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Las Palmas v Espanyol — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 December 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–0
0.96 – 0.88 xG
Shots
10 – 9
On target
3 – 2
Shots in box
4 – 5
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
0.07 – 0.00
Goals − xG
+0.04 – -0.88
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.30.50.81.10'15'30'45'60'75'90'Sandro Ramírez 66' — goal
Las Palmas 0.96 xGEspanyol 0.88 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Tejero 6' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Tejero 7' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Javi Muñoz 11' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Alex Kral 14' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Marvin Park 20' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Javi Puado 23' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Dário Essugo 28' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Javi Puado 37' — Saved Shot (0.43 xG, Open Play)Antoniu Roca 52' — Saved Shot (0.29 xG, Open Play)Sandro Ramírez 66' — Goal (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Fabio Silva 70' — Blocked Shot (0.46 xG, Open Play)Kirian Rodríguez 71' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Manu Fuster 74' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Kirian Rodríguez 75' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jofre Carreras 83' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Carlos Romero 88' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mika Mármol 88' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Sandro Ramírez 90' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Javi Puado 92' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Las Palmas attacking right Espanyol attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
6' Espanyol Tejero 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Walid Cheddira
7' Espanyol Tejero 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Antoniu Roca
11' Las Palmas Javi Muñoz 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Dário Essugo
14' Espanyol Alex Kral 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
20' Las Palmas Marvin Park 0.06 Open Play Missed Shot José Campaña
23' Espanyol Javi Puado 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
28' Las Palmas Dário Essugo 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Sandro Ramírez
37' Espanyol Javi Puado 0.43 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Antoniu Roca
52' Espanyol Antoniu Roca 0.29 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Brian Oliván
66' Las Palmas Sandro Ramírez 0.07 Direct Freekick Right Foot Goal
70' Las Palmas Fabio Silva 0.46 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Kirian Rodríguez
71' Las Palmas Kirian Rodríguez 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
74' Las Palmas Manu Fuster 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kirian Rodríguez
75' Las Palmas Kirian Rodríguez 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Manu Fuster
83' Espanyol Jofre Carreras 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Edu Expósito
88' Espanyol Carlos Romero 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jofre Carreras
88' Las Palmas Mika Mármol 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Manu Fuster
90' Las Palmas Sandro Ramírez 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Adnan Januzaj
92' Espanyol Javi Puado 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Edu Expósito

Players

Las Palmas

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Sandro Ramírez FWL 90 1 0 2 1 0.18 0.06 0.18
Mika Mármol DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.11
Javi Muñoz DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.21
Álex Suárez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Scott McKenna DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jasper Cillessen GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kirian Rodríguez MC 86 0 0 2 2 0.10 0.49 0.15
Fabio Silva FW 82 0 0 1 0 0.46 0.00 0.55
José Campaña MC 79 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.06
Dário Essugo MC 47 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.01 0.07
Marvin Park FWR 47 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
Manu Fuster Sub 43 0 0 1 2 0.03 0.11 0.13
Adnan Januzaj Sub 43 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.14
Enzo Loiodice Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jaime Mata Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Álex Muñoz Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Espanyol

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Javi Puado ML 90 0 0 3 0 0.46 0.00 0.46
Alex Kral MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.35
Brian Oliván DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.29 0.31
Leandro Cabrera DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.45
Marash Kumbulla DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Omar El Hilali DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.51
Joan García GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Pol Lozano DMC 86 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.48
Tejero MC 76 0 0 2 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Antoniu Roca MR 70 0 0 1 2 0.29 0.45 0.74
Walid Cheddira FW 70 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Jofre Carreras Sub 20 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.02 0.06
Alejo Véliz Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Edu Expósito Sub 14 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.07 0.09
Carlos Romero Sub 4 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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