La Equidad v Rionegro Águilas — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · FIFA:2000000080 · 2627
FIFA:2000000080 results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.4%
- 1-0 10.6%
- 2-1 8.9%
- 0-1 8.7%
- 2-0 7.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | Under 2.5 | 51.7% |
| BTTS yes | 52.5% | BTTS no | 47.5% |
| La Equidad 1+ | 76.2% | La Equidad 2+ | 42.0% |
| Rionegro Águilas 1+ | 69.0% | Rionegro Águilas 2+ | 32.7% |
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- La Equidad have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Rionegro Águilas have allowed 1.35.
- At home La Equidad average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- La Equidad have only 0 matches on record.
- Rionegro Águilas have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
La Equidad have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 30.8% for Rionegro Águilas and 26.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for La Equidad and 1.17 for Rionegro Águilas.
Why La Equidad
La Equidad have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Rionegro Águilas have allowed 1.35. At home La Equidad average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.1%.
Why Rionegro Águilas can win
Rionegro Águilas have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while La Equidad have allowed 1.35. Away from home Rionegro Águilas average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for La Equidad, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rionegro Águilas, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
La Equidad: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rionegro Águilas: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
La Equidad are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.51–1.22 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.