Kolos Kovalivka v Karpaty Lviv — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · UKR-Premier League · 2627

UKR-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

Kolos Kovalivka

0–2

10:00 UTC

Karpaty Lviv

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 10 Sep, 11:32 · 25h before kick-off

Kolos Kovalivka win

31.3%

model 31.6%

Draw

37.4%

model 36.1%

Karpaty Lviv win

31.3%

model 32.3%

313731

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (7,697 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-0 17.3%
1-1 15.5%
0-1 12.4%
1-0 12.2%
0-2 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	29.0%	Under 2.5	71.0%
BTTS yes	39.1%	BTTS no	60.9%
Kolos Kovalivka 1+	60.6%	Kolos Kovalivka 2+	23.9%
Karpaty Lviv 1+	61.2%	Karpaty Lviv 2+	24.4%

Expected goals 0.93 – 0.95. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

26/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Under 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 33%

58.2% fair odds 1.72

strong signal · 7654 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 1.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 66%

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 583 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

At home Kolos Kovalivka average 1.35 xG a match.
They have had 14 days' rest to Karpaty Lviv's 6.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Kolos Kovalivka have only 0 matches on record.
Karpaty Lviv have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

The draw is the single most likely outcome at 37.4%, with Kolos Kovalivka at 31.3% and Karpaty Lviv at 31.3%. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.93 for Kolos Kovalivka and 0.95 for Karpaty Lviv.

Why Kolos Kovalivka

At home Kolos Kovalivka average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to Karpaty Lviv's 6.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 37.4%. A combined 1.88 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 0.93 to 0.95.

Why Karpaty Lviv can win

Away from home Karpaty Lviv average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kolos Kovalivka, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Karpaty Lviv, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kolos Kovalivka: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Karpaty Lviv: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-10 15:23 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-10 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

A draw is the model's most likely outcome at 37.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-0 at 17.3%. Confidence 26/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	303633	0.91–0.97	0%	0%	0%	Draw ✗
ai-blend-oos	283537	0.99–1.15	0%	0%	0%	Away ✓
dc-xg	273934	0.73–0.87	0-0 22%	22%	32%	Draw ✗
deep	512921	1.51–0.88	1-1 14%	43%	47%	Home ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka to win	50.6%	51.0%	44.4%	1.15×	1.96
Draw	28.9%	27.7%	25.0%	1.11×	3.61
Karpaty Lviv to win	20.5%	24.6%	30.6%	0.80×	4.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka & not both score	30.9%	29.2%	24.4%	1.20×	3.42
Kolos Kovalivka & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	20.1%	0.90×	5.55
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.55
Karpaty Lviv & not both score	11.5%	13.3%	16.0%	0.83×	7.55
Draw & not both score	10.6%	13.2%	7.3%	1.81×	7.55
Karpaty Lviv & both teams score	9.0%	8.4%	14.6%	0.57×	11.96

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka & over 1.5	38.1%	34.7%	34.1%	1.02×	2.89
Kolos Kovalivka & under 3.5	37.3%	34.7%	30.3%	1.14×	2.89
Kolos Kovalivka & over 2.5	27.7%	25.9%	26.9%	0.96×	3.85
Draw & under 2.5	24.2%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	24.2%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Kolos Kovalivka & under 2.5	22.9%	21.6%	17.5%	1.23×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.57
Karpaty Lviv & under 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	21.6%	0.83×	5.57
Karpaty Lviv & over 1.5	13.9%	12.9%	23.1%	0.56×	7.78
Kolos Kovalivka & under 1.5	12.5%	12.9%	10.4%	1.24×	7.78
Kolos Kovalivka & over 3.5	13.2%	12.9%	14.2%	0.91×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	10.6%	12.9%	7.3%	1.76×	7.78
Karpaty Lviv & over 2.5	10.3%	12.9%	18.4%	0.70×	7.78
Karpaty Lviv & under 2.5	10.2%	12.9%	12.2%	1.05×	7.78
Karpaty Lviv & under 1.5	6.7%	8.0%	7.5%	1.06×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	4.7%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.57
Draw & over 3.5	4.7%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.57
Karpaty Lviv & over 3.5	3.9%	4.9%	9.0%	0.54×	20.58

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka (1UP)	63.6%	63.2%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
Karpaty Lviv (1UP)	36.8%	34.3%	50.4%	0.68×	2.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka (2UP)	50.6%	55.4%	45.2%	1.22×	1.80
Karpaty Lviv (2UP)	20.5%	23.5%	34.2%	0.69×	4.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka to win 2nd half	40.6%	41.0%	37.7%	1.09×	2.44
2nd half drawn	38.7%	36.0%	32.7%	1.10×	2.78
Karpaty Lviv to win 2nd half	20.7%	23.0%	29.7%	0.77×	4.35

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.2%	91.8%	82.3%	1.12×	1.09
Karpaty Lviv under 0.5 in 2nd half	59.0%	55.5%	46.6%	1.19×	1.80
Karpaty Lviv over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.0%	44.5%	53.4%	0.83×	2.25
Karpaty Lviv over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.8%	8.2%	17.7%	0.46×	12.22

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.8%	75.8%	77.4%	0.98×	1.32
Kolos Kovalivka over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	58.9%	58.7%	1.00×	1.70
Kolos Kovalivka under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	41.1%	41.4%	0.99×	2.43
Kolos Kovalivka over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.2%	24.2%	22.6%	1.07×	4.13

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv (+2.5)	89.2%	88.4%	90.1%	0.98×	1.13
Kolos Kovalivka (+0.5)	79.5%	78.4%	69.4%	1.13×	1.28
Karpaty Lviv (+1.5)	73.3%	73.7%	77.7%	0.95×	1.36
Kolos Kovalivka (-0.5)	50.6%	52.1%	44.4%	1.17×	1.92
Karpaty Lviv (+0.5)	49.4%	47.9%	55.6%	0.86×	2.09
Kolos Kovalivka (-1.5)	26.7%	26.3%	22.3%	1.18×	3.80
Karpaty Lviv (-0.5)	20.5%	21.6%	30.6%	0.71×	4.62
Kolos Kovalivka (-2.5)	10.8%	11.6%	9.9%	1.17×	8.59

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv to concede	77.8%	78.8%	76.7%	1.03×	1.27
Karpaty Lviv clean sheet	22.2%	21.2%	23.3%	0.91×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv to concede in 1st half	47.7%	50.7%	48.2%	1.05×	1.97
Karpaty Lviv clean sheet in 1st half	52.3%	49.3%	51.8%	0.95×	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv to concede in 2nd half	57.6%	58.5%	58.7%	1.00×	1.71
Karpaty Lviv clean sheet in 2nd half	42.4%	41.5%	41.4%	1.00×	2.41

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv under 3.5 goals	98.8%	97.4%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Karpaty Lviv under 2.5 goals	94.1%	92.2%	87.0%	1.06×	1.09
Karpaty Lviv under 1.5 goals	78.0%	76.1%	66.3%	1.15×	1.31
Karpaty Lviv over 0.5 goals	58.4%	58.9%	68.3%	0.86×	1.70
Karpaty Lviv under 0.5 goals	41.6%	41.1%	31.7%	1.30×	2.43
Karpaty Lviv over 1.5 goals	22.0%	23.9%	33.7%	0.71×	4.19
Karpaty Lviv over 2.5 goals	5.9%	7.8%	13.0%	0.60×	12.83
Karpaty Lviv over 3.5 goals	1.2%	2.6%	4.3%	0.59×	38.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv under 1.5 in 1st half	95.1%	95.6%	89.4%	1.07×	1.05
Karpaty Lviv under 0.5 in 1st half	70.4%	68.3%	59.0%	1.16×	1.47
Karpaty Lviv over 0.5 in 1st half	29.6%	31.7%	41.0%	0.77×	3.15
Karpaty Lviv over 1.5 in 1st half	4.9%	4.4%	10.6%	0.42×	22.58

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv scores equally in both	49.6%	48.6%	40.6%	1.20×	2.06
Karpaty Lviv scores more in 2nd half	31.3%	34.1%	36.5%	0.93×	2.93
Karpaty Lviv scores more in 1st half	19.1%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka (away no bet)	63.6%	62.0%	64.0%	0.97×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.4%	38.0%	36.0%	1.06×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv even goals	58.6%	56.9%	55.7%	1.02×	1.76
Karpaty Lviv odd goals	41.4%	43.1%	44.3%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.4%	87.8%	82.7%	1.06×	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.6%	12.2%	17.3%	0.70×	8.22

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	56.8%	60.1%	66.2%	0.91×	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	43.2%	39.9%	33.8%	1.18×	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.1%	51.2%	58.6%	0.87×	1.95
Kolos Kovalivka to score 2+ in a row	38.1%	36.5%	36.9%	0.99×	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.2%	16.3%	22.9%	0.71×	6.13
Karpaty Lviv to score 2+ in a row	15.9%	16.3%	28.6%	0.57×	6.15
Kolos Kovalivka to score 3+ in a row	14.1%	12.2%	14.2%	0.86×	8.20
Karpaty Lviv to score 3+ in a row	3.3%	2.6%	9.1%	0.28×	38.61

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.6%	11.4%	11.5%	0.99×	8.80
1-0	12.5%	11.4%	10.4%	1.10×	8.80
0-0	10.6%	11.4%	7.3%	1.56×	8.80
2-0	10.5%	11.4%	7.2%	1.58×	8.80
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.53
0-1	6.7%	7.4%	7.5%	0.98×	13.53
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.53
3-0	5.3%	7.4%	3.9%	1.89×	13.53
0-2	3.6%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	57.66
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	57.67
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.95×	57.68
1-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.63×	57.67
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	57.68
2-2	4.0%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	57.66
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	57.67
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.92×	57.68
3-1	4.6%	1.7%	4.2%	0.42×	57.66
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	57.67
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	57.68
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	57.68
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.99×	57.67
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.04×	57.67
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.90×	57.68
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.67×	57.68
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	16.36×	57.68
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.43×	57.67

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka (2nd half DNB)	66.2%	69.7%	55.9%	1.25×	1.44
Karpaty Lviv (2nd half DNB)	33.8%	30.3%	44.1%	0.69×	3.30

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka leading at HT (DNB)	68.5%	73.6%	56.7%	1.30×	1.36
Karpaty Lviv leading at HT (DNB)	31.5%	26.4%	43.3%	0.61×	3.78

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka or draw (1X)	79.5%	75.4%	69.4%	1.09×	1.33
Kolos Kovalivka or Karpaty Lviv (12)	71.1%	72.3%	75.0%	0.96×	1.38
Karpaty Lviv or draw (X2)	49.4%	49.0%	55.6%	0.88×	2.04

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka or draw at HT	83.0%	84.5%	74.1%	1.14×	1.18
Karpaty Lviv or draw at HT	63.1%	62.0%	66.2%	0.94×	1.61
Kolos Kovalivka or Karpaty Lviv at HT	53.8%	47.8%	59.7%	0.80×	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka or draw (1UP)	79.5%	84.1%	74.2%	1.13×	1.19
Karpaty Lviv or draw (1UP)	49.4%	52.9%	63.9%	0.83×	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka or draw in 2nd half	79.3%	77.0%	70.3%	1.10×	1.30
Kolos Kovalivka or Karpaty Lviv in 2nd half	61.3%	64.0%	67.3%	0.95×	1.56
Karpaty Lviv or draw in 2nd half	59.4%	59.0%	62.3%	0.95×	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.5%	69.2%	58.9%	1.18×	1.45
Neither half drawn	34.5%	30.8%	41.1%	0.75×	3.25

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka (DNB)	71.1%	71.1%	59.2%	1.20×	1.41
Karpaty Lviv (DNB)	28.9%	28.9%	40.8%	0.71×	3.46

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka to score first	56.5%	61.9%	51.2%	1.21×	1.62
Karpaty Lviv to score first	32.9%	27.2%	42.9%	0.63×	3.67
No goal scored	10.6%	9.6%	5.9%	1.62×	10.46

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.1%	51.6%	47.6%	1.08×	1.94
Both teams to score	46.9%	48.4%	52.4%	0.92×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	43.8%	41.7%	37.1%	1.13×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	33.3%	34.4%	40.9%	0.84×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	13.6%	12.3%	11.5%	1.07×	8.15
Not both score & over 2.5	9.3%	8.4%	10.6%	0.79×	11.93

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.2%	88.9%	86.0%	1.03×	1.13
Both teams to score 2+	9.8%	11.1%	14.0%	0.79×	8.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.9%	75.0%	70.2%	1.07×	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.1%	25.0%	29.8%	0.84×	4.01

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.9%	66.7%	57.8%	1.15×	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	20.8%	20.8%	23.8%	0.87×	4.81
Both score 1st half only	11.0%	10.7%	12.5%	0.86×	9.35
Both score in both halves	3.3%	5.0%	6.0%	0.83×	20.06

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.6%	86.0%	81.5%	1.06×	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	14.4%	14.0%	18.5%	0.76×	7.15

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.9%	53.3%	41.1%	1.30×	1.88
A goal in each half	48.1%	46.7%	58.9%	0.79×	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.4%	46.9%	45.4%	1.03×	2.13
0-1 goals	29.8%	27.0%	25.2%	1.07×	3.71
4-6 goals	20.7%	23.0%	27.0%	0.85×	4.34
7+ goals	1.1%	1.8%	2.4%	0.76×	54.09

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv to score exactly 0	41.6%	37.2%	31.7%	1.17×	2.69
Karpaty Lviv to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.8%	34.6%	1.03×	2.80
Karpaty Lviv to score exactly 2	16.0%	19.5%	20.8%	0.94×	5.13
Karpaty Lviv to score 3+	5.9%	8.7%	13.0%	0.67×	11.44

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka to score exactly 1	33.4%	32.6%	33.1%	0.99×	3.06
Kolos Kovalivka to score exactly 2	25.2%	26.2%	24.0%	1.09×	3.82
Kolos Kovalivka to score exactly 0	22.2%	23.3%	23.3%	1.00×	4.28
Kolos Kovalivka to score 3+	19.3%	19.2%	19.7%	0.97×	5.22

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.2%	52.2%	40.3%	1.30×	1.91
Kolos Kovalivka leading at HT	36.9%	38.0%	33.8%	1.12×	2.63
Karpaty Lviv leading at HT	17.0%	15.5%	25.9%	0.60×	6.44

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka -1: 2	49.4%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Kolos Kovalivka -1: 1	26.7%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Kolos Kovalivka -1: X	23.9%	23.7%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv (0:1)	49.4%	46.0%	55.6%	0.83×	2.17
Kolos Kovalivka (0:1)	26.7%	27.1%	22.3%	1.22×	3.69
Draw (0:1)	23.9%	24.4%	22.2%	1.10×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv (0:2)	73.3%	75.9%	77.7%	0.98×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.9%	15.0%	12.3%	1.21×	6.68
Kolos Kovalivka (0:2)	10.8%	10.8%	9.9%	1.09×	9.23

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv (0:3)	89.2%	90.5%	90.1%	1.00×	1.11
Draw (0:3)	7.2%	5.9%	5.9%	1.00×	16.93
Kolos Kovalivka (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.31

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv (0:4)	96.5%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.6%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.56
Kolos Kovalivka (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	1.5%	0.81×	81.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka (1:0)	79.5%	78.1%	69.4%	1.13×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	13.3%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.84
Karpaty Lviv (1:0)	7.2%	7.0%	13.6%	0.52×	14.32

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka (2:0)	92.8%	93.8%	86.4%	1.08×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.4%	6.5%	8.1%	0.81×	15.28
Karpaty Lviv (2:0)	1.8%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	41.46

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.6%	48.9%	48.6%	1.01×	2.05
Halves equal	29.2%	26.5%	25.2%	1.05×	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.2%	26.5%	26.3%	1.01×	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka to concede	58.4%	60.7%	68.3%	0.89×	1.65
Kolos Kovalivka clean sheet	41.6%	39.3%	31.7%	1.24×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka clean sheet in 1st half	70.4%	67.7%	59.0%	1.15×	1.48
Kolos Kovalivka to concede in 1st half	29.6%	32.3%	41.0%	0.79×	3.10

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka clean sheet in 2nd half	59.0%	55.7%	46.6%	1.19×	1.80
Kolos Kovalivka to concede in 2nd half	41.0%	44.3%	53.4%	0.83×	2.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka under 3.5 goals	93.4%	92.1%	92.4%	1.00×	1.09
Kolos Kovalivka under 2.5 goals	80.7%	81.9%	80.3%	1.02×	1.22
Kolos Kovalivka over 0.5 goals	77.8%	77.4%	76.7%	1.01×	1.29
Kolos Kovalivka under 1.5 goals	55.6%	58.6%	56.3%	1.04×	1.71
Kolos Kovalivka over 1.5 goals	44.4%	41.4%	43.7%	0.95×	2.41
Kolos Kovalivka under 0.5 goals	22.2%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Kolos Kovalivka over 2.5 goals	19.3%	18.1%	19.7%	0.92×	5.53
Kolos Kovalivka over 3.5 goals	6.6%	7.9%	7.6%	1.03×	12.71

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka under 1.5 in 1st half	86.2%	89.7%	85.9%	1.05×	1.12
Kolos Kovalivka over 0.5 in 1st half	47.7%	50.9%	48.2%	1.06×	1.97
Kolos Kovalivka under 0.5 in 1st half	52.3%	49.1%	51.8%	0.95×	2.04
Kolos Kovalivka over 1.5 in 1st half	13.8%	10.3%	14.1%	0.73×	9.73

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka scores more in 2nd half	38.0%	37.7%	38.0%	0.99×	2.65
Kolos Kovalivka scores equally in both	36.3%	37.6%	37.1%	1.01×	2.66
Kolos Kovalivka scores more in 1st half	25.7%	28.0%	24.9%	1.12×	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	58.5%	56.1%	44.9%	1.25×	1.78
Karpaty Lviv (home no bet)	41.5%	43.9%	55.1%	0.80×	2.28

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka even goals	52.5%	50.4%	52.8%	0.96×	1.98
Kolos Kovalivka odd goals	47.5%	49.6%	47.2%	1.05×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.1%	38.7%	29.3%	1.32×	2.59
HT 1-0	23.6%	24.2%	20.7%	1.17×	4.13
HT 0-1	12.7%	10.9%	16.3%	0.67×	9.15
HT 1-1	8.6%	7.1%	10.2%	0.70×	14.00
HT 2-0	7.7%	7.1%	7.1%	1.00×	14.02
Any other HT score	3.4%	2.3%	4.7%	0.49×	43.46
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.3%	3.3%	0.70×	43.50
HT 0-2	2.3%	2.3%	4.9%	0.47×	43.54
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.3%	2.8%	0.83×	43.60
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	0.9%	2.56×	43.67

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka at HT / Kolos Kovalivka at FT	30.4%	32.6%	25.8%	1.27×	3.06
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.4%	16.8%	14.1%	1.19×	5.96
Draw at HT / Kolos Kovalivka at FT	18.0%	16.8%	14.7%	1.14×	5.96
Karpaty Lviv at HT / Karpaty Lviv at FT	10.3%	12.6%	17.4%	0.73×	7.91
Draw at HT / Karpaty Lviv at FT	8.8%	6.0%	11.6%	0.52×	16.62
Kolos Kovalivka at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	5.1%	1.16×	16.74
Karpaty Lviv at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	5.6%	0.62×	28.75
Karpaty Lviv at HT / Kolos Kovalivka at FT	2.2%	3.5%	2.9%	1.19×	28.84
Kolos Kovalivka at HT / Karpaty Lviv at FT	1.3%	3.5%	3.0%	1.16×	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka to score last	56.6%	56.5%	51.4%	1.10×	1.77
Karpaty Lviv to score last	32.7%	32.9%	42.7%	0.77×	3.04
No goal scored	10.6%	9.0%	5.9%	1.52×	11.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.4%	91.0%	94.1%	0.97×	1.10
Kolos Kovalivka to lead by 1 at any time	63.6%	61.4%	59.8%	1.03×	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.7%	39.2%	48.2%	0.81×	2.55
Karpaty Lviv to lead by 1 at any time	36.8%	34.8%	50.4%	0.69×	2.87
Kolos Kovalivka to lead by 2 at any time	31.9%	29.3%	28.2%	1.04×	3.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.0%	14.8%	19.5%	0.76×	6.74
Kolos Kovalivka to lead by 3 at any time	12.5%	10.5%	12.1%	0.86×	9.56
Karpaty Lviv to lead by 2 at any time	10.8%	10.4%	20.3%	0.51×	9.59
Karpaty Lviv to lead by 3 at any time	2.5%	1.6%	7.4%	0.22×	61.92

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.9%	87.4%	86.4%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	78.5%	78.0%	1.01×	1.27
2-6 goals	69.1%	68.9%	72.4%	0.95×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.6%	68.8%	63.3%	1.09×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.8%	68.8%	68.5%	1.01×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.9%	63.2%	60.1%	1.05×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.4%	48.5%	45.4%	1.07×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.7%	48.5%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
3-6 goals	41.5%	43.6%	49.1%	0.89×	2.29
3-5 goals	39.2%	39.3%	45.1%	0.87×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.2%	35.3%	36.8%	0.96×	2.83
4-6 goals	20.7%	24.8%	27.0%	0.92×	4.04
4-5 goals	18.3%	18.9%	23.0%	0.82×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.3%	9.0%	12.3%	0.73×	11.15
7+ goals	1.1%	2.6%	2.4%	1.06×	39.02

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kolos Kovalivka never behind	52.6%	61.9%	49.6%	1.25×	1.62
Karpaty Lviv never behind	25.8%	29.9%	40.2%	0.75×	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.7%	51.0%	50.2%	1.02×	1.96
Even number of goals	53.3%	49.0%	49.8%	0.98×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.3%	57.5%	53.7%	1.07×	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.7%	42.5%	46.3%	0.92×	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.1%	52.1%	51.1%	1.02×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.9%	47.9%	48.9%	0.98×	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.5%	95.4%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	90.6%	92.2%	85.3%	1.08×	1.09
Over 0.5 goals	89.4%	87.5%	92.7%	0.94×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	78.2%	77.2%	70.6%	1.09×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	70.2%	72.4%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	57.4%	58.5%	48.5%	1.20×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	42.6%	41.5%	51.5%	0.81×	2.41
Under 1.5 goals	29.8%	27.6%	25.2%	1.10×	3.62
Over 3.5 goals	21.8%	22.8%	29.4%	0.78×	4.39
Under 0.5 goals	10.6%	12.5%	7.3%	1.72×	7.97
Over 4.5 goals	9.4%	7.8%	14.7%	0.53×	12.83
Over 5.5 goals	3.5%	4.6%	6.3%	0.72×	21.76

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.2%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.3%	97.2%	93.1%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.3%	86.6%	82.8%	1.05×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.5%	72.3%	62.3%	1.16×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.9%	55.2%	67.1%	0.82×	1.81
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.1%	44.8%	32.9%	1.36×	2.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	27.5%	27.7%	37.7%	0.74×	3.60
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.7%	13.4%	17.2%	0.78×	7.48
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.7%	2.8%	6.9%	0.41×	35.10
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.8%	2.5%	1.13×	35.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.0%	92.7%	88.4%	1.05×	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.4%	71.3%	66.3%	1.08×	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.9%	63.5%	70.7%	0.90×	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.1%	36.5%	29.3%	1.25×	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.6%	28.7%	33.7%	0.85×	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.0%	7.3%	11.6%	0.63×	13.66

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.7%	82.8%	77.5%	1.07×	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.5%	77.8%	82.3%	0.95×	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.2%	54.8%	50.2%	1.09×	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.8%	45.2%	49.8%	0.91×	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.5%	22.2%	17.7%	1.25×	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.3%	17.2%	22.5%	0.76×	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv not to score in both halves	87.9%	85.8%	77.6%	1.11×	1.17
Kolos Kovalivka not to score in both halves	72.5%	73.7%	70.5%	1.05×	1.36
Kolos Kovalivka to score in both halves	27.5%	26.3%	29.5%	0.89×	3.81
Karpaty Lviv to score in both halves	12.1%	14.2%	22.4%	0.63×	7.07

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.9%	50.4%	52.4%	0.96×	1.99
Only Kolos Kovalivka scores	30.9%	33.1%	24.4%	1.36×	3.02
Only Karpaty Lviv scores	11.5%	11.1%	16.0%	0.70×	9.02
Neither team scores	10.6%	11.1%	7.3%	1.52×	9.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.6%	24.7%	23.3%	1.06×	4.05
Exactly 3 goals	20.8%	22.4%	22.1%	1.02×	4.46
Exactly 1 goals	19.1%	17.6%	17.9%	0.98×	5.70
Exactly 4 goals	12.4%	12.1%	14.7%	0.82×	8.30
Exactly 0 goals	10.6%	12.0%	7.3%	1.65×	8.30
Exactly 5 goals	5.9%	7.8%	8.4%	0.93×	12.86
6 or more goals	3.5%	4.5%	6.3%	0.71×	22.24

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.1%	37.1%	29.3%	1.27×	2.70
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.1%	37.0%	1.00×	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	18.6%	15.3%	22.2%	0.69×	6.54
3+ goals in 1st half	8.0%	7.3%	11.6%	0.63×	13.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.8%	44.4%	49.8%	0.89×	2.26
1 goal in 2nd half	33.7%	33.4%	32.5%	1.03×	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	25.5%	29.7%	17.7%	1.68×	3.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv not to win both halves	96.3%	97.2%	91.8%	1.06×	1.03
Kolos Kovalivka not to win both halves	84.7%	84.3%	86.8%	0.97×	1.19
Kolos Kovalivka to win both halves	15.3%	15.7%	13.2%	1.18×	6.38
Karpaty Lviv to win both halves	3.7%	2.8%	8.2%	0.34×	35.71

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv to win neither half	66.0%	67.9%	52.6%	1.29×	1.47
Kolos Kovalivka to win either half	62.2%	65.0%	58.3%	1.12×	1.54
Kolos Kovalivka to win neither half	37.8%	35.0%	41.7%	0.84×	2.86
Karpaty Lviv to win either half	34.0%	32.1%	47.4%	0.68×	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karpaty Lviv not to win to nil	88.5%	87.9%	84.0%	1.05×	1.14
Kolos Kovalivka not to win to nil	69.1%	70.3%	75.6%	0.93×	1.42
Kolos Kovalivka to win to nil	30.9%	29.7%	24.4%	1.22×	3.37
Karpaty Lviv to win to nil	11.5%	12.1%	16.0%	0.76×	8.29

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.9%	27.7%	25.0%	1.11×	3.61
Kolos Kovalivka by 1	23.9%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Kolos Kovalivka by 2	15.9%	16.9%	12.3%	1.37×	5.92
Karpaty Lviv by 1	13.3%	11.7%	17.0%	0.69×	8.53
Kolos Kovalivka by 3+	10.8%	11.7%	9.9%	1.18×	8.53
Karpaty Lviv by 2	5.4%	7.3%	8.1%	0.89×	13.77
Karpaty Lviv by 3+	1.8%	2.8%	5.4%	0.52×	35.63

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.