Kilmarnock v St Johnstone — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Kilmarnock

15:00 UTC

St Johnstone

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 100h before kick-off

Kilmarnock win

45.2%

model 41.8%

Draw

23.8%

model 23.6%

St Johnstone win

31.0%

model 34.6%

452431

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.7%
2-1 8.8%
1-2 7.9%
1-0 7.6%
0-1 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.4%	Under 2.5	40.6%
BTTS yes	61.4%	BTTS no	38.6%
Kilmarnock 1+	80.3%	Kilmarnock 2+	48.3%
St Johnstone 1+	76.7%	St Johnstone 2+	42.7%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Over 1.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 78%

81.1% fair odds 1.23

moderate signal · 1833 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

St Johnstone not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 85%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Kilmarnock carry the stronger rating, 1393 Elo against 1351.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Kilmarnock have an estimated 45.2% win probability, against 31.0% for St Johnstone and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.62 for Kilmarnock and 1.46 for St Johnstone.

Why Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock carry the stronger rating, 1393 Elo against 1351.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.62 to 1.46. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why St Johnstone can win

Nothing in the data singles out St Johnstone.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kilmarnock, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for St Johnstone, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kilmarnock: 45% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St Johnstone: 51% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Kilmarnock are the model's most likely outcome at 45.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	422435	1.62–1.46	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	422334	1.64–1.46	1-1 11%	60%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to win	42.3%	42.9%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
St Johnstone to win	34.2%	30.4%	31.0%	0.98×	3.29
Draw	23.5%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock & both teams score	23.4%	21.8%	18.6%	1.17×	4.59
Kilmarnock & not both score	18.9%	18.0%	27.5%	0.65×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	19.1%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
St Johnstone & both teams score	19.2%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.56
St Johnstone & not both score	15.0%	13.3%	14.9%	0.89×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.4%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock & over 1.5	34.8%	30.8%	36.6%	0.84×	3.25
Kilmarnock & over 2.5	28.7%	26.1%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
St Johnstone & over 1.5	27.5%	26.1%	24.4%	1.07×	3.84
Kilmarnock & under 3.5	25.8%	26.1%	30.2%	0.86×	3.84
St Johnstone & over 2.5	22.7%	21.6%	20.5%	1.06×	4.63
St Johnstone & under 3.5	21.7%	21.6%	22.5%	0.96×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.1%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.55
Kilmarnock & over 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.0%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.0%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Kilmarnock & under 2.5	13.6%	12.8%	18.0%	0.71×	7.79
St Johnstone & over 3.5	12.6%	12.8%	8.7%	1.48×	7.79
St Johnstone & under 2.5	11.5%	12.8%	10.7%	1.19×	7.79
Kilmarnock & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
St Johnstone & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.8%	0.83×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (1UP)	60.1%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
St Johnstone (1UP)	53.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (2UP)	42.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
St Johnstone (2UP)	34.2%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to win 2nd half	35.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	32.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
St Johnstone to win 2nd half	32.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.2%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.3%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.7%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.8%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.9%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Kilmarnock over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.8%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Kilmarnock under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.2%	37.0%	—	—	2.71
Kilmarnock over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.1%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (+2.5)	91.1%	92.1%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
St Johnstone (+1.5)	78.4%	78.5%	73.6%	1.07×	1.27
Kilmarnock (+0.5)	65.8%	68.7%	69.0%	1.00×	1.46
St Johnstone (+0.5)	57.7%	57.0%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75
Kilmarnock (-0.5)	42.3%	43.0%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
St Johnstone (-0.5)	34.2%	31.3%	31.0%	1.01×	3.19
Kilmarnock (-1.5)	21.6%	21.5%	26.4%	0.81×	4.65
Kilmarnock (-2.5)	8.9%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede	80.7%	81.4%	79.5%	1.02×	1.23
St Johnstone clean sheet	19.3%	18.6%	20.5%	0.91×	5.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede in 1st half	50.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
St Johnstone clean sheet in 1st half	49.3%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede in 2nd half	60.8%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
St Johnstone clean sheet in 2nd half	39.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 6.5 corners	86.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
St Johnstone under 5.5 corners	76.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
St Johnstone over 2.5 corners	72.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
St Johnstone under 4.5 corners	63.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
St Johnstone over 3.5 corners	54.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
St Johnstone under 3.5 corners	45.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
St Johnstone over 4.5 corners	37.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
St Johnstone under 2.5 corners	27.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
St Johnstone over 5.5 corners	23.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
St Johnstone over 6.5 corners	13.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 3.5 goals	94.0%	92.4%	96.3%	0.96×	1.08
St Johnstone under 2.5 goals	82.0%	81.5%	85.5%	0.95×	1.23
St Johnstone over 0.5 goals	76.7%	76.2%	66.9%	1.14×	1.31
St Johnstone under 1.5 goals	57.3%	59.4%	63.2%	0.94×	1.68
St Johnstone over 1.5 goals	42.7%	40.6%	36.8%	1.10×	2.46
St Johnstone under 0.5 goals	23.3%	23.8%	33.1%	0.72×	4.21
St Johnstone over 2.5 goals	18.0%	18.5%	14.5%	1.28×	5.41
St Johnstone over 3.5 goals	6.0%	7.6%	3.7%	2.06×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 1st half	88.4%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 1st half	55.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 1st half	44.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 1st half	11.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.34

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone scores more in 2nd half	40.2%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
St Johnstone scores equally in both	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
St Johnstone scores more in 1st half	23.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (away no bet)	64.3%	61.9%	66.3%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.7%	38.1%	33.7%	1.13×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone even goals	52.7%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
St Johnstone odd goals	47.3%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.08

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.1%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Kilmarnock to score 2+ in a row	38.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
St Johnstone to score 2+ in a row	32.3%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Kilmarnock to score 3+ in a row	14.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
St Johnstone to score 3+ in a row	10.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.27

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock corners (+3.5)	92.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Kilmarnock corners (+2.5)	87.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Kilmarnock corners (+1.5)	80.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
St Johnstone corners (+3.5)	72.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
St Johnstone corners (+2.5)	62.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
St Johnstone corners (+1.5)	51.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Kilmarnock corners (-1.5)	48.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Kilmarnock corners (-2.5)	37.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Kilmarnock corners (-3.5)	27.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
St Johnstone corners (-1.5)	20.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
St Johnstone corners (-2.5)	12.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
St Johnstone corners (-3.5)	7.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	26.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	64.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.7%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.72
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-1	6.7%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
1-0	7.5%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
1-2	7.9%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
2-2	6.5%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
2-0	6.1%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-2	4.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.29
3-1	4.9%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
0-0	4.4%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.29
0-3	2.3%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.31
1-3	3.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
3-0	3.3%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	4.2%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (2nd half DNB)	52.5%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
St Johnstone (2nd half DNB)	47.5%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock leading at HT (DNB)	56.4%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
St Johnstone leading at HT (DNB)	43.6%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock or St Johnstone (12)	76.5%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Kilmarnock or draw (1X)	65.8%	69.6%	69.0%	1.01×	1.44
St Johnstone or draw (X2)	57.7%	57.1%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock or draw at HT	73.9%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
St Johnstone or draw at HT	66.2%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Kilmarnock or St Johnstone at HT	59.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock or draw (1UP)	65.8%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
St Johnstone or draw (1UP)	57.7%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock or draw in 2nd half	68.0%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Kilmarnock or St Johnstone in 2nd half	67.3%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
St Johnstone or draw in 2nd half	64.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.8%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	40.2%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (DNB)	55.3%	58.0%	59.7%	0.97×	1.72
St Johnstone (DNB)	44.7%	42.0%	40.3%	1.04×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to score first	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
St Johnstone to score first	44.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	4.4%	4.4%	—	—	22.77

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.7%	56.6%	52.3%	1.08×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.3%	43.4%	47.7%	0.91×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.1%	47.2%	43.2%	1.09×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	29.5%	33.3%	34.1%	0.98×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.7%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.1%	79.8%	83.9%	0.95×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.9%	20.2%	16.1%	1.25×	4.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.2%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	27.5%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Both score 1st half only	14.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	7.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.71

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	22.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.5%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
A half without a goal	39.5%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.9%	42.2%	45.7%	0.92×	2.37
4-6 goals	33.6%	30.7%	31.2%	0.99×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.6%	20.2%	21.7%	0.93×	4.94
7+ goals	3.9%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to score exactly 1	34.0%	33.8%	30.4%	1.11×	2.96
St Johnstone to score exactly 2	24.7%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
St Johnstone to score exactly 0	23.3%	22.3%	33.1%	0.67×	4.49
St Johnstone to score 3+	18.0%	19.5%	14.5%	1.35×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to score exactly 1	31.8%	32.6%	31.2%	1.04×	3.07
Kilmarnock to score exactly 2	26.1%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Kilmarnock to score 3+	22.8%	23.3%	23.8%	0.98×	4.29
Kilmarnock to score exactly 0	19.3%	18.8%	20.5%	0.92×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.36
Kilmarnock leading at HT	33.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.04
St Johnstone leading at HT	26.1%	25.5%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock -1: 2	57.7%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Kilmarnock -1: 1	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Kilmarnock -1: X	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (0:1)	57.7%	55.8%	54.1%	1.03×	1.79
Kilmarnock (0:1)	21.6%	24.2%	26.4%	0.92×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	20.7%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (0:2)	78.4%	79.4%	73.6%	1.08×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.6%	11.0%	14.5%	0.76×	9.10
Kilmarnock (0:2)	8.9%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (0:3)	91.1%	92.7%	87.8%	1.06×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.9%	5.8%	6.8%	0.85×	17.27
Kilmarnock (0:3)	3.0%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.01

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (0:4)	97.0%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.73
Kilmarnock (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (1:0)	65.8%	70.1%	69.0%	1.02×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.4%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.85
St Johnstone (1:0)	15.8%	17.1%	13.4%	1.27×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (2:0)	84.2%	84.6%	86.6%	0.98×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	9.9%	6.4%	7.6%	0.84×	15.63
St Johnstone (2:0)	5.9%	6.4%	6.0%	1.06×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.8%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede	76.7%	76.0%	66.9%	1.14×	1.32
Kilmarnock clean sheet	23.3%	24.0%	33.1%	0.72×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock clean sheet in 1st half	55.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Kilmarnock to concede in 1st half	44.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede in 2nd half	58.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Kilmarnock clean sheet in 2nd half	41.7%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock over 2.5 corners	86.6%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Kilmarnock over 3.5 corners	74.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Kilmarnock under 6.5 corners	68.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Kilmarnock over 4.5 corners	59.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Kilmarnock under 5.5 corners	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Kilmarnock over 5.5 corners	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Kilmarnock under 4.5 corners	40.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Kilmarnock over 6.5 corners	31.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Kilmarnock under 3.5 corners	25.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Kilmarnock under 2.5 corners	13.4%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 3.5 goals	91.5%	92.2%	92.1%	1.00×	1.09
Kilmarnock over 0.5 goals	80.7%	82.2%	79.5%	1.03×	1.22
Kilmarnock under 2.5 goals	77.2%	77.8%	76.2%	1.02×	1.29
Kilmarnock under 1.5 goals	51.1%	53.2%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
Kilmarnock over 1.5 goals	48.9%	46.8%	48.6%	0.96×	2.14
Kilmarnock over 2.5 goals	22.8%	22.2%	23.8%	0.94×	4.50
Kilmarnock under 0.5 goals	19.3%	17.8%	20.5%	0.87×	5.61
Kilmarnock over 3.5 goals	8.5%	7.8%	7.9%	0.99×	12.83

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 1.5 in 1st half	84.2%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Kilmarnock over 0.5 in 1st half	50.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Kilmarnock under 0.5 in 1st half	49.3%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Kilmarnock over 1.5 in 1st half	15.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock scores more in 2nd half	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Kilmarnock scores equally in both	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Kilmarnock scores more in 1st half	26.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (home no bet)	59.3%	56.4%	57.0%	0.99×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.7%	43.6%	43.0%	1.01×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock even goals	51.9%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Kilmarnock odd goals	48.1%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 1-0	19.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	16.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	6.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 2-1	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.34

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	25.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
St Johnstone at HT / St Johnstone at FT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / St Johnstone at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Kilmarnock at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
St Johnstone at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Kilmarnock at HT / St Johnstone at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
St Johnstone at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to score last	50.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
St Johnstone to score last	44.9%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	4.4%	4.4%	—	—	22.77

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.6%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Kilmarnock to lead by 1 at any time	60.1%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
St Johnstone to lead by 1 at any time	53.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.5%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Kilmarnock to lead by 2 at any time	29.1%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
St Johnstone to lead by 2 at any time	22.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Kilmarnock to lead by 3 at any time	11.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
St Johnstone to lead by 3 at any time	8.0%	6.7%	—	—	15.01

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock most corners	60.1%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
St Johnstone most corners	29.1%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.5%	78.7%	76.7%	1.03×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.5%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.3%	71.1%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.1%	59.1%	61.6%	0.96×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.0%	59.1%	55.2%	1.07×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.4%	53.1%	49.6%	1.07×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.9%	43.6%	45.7%	0.95×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.7%	39.2%	42.4%	0.93×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.8%	39.2%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
4-6 goals	33.6%	35.2%	31.2%	1.13×	2.84
4-5 goals	28.1%	30.2%	25.6%	1.18×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.3%	18.8%	13.0%	1.45×	5.31
7+ goals	3.9%	2.6%	1.9%	1.38×	39.10

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock never behind	42.4%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
St Johnstone never behind	35.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.6%	95.4%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.6%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.4%	82.3%	78.3%	1.05×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	79.8%	77.3%	85.3%	0.91×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	62.5%	61.7%	67.1%	0.92×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	59.9%	58.7%	56.8%	1.03×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	40.1%	41.3%	43.2%	0.96×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	37.5%	38.3%	32.9%	1.17×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.2%	22.7%	14.7%	1.55×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	18.6%	17.7%	21.7%	0.82×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.4%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.4%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.9%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.5%	86.8%	92.0%	0.94×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.3%	75.9%	72.4%	1.05×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.6%	75.9%	82.1%	0.92×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.7%	51.9%	56.8%	0.91×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.3%	48.1%	43.2%	1.11×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.4%	24.1%	17.9%	1.35×	4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.7%	24.1%	27.6%	0.87×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.5%	13.2%	8.0%	1.65×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.1%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.0%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.5%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.5%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.09

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.8%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.2%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to score in both halves	74.3%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Kilmarnock not to score in both halves	69.2%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Kilmarnock to score in both halves	30.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
St Johnstone to score in both halves	25.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.7%	60.2%	52.3%	1.15×	1.66
Only Kilmarnock scores	18.9%	16.0%	27.5%	0.58×	6.23
Only St Johnstone scores	15.0%	11.0%	14.9%	0.74×	9.05
Neither team scores	4.4%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.54

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.5%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.3%	17.5%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.2%	12.1%	16.1%	0.75×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	10.7%	12.1%	7.4%	1.63×	8.26
6 or more goals	9.4%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.4%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.6%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	27.5%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	22.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	14.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.0%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	29.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	16.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to win both halves	91.7%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Kilmarnock not to win both halves	88.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Kilmarnock to win both halves	11.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
St Johnstone to win both halves	8.3%	5.9%	—	—	17.06

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to win either half	57.2%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
St Johnstone to win neither half	50.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
St Johnstone to win either half	49.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Kilmarnock to win neither half	42.8%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to win to nil	85.0%	88.1%	85.1%	1.03×	1.14
Kilmarnock not to win to nil	81.1%	83.1%	72.5%	1.15×	1.20
Kilmarnock to win to nil	18.9%	16.9%	27.5%	0.62×	5.91
St Johnstone to win to nil	15.0%	11.9%	14.9%	0.80×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.5%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
Kilmarnock by 1	20.7%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
St Johnstone by 1	18.4%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.87
Kilmarnock by 2	12.6%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.51
St Johnstone by 2	9.9%	7.2%	7.6%	0.94×	13.90
Kilmarnock by 3+	8.9%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.90
St Johnstone by 3+	5.9%	7.2%	6.0%	1.20×	13.92