LA Galaxy v Seattle Sounders FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

LA Galaxy

02:30 UTC

Seattle Sounders FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 115h before kick-off

LA Galaxy win

43.7%

model 42.2%

Draw

27.5%

model 27.2%

Seattle Sounders FC win

28.8%

model 30.6%

442729

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (555 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.0%
1-0 10.0%
2-1 8.9%
0-1 8.2%
0-0 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.2%	Under 2.5	51.8%
BTTS yes	53.1%	BTTS no	46.9%
LA Galaxy 1+	76.0%	LA Galaxy 2+	41.7%
Seattle Sounders FC 1+	69.2%	Seattle Sounders FC 2+	32.9%

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.18. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

56/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 40%

53.5% fair odds 1.87

strong signal · 1225 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Seattle Sounders FC not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 88%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1047 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out LA Galaxy.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

LA Galaxy have an estimated 43.7% win probability, against 28.8% for Seattle Sounders FC and 27.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for LA Galaxy and 1.18 for Seattle Sounders FC.

Why LA Galaxy

Nothing in the data singles out LA Galaxy.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.43 to 1.18. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Seattle Sounders FC can win

Seattle Sounders FC carry the stronger rating, 1458 Elo against 1429.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for LA Galaxy, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Seattle Sounders FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

LA Galaxy: 46% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Seattle Sounders FC: 42% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

LA Galaxy are the model's most likely outcome at 43.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 56/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	422731	1.43–1.18	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	412832	1.35–1.16	1-1 13%	46%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to win	42.2%	43.8%	45.4%	0.97×	2.28
Seattle Sounders FC to win	30.6%	29.0%	29.9%	0.97×	3.45
Draw	27.2%	27.6%	24.9%	1.11×	3.62

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy & not both score	22.9%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.42
LA Galaxy & both teams score	19.3%	17.8%	24.4%	0.73×	5.63
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	17.8%	19.1%	0.93×	5.63
Seattle Sounders FC & not both score	16.1%	17.7%	12.3%	1.45×	5.64
Seattle Sounders FC & both teams score	14.5%	12.2%	17.8%	0.69×	8.21
Draw & not both score	7.9%	7.3%	5.8%	1.25×	13.66

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy & over 1.5	32.2%	33.1%	37.1%	0.89×	3.02
LA Galaxy & under 3.5	30.0%	25.5%	28.3%	0.90×	3.92
LA Galaxy & over 2.5	24.6%	21.5%	30.9%	0.70×	4.65
Seattle Sounders FC & under 3.5	22.6%	21.5%	18.8%	1.14×	4.65
Seattle Sounders FC & over 1.5	22.4%	21.5%	23.5%	0.92×	4.65
Draw & under 2.5	20.9%	21.5%	16.0%	1.34×	4.65
Draw & under 3.5	20.9%	21.5%	16.0%	1.34×	4.65
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	17.6%	19.1%	0.92×	5.69
LA Galaxy & under 2.5	17.5%	17.6%	14.5%	1.21×	5.69
Seattle Sounders FC & over 2.5	17.3%	17.6%	20.3%	0.87×	5.69
Seattle Sounders FC & under 2.5	13.3%	12.7%	9.7%	1.31×	7.86
LA Galaxy & over 3.5	12.2%	12.7%	17.2%	0.74×	7.86
LA Galaxy & under 1.5	10.0%	12.7%	8.4%	1.52×	7.87
Draw & under 1.5	7.9%	7.5%	5.8%	1.28×	13.41
Seattle Sounders FC & under 1.5	8.2%	7.5%	6.5%	1.14×	13.40
Seattle Sounders FC & over 3.5	8.0%	7.5%	11.2%	0.66×	13.41
Draw & over 2.5	6.3%	7.5%	8.9%	0.83×	13.42
Draw & over 3.5	6.3%	7.5%	8.9%	0.83×	13.42

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (1UP)	57.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Seattle Sounders FC (1UP)	47.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (2UP)	42.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Seattle Sounders FC (2UP)	30.6%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
LA Galaxy to win 2nd half	34.7%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Seattle Sounders FC to win 2nd half	28.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (+2.5)	92.3%	92.3%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Seattle Sounders FC (+1.5)	79.5%	78.6%	76.7%	1.02×	1.27
LA Galaxy (+0.5)	69.4%	69.0%	70.1%	0.98×	1.45
Seattle Sounders FC (+0.5)	57.8%	57.1%	54.6%	1.05×	1.75
LA Galaxy (-0.5)	42.2%	42.9%	45.4%	0.94×	2.33
Seattle Sounders FC (-0.5)	30.6%	31.0%	29.9%	1.04×	3.23
LA Galaxy (-1.5)	20.5%	21.4%	23.3%	0.92×	4.68
LA Galaxy (-2.5)	7.7%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	12.98

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to concede	76.0%	76.0%	82.0%	0.93×	1.32
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet	24.0%	24.0%	18.0%	1.34×	4.16

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet in 1st half	54.2%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Seattle Sounders FC to concede in 1st half	45.8%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC under 6.5 corners	84.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Seattle Sounders FC under 5.5 corners	75.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Seattle Sounders FC over 2.5 corners	71.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Seattle Sounders FC under 4.5 corners	62.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Seattle Sounders FC over 3.5 corners	54.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Seattle Sounders FC under 3.5 corners	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Seattle Sounders FC over 4.5 corners	37.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Seattle Sounders FC under 2.5 corners	28.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Seattle Sounders FC over 5.5 corners	24.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Seattle Sounders FC over 6.5 corners	15.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC under 3.5 goals	96.8%	97.3%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Seattle Sounders FC under 2.5 goals	88.4%	89.0%	83.3%	1.07×	1.12
Seattle Sounders FC over 0.5 goals	69.2%	67.3%	73.2%	0.92×	1.49
Seattle Sounders FC under 1.5 goals	67.1%	67.2%	61.3%	1.10×	1.49
Seattle Sounders FC over 1.5 goals	32.9%	32.8%	38.7%	0.85×	3.05
Seattle Sounders FC under 0.5 goals	30.8%	32.7%	26.8%	1.22×	3.06
Seattle Sounders FC over 2.5 goals	11.6%	11.0%	16.7%	0.66×	9.07
Seattle Sounders FC over 3.5 goals	3.2%	2.7%	6.1%	0.44×	37.29

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC under 1.5 in 1st half	91.8%	93.2%	—	—	1.07
Seattle Sounders FC under 0.5 in 1st half	62.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Seattle Sounders FC over 0.5 in 1st half	37.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Seattle Sounders FC over 1.5 in 1st half	8.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.75

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (away no bet)	60.8%	58.8%	64.6%	0.91×	1.70
Draw (away no bet)	39.2%	41.2%	35.4%	1.16×	2.43

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC even goals	54.7%	52.5%	53.6%	0.98×	1.91
Seattle Sounders FC odd goals	45.3%	47.5%	46.4%	1.02×	2.10

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.8%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.2%	13.6%	—	—	7.35

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.4%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.6%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.2%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
LA Galaxy to score 2+ in a row	33.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
Seattle Sounders FC to score 2+ in a row	25.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.9%	17.8%	—	—	5.61
LA Galaxy to score 3+ in a row	11.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Seattle Sounders FC to score 3+ in a row	6.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.66

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy corners (+3.5)	92.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
LA Galaxy corners (+2.5)	88.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
LA Galaxy corners (+1.5)	82.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Seattle Sounders FC corners (+3.5)	64.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
LA Galaxy corners (-1.5)	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Seattle Sounders FC corners (+2.5)	54.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
LA Galaxy corners (-2.5)	45.4%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Seattle Sounders FC corners (+1.5)	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
LA Galaxy corners (-3.5)	35.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Seattle Sounders FC corners (-1.5)	17.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Seattle Sounders FC corners (-2.5)	11.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Seattle Sounders FC corners (-3.5)	7.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
12+ corners	35.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	72.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	64.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	64.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	55.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	35.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	27.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	25.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.0%	11.6%	10.3%	1.12×	8.63
1-0	10.0%	11.6%	8.4%	1.38×	8.64
2-1	8.9%	7.3%	9.9%	0.74×	13.74
0-0	7.9%	7.3%	5.8%	1.25×	13.74
0-1	8.2%	7.3%	6.5%	1.11×	13.74
2-0	7.5%	7.3%	6.3%	1.15×	13.75
1-2	7.3%	7.3%	7.4%	0.98×	13.75
2-2	5.2%	7.3%	6.1%	1.20×	13.76
0-2	5.1%	7.3%	3.3%	2.19×	13.76
3-1	4.2%	1.8%	4.9%	0.37×	55.40
3-0	3.6%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	55.42
3-2	2.5%	1.8%	3.6%	0.51×	55.45
1-3	2.9%	1.8%	3.4%	0.52×	55.44
2-3	2.0%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	55.46
4-0	1.3%	1.8%	1.3%	1.43×	55.48
4-1	1.5%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	55.47
Any other score	2.2%	1.8%	4.7%	0.38×	55.45
0-3	2.0%	1.8%	1.8%	0.98×	55.46
2-4	0.6%	1.8%	1.7%	1.05×	55.49
3-3	1.0%	1.8%	2.6%	0.68×	55.48
3-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.7%	2.62×	55.50
4-2	0.9%	1.8%	1.6%	1.12×	55.49
4-3	0.3%	1.8%	0.8%	2.25×	55.50
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.5%	3.93×	55.51
0-4	0.6%	1.8%	0.8%	2.25×	55.49
1-4	0.8%	1.8%	1.4%	1.31×	55.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy leading at HT (DNB)	58.4%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Seattle Sounders FC leading at HT (DNB)	41.6%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy or Seattle Sounders FC (12)	72.8%	72.4%	75.1%	0.96×	1.38
LA Galaxy or draw (1X)	69.4%	71.0%	70.1%	1.01×	1.41
Seattle Sounders FC or draw (X2)	57.8%	56.2%	54.6%	1.03×	1.78

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy or draw at HT	76.9%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Seattle Sounders FC or draw at HT	67.6%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
LA Galaxy or Seattle Sounders FC at HT	55.5%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy or draw (1UP)	69.4%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Seattle Sounders FC or draw (1UP)	57.8%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy or draw in 2nd half	71.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Seattle Sounders FC or draw in 2nd half	65.3%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
LA Galaxy or Seattle Sounders FC in 2nd half	63.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.3%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Neither half drawn	35.7%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (DNB)	58.0%	63.3%	60.3%	1.05×	1.58
Seattle Sounders FC (DNB)	42.0%	36.7%	39.7%	0.92×	2.72

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to score first	50.4%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Seattle Sounders FC to score first	41.6%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
No goal scored	7.9%	6.3%	—	—	15.95

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.1%	52.9%	61.1%	0.87×	1.89
Not both teams to score	46.9%	47.1%	38.9%	1.21×	2.12

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.1%	42.2%	50.9%	0.83×	2.37
Not both score & under 2.5	38.8%	37.5%	29.9%	1.25×	2.67
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	11.7%	10.3%	1.14×	8.52
Not both score & over 2.5	8.1%	8.7%	9.2%	0.95×	11.47

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.3%	85.5%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.7%	14.5%	20.5%	0.71×	6.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.6%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.4%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.2%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Both score 2nd half only	23.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	11.6%	—	—	8.65
Both score in both halves	4.9%	4.8%	—	—	20.66

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.7%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.9%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
A half without a goal	48.1%	45.4%	—	—	2.21

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	45.9%	42.5%	1.08×	2.18
0-1 goals	26.1%	27.7%	20.5%	1.35×	3.62
4-6 goals	24.7%	22.8%	33.1%	0.69×	4.38
7+ goals	1.7%	1.9%	4.1%	0.47×	51.64

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to score exactly 1	36.3%	34.6%	34.6%	1.00×	2.89
Seattle Sounders FC to score exactly 0	30.8%	33.2%	26.8%	1.24×	3.01
Seattle Sounders FC to score exactly 2	21.4%	23.9%	22.1%	1.08×	4.18
Seattle Sounders FC to score 3+	11.6%	13.4%	16.7%	0.80×	7.48

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to score exactly 1	34.3%	30.6%	31.0%	0.99×	3.27
LA Galaxy to score exactly 2	24.4%	23.0%	26.0%	0.88×	4.35
LA Galaxy to score exactly 0	24.0%	23.0%	18.0%	1.28×	4.35
LA Galaxy to score 3+	17.3%	18.5%	25.2%	0.73×	5.41

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
LA Galaxy leading at HT	32.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
Seattle Sounders FC leading at HT	23.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy -1: 2	57.8%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
LA Galaxy -1: X	21.7%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
LA Galaxy -1: 1	20.5%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (0:1)	57.8%	55.4%	54.6%	1.01×	1.81
Draw (0:1)	21.7%	24.4%	22.2%	1.10×	4.10
LA Galaxy (0:1)	20.5%	24.4%	23.3%	1.05×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (0:2)	79.5%	77.7%	76.7%	1.01×	1.29
Draw (0:2)	12.7%	11.7%	12.8%	0.91×	8.52
LA Galaxy (0:2)	7.7%	7.2%	10.5%	0.68×	13.91

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (0:3)	92.3%	92.6%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.4%	6.9%	6.6%	1.03×	14.57
LA Galaxy (0:3)	2.4%	2.3%	4.0%	0.58×	43.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (0:4)	97.6%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	2.1%	0.60×	80.44
LA Galaxy (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	2.1%	0.60×	81.04

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (1:0)	69.4%	70.5%	70.1%	1.01×	1.42
Draw (1:0)	17.9%	16.4%	16.8%	0.97×	6.11
Seattle Sounders FC (1:0)	12.7%	11.8%	13.2%	0.89×	8.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (2:0)	87.3%	89.3%	86.8%	1.03×	1.12
Draw (2:0)	8.7%	6.6%	8.7%	0.76×	15.08
Seattle Sounders FC (2:0)	4.1%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	36.82

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.8%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	26.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to concede	69.2%	67.0%	73.2%	0.92×	1.49
LA Galaxy clean sheet	30.8%	33.0%	26.8%	1.23×	3.03

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy clean sheet in 1st half	62.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
LA Galaxy to concede in 1st half	37.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy over 2.5 corners	89.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
LA Galaxy over 3.5 corners	79.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
LA Galaxy over 4.5 corners	67.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
LA Galaxy under 6.5 corners	57.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
LA Galaxy over 5.5 corners	54.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
LA Galaxy under 5.5 corners	45.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
LA Galaxy over 6.5 corners	42.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
LA Galaxy under 4.5 corners	32.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
LA Galaxy under 3.5 corners	20.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
LA Galaxy under 2.5 corners	10.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy under 3.5 goals	94.3%	92.1%	90.6%	1.02×	1.09
LA Galaxy under 2.5 goals	82.7%	82.4%	74.8%	1.10×	1.21
LA Galaxy over 0.5 goals	76.0%	76.7%	82.0%	0.94×	1.30
LA Galaxy under 1.5 goals	58.3%	55.7%	48.9%	1.14×	1.79
LA Galaxy over 1.5 goals	41.7%	44.3%	51.1%	0.87×	2.26
LA Galaxy under 0.5 goals	24.0%	23.3%	18.0%	1.30×	4.29
LA Galaxy over 2.5 goals	17.3%	17.6%	25.2%	0.70×	5.69
LA Galaxy over 3.5 goals	5.7%	7.9%	9.4%	0.84×	12.72

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy under 1.5 in 1st half	87.4%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
LA Galaxy under 0.5 in 1st half	54.2%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
LA Galaxy over 0.5 in 1st half	45.8%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
LA Galaxy over 1.5 in 1st half	12.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.19

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	47.1%	51.3%	45.4%	1.13×	1.95
Seattle Sounders FC (home no bet)	52.9%	48.7%	54.6%	0.89×	2.05

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy even goals	52.9%	50.3%	51.0%	0.99×	1.99
LA Galaxy odd goals	47.1%	49.7%	49.0%	1.01×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.9%	30.6%	—	—	3.27
HT 1-0	20.6%	22.6%	—	—	4.43
HT 0-1	15.8%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	9.9%	7.7%	—	—	12.97
HT 2-0	6.4%	7.7%	—	—	13.02
HT 0-2	3.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.79
Any other HT score	3.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.79
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.5%	—	—	39.83
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.87
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.96

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy at HT / LA Galaxy at FT	24.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Seattle Sounders FC at HT / Seattle Sounders FC at FT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / LA Galaxy at FT	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Seattle Sounders FC at FT	12.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
LA Galaxy at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.26
Seattle Sounders FC at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.31
LA Galaxy at HT / Seattle Sounders FC at FT	2.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.42
Seattle Sounders FC at HT / LA Galaxy at FT	2.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.42

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to score last	50.4%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Seattle Sounders FC to score last	41.6%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
No goal scored	7.9%	6.3%	—	—	15.95

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.1%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
LA Galaxy to lead by 1 at any time	57.9%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Seattle Sounders FC to lead by 1 at any time	47.8%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
LA Galaxy to lead by 2 at any time	26.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Seattle Sounders FC to lead by 2 at any time	18.0%	17.7%	—	—	5.66
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.0%	11.4%	—	—	8.79
LA Galaxy to lead by 3 at any time	9.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Seattle Sounders FC to lead by 3 at any time	5.4%	7.0%	—	—	14.27

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy most corners	65.9%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Seattle Sounders FC most corners	24.9%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Corners level	9.2%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.9%	83.2%	1.06×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.8%	78.9%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.1%	73.6%	75.5%	0.98×	1.36
2-5 goals	68.9%	68.4%	68.5%	1.00×	1.46
1-3 goals	65.6%	68.3%	57.2%	1.19×	1.46
2-4 goals	61.6%	62.3%	58.4%	1.07×	1.61
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.0%	42.5%	1.13×	2.08
3-6 goals	46.5%	48.0%	55.9%	0.86×	2.08
1-2 goals	43.8%	43.6%	34.4%	1.27×	2.29
3-5 goals	43.3%	43.6%	48.9%	0.89×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.9%	38.8%	38.8%	1.00×	2.58
4-6 goals	24.7%	24.8%	33.1%	0.75×	4.04
4-5 goals	21.5%	24.7%	26.1%	0.95×	4.05
5-6 goals	10.6%	13.4%	17.2%	0.78×	7.46
7+ goals	1.7%	2.0%	4.1%	0.49×	49.62

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy never behind	44.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Seattle Sounders FC never behind	34.2%	36.3%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.7%	50.1%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.9%	49.8%	1.00×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.9%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	44.1%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.1%	95.6%	88.9%	1.08×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.1%	92.9%	94.2%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.7%	88.8%	78.8%	1.13×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	73.9%	72.4%	79.5%	0.91×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	73.5%	72.4%	62.9%	1.15×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.8%	53.5%	40.1%	1.33×	1.87
Over 2.5 goals	48.2%	46.5%	59.9%	0.78×	2.15
Over 3.5 goals	26.5%	27.6%	37.1%	0.74×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	26.1%	27.6%	20.5%	1.34×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.3%	11.2%	21.2%	0.53×	8.90
Under 0.5 goals	7.9%	7.1%	5.8%	1.21×	14.17
Over 5.5 goals	4.9%	4.4%	11.1%	0.40×	22.74

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.7%	92.8%	87.6%	1.06×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.7%	88.0%	74.8%	1.18×	1.14
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.2%	68.0%	51.9%	1.31×	1.47
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.8%	62.5%	74.5%	0.84×	1.60
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.2%	37.5%	25.5%	1.47×	2.67
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.8%	32.0%	48.1%	0.67×	3.12
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.3%	12.0%	25.2%	0.47×	8.36
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.3%	7.2%	12.4%	0.58×	13.84
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.4%	92.2%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.4%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.1%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.9%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.6%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.6%	7.9%	—	—	12.74

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.4%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.9%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.1%	19.7%	—	—	5.07
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.6%	18.0%	—	—	5.56

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC not to score in both halves	81.0%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
LA Galaxy not to score in both halves	74.5%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
LA Galaxy to score in both halves	25.5%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Seattle Sounders FC to score in both halves	19.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.1%	54.7%	61.1%	0.90×	1.83
Only LA Galaxy scores	22.9%	22.9%	21.1%	1.08×	4.37
Only Seattle Sounders FC scores	16.1%	16.3%	12.3%	1.33×	6.12
Neither team scores	7.9%	6.7%	5.8%	1.14×	15.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.6%	24.7%	19.7%	1.25×	4.05
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	21.5%	22.9%	0.94×	4.64
Exactly 1 goals	18.2%	18.6%	14.8%	1.26×	5.38
Exactly 4 goals	14.2%	12.4%	16.0%	0.77×	8.08
Exactly 0 goals	7.9%	7.6%	5.8%	1.30×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.4%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.9%	4.4%	11.1%	0.39×	22.79

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
1 goal in 2nd half	32.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
No goals in 2nd half	22.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.41

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC not to win both halves	93.3%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
LA Galaxy not to win both halves	88.7%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
LA Galaxy to win both halves	11.3%	12.4%	—	—	8.06
Seattle Sounders FC to win both halves	6.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.14

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to win either half	55.8%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Seattle Sounders FC to win neither half	55.0%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Seattle Sounders FC to win either half	45.0%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
LA Galaxy to win neither half	44.2%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC not to win to nil	83.9%	83.3%	87.7%	0.95×	1.20
LA Galaxy not to win to nil	77.1%	77.1%	78.9%	0.98×	1.30
LA Galaxy to win to nil	22.9%	22.9%	21.1%	1.08×	4.37
Seattle Sounders FC to win to nil	16.1%	16.7%	12.3%	1.36×	5.99

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.2%	28.0%	24.9%	1.13×	3.57
LA Galaxy by 1	21.7%	23.7%	22.2%	1.07×	4.21
Seattle Sounders FC by 1	17.9%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.89
LA Galaxy by 2	12.7%	11.9%	12.8%	0.92×	8.43
Seattle Sounders FC by 2	8.7%	7.1%	8.7%	0.82×	14.08
LA Galaxy by 3+	7.7%	7.1%	10.5%	0.67×	14.10
Seattle Sounders FC by 3+	4.1%	2.8%	4.6%	0.62×	35.19