LA Galaxy v Austin — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

LA Galaxy

21:00 UTC

Austin

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 154h before kick-off

LA Galaxy win

43.2%

model 41.4%

Draw

27.3%

model 26.6%

Austin win

29.5%

model 32.1%

432729

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.6%
2-1 8.9%
1-0 8.7%
1-2 7.7%
0-1 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.3%	Under 2.5	47.7%
BTTS yes	56.6%	BTTS no	43.4%
LA Galaxy 1+	77.4%	LA Galaxy 2+	43.8%
Austin 1+	72.3%	Austin 2+	36.7%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.28. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

59/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 73%

78.8% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2624 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Austin not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 88%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out LA Galaxy.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

LA Galaxy have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.5% for Austin and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for LA Galaxy and 1.28 for Austin.

Why LA Galaxy

Nothing in the data singles out LA Galaxy.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.49 to 1.28. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Austin can win

Nothing in the data singles out Austin.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for LA Galaxy, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Austin, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

LA Galaxy: 45% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Austin: 55% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

LA Galaxy are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 59/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412732	1.49–1.28	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	442729	1.50–1.17	1-1 13%	50%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to win	44.0%	43.0%	45.3%	0.95×	2.33
Austin to win	29.1%	27.9%	30.0%	0.93×	3.58
Draw	26.9%	27.9%	24.8%	1.13×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy & not both score	23.4%	21.8%	21.1%	1.04×	4.58
LA Galaxy & both teams score	20.6%	21.8%	24.4%	0.90×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Austin & not both score	14.8%	13.3%	12.1%	1.10×	7.53
Austin & both teams score	14.3%	13.3%	18.0%	0.74×	7.53
Draw & not both score	7.6%	8.3%	5.8%	1.45×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy & over 1.5	34.2%	30.8%	37.2%	0.83×	3.25
LA Galaxy & under 3.5	30.4%	30.7%	28.4%	1.08×	3.25
LA Galaxy & over 2.5	26.5%	26.1%	31.0%	0.84×	3.84
Austin & over 1.5	21.6%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Austin & under 3.5	21.3%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.4%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.4%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
LA Galaxy & under 2.5	17.5%	18.0%	14.4%	1.25×	5.56
Austin & over 2.5	16.9%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.56
LA Galaxy & over 3.5	13.5%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.79
Austin & under 2.5	12.3%	12.8%	9.6%	1.34×	7.79
LA Galaxy & under 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	5.8%	1.38×	12.63
Austin & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.63
Austin & over 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	11.3%	0.70×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (1UP)	59.7%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Austin (1UP)	46.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (2UP)	44.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Austin (2UP)	29.1%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.2%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
LA Galaxy to win 2nd half	36.2%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Austin to win 2nd half	27.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Austin over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Austin under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Austin over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
LA Galaxy over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.3%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
LA Galaxy under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
LA Galaxy over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (+2.5)	91.3%	92.1%	89.4%	1.03×	1.09
Austin (+1.5)	77.9%	78.5%	76.8%	1.02×	1.27
LA Galaxy (+0.5)	70.9%	73.6%	70.0%	1.05×	1.36
Austin (+0.5)	56.0%	57.0%	54.7%	1.04×	1.75
LA Galaxy (-0.5)	44.0%	43.0%	45.3%	0.95×	2.33
Austin (-0.5)	29.1%	26.4%	30.0%	0.88×	3.79
LA Galaxy (-1.5)	22.1%	21.5%	23.2%	0.93×	4.65
LA Galaxy (-2.5)	8.7%	7.9%	10.6%	0.74×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to concede	77.6%	78.8%	82.3%	0.96×	1.27
Austin clean sheet	22.4%	21.2%	17.7%	1.20×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin clean sheet in 1st half	52.6%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Austin to concede in 1st half	47.4%	49.4%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to concede in 2nd half	57.3%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Austin clean sheet in 2nd half	42.7%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 6.5 corners	87.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Austin under 5.5 corners	79.2%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Austin over 2.5 corners	67.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Austin under 4.5 corners	66.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Austin under 3.5 corners	50.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Austin over 3.5 corners	49.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Austin over 4.5 corners	33.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Austin under 2.5 corners	32.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Austin over 5.5 corners	20.8%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Austin over 6.5 corners	12.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 3.5 goals	96.9%	97.5%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
Austin under 2.5 goals	88.5%	87.8%	83.3%	1.05×	1.14
Austin over 0.5 goals	69.1%	68.0%	73.3%	0.93×	1.47
Austin under 1.5 goals	67.2%	68.0%	61.2%	1.11×	1.47
Austin over 1.5 goals	32.8%	32.0%	38.8%	0.83×	3.13
Austin under 0.5 goals	30.9%	32.0%	26.7%	1.20×	3.13
Austin over 2.5 goals	11.5%	12.2%	16.7%	0.73×	8.21
Austin over 3.5 goals	3.1%	2.5%	6.0%	0.42×	39.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 1.5 in 1st half	91.9%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Austin under 0.5 in 1st half	62.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Austin over 0.5 in 1st half	37.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Austin over 1.5 in 1st half	8.1%	6.2%	—	—	16.07

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin scores equally in both	42.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Austin scores more in 2nd half	36.5%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Austin scores more in 1st half	21.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (away no bet)	62.1%	61.9%	64.6%	0.96×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.9%	38.1%	35.4%	1.08×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin even goals	54.8%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Austin odd goals	45.2%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.9%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.18

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.9%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.1%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.6%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
LA Galaxy to score 2+ in a row	35.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Austin to score 2+ in a row	24.6%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
LA Galaxy to score 3+ in a row	12.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Austin to score 3+ in a row	6.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.14

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy corners (+3.5)	94.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
LA Galaxy corners (+2.5)	91.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
LA Galaxy corners (+1.5)	86.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
LA Galaxy corners (-1.5)	61.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Austin corners (+3.5)	59.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
LA Galaxy corners (-2.5)	50.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Austin corners (+2.5)	49.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
LA Galaxy corners (-3.5)	40.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Austin corners (+1.5)	38.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Austin corners (-1.5)	13.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Austin corners (-2.5)	8.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Austin corners (-3.5)	5.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	35.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	72.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	64.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	64.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	55.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	44.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	35.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	35.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	27.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.8%	11.5%	10.4%	1.11×	8.71
1-0	9.7%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
0-0	7.6%	7.4%	5.8%	1.29×	13.51
0-1	7.5%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.51
1-2	7.1%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
2-0	7.8%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
0-2	4.8%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.29
0-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
1-3	2.8%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.30
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
3-0	3.9%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.30
3-1	4.5%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.29
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.31
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.31
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32
Any other score	2.5%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (2nd half DNB)	56.7%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Austin (2nd half DNB)	43.3%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy leading at HT (DNB)	60.0%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Austin leading at HT (DNB)	40.0%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy or Austin (12)	73.1%	72.1%	75.2%	0.96×	1.39
LA Galaxy or draw (1X)	70.9%	72.1%	70.0%	1.03×	1.39
Austin or draw (X2)	56.0%	57.0%	54.7%	1.04×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy or draw at HT	77.5%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Austin or draw at HT	66.3%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
LA Galaxy or Austin at HT	56.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy or draw (1UP)	70.9%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Austin or draw (1UP)	56.0%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy or draw in 2nd half	72.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Austin or draw in 2nd half	63.8%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
LA Galaxy or Austin in 2nd half	63.8%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (DNB)	60.2%	62.6%	60.2%	1.04×	1.60
Austin (DNB)	39.8%	37.4%	39.8%	0.94×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to score first	51.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Austin to score first	40.6%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	7.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.2%	51.3%	61.3%	0.84×	1.95
Not both teams to score	45.8%	48.7%	38.7%	1.26×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.4%	41.6%	51.1%	0.81×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	37.3%	38.4%	29.5%	1.30×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.8%	12.4%	10.4%	1.19×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	9.2%	0.90×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.6%	85.6%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.4%	14.4%	20.5%	0.70×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.8%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.2%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.1%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	24.1%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	5.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.1%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
A half without a goal	46.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.3%	47.2%	43.0%	1.10×	2.12
4-6 goals	25.9%	26.6%	33.0%	0.81×	3.76
0-1 goals	24.8%	22.9%	20.2%	1.14×	4.36
7+ goals	1.9%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.34

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.9%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Austin to score exactly 0	30.9%	33.8%	26.7%	1.27×	2.96
Austin to score exactly 2	21.3%	22.3%	22.2%	1.00×	4.49
Austin to score 3+	11.5%	12.9%	16.7%	0.77×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to score exactly 1	33.5%	32.6%	31.1%	1.05×	3.07
LA Galaxy to score exactly 2	25.1%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
LA Galaxy to score exactly 0	22.4%	23.3%	17.7%	1.32×	4.29
LA Galaxy to score 3+	19.0%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.8%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
LA Galaxy leading at HT	33.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Austin leading at HT	22.5%	20.5%	—	—	4.87

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy -1: 2	56.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
LA Galaxy -1: 1	22.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
LA Galaxy -1: X	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (0:1)	56.0%	55.8%	54.7%	1.02×	1.79
LA Galaxy (0:1)	22.1%	24.2%	23.2%	1.04×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	21.9%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (0:2)	77.9%	79.4%	76.8%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.4%	11.0%	12.7%	0.86×	9.10
LA Galaxy (0:2)	8.7%	7.7%	10.6%	0.72×	13.03

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (0:3)	91.3%	92.7%	89.4%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.9%	5.8%	6.7%	0.87×	17.25
LA Galaxy (0:3)	2.8%	2.4%	4.1%	0.59×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (0:4)	97.2%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	81.94
LA Galaxy (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	82.09

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (1:0)	70.9%	72.4%	70.0%	1.03×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	17.1%	17.1%	17.1%	1.00×	5.85
Austin (1:0)	12.1%	12.7%	13.0%	0.98×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (2:0)	87.9%	88.5%	87.0%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.3%	6.4%	8.6%	0.75×	15.66
Austin (2:0)	3.8%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.0%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	26.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to concede	69.1%	66.7%	73.3%	0.91×	1.50
LA Galaxy clean sheet	30.9%	33.3%	26.7%	1.24×	3.01

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy clean sheet in 1st half	62.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
LA Galaxy to concede in 1st half	37.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to concede in 2nd half	50.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
LA Galaxy clean sheet in 2nd half	49.5%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy over 2.5 corners	90.6%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
LA Galaxy over 3.5 corners	81.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
LA Galaxy over 4.5 corners	70.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
LA Galaxy over 5.5 corners	57.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
LA Galaxy under 6.5 corners	54.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
LA Galaxy over 6.5 corners	45.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
LA Galaxy under 5.5 corners	42.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
LA Galaxy under 4.5 corners	29.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
LA Galaxy under 3.5 corners	18.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
LA Galaxy under 2.5 corners	9.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy under 3.5 goals	93.5%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
LA Galaxy under 2.5 goals	81.0%	82.2%	75.0%	1.10×	1.22
LA Galaxy over 0.5 goals	77.6%	77.7%	82.3%	0.94×	1.29
LA Galaxy under 1.5 goals	56.0%	58.6%	48.7%	1.20×	1.71
LA Galaxy over 1.5 goals	44.0%	41.4%	51.3%	0.81×	2.42
LA Galaxy under 0.5 goals	22.4%	22.3%	17.7%	1.26×	4.49
LA Galaxy over 2.5 goals	19.0%	17.8%	25.0%	0.71×	5.62
LA Galaxy over 3.5 goals	6.5%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy under 1.5 in 1st half	86.4%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
LA Galaxy under 0.5 in 1st half	52.6%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
LA Galaxy over 0.5 in 1st half	47.4%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
LA Galaxy over 1.5 in 1st half	13.6%	9.9%	—	—	10.10

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy scores more in 2nd half	37.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
LA Galaxy scores equally in both	36.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
LA Galaxy scores more in 1st half	25.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (home no bet)	52.0%	51.4%	54.7%	0.94×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	48.0%	48.6%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy even goals	52.5%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
LA Galaxy odd goals	47.5%	49.3%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
HT 1-0	21.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	15.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.42
HT 1-1	10.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 2-0	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.95
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.97
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.00
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.16

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy at HT / LA Galaxy at FT	26.1%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / LA Galaxy at FT	15.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Austin at HT / Austin at FT	15.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Austin at FT	11.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
LA Galaxy at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Austin at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Austin at HT / LA Galaxy at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
LA Galaxy at HT / Austin at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to score last	51.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Austin to score last	40.6%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	7.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
LA Galaxy to lead by 1 at any time	59.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Austin to lead by 1 at any time	46.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.5%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
LA Galaxy to lead by 2 at any time	28.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Austin to lead by 2 at any time	17.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
LA Galaxy to lead by 3 at any time	10.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Austin to lead by 3 at any time	5.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.06

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy most corners	70.8%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Austin most corners	20.7%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
Corners level	8.5%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	83.4%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.2%	78.7%	73.2%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.2%	72.4%	75.9%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.8%	68.8%	69.0%	1.00×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.5%	63.3%	57.4%	1.10×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.0%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
3-6 goals	47.9%	48.5%	56.3%	0.86×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.3%	48.5%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.4%	43.6%	49.4%	0.88×	2.29
1-2 goals	42.6%	43.6%	34.2%	1.28×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.6%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	25.9%	30.2%	33.0%	0.91×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.5%	24.5%	26.2%	0.94×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.3%	14.8%	17.2%	0.86×	6.76
7+ goals	1.9%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy never behind	45.7%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Austin never behind	32.7%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.5%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.5%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.8%	87.6%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.2%	77.3%	79.8%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	72.1%	72.5%	63.0%	1.15×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.2%	52.5%	39.8%	1.32×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	49.8%	47.5%	60.2%	0.79×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	27.9%	27.5%	37.0%	0.74×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.8%	22.7%	20.2%	1.13×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	13.2%	12.4%	21.2%	0.59×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	10.9%	0.71×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.0%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.1%	92.4%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.5%	81.1%	74.8%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.8%	67.4%	74.9%	0.90×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.3%	61.9%	51.8%	1.20×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.7%	38.1%	48.2%	0.79×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.2%	32.6%	25.1%	1.30×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.5%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.9%	7.6%	12.2%	0.62×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.0%	2.8%	4.4%	0.64×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.8%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.0%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.0%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.5%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin not to score in both halves	81.1%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
LA Galaxy not to score in both halves	72.8%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
LA Galaxy to score in both halves	27.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Austin to score in both halves	18.9%	15.9%	—	—	6.30

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.2%	53.9%	61.3%	0.88×	1.86
Only LA Galaxy scores	23.4%	22.3%	21.1%	1.06×	4.49
Only Austin scores	14.8%	11.0%	12.1%	0.92×	9.05
Neither team scores	7.6%	7.1%	5.8%	1.24×	14.03

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.3%	24.9%	19.7%	1.26×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.2%	17.5%	14.5%	1.20×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.7%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	7.6%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.8%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.4%	7.6%	10.9%	0.70×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	33.0%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.4%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	10.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.3%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	21.3%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin not to win both halves	93.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
LA Galaxy not to win both halves	87.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
LA Galaxy to win both halves	12.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Austin to win both halves	6.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.14

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to win either half	57.6%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Austin to win neither half	56.2%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Austin to win either half	43.8%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
LA Galaxy to win neither half	42.4%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin not to win to nil	85.2%	88.1%	87.9%	1.00×	1.14
LA Galaxy not to win to nil	76.6%	78.1%	78.9%	0.99×	1.28
LA Galaxy to win to nil	23.4%	21.9%	21.1%	1.04×	4.57
Austin to win to nil	14.8%	11.9%	12.1%	0.99×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.9%	27.9%	24.8%	1.12×	3.59
LA Galaxy by 1	21.9%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.15
Austin by 1	17.1%	17.0%	17.1%	0.99×	5.87
LA Galaxy by 2	13.4%	11.8%	12.7%	0.92×	8.51
LA Galaxy by 3+	8.7%	7.2%	10.6%	0.68×	13.90
Austin by 2	8.3%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.90
Austin by 3+	3.8%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	36.81