

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede in 1st half	53.8%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Kilmarnock clean sheet in 1st half	46.2%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede in 2nd half	68.5%	66.9%	—	—	1.49
Kilmarnock clean sheet in 2nd half	31.5%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock over 2.5 corners	84.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Kilmarnock under 6.5 corners	72.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Kilmarnock over 3.5 corners	70.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Kilmarnock under 5.5 corners	59.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Kilmarnock over 4.5 corners	55.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Kilmarnock under 4.5 corners	45.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Kilmarnock over 5.5 corners	40.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Kilmarnock under 3.5 corners	29.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Kilmarnock over 6.5 corners	27.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Kilmarnock under 2.5 corners	15.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 3.5 goals	96.9%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
Kilmarnock under 2.5 goals	88.6%	87.3%	76.2%	1.14×	1.15
Kilmarnock over 0.5 goals	68.9%	68.0%	79.5%	0.85×	1.47
Kilmarnock under 1.5 goals	67.4%	67.9%	51.4%	1.32×	1.47
Kilmarnock over 1.5 goals	32.6%	32.1%	48.6%	0.66×	3.12
Kilmarnock under 0.5 goals	31.1%	32.1%	20.5%	1.57×	3.12
Kilmarnock over 2.5 goals	11.4%	12.7%	23.8%	0.54×	7.86
Kilmarnock over 3.5 goals	3.1%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 1.5 in 1st half	90.9%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Kilmarnock under 0.5 in 1st half	60.5%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Kilmarnock over 0.5 in 1st half	39.5%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
Kilmarnock over 1.5 in 1st half	9.1%	5.4%	—	—	18.63

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock scores equally in both	42.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Kilmarnock scores more in 2nd half	34.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Kilmarnock scores more in 1st half	23.6%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (home no bet)	71.6%	66.8%	57.0%	1.17×	1.50
Draw (home no bet)	28.4%	33.2%	43.0%	0.77×	3.01

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock even goals	54.8%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Kilmarnock odd goals	45.2%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 0-1	21.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	14.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	10.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	8.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
Any other HT score	5.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 1-2	4.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-0	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.35

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian at HT / Hibernian at FT	32.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Hibernian at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Kilmarnock at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	8.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Kilmarnock at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Hibernian at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Kilmarnock at HT / Hibernian at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Hibernian at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to score last	59.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Kilmarnock to score last	36.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	4.4%	4.4%	—	—	22.76

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.6%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Hibernian to lead by 1 at any time	69.8%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.7%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Kilmarnock to lead by 1 at any time	42.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Hibernian to lead by 2 at any time	39.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Hibernian to lead by 3 at any time	18.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Kilmarnock to lead by 2 at any time	14.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Kilmarnock to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.6%	—	—	61.33

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock most corners	50.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Hibernian most corners	38.8%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.5%	78.7%	76.7%	1.03×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.5%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.3%	71.1%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.2%	59.1%	61.6%	0.96×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.0%	59.1%	55.2%	1.07×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.4%	53.1%	49.6%	1.07×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.9%	43.6%	45.7%	0.95×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.7%	39.2%	42.4%	0.93×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.8%	39.2%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
4-6 goals	33.6%	35.2%	31.2%	1.13×	2.84
4-5 goals	28.0%	30.2%	25.6%	1.18×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.3%	18.8%	13.0%	1.45×	5.31
7+ goals	3.8%	2.6%	1.9%	1.38×	39.10

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian never behind	53.3%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Kilmarnock never behind	25.8%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.9%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.6%	95.4%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.6%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.3%	82.3%	78.3%	1.05×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	79.9%	77.3%	85.3%	0.91×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	62.6%	61.7%	67.1%	0.92×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	59.8%	58.7%	56.8%	1.03×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	40.2%	41.3%	43.2%	0.96×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	37.4%	38.3%	32.9%	1.17×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.1%	22.7%	14.7%	1.55×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	18.7%	17.7%	21.7%	0.82×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.4%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.4%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.9%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.5%	86.8%	92.0%	0.94×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.2%	75.9%	72.4%	1.05×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.7%	75.9%	82.1%	0.92×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.8%	51.9%	56.8%	0.91×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.2%	48.1%	43.2%	1.11×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.3%	24.1%	17.9%	1.35×	4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.8%	24.1%	27.6%	0.87×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.5%	13.2%	8.0%	1.65×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.1%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.3%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.0%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.0%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.10

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.5%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.5%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock not to score in both halves	80.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Hibernian not to score in both halves	63.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Hibernian to score in both halves	36.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Kilmarnock to score in both halves	19.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.8%	58.6%	52.3%	1.12×	1.71
Only Hibernian scores	26.7%	26.1%	14.9%	1.75×	3.84
Only Kilmarnock scores	10.1%	11.0%	27.5%	0.40×	9.07
Neither team scores	4.4%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.54

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.6%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.3%	17.5%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.3%	12.1%	16.1%	0.75×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	10.7%	12.1%	7.4%	1.63×	8.26
6 or more goals	9.4%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.4%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	28.0%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
2 goals in 1st half	22.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	13.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.18

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.3%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	29.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	16.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock not to win both halves	95.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Hibernian not to win both halves	81.7%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Hibernian to win both halves	18.3%	16.6%	—	—	6.03
Kilmarnock to win both halves	4.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.35

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to win either half	67.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Kilmarnock to win neither half	61.6%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Kilmarnock to win either half	38.4%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Hibernian to win neither half	32.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock not to win to nil	89.9%	88.1%	72.5%	1.22×	1.14
Hibernian not to win to nil	73.3%	75.3%	85.1%	0.88×	1.33
Hibernian to win to nil	26.7%	24.7%	14.9%	1.66×	4.05
Kilmarnock to win to nil	10.1%	11.9%	27.5%	0.43×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian by 1	23.1%	24.1%	17.8%	1.36×	4.15
Draw	21.9%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
Hibernian by 2	16.8%	17.0%	7.6%	2.23×	5.87
Hibernian by 3+	15.3%	17.0%	6.0%	2.84×	5.87
Kilmarnock by 1	14.1%	11.8%	19.6%	0.60×	8.50
Kilmarnock by 2	6.2%	7.2%	14.5%	0.50×	13.92
Kilmarnock by 3+	2.7%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	36.89