LAFC v Minnesota United FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

LAFC

20:00 UTC

Minnesota United FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,366h before kick-off

LAFC win

53.7%

model 53.5%

Draw

23.2%

model 24.9%

Minnesota United FC win

23.1%

model 21.7%

542323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.8%
1-0 10.8%
2-1 9.7%
2-0 9.7%
0-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.2%	Under 2.5	48.8%
BTTS yes	52.6%	BTTS no	47.4%
LAFC 1+	82.0%	LAFC 2+	51.2%
Minnesota United FC 1+	63.5%	Minnesota United FC 2+	26.8%

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.01. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

LAFC carry the stronger rating, 1570 Elo against 1513.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

LAFC have an estimated 53.7% win probability, against 23.2% for the draw and 23.1% for Minnesota United FC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.72 for LAFC and 1.01 for Minnesota United FC.

Why LAFC

LAFC carry the stronger rating, 1570 Elo against 1513.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Minnesota United FC can win

Nothing in the data singles out Minnesota United FC.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for LAFC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Minnesota United FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

LAFC: 50% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Minnesota United FC: 43% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

LAFC are the model's most likely outcome at 53.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	572518	1.69–0.85	1-0 13%	47%	47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to win	56.7%	54.0%	45.4%	1.19×	1.85
Draw	25.0%	24.5%	24.9%	0.99×	4.08
Minnesota United FC to win	18.3%	19.4%	29.9%	0.65×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC & not both score	34.2%	29.7%	21.1%	1.41×	3.37
LAFC & both teams score	22.5%	21.8%	24.4%	0.90×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	16.6%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Minnesota United FC & not both score	10.1%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.3%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.93
Minnesota United FC & both teams score	8.2%	8.4%	17.8%	0.47×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC & over 1.5	43.9%	40.3%	37.1%	1.09×	2.48
LAFC & under 3.5	39.9%	34.9%	28.3%	1.23×	2.87
LAFC & over 2.5	32.7%	30.8%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
LAFC & under 2.5	24.0%	21.6%	14.5%	1.48×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.2%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
LAFC & over 3.5	16.8%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Minnesota United FC & under 3.5	14.7%	12.9%	18.8%	0.69×	7.76
LAFC & under 1.5	12.8%	12.9%	8.4%	1.54×	7.76
Minnesota United FC & over 1.5	12.1%	12.9%	23.5%	0.55×	7.76
Minnesota United FC & over 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	20.3%	0.39×	12.65
Minnesota United FC & under 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.65
Draw & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.65
Minnesota United FC & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	4.8%	4.8%	8.9%	0.54×	20.85
Draw & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	8.9%	0.54×	20.85
Minnesota United FC & over 3.5	3.6%	4.8%	11.2%	0.43×	20.86

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (1UP)	68.7%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Minnesota United FC (1UP)	34.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.03

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (2UP)	56.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Minnesota United FC (2UP)	18.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to win 2nd half	45.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	35.9%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
Minnesota United FC to win 2nd half	18.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.22

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.6%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Minnesota United FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	59.9%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Minnesota United FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	40.1%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Minnesota United FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.4%	8.1%	—	—	12.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.9%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
LAFC over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.9%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
LAFC under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
LAFC over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (+2.5)	85.9%	88.5%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
LAFC (+0.5)	81.7%	82.5%	70.1%	1.18×	1.21
Minnesota United FC (+1.5)	68.3%	68.7%	76.7%	0.90×	1.46
LAFC (-0.5)	56.7%	57.0%	45.4%	1.26×	1.75
Minnesota United FC (+0.5)	43.3%	43.0%	54.6%	0.79×	2.33
LAFC (-1.5)	31.8%	31.3%	23.3%	1.35×	3.20
Minnesota United FC (-0.5)	18.3%	17.5%	29.9%	0.59×	5.70
LAFC (-2.5)	14.1%	11.5%	10.5%	1.09×	8.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to concede	81.6%	81.3%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Minnesota United FC clean sheet	18.4%	18.7%	18.0%	1.04×	5.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC clean sheet in 1st half	48.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Minnesota United FC to concede in 1st half	51.7%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to concede in 2nd half	61.9%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Minnesota United FC clean sheet in 2nd half	38.1%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC under 6.5 corners	78.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Minnesota United FC over 2.5 corners	77.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Minnesota United FC under 5.5 corners	67.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Minnesota United FC over 3.5 corners	62.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Minnesota United FC under 4.5 corners	53.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Minnesota United FC over 4.5 corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Minnesota United FC under 3.5 corners	37.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Minnesota United FC over 5.5 corners	32.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Minnesota United FC under 2.5 corners	22.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Minnesota United FC over 6.5 corners	21.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC under 3.5 goals	98.9%	97.5%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Minnesota United FC under 2.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Minnesota United FC under 1.5 goals	78.9%	76.2%	61.3%	1.24×	1.31
Minnesota United FC over 0.5 goals	57.4%	59.4%	73.2%	0.81×	1.68
Minnesota United FC under 0.5 goals	42.6%	40.6%	26.8%	1.51×	2.46
Minnesota United FC over 1.5 goals	21.1%	23.8%	38.7%	0.61×	4.21
Minnesota United FC over 2.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	16.7%	0.46×	13.02
Minnesota United FC over 3.5 goals	1.1%	2.5%	6.1%	0.41×	40.12

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC under 1.5 in 1st half	95.3%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Minnesota United FC under 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Minnesota United FC over 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	31.7%	—	—	3.16
Minnesota United FC over 1.5 in 1st half	4.7%	4.4%	—	—	22.76

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC scores equally in both	50.4%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Minnesota United FC scores more in 2nd half	30.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.94
Minnesota United FC scores more in 1st half	18.8%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (away no bet)	69.4%	66.4%	64.6%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.6%	33.6%	35.4%	0.95×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC even goals	59.1%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
Minnesota United FC odd goals	40.9%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.4%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.6%	12.3%	—	—	8.15

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.2%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
LAFC to score 2+ in a row	43.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.6%	19.4%	—	—	5.14
LAFC to score 3+ in a row	17.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Minnesota United FC to score 2+ in a row	14.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Minnesota United FC to score 3+ in a row	2.9%	2.6%	—	—	38.87

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC corners (+3.5)	89.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
LAFC corners (+2.5)	84.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
LAFC corners (+1.5)	77.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Minnesota United FC corners (+3.5)	69.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Minnesota United FC corners (+2.5)	60.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Minnesota United FC corners (+1.5)	50.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
LAFC corners (-1.5)	49.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
LAFC corners (-2.5)	40.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
LAFC corners (-3.5)	31.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Minnesota United FC corners (-1.5)	22.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Minnesota United FC corners (-2.5)	15.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Minnesota United FC corners (-3.5)	10.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	40.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
0-8 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	68.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	68.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	59.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	59.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	50.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	49.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	40.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	40.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 12.5 corners	31.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 8.5 corners	31.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	22.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.8%	11.4%	8.4%	1.37×	8.74
1-1	11.8%	11.4%	10.3%	1.11×	8.74
2-0	11.2%	11.4%	6.3%	1.82×	8.74
0-0	8.3%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.50
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.50
0-1	6.2%	7.4%	6.5%	1.13×	13.50
3-0	6.3%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.50
3-1	5.4%	7.4%	4.9%	1.50×	13.50
1-2	4.8%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.29
0-2	2.9%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.14×	58.32
1-3	1.4%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.32
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.32
4-0	2.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.30
4-1	2.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.31
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.14×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.74×	58.32
Any other score	3.1%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (2nd half DNB)	70.6%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Minnesota United FC (2nd half DNB)	29.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC leading at HT (DNB)	72.3%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Minnesota United FC leading at HT (DNB)	27.7%	27.6%	—	—	3.62

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw (1X)	81.7%	80.6%	70.1%	1.15×	1.24
LAFC or Minnesota United FC (12)	75.0%	75.5%	75.1%	1.00×	1.33
Minnesota United FC or draw (X2)	43.3%	46.0%	54.6%	0.84×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw at HT	84.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Minnesota United FC or draw at HT	59.2%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
LAFC or Minnesota United FC at HT	56.4%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw (1UP)	81.7%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Minnesota United FC or draw (1UP)	43.3%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw in 2nd half	81.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
LAFC or Minnesota United FC in 2nd half	64.1%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Minnesota United FC or draw in 2nd half	54.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (DNB)	75.6%	74.5%	60.3%	1.24×	1.34
Minnesota United FC (DNB)	24.4%	25.5%	39.7%	0.64×	3.92

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to score first	60.9%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Minnesota United FC to score first	30.8%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
No goal scored	8.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	52.7%	51.4%	38.9%	1.32×	1.95
Both teams to score	47.3%	48.6%	61.1%	0.80×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.4%	41.6%	29.9%	1.39×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	35.5%	38.5%	50.9%	0.76×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.8%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	11.3%	12.3%	9.2%	1.34×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.4%	85.6%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.6%	14.4%	20.5%	0.70×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.7%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	21.3%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Both score 1st half only	11.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.7%	5.0%	—	—	19.98

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.0%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	49.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.5%	47.3%	42.5%	1.11×	2.11
0-1 goals	27.3%	26.6%	20.5%	1.30×	3.76
4-6 goals	23.7%	22.8%	33.1%	0.69×	4.38
7+ goals	1.5%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	54.74

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to score exactly 0	42.6%	37.1%	26.8%	1.39×	2.69
Minnesota United FC to score exactly 1	36.4%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Minnesota United FC to score exactly 2	15.5%	19.6%	22.1%	0.89×	5.10
Minnesota United FC to score 3+	5.6%	8.5%	16.7%	0.51×	11.74

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to score exactly 1	31.2%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.07
LAFC to score exactly 2	26.4%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
LAFC to score 3+	24.0%	23.2%	25.2%	0.92×	4.30
LAFC to score exactly 0	18.4%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.6%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
LAFC leading at HT	40.8%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Minnesota United FC leading at HT	15.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.47

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC -1: 2	43.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
LAFC -1: 1	31.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
LAFC -1: X	25.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (0:1)	43.3%	42.7%	54.6%	0.78×	2.34
LAFC (0:1)	31.8%	30.0%	23.3%	1.29×	3.34
Draw (0:1)	25.0%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (0:2)	68.3%	72.2%	76.7%	0.94×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	17.7%	15.3%	12.8%	1.19×	6.55
LAFC (0:2)	14.1%	10.9%	10.5%	1.04×	9.16

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (0:3)	85.9%	90.8%	89.5%	1.02×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	9.0%	5.8%	6.6%	0.87×	17.25
LAFC (0:3)	5.1%	5.8%	4.0%	1.44×	17.32

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (0:4)	94.9%	94.7%	96.0%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.34
LAFC (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.57

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (1:0)	81.7%	81.3%	70.1%	1.16×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.4%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.83
Minnesota United FC (1:0)	5.9%	6.9%	13.2%	0.53×	14.43

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (2:0)	94.1%	93.9%	86.8%	1.08×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	8.7%	0.26×	43.57
Minnesota United FC (2:0)	1.4%	2.3%	4.6%	0.50×	43.76

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to concede	57.4%	60.9%	73.2%	0.83×	1.64
LAFC clean sheet	42.6%	39.1%	26.8%	1.46×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC clean sheet in 1st half	71.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
LAFC to concede in 1st half	28.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC clean sheet in 2nd half	59.9%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
LAFC to concede in 2nd half	40.1%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC over 2.5 corners	89.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
LAFC over 3.5 corners	79.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
LAFC over 4.5 corners	66.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
LAFC under 6.5 corners	58.4%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
LAFC over 5.5 corners	53.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
LAFC under 5.5 corners	46.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
LAFC over 6.5 corners	41.6%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
LAFC under 4.5 corners	33.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
LAFC under 3.5 corners	20.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
LAFC under 2.5 corners	10.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.32

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC under 3.5 goals	90.8%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
LAFC over 0.5 goals	81.6%	82.1%	82.0%	1.00×	1.22
LAFC under 2.5 goals	76.0%	77.7%	74.8%	1.04×	1.29
LAFC over 1.5 goals	50.4%	53.2%	51.1%	1.04×	1.88
LAFC under 1.5 goals	49.6%	46.8%	48.9%	0.96×	2.14
LAFC over 2.5 goals	24.0%	22.3%	25.2%	0.88×	4.49
LAFC under 0.5 goals	18.4%	17.9%	18.0%	1.00×	5.58
LAFC over 3.5 goals	9.2%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC under 1.5 in 1st half	83.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
LAFC under 0.5 in 1st half	48.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
LAFC over 0.5 in 1st half	51.7%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
LAFC over 1.5 in 1st half	16.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC scores more in 2nd half	39.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
LAFC scores equally in both	33.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
LAFC scores more in 1st half	26.5%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.7%	56.6%	45.4%	1.25×	1.77
Minnesota United FC (home no bet)	42.3%	43.4%	54.6%	0.79×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC even goals	51.7%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
LAFC odd goals	48.3%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	24.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	11.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	9.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
HT 1-1	8.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.56
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.60
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.67

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC at HT / LAFC at FT	34.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Draw at HT / LAFC at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Minnesota United FC at HT / Minnesota United FC at FT	9.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Draw at HT / Minnesota United FC at FT	8.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
LAFC at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Minnesota United FC at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.76
Minnesota United FC at HT / LAFC at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
LAFC at HT / Minnesota United FC at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to score last	61.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Minnesota United FC to score last	30.7%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	8.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
LAFC to lead by 1 at any time	68.7%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.7%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
LAFC to lead by 2 at any time	37.4%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Minnesota United FC to lead by 1 at any time	34.6%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
LAFC to lead by 3 at any time	16.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Minnesota United FC to lead by 2 at any time	9.5%	6.7%	—	—	15.00
Minnesota United FC to lead by 3 at any time	2.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.32

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC most corners	60.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Minnesota United FC most corners	30.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	9.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.90

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.2%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.2%	83.4%	73.1%	1.14×	1.20
2-6 goals	71.1%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.2%	68.9%	68.5%	1.01×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.5%	68.9%	57.2%	1.21×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.4%	58.4%	1.08×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.5%	48.6%	42.5%	1.14×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.2%	48.6%	55.9%	0.87×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.9%	43.6%	34.4%	1.27×	2.30
3-5 goals	42.3%	43.6%	48.9%	0.89×	2.30
3-4 goals	35.3%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	23.7%	24.5%	33.1%	0.74×	4.08
4-5 goals	20.7%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.08
5-6 goals	9.9%	8.9%	17.2%	0.52×	11.30
7+ goals	1.5%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC never behind	57.1%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Minnesota United FC never behind	22.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.7%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.3%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.5%	95.4%	88.9%	1.07×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.7%	92.2%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.5%	87.6%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.8%	72.5%	62.9%	1.15×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	72.7%	72.5%	79.5%	0.91×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	53.2%	52.6%	40.1%	1.31×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	46.8%	47.4%	59.9%	0.79×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	27.3%	27.5%	20.5%	1.34×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	25.2%	27.5%	37.1%	0.74×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	11.5%	12.4%	21.2%	0.58×	8.08
Under 0.5 goals	8.3%	7.8%	5.8%	1.33×	12.87
Over 5.5 goals	4.5%	4.6%	11.1%	0.41×	21.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.4%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.2%	97.2%	87.6%	1.11×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.7%	86.7%	74.8%	1.16×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.9%	67.5%	51.9%	1.30×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.1%	61.9%	74.5%	0.83×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.9%	38.1%	25.5%	1.49×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.1%	32.5%	48.1%	0.68×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.3%	13.3%	25.2%	0.53×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.8%	2.8%	12.4%	0.23×	35.78
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.6%	2.8%	4.4%	0.63×	35.88

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.0%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.0%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.3%	7.4%	—	—	13.48

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.5%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.4%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.6%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.5%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC not to score in both halves	88.4%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
LAFC not to score in both halves	68.0%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
LAFC to score in both halves	32.0%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Minnesota United FC to score in both halves	11.6%	14.1%	—	—	7.09

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	47.3%	50.6%	61.1%	0.83×	1.98
Only LAFC scores	34.2%	33.3%	21.1%	1.58×	3.00
Only Minnesota United FC scores	10.1%	11.0%	12.3%	0.90×	9.11
Neither team scores	8.3%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.9%	24.9%	19.7%	1.26×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.0%	17.4%	14.8%	1.18×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.7%	12.1%	16.0%	0.75×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	8.3%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	7.0%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.08
6 or more goals	4.5%	4.5%	11.1%	0.40×	22.41

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	34.4%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
2 goals in 1st half	19.7%	15.3%	—	—	6.53
3+ goals in 1st half	9.3%	7.4%	—	—	13.48

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.6%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.4%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	23.0%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC not to win both halves	97.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
LAFC not to win both halves	81.5%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
LAFC to win both halves	18.5%	15.9%	—	—	6.30
Minnesota United FC to win both halves	3.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.99

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to win neither half	68.5%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
LAFC to win either half	67.5%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
LAFC to win neither half	32.6%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Minnesota United FC to win either half	31.5%	31.9%	—	—	3.13

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC not to win to nil	89.9%	88.2%	87.7%	1.00×	1.13
LAFC not to win to nil	65.8%	69.7%	78.9%	0.88×	1.44
LAFC to win to nil	34.2%	30.3%	21.1%	1.44×	3.30
Minnesota United FC to win to nil	10.1%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.46

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC by 1	25.0%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Draw	25.0%	24.2%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
LAFC by 2	17.7%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.91
LAFC by 3+	14.1%	11.8%	10.5%	1.12×	8.49
Minnesota United FC by 1	12.4%	11.8%	16.8%	0.70×	8.49
Minnesota United FC by 2	4.5%	2.7%	8.7%	0.31×	36.61
Minnesota United FC by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	36.71