Lanús v Gimnasia Mendoza — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Lanús

20:00 UTC

Gimnasia Mendoza

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Lanús win

44.1%

model 41.4%

Draw

28.0%

model 29.6%

Gimnasia Mendoza win

28.0%

model 29.0%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.8%
1-0 12.5%
0-0 11.0%
0-1 9.9%
2-1 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.3%	Under 2.5	60.7%
BTTS yes	45.9%	BTTS no	54.1%
Lanús 1+	71.5%	Lanús 2+	35.7%
Gimnasia Mendoza 1+	63.4%	Gimnasia Mendoza 2+	26.6%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.00. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

24/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 61%

68.0% fair odds 1.47

moderate signal · 2774 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Gimnasia Mendoza not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Lanús.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Lanús have an estimated 44.1% win probability, against 28.0% for the draw and 28.0% for Gimnasia Mendoza. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.25 for Lanús and 1.00 for Gimnasia Mendoza.

Why Lanús

Nothing in the data singles out Lanús.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.0%. A combined 2.26 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Gimnasia Mendoza can win

Gimnasia Mendoza carry the stronger rating, 1532 Elo against 1497. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Lanús, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Gimnasia Mendoza, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Lanús: 47% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Gimnasia Mendoza: 47% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Lanús are the model's most likely outcome at 44.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.8%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	413029	1.25–1.00	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	413029	1.19–0.96	1-1 14%	36%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to win	40.5%	42.9%	41.8%	1.03×	2.33
Draw	30.5%	30.4%	30.7%	0.99×	3.29
Gimnasia Mendoza to win	29.0%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús & not both score	26.0%	25.2%	27.7%	0.91×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.2%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
Gimnasia Mendoza & not both score	18.2%	18.0%	17.1%	1.05×	5.56
Lanús & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	14.3%	0.93×	7.54
Draw & not both score	12.2%	13.3%	14.8%	0.89×	7.54
Gimnasia Mendoza & both teams score	10.8%	13.3%	10.6%	1.25×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús & under 3.5	32.7%	30.8%	34.8%	0.88×	3.25
Lanús & over 1.5	27.3%	26.1%	27.8%	0.94×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	26.2%	26.1%	28.2%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.2%	26.1%	28.2%	0.93×	3.84
Gimnasia Mendoza & under 3.5	24.1%	21.6%	23.5%	0.92×	4.63
Lanús & under 2.5	21.5%	21.6%	23.6%	0.92×	4.63
Lanús & over 2.5	19.1%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.55
Gimnasia Mendoza & over 1.5	18.4%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.2%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
Gimnasia Mendoza & under 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	14.6%	1.23×	5.56
Gimnasia Mendoza & over 2.5	13.0%	12.8%	13.1%	0.98×	7.79
Lanús & under 1.5	13.3%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	12.2%	12.8%	14.8%	0.87×	7.79
Gimnasia Mendoza & under 1.5	10.6%	12.8%	10.3%	1.25×	7.79
Lanús & over 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	7.2%	1.10×	12.63
Gimnasia Mendoza & over 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	4.2%	1.14×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	2.6%	1.83×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	2.6%	1.83×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (1UP)	54.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Gimnasia Mendoza (1UP)	43.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (2UP)	40.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Gimnasia Mendoza (2UP)	29.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.2%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Lanús to win 2nd half	32.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Gimnasia Mendoza to win 2nd half	26.2%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.6%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Gimnasia Mendoza under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Gimnasia Mendoza over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Gimnasia Mendoza over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.4%	12.8%	—	—	7.80

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.2%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Lanús under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Lanús over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Lanús over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.8%	11.4%	—	—	8.74

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza (+2.5)	94.1%	92.1%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Gimnasia Mendoza (+1.5)	82.3%	82.6%	82.3%	1.00×	1.21
Lanús (+0.5)	71.0%	73.6%	72.4%	1.02×	1.36
Gimnasia Mendoza (+0.5)	59.5%	57.1%	58.2%	0.98×	1.75
Lanús (-0.5)	40.5%	42.9%	41.8%	1.03×	2.33
Gimnasia Mendoza (-0.5)	29.0%	26.4%	27.6%	0.96×	3.80
Lanús (-1.5)	17.7%	17.4%	17.7%	0.99×	5.74
Lanús (-2.5)	5.9%	7.9%	5.0%	1.57×	12.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza to concede	69.5%	72.3%	68.2%	1.06×	1.38
Gimnasia Mendoza clean sheet	30.5%	27.7%	31.8%	0.87×	3.62

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza clean sheet in 1st half	60.0%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Gimnasia Mendoza to concede in 1st half	40.0%	43.4%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza clean sheet in 2nd half	50.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Gimnasia Mendoza to concede in 2nd half	49.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza under 6.5 corners	90.9%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Gimnasia Mendoza under 5.5 corners	83.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Gimnasia Mendoza under 4.5 corners	71.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Gimnasia Mendoza over 2.5 corners	64.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Gimnasia Mendoza under 3.5 corners	55.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Gimnasia Mendoza over 3.5 corners	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Gimnasia Mendoza under 2.5 corners	36.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Gimnasia Mendoza over 4.5 corners	28.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Gimnasia Mendoza over 5.5 corners	16.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Gimnasia Mendoza over 6.5 corners	9.1%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza under 3.5 goals	98.3%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Gimnasia Mendoza under 2.5 goals	92.7%	92.4%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Gimnasia Mendoza under 1.5 goals	75.0%	76.2%	78.2%	0.97×	1.31
Gimnasia Mendoza over 0.5 goals	61.7%	63.2%	57.6%	1.10×	1.58
Gimnasia Mendoza under 0.5 goals	38.3%	36.8%	42.4%	0.87×	2.72
Gimnasia Mendoza over 1.5 goals	25.0%	23.8%	21.8%	1.09×	4.21
Gimnasia Mendoza over 2.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	6.6%	1.16×	13.07
Gimnasia Mendoza over 3.5 goals	1.7%	2.5%	1.1%	2.20×	39.88

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza under 1.5 in 1st half	94.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Gimnasia Mendoza under 0.5 in 1st half	68.1%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Gimnasia Mendoza over 0.5 in 1st half	31.9%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Gimnasia Mendoza over 1.5 in 1st half	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.65

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza scores equally in both	47.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Gimnasia Mendoza scores more in 2nd half	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Gimnasia Mendoza scores more in 1st half	19.9%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (away no bet)	57.1%	57.3%	57.7%	0.99×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.9%	42.7%	42.3%	1.01×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza even goals	57.3%	56.9%	58.4%	0.97×	1.76
Gimnasia Mendoza odd goals	42.7%	43.1%	41.6%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.9%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.1%	8.5%	—	—	11.82

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	50.5%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.5%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	43.6%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Lanús to score 2+ in a row	27.5%	25.0%	—	—	4.01
Gimnasia Mendoza to score 2+ in a row	19.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Lanús to score 3+ in a row	8.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.12
Gimnasia Mendoza to score 3+ in a row	4.6%	2.6%	—	—	38.20

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús corners (+3.5)	95.1%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Lanús corners (+2.5)	91.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Lanús corners (+1.5)	85.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Gimnasia Mendoza corners (+3.5)	64.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Lanús corners (-1.5)	57.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Gimnasia Mendoza corners (+2.5)	53.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Lanús corners (-2.5)	46.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Gimnasia Mendoza corners (+1.5)	42.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Lanús corners (-3.5)	35.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Gimnasia Mendoza corners (-1.5)	14.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Gimnasia Mendoza corners (-2.5)	8.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Gimnasia Mendoza corners (-3.5)	4.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.43

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	25.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	55.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	55.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	33.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	34.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	25.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	18.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.9%	11.5%	13.5%	0.85×	8.71
1-0	13.3%	11.5%	14.1%	0.81×	8.71
0-0	12.2%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.71
0-1	10.6%	11.5%	10.3%	1.12×	8.72
2-0	8.2%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-2	5.4%	7.4%	4.4%	1.66×	13.51
1-2	6.4%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.32
1-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
2-2	3.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
3-0	3.3%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30
3-1	3.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.31
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.15×	58.31
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (2nd half DNB)	55.4%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Gimnasia Mendoza (2nd half DNB)	44.6%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús leading at HT (DNB)	58.7%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Gimnasia Mendoza leading at HT (DNB)	41.3%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús or draw (1X)	71.0%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Lanús or Gimnasia Mendoza (12)	69.5%	69.6%	69.3%	1.00×	1.44
Gimnasia Mendoza or draw (X2)	59.5%	57.1%	58.2%	0.98×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús or draw at HT	79.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Gimnasia Mendoza or draw at HT	70.3%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Lanús or Gimnasia Mendoza at HT	50.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús or draw (1UP)	71.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Gimnasia Mendoza or draw (1UP)	59.5%	63.1%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús or draw in 2nd half	73.8%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Gimnasia Mendoza or draw in 2nd half	67.5%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Lanús or Gimnasia Mendoza in 2nd half	58.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	30.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (DNB)	58.3%	58.1%	60.3%	0.96×	1.72
Gimnasia Mendoza (DNB)	41.7%	41.9%	39.7%	1.05×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to score first	48.5%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Gimnasia Mendoza to score first	39.2%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	12.2%	9.8%	—	—	10.20

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.5%	55.0%	59.4%	0.93×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.5%	45.0%	40.6%	1.11×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	49.7%	44.3%	52.8%	0.84×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	29.6%	33.3%	27.3%	1.22×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	13.9%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	6.8%	8.3%	6.7%	1.23×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.7%	89.0%	94.1%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.3%	11.0%	5.9%	1.85×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.2%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.8%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.1%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	19.0%	15.1%	—	—	6.64
Both score 1st half only	10.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.35
Both score in both halves	2.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.60

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.1%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	12.9%	15.1%	—	—	6.62

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.4%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	42.6%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	36.1%	35.0%	39.0%	0.90×	2.86
4-6 goals	16.4%	20.2%	13.5%	1.50×	4.95
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	0.5%	4.02×	54.50

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza to score exactly 0	38.3%	35.9%	42.4%	0.85×	2.78
Gimnasia Mendoza to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Gimnasia Mendoza to score exactly 2	17.7%	19.5%	15.3%	1.28×	5.12
Gimnasia Mendoza to score 3+	7.3%	8.5%	6.6%	1.29×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.5%	36.5%	0.97×	2.81
Lanús to score exactly 0	30.5%	32.6%	31.8%	1.02×	3.07
Lanús to score exactly 2	21.5%	23.3%	21.8%	1.07×	4.29
Lanús to score 3+	11.8%	14.3%	10.1%	1.41×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Lanús leading at HT	29.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Gimnasia Mendoza leading at HT	20.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús -1: 2	59.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Lanús -1: X	22.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Lanús -1: 1	17.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza (0:1)	59.5%	55.9%	58.2%	0.96×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	22.8%	24.2%	24.3%	1.00×	4.13
Lanús (0:1)	17.7%	17.8%	17.7%	1.01×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza (0:2)	82.3%	83.0%	82.3%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.9%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.10
Lanús (0:2)	5.9%	7.7%	5.0%	1.53×	13.07

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza (0:3)	94.1%	92.7%	95.0%	0.98×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.3%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	41.95
Lanús (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	1.7%	1.39×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza (0:4)	98.4%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	1.3%	0.97×	81.83
Lanús (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	0.6%	2.14×	81.93

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (1:0)	71.0%	72.4%	72.4%	1.00×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	18.3%	17.1%	18.6%	0.92×	5.85
Gimnasia Mendoza (1:0)	10.7%	12.7%	9.1%	1.39×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (2:0)	89.4%	88.5%	90.9%	0.97×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.7%	6.4%	6.3%	1.02×	15.65
Gimnasia Mendoza (2:0)	2.9%	2.3%	3.0%	0.77×	43.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.1%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Halves equal	29.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to concede	61.7%	63.6%	57.6%	1.11×	1.57
Lanús clean sheet	38.3%	36.4%	42.4%	0.86×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús clean sheet in 1st half	68.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Lanús to concede in 1st half	31.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.41

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús clean sheet in 2nd half	56.2%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Lanús to concede in 2nd half	43.8%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús over 2.5 corners	87.9%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Lanús over 3.5 corners	76.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Lanús under 6.5 corners	63.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Lanús over 4.5 corners	63.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Lanús under 5.5 corners	50.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Lanús over 5.5 corners	49.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Lanús under 4.5 corners	36.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Lanús over 6.5 corners	36.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Lanús under 3.5 corners	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Lanús under 2.5 corners	12.1%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús under 3.5 goals	96.7%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Lanús under 2.5 goals	88.2%	87.3%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
Lanús over 0.5 goals	69.5%	68.0%	68.2%	1.00×	1.47
Lanús under 1.5 goals	66.7%	67.9%	68.2%	1.00×	1.47
Lanús over 1.5 goals	33.3%	32.1%	31.8%	1.01×	3.12
Lanús under 0.5 goals	30.5%	32.0%	31.8%	1.01×	3.12
Lanús over 2.5 goals	11.8%	12.7%	10.1%	1.25×	7.86
Lanús over 3.5 goals	3.3%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.54

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús under 1.5 in 1st half	90.6%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Lanús under 0.5 in 1st half	60.0%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Lanús over 0.5 in 1st half	40.0%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Lanús over 1.5 in 1st half	9.4%	5.4%	—	—	18.56

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús scores equally in both	42.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Lanús scores more in 2nd half	34.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Lanús scores more in 1st half	23.7%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.3%	51.4%	52.6%	0.98×	1.95
Gimnasia Mendoza (home no bet)	48.7%	48.6%	47.4%	1.03×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús even goals	54.6%	50.8%	55.6%	0.91×	1.97
Lanús odd goals	45.4%	49.2%	44.4%	1.11×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.9%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
HT 1-0	20.8%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	15.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	8.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 2-0	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-1	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
Any other HT score	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús at HT / Lanús at FT	23.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Lanús at FT	15.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Gimnasia Mendoza at HT / Gimnasia Mendoza at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Gimnasia Mendoza at FT	12.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Lanús at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Gimnasia Mendoza at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Lanús at HT / Gimnasia Mendoza at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.98
Gimnasia Mendoza at HT / Lanús at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to score last	48.6%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Gimnasia Mendoza to score last	39.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	12.2%	9.2%	—	—	10.86

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.8%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
Lanús to lead by 1 at any time	54.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Gimnasia Mendoza to lead by 1 at any time	43.6%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	36.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Lanús to lead by 2 at any time	22.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Gimnasia Mendoza to lead by 2 at any time	14.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Lanús to lead by 3 at any time	7.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.06
Gimnasia Mendoza to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.66

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús most corners	68.5%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Gimnasia Mendoza most corners	21.9%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
Corners level	9.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.5%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.0%	83.4%	79.9%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.7%	72.3%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	63.2%	63.3%	60.7%	1.04×	1.58
2-5 goals	61.6%	63.3%	60.1%	1.05×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.2%	59.1%	55.8%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.4%	53.1%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
3-6 goals	35.7%	39.2%	33.5%	1.17×	2.55
3-5 goals	34.1%	35.2%	33.0%	1.07×	2.84
3-4 goals	29.7%	30.2%	28.6%	1.06×	3.31
4-6 goals	16.4%	18.8%	13.5%	1.40×	5.31
4-5 goals	14.8%	14.8%	12.9%	1.15×	6.75
5-6 goals	6.1%	8.9%	5.0%	1.77×	11.27
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	0.5%	5.59×	39.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús never behind	44.2%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Gimnasia Mendoza never behind	33.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.1%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.9%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.7%	95.4%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.8%	87.6%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.9%	82.3%	86.2%	0.95×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	63.9%	61.7%	61.0%	1.01×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	63.6%	61.7%	66.1%	0.93×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	36.4%	38.3%	33.9%	1.13×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	36.1%	38.3%	39.0%	0.98×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	17.1%	17.7%	13.8%	1.28×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	12.2%	12.4%	14.8%	0.84×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	5.4%	1.44×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.3%	4.6%	1.0%	4.46×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.6%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.5%	92.4%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	78.8%	75.9%	82.7%	0.92×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.2%	51.8%	46.5%	1.12×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.8%	48.2%	53.5%	0.90×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.2%	24.1%	17.3%	1.40×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.5%	7.6%	5.9%	1.30×	13.19
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.4%	2.8%	1.1%	2.62×	35.63
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	0.5%	6.11×	35.67

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.8%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.3%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.1%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.9%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.7%	21.9%	—	—	4.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.8%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.3%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.1%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.9%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.7%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.2%	14.7%	—	—	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza not to score in both halves	86.0%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Lanús not to score in both halves	80.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Lanús to score in both halves	19.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Gimnasia Mendoza to score in both halves	14.0%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.5%	46.6%	40.6%	1.15×	2.15
Only Lanús scores	26.0%	26.1%	27.7%	0.94×	3.84
Only Gimnasia Mendoza scores	18.2%	16.0%	17.1%	0.94×	6.23
Neither team scores	12.2%	11.0%	14.8%	0.74×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.5%	24.9%	27.3%	0.91×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	23.8%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.3%	17.5%	20.2%	0.87×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	12.2%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.26
Exactly 4 goals	10.4%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	4.5%	4.5%	4.4%	1.01×	22.33
6 or more goals	2.3%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	40.9%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	16.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.39
3+ goals in 1st half	6.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.08

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	35.9%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 2nd half	35.4%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	28.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza not to win both halves	94.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Lanús not to win both halves	90.2%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Lanús to win both halves	9.8%	5.9%	—	—	16.95
Gimnasia Mendoza to win both halves	5.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.26

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza to win neither half	58.5%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Lanús to win either half	52.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Lanús to win neither half	47.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Gimnasia Mendoza to win either half	41.5%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza not to win to nil	81.8%	83.1%	82.9%	1.00×	1.20
Lanús not to win to nil	74.0%	75.3%	72.3%	1.04×	1.33
Lanús to win to nil	26.0%	24.7%	27.7%	0.89×	4.05
Gimnasia Mendoza to win to nil	18.2%	16.9%	17.1%	0.99×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.5%	27.7%	30.7%	0.90×	3.61
Lanús by 1	22.8%	24.1%	24.3%	0.99×	4.15
Gimnasia Mendoza by 1	18.3%	17.1%	18.6%	0.92×	5.87
Lanús by 2	11.9%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.51
Gimnasia Mendoza by 2	7.7%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.91
Lanús by 3+	5.9%	7.2%	5.0%	1.43×	13.92
Gimnasia Mendoza by 3+	2.9%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	36.88