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Las Palmas v Real Valladolid — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 December 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

2–1
1.28 – 1.31 xG
Shots
11 – 9
On target
5 – 2
Shots in box
4 – 5
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.15
Set-piece xG
0.07 – 0.05
Goals − xG
+0.70 – -0.31
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.71.11.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Sandro Ramírez 19' — goalMarcos de Sousa 44' — goalSandro Ramírez 63' — goal
Las Palmas 1.30 xGReal Valladolid 1.31 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Fabio Silva 16' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Alberto Moleiro 19' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Sandro Ramírez 19' — Goal (0.53 xG, Open Play)Marcos de Sousa 22' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Eray Cömert 31' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Kike Pérez 35' — Missed Shot (0.45 xG, Open Play)Marcos de Sousa 44' — Goal (0.59 xG, Open Play)Dário Essugo 45' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Mamadou Sylla 45' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mamadou Sylla 47' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Sandro Ramírez 48' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Direct Freekick)Sandro Ramírez 63' — Goal (0.04 xG, Open Play)Fabio Silva 73' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Kike Pérez 74' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)José Campaña 78' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Darwin Machís 84' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jaime Mata 85' — Saved Shot (0.41 xG, Open Play)Juan Latasa 91' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Enzo Loiodice 92' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Benito Ramírez 95' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Las Palmas attacking right Real Valladolid attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
16' Las Palmas Fabio Silva 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Javi Muñoz
19' Las Palmas Alberto Moleiro 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mika Mármol
19' Las Palmas Sandro Ramírez 0.53 Open Play Right Foot Goal Fabio Silva
22' Real Valladolid Marcos de Sousa 0.06 Open Play Missed Shot Luis Pérez
31' Real Valladolid Eray Cömert 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
35' Real Valladolid Kike Pérez 0.45 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Lucas Rosa
44' Real Valladolid Marcos de Sousa 0.59 Open Play Right Foot Goal
45' Las Palmas Dário Essugo 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alberto Moleiro
45' Real Valladolid Mamadou Sylla 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
47' Real Valladolid Mamadou Sylla 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Marcos de Sousa
48' Las Palmas Sandro Ramírez 0.02 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot
63' Las Palmas Sandro Ramírez 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Goal José Campaña
73' Las Palmas Fabio Silva 0.06 Open Play Missed Shot Sandro Ramírez
74' Real Valladolid Kike Pérez 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
78' Las Palmas José Campaña 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
84' Real Valladolid Darwin Machís 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mamadou Sylla
85' Las Palmas Jaime Mata 0.41 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
91' Real Valladolid Juan Latasa 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Luis Pérez
92' Las Palmas Enzo Loiodice 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Jaime Mata
95' Las Palmas Benito Ramírez 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Jaime Mata

Players

Las Palmas

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Alberto Moleiro AML 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.03 0.13
Kirian Rodríguez DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.23
Jasper Cillessen GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Scott McKenna DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Álex Suárez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Mika Mármol DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.08
Sandro Ramírez AMR 89 2 0 3 1 0.59 0.06 0.66
Javi Muñoz AMC 89 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.58
Fabio Silva FW 81 0 1 2 1 0.09 0.53 0.65
Dário Essugo DMC 60 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Viti Rozada DR 60 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
José Campaña Sub 30 0 1 1 1 0.05 0.04 0.04
Marvin Park Sub 30 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Jaime Mata Sub 9 0 0 1 2 0.41 0.09 0.49
Enzo Loiodice Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Benito Ramírez Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03

Real Valladolid

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Mamadou Sylla ML 90 0 0 2 1 0.04 0.02 0.06
Stanko Juric DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Javi Sánchez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Luis Pérez DR 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.13 0.15
Lucas Rosa DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.45 0.45
Karl Hein GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Eray Cömert DC 88 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.00
Iván Sánchez MR 88 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Kike Pérez MC 77 0 0 2 0 0.49 0.00 0.54
Marcos de Sousa FW 70 1 0 2 1 0.64 0.02 0.66
Mario Martín MC 70 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Juan Latasa Sub 20 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.07
Víctor Meseguer Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Darwin Machís Sub 13 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Juma Bah Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Amath Diedhiou Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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