Las Palmas v Eldense — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Las Palmas

20:00 UTC

Eldense

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 345h before kick-off

Las Palmas win

69.4%

model 65.6%

Draw

19.4%

model 19.7%

Eldense win

11.2%

model 14.7%

691911

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.7%
1-0 11.6%
2-1 9.8%
1-1 9.4%
3-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.1%	Under 2.5	44.9%
BTTS yes	49.3%	BTTS no	50.7%
Las Palmas 1+	87.1%	Las Palmas 2+	60.7%
Eldense 1+	56.9%	Eldense 2+	20.6%

Expected goals 2.05 – 0.84. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

58/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Las Palmas (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Eldense not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Las Palmas carry the stronger rating, 1574 Elo against 1398.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Las Palmas have an estimated 69.4% win probability, against 19.4% for the draw and 11.2% for Eldense. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.05 for Las Palmas and 0.84 for Eldense.

Why Las Palmas

Las Palmas carry the stronger rating, 1574 Elo against 1398. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.4%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Eldense can win

Nothing in the data singles out Eldense.

Key players

Las Palmas's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Fabio Silva (0.41), Oliver McBurnie (0.26), Alberto Moleiro (0.21).

Availability

3 of Las Palmas's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Eldense, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Las Palmas: 56% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.28 xG a match from set pieces. Eldense: 43% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Las Palmas are the model's most likely outcome at 69.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.7%. Confidence 58/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Las Palmas have scored 8 from 9.8 expected and conceded 14 from 15.3 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DLWWLLLLLL last 10 scored 8 from 9.8 xG conceded 14 from 15.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	662015	2.05–0.84	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	662014	1.94–0.75	1-0 13%	50%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to win	65.6%	64.7%	45.5%	1.42×	1.55
Draw	20.5%	24.4%	26.5%	0.92×	4.09
Eldense to win	13.9%	13.5%	28.1%	0.48×	7.42

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas & not both score	40.7%	40.0%	23.6%	1.70×	2.50
Las Palmas & both teams score	24.9%	21.8%	22.0%	0.99×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	13.9%	13.3%	17.5%	0.76×	7.54
Eldense & not both score	7.8%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.01
Draw & not both score	6.6%	8.3%	9.1%	0.91×	12.01
Eldense & both teams score	6.1%	8.3%	14.8%	0.56×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas & over 1.5	52.2%	48.9%	32.6%	1.50×	2.05
Las Palmas & under 3.5	44.1%	40.3%	32.2%	1.25×	2.48
Las Palmas & over 2.5	39.4%	34.9%	26.3%	1.33×	2.87
Las Palmas & under 2.5	26.2%	26.1%	19.3%	1.35×	3.84
Las Palmas & over 3.5	21.5%	21.6%	13.4%	1.61×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.3%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Las Palmas & under 1.5	13.4%	12.8%	13.0%	0.99×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	13.9%	12.8%	17.5%	0.73×	7.79
Eldense & under 3.5	11.4%	12.8%	19.6%	0.65×	7.79
Eldense & over 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	19.5%	0.41×	12.63
Eldense & under 2.5	7.3%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Eldense & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	16.7%	0.48×	12.63
Eldense & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.2%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81
Eldense & over 3.5	2.5%	4.8%	8.6%	0.56×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (1UP)	75.4%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Eldense (1UP)	29.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (2UP)	65.6%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Eldense (2UP)	13.9%	14.1%	—	—	7.07

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to win 2nd half	52.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	32.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Eldense to win 2nd half	15.1%	17.7%	—	—	5.64

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.5%	92.2%	—	—	1.08
Eldense under 0.5 in 2nd half	63.8%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Eldense over 0.5 in 2nd half	36.2%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Eldense over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.5%	7.8%	—	—	12.88

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.8%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Las Palmas over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Las Palmas under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Las Palmas over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (+0.5)	86.1%	88.5%	71.9%	1.23×	1.13
Eldense (+2.5)	80.2%	82.5%	92.3%	0.89×	1.21
Las Palmas (-0.5)	65.6%	68.7%	45.5%	1.51×	1.46
Eldense (+1.5)	60.0%	62.9%	80.4%	0.78×	1.59
Las Palmas (-1.5)	40.0%	37.1%	19.6%	1.89×	2.70
Eldense (+0.5)	34.4%	31.3%	54.5%	0.57×	3.19
Las Palmas (-2.5)	19.8%	17.5%	7.7%	2.28×	5.73
Eldense (-0.5)	13.9%	11.5%	28.1%	0.41×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to concede	85.6%	86.2%	77.6%	1.11×	1.16
Eldense clean sheet	14.4%	13.8%	22.4%	0.61×	7.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to concede in 1st half	56.5%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Eldense clean sheet in 1st half	43.5%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to concede in 2nd half	66.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Eldense clean sheet in 2nd half	33.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 6.5 corners	79.6%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Eldense over 2.5 corners	78.3%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Eldense under 5.5 corners	68.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Eldense over 3.5 corners	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Eldense under 4.5 corners	53.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Eldense over 4.5 corners	46.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Eldense under 3.5 corners	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Eldense over 5.5 corners	31.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Eldense under 2.5 corners	21.7%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Eldense over 6.5 corners	20.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Eldense under 2.5 goals	96.0%	97.5%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Eldense under 1.5 goals	82.7%	81.5%	69.4%	1.17×	1.23
Eldense over 0.5 goals	52.7%	53.5%	67.4%	0.79×	1.87
Eldense under 0.5 goals	47.3%	46.5%	32.6%	1.43×	2.15
Eldense over 1.5 goals	17.3%	18.5%	30.6%	0.61×	5.40
Eldense over 2.5 goals	4.0%	2.5%	10.9%	0.23×	39.86
Eldense over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.5%	3.0%	0.82×	40.03

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 1.5 in 1st half	96.3%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Eldense under 0.5 in 1st half	74.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Eldense over 0.5 in 1st half	25.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Eldense over 1.5 in 1st half	3.7%	3.9%	—	—	25.71

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense scores equally in both	53.9%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Eldense scores more in 2nd half	28.5%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Eldense scores more in 1st half	17.6%	18.1%	—	—	5.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (away no bet)	76.2%	73.5%	63.2%	1.16×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	23.8%	26.5%	36.8%	0.72×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense even goals	61.2%	59.1%	54.6%	1.08×	1.69
Eldense odd goals	38.8%	40.9%	45.4%	0.90×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.17

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Las Palmas to score 2+ in a row	51.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.7%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Las Palmas to score 3+ in a row	23.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Eldense to score 2+ in a row	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Eldense to score 3+ in a row	1.9%	2.5%	—	—	39.66

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense corners (+3.5)	86.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Las Palmas corners (+3.5)	83.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Eldense corners (+2.5)	78.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Las Palmas corners (+2.5)	75.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Eldense corners (+1.5)	69.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Las Palmas corners (+1.5)	65.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Eldense corners (-1.5)	34.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Las Palmas corners (-1.5)	30.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Eldense corners (-2.5)	24.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Las Palmas corners (-2.5)	21.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Eldense corners (-3.5)	16.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Las Palmas corners (-3.5)	13.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	21.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	78.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	62.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 9.5 corners	40.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	37.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	21.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	15.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.4%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
2-0	12.8%	11.5%	6.4%	1.79×	8.72
1-1	9.7%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
0-0	6.6%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
3-0	8.2%	7.4%	3.0%	2.44×	13.51
0-1	5.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
3-1	6.2%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
Any other score	4.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.29
0-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.31
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-2	3.7%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.30
1-3	0.9%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.32
2-2	3.6%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.30
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	4.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.30
4-1	3.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.30
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (2nd half DNB)	77.5%	80.4%	—	—	1.24
Eldense (2nd half DNB)	22.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.10

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas leading at HT (DNB)	78.6%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Eldense leading at HT (DNB)	21.4%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw (1X)	86.1%	86.5%	71.9%	1.20×	1.16
Las Palmas or Eldense (12)	79.5%	75.6%	73.5%	1.03×	1.32
Eldense or draw (X2)	34.4%	35.3%	54.5%	0.65×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw at HT	87.3%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Las Palmas or Eldense at HT	59.3%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Eldense or draw at HT	53.4%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw (1UP)	86.1%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Eldense or draw (1UP)	34.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw in 2nd half	84.9%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Las Palmas or Eldense in 2nd half	67.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Eldense or draw in 2nd half	48.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.5%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (DNB)	82.5%	80.3%	61.8%	1.30×	1.25
Eldense (DNB)	17.5%	19.7%	38.2%	0.52×	5.09

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to score first	67.3%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Eldense to score first	26.1%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	6.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.1%	55.0%	45.9%	1.20×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.9%	45.0%	54.1%	0.83×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.1%	41.6%	39.7%	1.05×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	35.2%	38.4%	43.0%	0.89×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	15.0%	21.5%	6.3%	3.42×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	9.7%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.0%	89.0%	85.6%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	10.0%	11.0%	14.4%	0.77×	9.07

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.9%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.1%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	20.6%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	11.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	3.5%	4.9%	—	—	20.38

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
A half without a goal	46.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.4%	47.2%	41.3%	1.14×	2.12
4-6 goals	26.2%	26.6%	26.7%	0.99×	3.76
0-1 goals	25.4%	26.6%	30.6%	0.87×	3.76
7+ goals	2.0%	1.8%	1.6%	1.17×	54.33

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to score exactly 0	47.3%	42.9%	32.6%	1.32×	2.33
Eldense to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.9%	36.9%	0.97×	2.78
Eldense to score exactly 2	13.3%	12.9%	19.8%	0.65×	7.76
Eldense to score 3+	4.0%	4.6%	10.9%	0.42×	21.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to score 3+	30.6%	32.6%	17.2%	1.89×	3.07
Las Palmas to score exactly 1	28.0%	26.6%	35.6%	0.75×	3.77
Las Palmas to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	24.9%	1.06×	3.77
Las Palmas to score exactly 0	14.4%	14.3%	22.4%	0.64×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas leading at HT	46.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	40.7%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Eldense leading at HT	12.7%	11.7%	—	—	8.52

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas -1: 1	40.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Las Palmas -1: 2	34.4%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Las Palmas -1: X	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (0:1)	40.0%	37.4%	19.6%	1.91×	2.68
Eldense (0:1)	34.4%	30.1%	54.5%	0.55×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	25.6%	27.0%	26.0%	1.04×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (0:2)	60.0%	67.0%	80.4%	0.83×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	20.2%	20.3%	12.1%	1.68×	4.93
Las Palmas (0:2)	19.8%	15.3%	7.7%	2.00×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (0:3)	80.2%	85.3%	92.3%	0.92×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	11.7%	9.9%	5.3%	1.85×	10.09
Las Palmas (0:3)	8.1%	5.8%	2.4%	2.41×	17.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (0:4)	91.9%	94.5%	97.6%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.3%	4.6%	2.1%	2.20×	21.65
Las Palmas (0:4)	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	81.86

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (1:0)	86.1%	86.1%	71.9%	1.20×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	10.1%	12.7%	17.9%	0.71×	7.88
Eldense (1:0)	3.8%	3.3%	10.3%	0.32×	30.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (2:0)	96.2%	96.8%	89.7%	1.08×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.0%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.70
Eldense (2:0)	0.8%	2.3%	3.2%	0.70×	43.84

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.2%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to concede	52.7%	53.2%	67.4%	0.79×	1.88
Las Palmas clean sheet	47.3%	46.8%	32.6%	1.44×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas clean sheet in 1st half	74.1%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Las Palmas to concede in 1st half	25.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas clean sheet in 2nd half	63.8%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Las Palmas to concede in 2nd half	36.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 6.5 corners	82.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Las Palmas over 2.5 corners	76.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Las Palmas under 5.5 corners	71.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Las Palmas over 3.5 corners	59.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Las Palmas under 4.5 corners	57.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Las Palmas over 4.5 corners	42.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Las Palmas under 3.5 corners	40.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Las Palmas over 5.5 corners	28.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Las Palmas under 2.5 corners	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Las Palmas over 6.5 corners	17.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 3.5 goals	86.9%	87.3%	93.7%	0.93×	1.15
Las Palmas over 0.5 goals	85.6%	87.2%	77.6%	1.12×	1.15
Las Palmas under 2.5 goals	69.4%	68.0%	82.8%	0.82×	1.47
Las Palmas over 1.5 goals	57.6%	58.6%	42.0%	1.39×	1.71
Las Palmas under 1.5 goals	42.4%	41.4%	58.0%	0.71×	2.42
Las Palmas over 2.5 goals	30.6%	32.0%	17.2%	1.86×	3.12
Las Palmas under 0.5 goals	14.4%	12.8%	22.4%	0.57×	7.84
Las Palmas over 3.5 goals	13.1%	12.7%	6.3%	2.03×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 1.5 in 1st half	79.7%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Las Palmas over 0.5 in 1st half	56.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Las Palmas under 0.5 in 1st half	43.5%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Las Palmas over 1.5 in 1st half	20.3%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas scores more in 2nd half	41.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Las Palmas scores equally in both	31.1%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Las Palmas scores more in 1st half	27.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	59.6%	56.5%	48.6%	1.16×	1.77
Eldense (home no bet)	40.4%	43.5%	51.4%	0.85×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas even goals	51.0%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Las Palmas odd goals	49.0%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
HT 1-0	26.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 2-0	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-1	9.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
HT 1-1	8.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
Any other HT score	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	41.99
HT 0-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.17

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas at HT / Las Palmas at FT	41.7%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
Draw at HT / Las Palmas at FT	21.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Eldense at HT / Eldense at FT	6.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Draw at HT / Eldense at FT	6.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
Las Palmas at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Eldense at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Eldense at HT / Las Palmas at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Las Palmas at HT / Eldense at FT	0.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to score last	67.3%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Eldense to score last	26.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	6.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Las Palmas to lead by 1 at any time	75.4%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Las Palmas to lead by 2 at any time	45.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Eldense to lead by 1 at any time	29.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Las Palmas to lead by 3 at any time	22.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Eldense to lead by 2 at any time	6.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.99
Eldense to lead by 3 at any time	1.3%	1.6%	—	—	63.70

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense most corners	46.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Las Palmas most corners	41.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.9%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.9%	78.7%	78.1%	1.01×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.6%	72.4%	67.9%	1.07×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.1%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.2%	68.8%	62.8%	1.10×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	56.6%	1.12×	1.58
3-6 goals	48.3%	48.5%	47.7%	1.02×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.4%	48.5%	41.3%	1.17×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.7%	43.6%	44.1%	0.99×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.2%	43.6%	41.8%	1.04×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.8%	39.2%	36.4%	1.08×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.2%	30.2%	26.7%	1.13×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.7%	24.5%	23.2%	1.06×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.5%	14.8%	11.4%	1.30×	6.76
7+ goals	2.0%	2.6%	1.6%	1.62×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas never behind	64.1%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Eldense never behind	18.0%	18.3%	—	—	5.46

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.5%	87.6%	87.1%	1.01×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.6%	72.5%	69.4%	1.04×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	71.8%	72.5%	71.8%	1.01×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	50.2%	52.5%	49.2%	1.07×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	49.8%	47.5%	50.8%	0.93×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	28.2%	27.5%	28.2%	0.98×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	25.4%	27.5%	30.6%	0.90×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	13.5%	12.4%	12.9%	0.96×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	5.1%	1.50×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.9%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.0%	92.4%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.2%	81.1%	84.8%	0.96×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.4%	67.4%	61.6%	1.09×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.8%	61.9%	64.3%	0.96×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.2%	38.1%	35.7%	1.07×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.6%	32.6%	38.4%	0.85×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.8%	18.9%	15.2%	1.24×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.0%	7.6%	5.6%	1.36×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.1%	2.8%	1.6%	1.72×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.4%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to score in both halves	90.6%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Las Palmas not to score in both halves	62.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Las Palmas to score in both halves	37.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Eldense to score in both halves	9.4%	10.0%	—	—	10.03

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.9%	46.6%	54.1%	0.86×	2.15
Only Las Palmas scores	40.7%	46.5%	23.6%	1.97×	2.15
Only Eldense scores	7.8%	7.1%	13.4%	0.53×	14.03
Neither team scores	6.6%	7.1%	9.1%	0.78×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.4%	22.6%	20.3%	1.11×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.8%	17.5%	21.6%	0.81×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.8%	12.1%	15.4%	0.79×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	7.9%	7.6%	7.9%	0.97×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.6%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.15
6 or more goals	5.5%	7.6%	5.1%	1.48×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	32.2%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	20.6%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	10.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.24

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.9%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	21.1%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to win both halves	98.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Las Palmas not to win both halves	75.8%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Las Palmas to win both halves	24.2%	24.8%	—	—	4.02
Eldense to win both halves	1.9%	2.8%	—	—	36.22

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to win either half	74.4%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Eldense to win neither half	74.1%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Eldense to win either half	25.9%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
Las Palmas to win neither half	25.6%	27.0%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to win to nil	92.2%	92.1%	86.6%	1.06×	1.09
Las Palmas not to win to nil	59.3%	59.3%	76.4%	0.78×	1.69
Las Palmas to win to nil	40.7%	40.8%	23.6%	1.73×	2.45
Eldense to win to nil	7.8%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas by 1	25.6%	27.9%	26.0%	1.07×	3.59
Draw	20.5%	24.1%	26.5%	0.91×	4.15
Las Palmas by 2	20.2%	24.1%	12.1%	2.00×	4.15
Las Palmas by 3+	19.8%	17.1%	7.7%	2.23×	5.86
Eldense by 1	10.1%	11.7%	17.9%	0.66×	8.51
Eldense by 2	3.0%	2.7%	7.1%	0.38×	36.84
Eldense by 3+	0.8%	2.7%	3.2%	0.83×	36.91