LAFC v LA Galaxy — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 26 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

LAFC

01:00 UTC

LA Galaxy

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 14h before kick-off

LAFC win

65.5%

model 63.9%

Draw

23.3%

model 21.8%

LA Galaxy win

11.2%

model 14.3%

652311

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.9%
1-0 11.5%
1-1 10.4%
2-1 9.8%
3-0 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.1%	Under 2.5	46.9%
BTTS yes	48.9%	BTTS no	51.1%
LAFC 1+	86.2%	LAFC 2+	58.8%
LA Galaxy 1+	56.2%	LA Galaxy 2+	20.0%

Expected goals 1.98 – 0.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

59/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

LAFC (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

63.8% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

LA Galaxy not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

LAFC carry the stronger rating, 1579 Elo against 1422.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

LAFC have an estimated 65.5% win probability, against 23.3% for the draw and 11.2% for LA Galaxy. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.98 for LAFC and 0.82 for LA Galaxy.

Why LAFC

LAFC carry the stronger rating, 1579 Elo against 1422.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.3%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why LA Galaxy can win

Nothing in the data singles out LA Galaxy.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for LAFC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for LA Galaxy, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

LAFC: 51% possession, 18.2 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. LA Galaxy: 45% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. LAFC's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

LAFC are the model's most likely outcome at 65.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.9%. Confidence 59/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

No channel's listings name this match. That is the guide being silent rather than the match being off — most listings say "Live: Premier League" or the name of a studio show, not who is playing. Open the 333 sports channels →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	642214	1.98–0.83	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	672212	1.92–0.66	1-0 14%	48%	42%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to win	66.7%	64.8%	45.3%	1.43×	1.54
Draw	21.8%	24.4%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09
LA Galaxy to win	11.6%	13.5%	30.0%	0.45×	7.43

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC & not both score	43.4%	40.1%	21.1%	1.90×	2.49
LAFC & both teams score	23.2%	21.8%	24.4%	0.90×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	13.7%	13.3%	19.2%	0.69×	7.53
Draw & not both score	8.1%	8.3%	5.8%	1.45×	12.01
LA Galaxy & not both score	6.6%	8.3%	12.1%	0.69×	12.02
LA Galaxy & both teams score	4.9%	4.9%	18.0%	0.27×	20.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC & over 1.5	52.7%	48.8%	37.2%	1.31×	2.05
LAFC & under 3.5	46.1%	45.0%	28.4%	1.59×	2.22
LAFC & over 2.5	38.7%	34.9%	31.0%	1.13×	2.87
LAFC & under 2.5	28.0%	26.1%	14.4%	1.81×	3.84
LAFC & over 3.5	20.6%	21.6%	17.0%	1.27×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
LAFC & under 1.5	14.0%	12.8%	8.2%	1.56×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	13.7%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
LA Galaxy & under 3.5	9.8%	7.9%	18.8%	0.42×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.38×	12.63
LA Galaxy & over 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	23.7%	0.33×	12.63
LA Galaxy & under 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	9.6%	0.83×	12.63
LA Galaxy & over 2.5	5.4%	7.9%	20.5%	0.39×	12.63
LA Galaxy & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	8.9%	0.54×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	8.9%	0.54×	20.82
LA Galaxy & over 3.5	1.8%	4.8%	11.3%	0.43×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (1UP)	75.9%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
LA Galaxy (1UP)	26.1%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (2UP)	66.7%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
LA Galaxy (2UP)	11.6%	13.9%	—	—	7.18

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to win 2nd half	53.0%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
2nd half drawn	33.8%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
LA Galaxy to win 2nd half	13.2%	11.3%	—	—	8.81

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy under 1.5 in 2nd half	93.9%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
LA Galaxy under 0.5 in 2nd half	67.2%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
LA Galaxy over 0.5 in 2nd half	32.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
LA Galaxy over 1.5 in 2nd half	6.1%	8.0%	—	—	12.45

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
LAFC over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.4%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
LAFC under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.6%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
LAFC over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (+0.5)	88.4%	88.5%	70.0%	1.26×	1.13
LA Galaxy (+2.5)	79.6%	78.5%	89.4%	0.88×	1.27
LAFC (-0.5)	66.7%	68.7%	45.3%	1.52×	1.46
LA Galaxy (+1.5)	58.8%	57.0%	76.8%	0.74×	1.75
LAFC (-1.5)	41.2%	43.0%	23.2%	1.85×	2.33
LA Galaxy (+0.5)	33.3%	31.3%	54.7%	0.57×	3.19
LAFC (-2.5)	20.4%	21.5%	10.6%	2.03×	4.65
LA Galaxy (-0.5)	11.6%	11.5%	30.0%	0.38×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to concede	85.3%	86.2%	82.3%	1.05×	1.16
LA Galaxy clean sheet	14.7%	13.8%	17.7%	0.78×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to concede in 1st half	56.1%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
LA Galaxy clean sheet in 1st half	43.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to concede in 2nd half	66.4%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
LA Galaxy clean sheet in 2nd half	33.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy under 6.5 corners	79.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
LA Galaxy over 2.5 corners	77.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
LA Galaxy under 5.5 corners	68.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
LA Galaxy over 3.5 corners	61.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
LA Galaxy under 4.5 corners	54.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
LA Galaxy over 4.5 corners	45.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
LA Galaxy under 3.5 corners	38.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
LA Galaxy over 5.5 corners	31.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
LA Galaxy under 2.5 corners	22.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
LA Galaxy over 6.5 corners	20.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy under 3.5 goals	99.5%	97.5%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
LA Galaxy under 2.5 goals	97.0%	97.5%	83.3%	1.17×	1.03
LA Galaxy under 1.5 goals	85.7%	87.8%	61.2%	1.43×	1.14
LA Galaxy under 0.5 goals	51.5%	53.5%	26.7%	2.00×	1.87
LA Galaxy over 0.5 goals	48.5%	46.5%	73.3%	0.63×	2.15
LA Galaxy over 1.5 goals	14.3%	12.2%	38.8%	0.31×	8.19
LA Galaxy over 2.5 goals	3.0%	2.5%	16.7%	0.15×	39.88
LA Galaxy over 3.5 goals	0.5%	2.5%	6.0%	0.42×	40.01

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy under 1.5 in 1st half	97.0%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
LA Galaxy under 0.5 in 1st half	76.7%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
LA Galaxy over 0.5 in 1st half	23.3%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
LA Galaxy over 1.5 in 1st half	3.0%	3.9%	—	—	25.94

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy scores equally in both	57.1%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
LA Galaxy scores more in 2nd half	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
LA Galaxy scores more in 1st half	16.5%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (away no bet)	75.4%	73.5%	64.6%	1.14×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	24.6%	26.5%	35.4%	0.75×	3.77

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy even goals	63.3%	59.1%	53.6%	1.10×	1.69
LA Galaxy odd goals	36.7%	40.9%	46.4%	0.88×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.0%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
LAFC to score 2+ in a row	51.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
LAFC to score 3+ in a row	24.1%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
LA Galaxy to score 2+ in a row	9.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.82
LA Galaxy to score 3+ in a row	1.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.88

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC corners (+3.5)	89.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
LAFC corners (+2.5)	83.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
LAFC corners (+1.5)	76.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
LA Galaxy corners (+3.5)	71.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
LA Galaxy corners (+2.5)	62.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
LA Galaxy corners (+1.5)	52.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
LAFC corners (-1.5)	47.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
LAFC corners (-2.5)	37.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
LAFC corners (-3.5)	28.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
LA Galaxy corners (-1.5)	23.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
LA Galaxy corners (-2.5)	16.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
LA Galaxy corners (-3.5)	10.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	34.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	71.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	36.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	34.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	28.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.0%	11.5%	8.2%	1.39×	8.72
2-0	13.9%	11.5%	6.3%	1.82×	8.72
1-1	10.1%	11.5%	10.4%	1.11×	8.72
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.50
3-0	8.9%	7.4%	4.2%	1.78×	13.51
0-0	8.1%	7.4%	5.8%	1.29×	13.51
3-1	5.9%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
0-1	4.5%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.29
0-2	1.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
1-2	3.2%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.30
1-3	0.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.53×	58.32
4-0	4.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.30
4-1	2.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.30
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32
Any other score	4.6%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (2nd half DNB)	80.0%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
LA Galaxy (2nd half DNB)	20.0%	18.4%	—	—	5.42

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC leading at HT (DNB)	80.8%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
LA Galaxy leading at HT (DNB)	19.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw (1X)	88.4%	86.5%	70.0%	1.24×	1.16
LAFC or LA Galaxy (12)	78.2%	75.6%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
LA Galaxy or draw (X2)	33.3%	35.3%	54.7%	0.64×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw at HT	88.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
LAFC or LA Galaxy at HT	58.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
LA Galaxy or draw at HT	52.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw (1UP)	88.4%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
LA Galaxy or draw (1UP)	33.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw in 2nd half	86.8%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
LAFC or LA Galaxy in 2nd half	66.2%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
LA Galaxy or draw in 2nd half	47.0%	48.8%	—	—	2.05

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (DNB)	85.2%	87.0%	60.2%	1.45×	1.15
LA Galaxy (DNB)	14.8%	13.0%	39.8%	0.33×	7.67

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to score first	68.3%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
LA Galaxy to score first	23.6%	23.0%	—	—	4.35
No goal scored	8.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.37

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.2%	55.0%	38.7%	1.42×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.8%	45.0%	61.3%	0.73×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.2%	41.6%	29.5%	1.41×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	31.7%	34.5%	51.1%	0.68×	2.90
Not both score & over 2.5	15.9%	21.5%	9.2%	2.33×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	10.1%	12.4%	10.4%	1.19×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.8%	89.0%	79.5%	1.12×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.2%	11.0%	20.5%	0.54×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.1%	15.1%	—	—	6.64
Both score 1st half only	10.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	2.9%	4.9%	—	—	20.48

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.8%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.2%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	48.4%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.2%	43.0%	1.10×	2.12
0-1 goals	26.6%	26.6%	20.2%	1.32×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.3%	22.9%	33.0%	0.69×	4.36
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.34

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to score exactly 0	51.5%	47.1%	26.7%	1.76×	2.12
LA Galaxy to score exactly 1	34.2%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.96
LA Galaxy to score exactly 2	11.3%	12.9%	22.2%	0.58×	7.77
LA Galaxy to score 3+	3.0%	4.6%	16.7%	0.27×	21.86

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to score 3+	30.0%	32.5%	25.0%	1.30×	3.07
LAFC to score exactly 1	28.2%	26.5%	31.1%	0.85×	3.77
LAFC to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
LAFC to score exactly 0	14.7%	14.3%	17.7%	0.81×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC leading at HT	47.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	41.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
LA Galaxy leading at HT	11.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.29

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC -1: 1	41.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
LAFC -1: 2	33.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
LAFC -1: X	25.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (0:1)	41.2%	42.6%	23.2%	1.83×	2.35
LA Galaxy (0:1)	33.3%	30.1%	54.7%	0.55×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	25.4%	27.0%	22.2%	1.22×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (0:2)	58.8%	63.1%	76.8%	0.82×	1.59
Draw (0:2)	20.8%	20.3%	12.7%	1.59×	4.93
LAFC (0:2)	20.4%	20.3%	10.6%	1.91×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (0:3)	79.6%	80.6%	89.4%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.1%	9.9%	6.7%	1.50×	10.06
LAFC (0:3)	8.3%	5.8%	4.1%	1.43×	17.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy (0:4)	91.7%	94.5%	95.9%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.5%	4.6%	2.0%	2.26×	21.79
LAFC (0:4)	2.8%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	81.79

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (1:0)	88.4%	86.1%	70.0%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	8.5%	6.9%	17.1%	0.40×	14.48
LA Galaxy (1:0)	3.1%	3.3%	13.0%	0.25×	30.62

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (2:0)	96.9%	96.8%	87.0%	1.11×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	8.6%	0.27×	43.67
LA Galaxy (2:0)	0.6%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.79

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.0%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC clean sheet	51.5%	53.2%	26.7%	1.99×	1.88
LAFC to concede	48.5%	46.8%	73.3%	0.64×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC clean sheet in 1st half	76.7%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
LAFC to concede in 1st half	23.3%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC clean sheet in 2nd half	67.2%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
LAFC to concede in 2nd half	32.8%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC over 2.5 corners	87.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
LAFC over 3.5 corners	76.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
LAFC over 4.5 corners	63.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
LAFC under 6.5 corners	62.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
LAFC under 5.5 corners	50.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
LAFC over 5.5 corners	50.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
LAFC over 6.5 corners	37.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
LAFC under 4.5 corners	36.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
LAFC under 3.5 corners	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
LAFC under 2.5 corners	12.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC under 3.5 goals	87.2%	87.3%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
LAFC over 0.5 goals	85.3%	87.2%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
LAFC under 2.5 goals	70.0%	68.0%	75.0%	0.91×	1.47
LAFC over 1.5 goals	57.1%	58.6%	51.3%	1.14×	1.71
LAFC under 1.5 goals	42.9%	41.4%	48.7%	0.85×	2.42
LAFC over 2.5 goals	30.0%	32.0%	25.0%	1.28×	3.12
LAFC under 0.5 goals	14.7%	12.8%	17.7%	0.72×	7.84
LAFC over 3.5 goals	12.8%	12.7%	9.4%	1.36×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC under 1.5 in 1st half	80.0%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
LAFC over 0.5 in 1st half	56.1%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
LAFC under 0.5 in 1st half	43.9%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
LAFC over 1.5 in 1st half	20.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.17

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC scores more in 2nd half	41.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
LAFC scores equally in both	31.3%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
LAFC scores more in 1st half	27.3%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	65.3%	64.0%	45.3%	1.41×	1.56
LA Galaxy (home no bet)	34.7%	36.0%	54.7%	0.66×	2.78

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC even goals	51.1%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
LAFC odd goals	48.9%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
HT 1-0	27.6%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
HT 2-0	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-1	8.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 1-1	7.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 0-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 1-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC at HT / LAFC at FT	42.6%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
Draw at HT / LAFC at FT	21.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
LA Galaxy at HT / LA Galaxy at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Draw at HT / LA Galaxy at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
LAFC at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
LA Galaxy at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.67
LA Galaxy at HT / LAFC at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.70
LAFC at HT / LA Galaxy at FT	0.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.76

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to score last	68.4%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
LA Galaxy to score last	23.5%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
No goal scored	8.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.37

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
LAFC to lead by 1 at any time	75.9%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
LAFC to lead by 2 at any time	46.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
LA Galaxy to lead by 1 at any time	26.1%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.5%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
LAFC to lead by 3 at any time	22.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
LA Galaxy to lead by 2 at any time	5.5%	6.7%	—	—	15.00
LA Galaxy to lead by 3 at any time	0.9%	1.6%	—	—	63.78

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC most corners	57.8%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
LA Galaxy most corners	32.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	9.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.2%	87.4%	83.4%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	78.7%	73.2%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	71.7%	72.4%	75.9%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.6%	68.8%	69.0%	1.00×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.0%	68.8%	57.4%	1.20×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.5%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.0%	48.5%	56.3%	0.86×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.3%	43.6%	34.2%	1.28×	2.29
3-5 goals	42.9%	43.6%	49.4%	0.88×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.7%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.3%	24.5%	33.0%	0.74×	4.08
4-5 goals	21.2%	24.5%	26.2%	0.94×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.3%	14.8%	17.2%	0.86×	6.76
7+ goals	1.6%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	39.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC never behind	65.8%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
LA Galaxy never behind	16.1%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.7%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.3%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.3%	95.4%	89.1%	1.07×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.1%	72.5%	63.0%	1.15×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	73.4%	72.5%	79.8%	0.91×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.4%	52.5%	39.8%	1.32×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	47.6%	47.5%	60.2%	0.79×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	26.6%	27.5%	20.2%	1.36×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	25.9%	27.5%	37.0%	0.74×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	21.2%	0.59×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.7%	4.6%	10.9%	0.42×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.9%	92.4%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.1%	86.7%	74.8%	1.16×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.9%	67.4%	51.8%	1.30×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.1%	61.9%	74.9%	0.83×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.9%	38.1%	25.1%	1.52×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.1%	32.6%	48.2%	0.68×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.9%	13.3%	25.2%	0.53×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.1%	7.6%	12.2%	0.62×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.8%	4.4%	0.64×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.3%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.1%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.3%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.7%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy not to score in both halves	92.4%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
LAFC not to score in both halves	62.7%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
LAFC to score in both halves	37.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
LA Galaxy to score in both halves	7.6%	9.6%	—	—	10.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only LAFC scores	43.4%	46.6%	21.1%	2.21×	2.15
Both teams score	41.8%	46.6%	61.3%	0.76×	2.15
Neither team scores	8.1%	7.1%	5.8%	1.24×	14.03
Only LA Galaxy scores	6.6%	7.1%	12.1%	0.59×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.7%	24.9%	19.7%	1.26×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.5%	17.5%	14.5%	1.20×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.0%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.24
Exactly 0 goals	8.1%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.2%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.7%	4.5%	10.9%	0.41×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	33.7%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	20.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	9.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
1 goal in 2nd half	33.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.7%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy not to win both halves	98.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
LAFC not to win both halves	74.9%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
LAFC to win both halves	25.1%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
LA Galaxy to win both halves	1.5%	2.8%	—	—	36.18

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy to win neither half	77.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
LAFC to win either half	75.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
LAFC to win neither half	25.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
LA Galaxy to win either half	23.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LA Galaxy not to win to nil	93.4%	92.1%	87.9%	1.05×	1.09
LAFC not to win to nil	56.6%	59.2%	78.9%	0.75×	1.69
LAFC to win to nil	43.4%	40.8%	21.1%	1.94×	2.45
LA Galaxy to win to nil	6.6%	7.9%	12.1%	0.65×	12.67

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC by 1	25.4%	27.9%	22.2%	1.26×	3.59
Draw	21.8%	24.1%	24.8%	0.97×	4.15
LAFC by 2	20.8%	24.1%	12.7%	1.89×	4.15
LAFC by 3+	20.4%	24.1%	10.6%	2.27×	4.15
LA Galaxy by 1	8.5%	7.2%	17.1%	0.42×	13.90
LA Galaxy by 2	2.5%	2.7%	8.6%	0.32×	36.83
LA Galaxy by 3+	0.6%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	36.89