Kyoto Sanga v Cerezo Osaka — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Kyoto Sanga

05:00 UTC

Cerezo Osaka

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 810h before kick-off

Kyoto Sanga win

30.9%

model 33.7%

Draw

23.8%

model 22.9%

Cerezo Osaka win

45.3%

model 43.4%

312445

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
1-2 8.9%
2-1 7.7%
0-1 7.3%
2-2 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.7%	Under 2.5	38.3%
BTTS yes	63.0%	BTTS no	37.0%
Kyoto Sanga 1+	77.2%	Kyoto Sanga 2+	43.5%
Cerezo Osaka 1+	81.8%	Cerezo Osaka 2+	50.8%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.71. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 31%

53.7% fair odds 1.86

strong signal · 700 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Cerezo Osaka (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 82%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Cerezo Osaka carry the stronger rating, 1569 Elo against 1447.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Cerezo Osaka have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for Kyoto Sanga and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.48 for Kyoto Sanga and 1.71 for Cerezo Osaka.

Why Kyoto Sanga

Nothing in the data singles out Kyoto Sanga.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.48 to 1.71. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Cerezo Osaka can win

Cerezo Osaka carry the stronger rating, 1569 Elo against 1447.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kyoto Sanga, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cerezo Osaka, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kyoto Sanga: 45% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cerezo Osaka: 56% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Cerezo Osaka are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	342343	1.48–1.71	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352342	1.54–1.69	1-1 10%	63%	64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to win	41.8%	42.9%	31.1%	1.38×	2.33
Kyoto Sanga to win	35.4%	36.3%	43.0%	0.85×	2.75
Draw	22.7%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka & both teams score	24.2%	21.8%	13.4%	1.62×	4.58
Kyoto Sanga & both teams score	20.8%	21.8%	18.1%	1.20×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.1%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Cerezo Osaka & not both score	17.7%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.57
Kyoto Sanga & not both score	14.7%	13.3%	25.0%	0.53×	7.53
Draw & not both score	3.7%	4.9%	7.0%	0.69×	20.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka & over 1.5	34.9%	30.8%	21.3%	1.45×	3.25
Kyoto Sanga & over 1.5	29.2%	26.1%	30.3%	0.86×	3.84
Cerezo Osaka & over 2.5	29.3%	26.1%	17.8%	1.46×	3.84
Kyoto Sanga & over 2.5	24.5%	21.6%	23.1%	0.93×	4.63
Cerezo Osaka & under 3.5	24.4%	21.6%	23.4%	0.92×	4.63
Kyoto Sanga & under 3.5	21.3%	21.6%	33.1%	0.65×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.1%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Cerezo Osaka & over 3.5	17.4%	18.0%	7.8%	2.30×	5.56
Kyoto Sanga & over 3.5	14.1%	12.8%	10.0%	1.28×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	13.7%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.7%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Cerezo Osaka & under 2.5	12.5%	12.8%	13.4%	0.96×	7.79
Kyoto Sanga & under 2.5	11.0%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Kyoto Sanga & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	12.8%	0.62×	12.63
Cerezo Osaka & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.7%	4.8%	7.0%	0.68×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (1UP)	60.3%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Kyoto Sanga (1UP)	54.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (2UP)	41.8%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Kyoto Sanga (2UP)	35.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to win 2nd half	37.8%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
2nd half drawn	31.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Kyoto Sanga to win 2nd half	30.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.0%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Cerezo Osaka over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.8%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Cerezo Osaka under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.2%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Cerezo Osaka over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Kyoto Sanga over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.5%	58.3%	—	—	1.71
Kyoto Sanga under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (+2.5)	93.4%	92.1%	93.8%	0.98×	1.09
Cerezo Osaka (+1.5)	83.1%	82.6%	81.9%	1.01×	1.21
Cerezo Osaka (+0.5)	64.6%	63.0%	57.0%	1.10×	1.59
Kyoto Sanga (+0.5)	58.2%	57.0%	68.9%	0.83×	1.75
Cerezo Osaka (-0.5)	41.8%	43.0%	31.1%	1.38×	2.33
Kyoto Sanga (-0.5)	35.4%	37.0%	43.0%	0.86×	2.70
Kyoto Sanga (-1.5)	16.9%	17.4%	18.1%	0.96×	5.73
Kyoto Sanga (-2.5)	6.6%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to concede	78.6%	78.8%	75.3%	1.05×	1.27
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet	21.4%	21.2%	24.7%	0.86×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet in 1st half	51.5%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Cerezo Osaka to concede in 1st half	48.5%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to concede in 2nd half	58.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet in 2nd half	41.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka over 2.5 corners	87.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Cerezo Osaka over 3.5 corners	75.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Cerezo Osaka under 6.5 corners	66.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Cerezo Osaka over 4.5 corners	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cerezo Osaka under 5.5 corners	53.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Cerezo Osaka over 5.5 corners	46.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Cerezo Osaka under 4.5 corners	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cerezo Osaka over 6.5 corners	33.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Cerezo Osaka under 3.5 corners	24.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Cerezo Osaka under 2.5 corners	12.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka under 3.5 goals	90.8%	92.3%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Cerezo Osaka over 0.5 goals	81.6%	81.5%	68.1%	1.20×	1.23
Cerezo Osaka under 2.5 goals	75.9%	76.2%	87.8%	0.87×	1.31
Cerezo Osaka over 1.5 goals	50.5%	53.5%	31.7%	1.69×	1.87
Cerezo Osaka under 1.5 goals	49.5%	46.5%	68.3%	0.68×	2.15
Cerezo Osaka over 2.5 goals	24.1%	23.8%	12.2%	1.95×	4.21
Cerezo Osaka under 0.5 goals	18.4%	18.5%	31.9%	0.58×	5.40
Cerezo Osaka over 3.5 goals	9.2%	7.7%	4.1%	1.89×	13.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka under 1.5 in 1st half	85.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Cerezo Osaka under 0.5 in 1st half	50.8%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Cerezo Osaka over 0.5 in 1st half	49.2%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Cerezo Osaka over 1.5 in 1st half	14.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.34

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka scores more in 2nd half	42.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Cerezo Osaka scores equally in both	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Cerezo Osaka scores more in 1st half	23.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (away no bet)	60.9%	61.9%	62.2%	1.00×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.1%	38.1%	37.8%	1.01×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka even goals	51.7%	52.6%	54.2%	0.97×	1.90
Cerezo Osaka odd goals	48.3%	47.4%	45.8%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.1%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	73.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.3%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Cerezo Osaka to score 2+ in a row	39.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Kyoto Sanga to score 2+ in a row	34.6%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Cerezo Osaka to score 3+ in a row	14.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Kyoto Sanga to score 3+ in a row	11.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.33

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga corners (+3.5)	82.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cerezo Osaka corners (+3.5)	80.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Kyoto Sanga corners (+2.5)	75.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Cerezo Osaka corners (+2.5)	72.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Kyoto Sanga corners (+1.5)	66.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cerezo Osaka corners (+1.5)	63.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Kyoto Sanga corners (-1.5)	36.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cerezo Osaka corners (-1.5)	33.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Kyoto Sanga corners (-2.5)	27.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Cerezo Osaka corners (-2.5)	24.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Kyoto Sanga corners (-3.5)	19.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Cerezo Osaka corners (-3.5)	17.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	45.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	25.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	83.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	75.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	65.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 12.5 corners	63.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	55.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	54.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	45.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 10.5 corners	44.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 12.5 corners	36.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 9.5 corners	34.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	25.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Under 7.5 corners	16.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.0%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.72
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.51
0-1	6.9%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.51
2-2	6.7%	7.4%	5.2%	1.44×	13.51
0-2	5.6%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.51
1-0	6.3%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.51
1-3	4.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.29
Any other score	4.9%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.29
0-0	3.7%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.30
0-3	3.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.31
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
2-0	4.7%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
2-3	3.8%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.30
2-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.31
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.31
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.31
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (2nd half DNB)	55.3%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Kyoto Sanga (2nd half DNB)	44.7%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka leading at HT (DNB)	50.7%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Kyoto Sanga leading at HT (DNB)	49.3%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga or Cerezo Osaka (12)	77.3%	75.5%	73.9%	1.02×	1.32
Cerezo Osaka or draw (X2)	64.6%	63.7%	57.0%	1.12×	1.57
Kyoto Sanga or draw (1X)	58.2%	57.1%	68.9%	0.83×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka or draw at HT	70.0%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Kyoto Sanga or draw at HT	69.2%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Kyoto Sanga or Cerezo Osaka at HT	60.8%	60.9%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka or draw (1UP)	64.6%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Kyoto Sanga or draw (1UP)	58.2%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka or draw in 2nd half	69.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Kyoto Sanga or Cerezo Osaka in 2nd half	68.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Kyoto Sanga or draw in 2nd half	62.2%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.7%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	41.3%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (DNB)	54.1%	50.9%	42.0%	1.21×	1.96
Kyoto Sanga (DNB)	45.9%	49.1%	58.0%	0.85×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to score first	50.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Kyoto Sanga to score first	45.9%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
No goal scored	3.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.10

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.0%	56.6%	50.5%	1.12×	1.77
Not both teams to score	36.0%	43.4%	49.5%	0.88×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	53.9%	47.3%	37.2%	1.27×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	27.2%	33.3%	40.2%	0.83×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.0%	12.4%	13.4%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	9.5%	0.87×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.9%	79.7%	86.3%	0.92×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	23.1%	20.3%	13.8%	1.48×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	28.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Both score 1st half only	14.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.24
Both score in both halves	8.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.58

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.2%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.8%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.7%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	37.3%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.6%	42.1%	47.2%	0.89×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.9%	35.1%	20.9%	1.68×	2.85
0-1 goals	16.9%	20.2%	29.5%	0.68×	4.95
7+ goals	4.7%	1.9%	2.7%	0.70×	54.06

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to score exactly 1	31.1%	33.8%	36.6%	0.93×	2.96
Cerezo Osaka to score exactly 2	26.4%	27.4%	19.7%	1.39×	3.65
Cerezo Osaka to score 3+	24.1%	22.3%	12.2%	1.83×	4.49
Cerezo Osaka to score exactly 0	18.4%	19.6%	31.9%	0.61×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 1	33.0%	32.6%	36.3%	0.90×	3.07
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 2	25.5%	26.5%	24.5%	1.08×	3.77
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 0	21.4%	23.3%	24.7%	0.94×	4.29
Kyoto Sanga to score 3+	20.2%	23.3%	14.8%	1.57×	4.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.2%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Cerezo Osaka leading at HT	30.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Kyoto Sanga leading at HT	30.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka -1: 1	58.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Cerezo Osaka -1: 2	21.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Cerezo Osaka -1: X	20.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (0:1)	64.6%	61.4%	57.0%	1.08×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	18.5%	17.8%	25.0%	0.71×	5.61
Kyoto Sanga (0:1)	16.9%	17.8%	18.1%	0.98×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (0:2)	83.1%	83.0%	81.9%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.4%	11.0%	12.0%	0.91×	9.11
Kyoto Sanga (0:2)	6.6%	7.7%	6.3%	1.23×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (0:3)	93.4%	92.7%	93.8%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.5%	2.4%	4.2%	0.56×	42.03
Kyoto Sanga (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	2.2%	1.08×	42.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (0:4)	97.9%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	82.00
Kyoto Sanga (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	82.11

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (1:0)	58.2%	58.4%	68.9%	0.85×	1.71
Cerezo Osaka (1:0)	21.5%	21.7%	11.9%	1.83×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	20.3%	21.7%	19.4%	1.12×	4.62

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (2:0)	78.5%	80.5%	88.1%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.5%	10.3%	6.1%	1.69×	9.73
Cerezo Osaka (2:0)	9.0%	6.4%	5.9%	1.08×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	22.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to concede	81.6%	80.9%	68.1%	1.19×	1.24
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet	18.4%	19.1%	31.9%	0.60×	5.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet in 1st half	50.8%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Kyoto Sanga to concede in 1st half	49.2%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to concede in 2nd half	63.8%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet in 2nd half	36.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga over 2.5 corners	88.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Kyoto Sanga over 3.5 corners	77.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Kyoto Sanga over 4.5 corners	63.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Kyoto Sanga under 6.5 corners	63.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Kyoto Sanga under 5.5 corners	50.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Kyoto Sanga over 5.5 corners	49.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Kyoto Sanga under 4.5 corners	36.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Kyoto Sanga over 6.5 corners	36.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Kyoto Sanga under 3.5 corners	22.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Kyoto Sanga under 2.5 corners	11.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 3.5 goals	92.9%	92.2%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Kyoto Sanga under 2.5 goals	79.8%	77.8%	85.2%	0.91×	1.29
Kyoto Sanga over 0.5 goals	78.6%	77.8%	75.3%	1.03×	1.29
Kyoto Sanga under 1.5 goals	54.3%	53.2%	60.8%	0.88×	1.88
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 goals	45.7%	46.8%	39.2%	1.19×	2.14
Kyoto Sanga under 0.5 goals	21.4%	22.2%	24.7%	0.90×	4.50
Kyoto Sanga over 2.5 goals	20.2%	22.2%	14.8%	1.50×	4.50
Kyoto Sanga over 3.5 goals	7.1%	7.8%	5.2%	1.51×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 1.5 in 1st half	85.7%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Kyoto Sanga under 0.5 in 1st half	51.5%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Kyoto Sanga over 0.5 in 1st half	48.5%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 in 1st half	14.3%	9.9%	—	—	10.07

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga scores more in 2nd half	38.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Kyoto Sanga scores equally in both	35.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Kyoto Sanga scores more in 1st half	25.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (home no bet)	64.8%	60.1%	54.4%	1.10×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	35.2%	39.9%	45.6%	0.88×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga even goals	52.3%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Kyoto Sanga odd goals	47.7%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 0-1	17.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-0	17.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 1-1	11.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
Any other HT score	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 0-2	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-0	5.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 1-2	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	41.95
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.95
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.12

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka at HT / Cerezo Osaka at FT	23.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	20.9%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Cerezo Osaka at FT	15.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	12.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Cerezo Osaka at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Cerezo Osaka at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Cerezo Osaka at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to score last	50.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Kyoto Sanga to score last	45.9%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
No goal scored	3.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.10

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.3%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Cerezo Osaka to lead by 1 at any time	60.3%	61.2%	—	—	1.64
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 1 at any time	54.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Cerezo Osaka to lead by 2 at any time	29.4%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 2 at any time	24.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Cerezo Osaka to lead by 3 at any time	11.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 3 at any time	9.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.89

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga most corners	46.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Cerezo Osaka most corners	43.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.3%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.5%	78.7%	68.0%	1.16×	1.27
1-4 goals	73.7%	72.4%	81.7%	0.89×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.3%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.5%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.1%	59.1%	44.1%	1.34×	1.69
1-3 goals	55.7%	59.1%	69.7%	0.85×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.8%	53.2%	41.1%	1.29×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.6%	43.6%	47.2%	0.92×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.6%	35.3%	1.23×	2.29
4-6 goals	35.9%	39.2%	20.9%	1.87×	2.55
1-2 goals	33.5%	35.2%	46.6%	0.76×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.6%	30.2%	18.0%	1.68×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.9%	18.8%	8.9%	2.11×	5.31
7+ goals	4.7%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.04

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka never behind	41.4%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Kyoto Sanga never behind	36.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.3%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.3%	95.4%	93.0%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.0%	87.6%	94.4%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.1%	82.3%	70.5%	1.17×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	77.4%	77.3%	88.6%	0.87×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	62.8%	61.7%	46.6%	1.33×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	59.4%	58.6%	76.6%	0.77×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	40.6%	41.4%	23.4%	1.77×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	37.2%	38.3%	53.4%	0.72×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	22.6%	22.7%	11.4%	1.99×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	16.9%	17.7%	29.5%	0.60×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	11.0%	12.4%	5.6%	2.21×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.7%	4.6%	7.0%	0.65×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.0%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.6%	86.7%	94.0%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.8%	75.9%	61.2%	1.24×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	72.4%	72.4%	87.0%	0.83×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.2%	51.9%	30.5%	1.70×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.8%	48.1%	69.5%	0.69×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	27.6%	27.6%	13.0%	2.13×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.2%	24.1%	38.8%	0.62×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.4%	13.3%	6.0%	2.22×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.0%	2.8%	2.7%	1.03×	35.53

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.7%	85.9%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.9%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.3%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	38.7%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.3%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.1%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.5%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.4%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.6%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.5%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to score in both halves	71.6%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Cerezo Osaka not to score in both halves	68.6%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Cerezo Osaka to score in both halves	31.4%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Kyoto Sanga to score in both halves	28.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.0%	60.3%	50.5%	1.19×	1.66
Only Cerezo Osaka scores	17.7%	16.0%	17.8%	0.90×	6.24
Only Kyoto Sanga scores	14.7%	11.0%	25.0%	0.44×	9.06
Neither team scores	3.7%	4.6%	7.0%	0.66×	21.63

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.3%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.0%	17.5%	12.2%	1.43×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.2%	12.1%	22.7%	0.54×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	11.6%	12.1%	5.9%	2.04×	8.25
6 or more goals	11.0%	12.1%	5.6%	2.15×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.7%	4.5%	7.0%	0.64×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	26.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	23.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	15.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.4%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.6%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	14.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to win both halves	90.9%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Cerezo Osaka not to win both halves	88.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Cerezo Osaka to win both halves	11.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Kyoto Sanga to win both halves	9.1%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to win either half	57.0%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Kyoto Sanga to win either half	51.4%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Kyoto Sanga to win neither half	48.6%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Cerezo Osaka to win neither half	43.0%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to win to nil	85.3%	88.1%	75.0%	1.17×	1.14
Cerezo Osaka not to win to nil	82.3%	83.1%	82.2%	1.01×	1.20
Cerezo Osaka to win to nil	17.7%	16.9%	17.8%	0.95×	5.91
Kyoto Sanga to win to nil	14.7%	11.9%	25.0%	0.48×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.7%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Cerezo Osaka by 1	20.3%	24.1%	19.4%	1.24×	4.15
Kyoto Sanga by 1	18.5%	17.1%	25.0%	0.68×	5.87
Cerezo Osaka by 2	12.5%	11.8%	6.1%	1.93×	8.51
Kyoto Sanga by 2	10.4%	11.7%	12.0%	0.98×	8.51
Cerezo Osaka by 3+	9.0%	7.2%	5.9%	1.21×	13.90
Kyoto Sanga by 3+	6.6%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.91