Lazio v AC Milan — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627
Serie A
xG
Shots
8 – 16
On target
6 – 7
Shots in box
7 – 11
xG per shot
0.30 – 0.14
Set-piece xG
0.00 – 0.83
Goals − xG
-0.36 – -0.20
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Lazio 2.36 xGAC Milan 2.20 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Lazio attacking right
AC Milan attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2' |
 AC Milan |
Samuel Chukwueze | 0.03 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | — |
| 4' |
 Lazio |
Mattia Zaccagni | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Kenneth Taylor |
| 6' |
Lazio |
Tijjani Noslin | 0.33 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Romano Floriani |
| 9' |
Lazio |
Matteo Cancellieri | 0.51 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Mattia Zaccagni |
| 15' |
AC Milan |
Samuel Chukwueze | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Ruben Loftus-Cheek |
| 19' |
AC Milan |
Estupiñán | 0.01 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 20' |
Lazio |
Mattia Zaccagni | 0.46 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Davide Frattesi |
| 28' |
Lazio |
Davide Frattesi | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 32' |
Lazio |
Davide Frattesi | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Nuno Tavares |
| 37' |
AC Milan |
Strahinja Pavlovic | 0.07 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Samuel Chukwueze |
| 38' |
Lazio |
Tijjani Noslin | 0.78 | Open Play | — | Goal | — |
| 43' |
AC Milan |
Ruben Loftus-Cheek | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Mario Gila |
| 44' |
AC Milan |
Gonçalo Ramos | 0.06 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Luka Modric |
| 44' |
AC Milan |
Mario Gila | 0.71 | From Corner | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Ruben Loftus-Cheek |
| 50' |
AC Milan |
Diego Moreira | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Mario Gila |
| 55' |
AC Milan |
Samuel Chukwueze | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Christian Pulisic |
| 56' |
AC Milan |
Strahinja Pavlovic | 0.31 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Samuel Chukwueze |
| 59' |
AC Milan |
Christian Pulisic | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Alphadjo Cissè |
| 64' |
AC Milan |
Diego Moreira | 0.28 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Christian Pulisic |
| 66' |
AC Milan |
Diego Moreira | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Adrien Rabiot |
| 74' |
Lazio |
Mattia Zaccagni | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Oliver Provstgaard |
| 76' |
AC Milan |
Alphadjo Cissè | 0.28 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Adrien Rabiot |
| 79' |
AC Milan |
Diego Moreira | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Christian Pulisic |
| 93' |
AC Milan |
Omari Hutchinson | 0.02 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Christian Pulisic |
Players
AC Milan
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Gila DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.71 | 0.05 | 0.79 |
| Strahinja Pavlovic DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 1.13 |
| Samuel Chukwueze DMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.38 | 0.98 |
| Adrien Rabiot MC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.95 |
| Mike Maignan GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Koni de Winter DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.83 |
| Gonçalo Ramos FW | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Alphadjo Cissè AMC | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.11 | 0.58 |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek AMC | 48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0.77 | 0.15 |
| Estupiñán DML | 48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Luka Modric MC | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| Diego Moreira Sub | 42 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Christian Pulisic Sub | 42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.11 | 0.46 | 0.89 |
| Yunus Musah Sub | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.66 |
| Omari Hutchinson Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Francesco Camarda Sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Lazio
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattia Zaccagni FWL | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.59 | 0.51 | 1.16 |
| Davide Frattesi MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.46 | 0.94 |
| Christos Mandas GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| Oliver Provstgaard DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.59 |
| Nuno Tavares DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.57 |
| Reda Belahyane MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Romano Floriani DR | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Josip Sutalo DC | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| Kenneth Taylor MC | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.48 |
| Tijjani Noslin FW | 60 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.12 | 0.00 | 1.57 |
| Matteo Cancellieri FWR | 60 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| Gustav Isaksen Sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Andrea Pinamonti Sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Albert Gudmundsson Sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Manuel Lazzari Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Diogo Leite Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |