Las Palmas v Real Sociedad II — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Las Palmas

18:00 UTC

Real Sociedad II

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 31h before kick-off

Las Palmas win

55.6%

model 56.3%

Draw

22.2%

model 22.4%

Real Sociedad II win

22.2%

model 21.3%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 10.9%
1-1 10.6%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.7%
0-1 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.0%	Under 2.5	46.0%
BTTS yes	53.4%	BTTS no	46.6%
Las Palmas 1+	83.7%	Las Palmas 2+	54.2%
Real Sociedad II 1+	64.0%	Real Sociedad II 2+	27.2%

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

57/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Las Palmas (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

57.0% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Las Palmas not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Las Palmas carry the stronger rating, 1574 Elo against 1469.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Las Palmas have an estimated 55.6% win probability, against 22.2% for the draw and 22.2% for Real Sociedad II. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.82 for Las Palmas and 1.02 for Real Sociedad II.

Why Las Palmas

Las Palmas carry the stronger rating, 1574 Elo against 1469. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Real Sociedad II can win

Nothing in the data singles out Real Sociedad II.

Key players

Las Palmas's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Fabio Silva (0.41), Oliver McBurnie (0.26), Alberto Moleiro (0.21).

Availability

3 of Las Palmas's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Real Sociedad II, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Las Palmas: 56% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.28 xG a match from set pieces. Real Sociedad II: 38% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Las Palmas are the model's most likely outcome at 55.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 10.9%. Confidence 57/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Las Palmas have scored 8 from 9.8 expected and conceded 14 from 15.3 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DLWWLLLLLL last 10 scored 8 from 9.8 xG conceded 14 from 15.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	562221	1.82–1.02	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	532423	1.67–0.99	1-0 12%	50%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to win	53.5%	51.5%	45.5%	1.13×	1.94
Draw	23.8%	24.5%	26.5%	0.92×	4.09
Real Sociedad II to win	22.7%	24.4%	28.1%	0.87×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas & not both score	30.4%	29.6%	23.6%	1.25×	3.38
Las Palmas & both teams score	23.1%	21.8%	22.0%	0.99×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	17.1%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.57
Real Sociedad II & not both score	12.1%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.54
Real Sociedad II & both teams score	10.6%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.8%	8.3%	9.1%	0.91×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas & over 1.5	41.5%	40.2%	32.6%	1.23×	2.49
Las Palmas & under 3.5	36.8%	34.9%	32.2%	1.08×	2.87
Las Palmas & over 2.5	31.8%	30.8%	26.3%	1.17×	3.25
Las Palmas & under 2.5	21.7%	21.6%	19.3%	1.12×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.1%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Real Sociedad II & under 3.5	17.5%	18.0%	19.6%	0.92×	5.56
Las Palmas & over 3.5	16.7%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.1%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Real Sociedad II & over 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	19.5%	0.92×	5.56
Las Palmas & under 1.5	12.0%	12.8%	13.0%	0.99×	7.79
Real Sociedad II & over 2.5	12.0%	12.8%	16.7%	0.77×	7.79
Real Sociedad II & under 2.5	10.7%	12.8%	11.5%	1.11×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Real Sociedad II & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Real Sociedad II & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (1UP)	66.7%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Real Sociedad II (1UP)	39.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (2UP)	53.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Real Sociedad II (2UP)	22.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to win 2nd half	42.7%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	35.0%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Real Sociedad II to win 2nd half	22.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.2%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.8%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	13.0%	—	—	7.72

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.4%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Las Palmas over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Las Palmas under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Las Palmas over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.6%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (+2.5)	87.5%	88.5%	92.3%	0.96×	1.13
Las Palmas (+0.5)	77.3%	78.5%	71.9%	1.09×	1.27
Real Sociedad II (+1.5)	71.2%	73.6%	80.4%	0.92×	1.36
Las Palmas (-0.5)	53.5%	52.4%	45.5%	1.15×	1.91
Real Sociedad II (+0.5)	46.5%	47.6%	54.5%	0.87×	2.10
Las Palmas (-1.5)	28.8%	26.4%	19.6%	1.34×	3.80
Real Sociedad II (-0.5)	22.7%	21.5%	28.1%	0.77×	4.65
Las Palmas (-2.5)	12.5%	11.5%	7.7%	1.51×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II to concede	81.1%	81.5%	77.6%	1.05×	1.23
Real Sociedad II clean sheet	18.9%	18.5%	22.4%	0.83×	5.40

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II to concede in 1st half	51.1%	50.6%	—	—	1.97
Real Sociedad II clean sheet in 1st half	48.9%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II to concede in 2nd half	61.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Real Sociedad II clean sheet in 2nd half	38.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II under 6.5 corners	92.1%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Real Sociedad II under 5.5 corners	85.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Real Sociedad II under 4.5 corners	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Real Sociedad II over 2.5 corners	61.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Real Sociedad II under 3.5 corners	57.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Real Sociedad II over 3.5 corners	42.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Real Sociedad II under 2.5 corners	38.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Real Sociedad II over 4.5 corners	26.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Real Sociedad II over 5.5 corners	14.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Real Sociedad II over 6.5 corners	7.9%	10.1%	—	—	9.90

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II under 3.5 goals	98.2%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Real Sociedad II under 2.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 goals	73.9%	71.9%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 goals	62.8%	63.2%	67.4%	0.94×	1.58
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 goals	37.2%	36.8%	32.6%	1.13×	2.72
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 goals	26.1%	28.1%	30.6%	0.92×	3.56
Real Sociedad II over 2.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	10.9%	0.70×	13.05
Real Sociedad II over 3.5 goals	1.8%	2.5%	3.0%	0.82×	39.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 in 1st half	94.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 in 1st half	67.3%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 in 1st half	32.7%	30.3%	—	—	3.30
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 in 1st half	6.0%	5.9%	—	—	16.85

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II scores equally in both	46.4%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Real Sociedad II scores more in 2nd half	33.5%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
Real Sociedad II scores more in 1st half	20.1%	22.1%	—	—	4.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (away no bet)	69.2%	66.4%	63.2%	1.05×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.8%	33.6%	36.8%	0.91×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II even goals	56.9%	56.9%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Real Sociedad II odd goals	43.1%	43.1%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.1%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.0%	12.3%	—	—	8.16

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Las Palmas to score 2+ in a row	42.2%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Real Sociedad II to score 2+ in a row	18.5%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Las Palmas to score 3+ in a row	16.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Real Sociedad II to score 3+ in a row	4.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.22

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas corners (+3.5)	95.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Las Palmas corners (+2.5)	91.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Las Palmas corners (+1.5)	85.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Real Sociedad II corners (+3.5)	66.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Las Palmas corners (-1.5)	56.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Real Sociedad II corners (+2.5)	55.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Las Palmas corners (-2.5)	44.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Real Sociedad II corners (+1.5)	43.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Las Palmas corners (-3.5)	33.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Real Sociedad II corners (-1.5)	14.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
Real Sociedad II corners (-2.5)	8.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Real Sociedad II corners (-3.5)	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.40

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	21.5%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	78.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	62.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	50.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	37.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	29.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	15.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.90

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.0%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.72
1-1	11.3%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.72
2-0	9.7%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.50
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.50
0-0	6.8%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
0-1	7.2%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
3-0	5.4%	7.4%	3.0%	2.44×	13.51
3-1	5.4%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.51
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.29
0-2	3.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.30
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.32
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	2.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-1	2.2%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
Any other score	3.1%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (2nd half DNB)	65.8%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Real Sociedad II (2nd half DNB)	34.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas leading at HT (DNB)	68.1%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Real Sociedad II leading at HT (DNB)	31.9%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw (1X)	77.3%	75.6%	71.9%	1.05×	1.32
Las Palmas or Real Sociedad II (12)	76.2%	75.5%	73.5%	1.03×	1.32
Real Sociedad II or draw (X2)	46.5%	48.5%	54.5%	0.89×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw at HT	81.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Real Sociedad II or draw at HT	61.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Las Palmas or Real Sociedad II at HT	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw (1UP)	77.3%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Real Sociedad II or draw (1UP)	46.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw in 2nd half	77.8%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Las Palmas or Real Sociedad II in 2nd half	65.0%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Real Sociedad II or draw in 2nd half	57.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.1%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (DNB)	70.2%	71.4%	61.8%	1.16×	1.40
Real Sociedad II (DNB)	29.8%	28.6%	38.2%	0.75×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to score first	58.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Real Sociedad II to score first	34.8%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	6.8%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.7%	51.3%	54.1%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.3%	48.7%	45.9%	1.06×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.4%	38.4%	43.0%	0.89×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	39.1%	38.4%	39.7%	0.97×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	10.2%	12.4%	6.3%	1.96×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.1%	85.6%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.9%	14.4%	14.4%	1.00×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	22.8%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.6%	5.0%	—	—	20.11

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.3%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.99

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
A half without a goal	47.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.4%	47.2%	41.3%	1.14×	2.12
0-1 goals	25.9%	26.6%	30.6%	0.87×	3.76
4-6 goals	25.7%	26.6%	26.7%	1.00×	3.76
7+ goals	1.9%	1.8%	1.6%	1.17×	54.31

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 0	37.2%	35.9%	32.6%	1.10×	2.78
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	36.9%	0.97×	2.78
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 2	18.2%	19.6%	19.8%	0.99×	5.11
Real Sociedad II to score 3+	7.8%	8.6%	10.9%	0.78×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to score exactly 1	31.5%	32.5%	35.6%	0.91×	3.07
Las Palmas to score exactly 2	26.2%	26.5%	24.9%	1.06×	3.77
Las Palmas to score 3+	23.4%	23.3%	17.2%	1.36×	4.29
Las Palmas to score exactly 0	18.9%	18.8%	22.4%	0.84×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Las Palmas leading at HT	39.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Real Sociedad II leading at HT	18.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas -1: 2	46.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Las Palmas -1: 1	28.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Las Palmas -1: X	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (0:1)	46.5%	46.1%	54.5%	0.85×	2.17
Las Palmas (0:1)	28.8%	27.0%	19.6%	1.38×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.7%	24.2%	26.0%	0.93×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (0:2)	71.2%	75.6%	80.4%	0.94×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.3%	15.3%	12.1%	1.27×	6.54
Las Palmas (0:2)	12.5%	11.0%	7.7%	1.44×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (0:3)	87.5%	90.6%	92.3%	0.98×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.0%	5.8%	5.3%	1.09×	17.20
Las Palmas (0:3)	4.4%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	42.02

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (0:4)	95.6%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.1%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.76
Las Palmas (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	81.96

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (1:0)	77.3%	78.7%	71.9%	1.09×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.8%	12.7%	17.9%	0.71×	7.86
Real Sociedad II (1:0)	7.9%	6.9%	10.3%	0.67×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (2:0)	92.1%	94.0%	89.7%	1.05×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.8%	6.4%	7.1%	0.89×	15.71
Real Sociedad II (2:0)	2.2%	2.3%	3.2%	0.70×	43.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to concede	62.8%	63.7%	67.4%	0.94×	1.57
Las Palmas clean sheet	37.2%	36.3%	32.6%	1.11×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas clean sheet in 1st half	67.3%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Las Palmas to concede in 1st half	32.7%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas clean sheet in 2nd half	55.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Las Palmas to concede in 2nd half	44.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas over 2.5 corners	86.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Las Palmas over 3.5 corners	74.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Las Palmas under 6.5 corners	67.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Las Palmas over 4.5 corners	59.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Las Palmas under 5.5 corners	54.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Las Palmas over 5.5 corners	45.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Las Palmas under 4.5 corners	40.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Las Palmas over 6.5 corners	32.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Las Palmas under 3.5 corners	26.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Las Palmas under 2.5 corners	13.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 3.5 goals	91.2%	92.2%	93.7%	0.98×	1.08
Las Palmas over 0.5 goals	81.1%	82.2%	77.6%	1.06×	1.22
Las Palmas under 2.5 goals	76.6%	77.7%	82.8%	0.94×	1.29
Las Palmas under 1.5 goals	50.4%	53.2%	58.0%	0.92×	1.88
Las Palmas over 1.5 goals	49.6%	46.8%	42.0%	1.11×	2.14
Las Palmas over 2.5 goals	23.4%	22.3%	17.2%	1.30×	4.49
Las Palmas under 0.5 goals	18.9%	17.8%	22.4%	0.79×	5.62
Las Palmas over 3.5 goals	8.8%	7.8%	6.3%	1.24×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 1.5 in 1st half	83.8%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Las Palmas over 0.5 in 1st half	51.1%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Las Palmas under 0.5 in 1st half	48.9%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Las Palmas over 1.5 in 1st half	16.2%	16.0%	—	—	6.26

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas scores more in 2nd half	39.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Las Palmas scores equally in both	34.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Las Palmas scores more in 1st half	26.4%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.2%	51.4%	48.6%	1.06×	1.95
Real Sociedad II (home no bet)	48.8%	48.6%	51.4%	0.95×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas even goals	51.8%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Las Palmas odd goals	48.2%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
HT 1-0	23.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	13.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	9.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 2-0	8.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 0-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.25

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas at HT / Las Palmas at FT	32.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Draw at HT / Las Palmas at FT	18.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Real Sociedad II at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT	11.5%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT	9.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Las Palmas at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Real Sociedad II at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Real Sociedad II at HT / Las Palmas at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.70
Las Palmas at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to score last	58.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Real Sociedad II to score last	34.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	6.8%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.2%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Las Palmas to lead by 1 at any time	66.7%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.1%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Real Sociedad II to lead by 1 at any time	39.7%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Las Palmas to lead by 2 at any time	34.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Las Palmas to lead by 3 at any time	14.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Real Sociedad II to lead by 2 at any time	12.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Real Sociedad II to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	61.68

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas most corners	67.6%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Real Sociedad II most corners	22.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.9%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.2%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
2-6 goals	72.2%	72.4%	67.9%	1.07×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.7%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.6%	68.8%	62.8%	1.10×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.0%	63.3%	56.6%	1.12×	1.58
3-6 goals	47.7%	48.5%	47.7%	1.02×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.4%	48.5%	41.3%	1.17×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.2%	43.6%	44.1%	0.99×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.7%	43.6%	41.8%	1.04×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.5%	39.2%	36.4%	1.08×	2.55
4-6 goals	25.7%	30.2%	26.7%	1.13×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.3%	24.5%	23.2%	1.06×	4.08
5-6 goals	11.2%	14.8%	11.4%	1.30×	6.75
7+ goals	1.9%	2.6%	1.6%	1.63×	39.14

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas never behind	53.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Real Sociedad II never behind	26.5%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.9%	87.6%	87.1%	1.01×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.1%	72.5%	69.4%	1.04×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	72.4%	72.5%	71.8%	1.01×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.5%	52.5%	50.8%	1.03×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	49.6%	47.5%	49.2%	0.97×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	27.6%	27.5%	28.2%	0.98×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	25.9%	27.5%	30.6%	0.90×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	13.1%	12.4%	12.9%	0.96×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	5.1%	1.50×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.0%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.2%	92.4%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.7%	81.1%	84.8%	0.96×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.6%	67.4%	61.6%	1.09×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.6%	61.9%	64.3%	0.96×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.4%	38.1%	35.7%	1.07×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.4%	32.6%	38.4%	0.85×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.3%	18.9%	15.2%	1.24×	5.30
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.8%	7.6%	5.6%	1.36×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.0%	2.8%	1.6%	1.72×	35.60

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.8%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.8%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.7%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.3%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.2%	20.8%	—	—	4.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II not to score in both halves	85.4%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Las Palmas not to score in both halves	68.6%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Las Palmas to score in both halves	31.4%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Real Sociedad II to score in both halves	14.6%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.7%	53.8%	54.1%	1.00×	1.86
Only Las Palmas scores	30.4%	33.3%	23.6%	1.41×	3.01
Only Real Sociedad II scores	12.1%	11.0%	13.4%	0.82×	9.06
Neither team scores	6.8%	7.1%	9.1%	0.78×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.5%	22.6%	20.3%	1.11×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.2%	17.5%	21.6%	0.81×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.6%	12.1%	15.4%	0.79×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	7.7%	7.6%	7.9%	0.97×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.8%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.3%	7.6%	5.1%	1.48×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	32.8%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	20.3%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	10.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	33.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	21.3%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II not to win both halves	96.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Las Palmas not to win both halves	83.4%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Las Palmas to win both halves	16.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.19
Real Sociedad II to win both halves	4.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.16

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to win either half	65.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Real Sociedad II to win neither half	63.6%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Real Sociedad II to win either half	36.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Las Palmas to win neither half	34.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.08

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II not to win to nil	87.9%	88.1%	86.6%	1.02×	1.14
Las Palmas not to win to nil	69.6%	69.7%	76.4%	0.91×	1.44
Las Palmas to win to nil	30.4%	30.3%	23.6%	1.29×	3.30
Real Sociedad II to win to nil	12.1%	11.9%	13.4%	0.89×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas by 1	24.7%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
Draw	23.8%	24.1%	26.5%	0.91×	4.15
Las Palmas by 2	16.3%	17.0%	12.1%	1.41×	5.87
Real Sociedad II by 1	14.8%	11.8%	17.9%	0.66×	8.50
Las Palmas by 3+	12.5%	11.8%	7.7%	1.54×	8.51
Real Sociedad II by 2	5.8%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.92
Real Sociedad II by 3+	2.2%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.84