Le Havre v Angers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627
Ligue 1
xG Prediction generated
Shots
16 – 9
On target
6 – 1
Shots in box
10 – 5
xG per shot
0.07 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
0.18 – 0.07
Goals − xG
-1.05 – -0.49
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyLe Havre win
41.5%
model 43.4%
Draw
27.1%
model 25.8%
Angers win
31.4%
model 30.8%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6,406 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.3%
- 1-0 10.3%
- 2-1 9.0%
- 0-1 8.4%
- 2-0 7.5%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 49.4% | Under 2.5 | 50.6% |
| BTTS yes | 53.4% | BTTS no | 46.6% |
| Le Havre 1+ | 76.8% | Le Havre 2+ | 42.9% |
| Angers 1+ | 69.6% | Angers 2+ | 33.4% |
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.19. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
98/100
Data quality
100/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Angers or draw in 2nd half
Double chance 2HT · usually 58%
67.2% fair odds 1.49
moderate signal · 2125 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Angers under 1.5 in 2nd half
2nd half away goals O/U · usually 83%
83.3% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 709 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- Le Havre have created 1.33 xG a match over their last five while Angers have allowed 1.83.
- At home Le Havre average 1.37 xG a match.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Le Havre have an estimated 41.5% win probability, against 31.4% for Angers and 27.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Le Havre and 1.19 for Angers.
Why Le Havre
Le Havre have created 1.33 xG a match over their last five while Angers have allowed 1.83. At home Le Havre average 1.37 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 27.1%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.
Why Angers can win
Angers have created 1.30 xG a match over their last five while Le Havre have allowed 1.86. Away from home Angers average 1.47 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Le Havre were missing 0.86 expected goal involvements a match against 0.56.
Key players
Le Havre's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Issa Soumaré (0.45), Mbwana Samatta (0.24), Sofiane Boufal (0.24). Angers's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Amine El Ouazzani (0.37), Amine Sbaï (0.31), Goduine Koyalipou (0.25).
Availability
2 of Le Havre's top three contributors did not start their last match. Le Havre had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.10 expected goal involvements a match. 36% of Le Havre's last eleven are new to the club this window. Reported unavailable for Le Havre: Junior Mwanga (suspended). 1 of Angers's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Angers's last eleven are new to the club this window.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Le Havre: 48% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.16 xG a match from set pieces. Angers: 43% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.56 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-12 15:20 · team_stats 2026-09-12 06:04 · availability 2026-09-12 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·
Le Havre are the model's most likely outcome at 41.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 98/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
Le Havre are finishing below their chances — 3.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 4.8 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.
DLWLDLDLLL last 10
scored 8
from 11.8 xG
conceded 13
from 17.8 xG
Angers are finishing below their chances — 3.4 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.
LDDLWLDWLL last 10
scored 12
from 15.4 xG
conceded 20
from 21.5 xG
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.40–1.22 | 0% | 0% | 0% | Home ✗ | |
| dc-xg | 1.45–1.12 | 1-1 12% | 47% | 52% | Home ✗ | |
| dc-xg-oos | 1.44–1.12 | 1-1 12% | 47% | 52% | Home ✗ |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre to win | 46.4% | 47.6% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.10 |
| Angers to win | 28.0% | 27.7% | 31.8% | 0.87× | 3.61 |
| Draw | 25.6% | 27.7% | 22.8% | 1.22× | 3.61 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre & not both score | 25.6% | 25.4% | 23.7% | 1.07× | 3.93 |
| Le Havre & both teams score | 20.9% | 21.8% | 22.0% | 0.99× | 4.60 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.4% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 1.10× | 5.55 |
| Angers & not both score | 14.8% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 0.83× | 7.54 |
| Angers & both teams score | 13.2% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 0.83× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 1.28× | 11.97 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre & over 1.5 | 35.5% | 34.7% | 35.7% | 0.97× | 2.89 |
| Le Havre & under 3.5 | 32.6% | 31.0% | 28.9% | 1.08× | 3.22 |
| Le Havre & over 2.5 | 27.2% | 25.9% | 28.2% | 0.92× | 3.85 |
| Angers & under 3.5 | 21.0% | 21.6% | 20.7% | 1.04× | 4.63 |
| Angers & over 1.5 | 19.9% | 18.0% | 25.6% | 0.70× | 5.57 |
| Le Havre & under 2.5 | 19.2% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 1.03× | 5.57 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 19.4% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 1.09× | 5.57 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 19.4% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 1.09× | 5.57 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 1.10× | 5.57 |
| Angers & over 2.5 | 15.4% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 0.90× | 5.57 |
| Le Havre & over 3.5 | 13.8% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 0.76× | 7.78 |
| Angers & under 2.5 | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 1.07× | 7.78 |
| Le Havre & under 1.5 | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 1.29× | 7.78 |
| Angers & under 1.5 | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 1.24× | 12.57 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 1.21× | 12.57 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 1.24× | 12.57 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 1.24× | 12.57 |
| Angers & over 3.5 | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 0.71× | 12.57 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (1UP) | 61.2% | 63.1% | 58.0% | 1.09× | 1.59 |
| Angers (1UP) | 45.1% | 43.1% | 49.6% | 0.87× | 2.32 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (2UP) | 46.4% | 49.8% | 47.1% | 1.06× | 2.01 |
| Angers (2UP) | 28.0% | 24.9% | 34.2% | 0.73× | 4.02 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 38.1% | 36.0% | 31.2% | 1.15× | 2.78 |
| Le Havre to win 2nd half | 34.1% | 34.5% | 42.1% | 0.82× | 2.90 |
| Angers to win 2nd half | 27.8% | 26.4% | 26.8% | 0.98× | 3.79 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers under 1.5 in 2nd half | 86.1% | 86.6% | 83.3% | 1.04× | 1.16 |
| Angers under 0.5 in 2nd half | 52.2% | 53.3% | 50.2% | 1.06× | 1.88 |
| Angers over 0.5 in 2nd half | 47.8% | 46.7% | 49.8% | 0.94× | 2.14 |
| Angers over 1.5 in 2nd half | 13.9% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 0.80× | 7.47 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre under 1.5 in 2nd half | 82.4% | 82.5% | 75.4% | 1.09× | 1.21 |
| Le Havre over 0.5 in 2nd half | 53.1% | 53.3% | 61.8% | 0.86× | 1.88 |
| Le Havre under 0.5 in 2nd half | 46.9% | 46.7% | 38.2% | 1.22× | 2.14 |
| Le Havre over 1.5 in 2nd half | 17.6% | 17.5% | 24.6% | 0.71× | 5.70 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers (+2.5) | 90.7% | 92.1% | 90.0% | 1.02× | 1.09 |
| Angers (+1.5) | 76.7% | 78.3% | 75.0% | 1.04× | 1.28 |
| Le Havre (+0.5) | 72.0% | 73.7% | 68.2% | 1.08× | 1.36 |
| Angers (+0.5) | 53.6% | 52.1% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.92 |
| Le Havre (-0.5) | 46.4% | 47.9% | 45.6% | 1.05× | 2.09 |
| Angers (-0.5) | 28.0% | 26.3% | 31.8% | 0.83× | 3.80 |
| Le Havre (-1.5) | 23.3% | 21.7% | 25.0% | 0.87× | 4.62 |
| Le Havre (-2.5) | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 0.79× | 12.68 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers to concede | 78.0% | 78.8% | 77.5% | 1.02× | 1.27 |
| Angers clean sheet | 22.0% | 21.2% | 22.5% | 0.95× | 4.71 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers clean sheet in 1st half | 46.9% | 50.7% | 52.3% | 0.97× | 1.97 |
| Angers to concede in 1st half | 53.1% | 49.3% | 47.7% | 1.03× | 2.03 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers to concede in 2nd half | 53.1% | 52.9% | 61.8% | 0.86× | 1.89 |
| Angers clean sheet in 2nd half | 46.9% | 47.1% | 38.2% | 1.23× | 2.12 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers under 6.5 corners | 84.8% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Angers under 5.5 corners | 76.1% | 76.0% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Angers over 2.5 corners | 68.0% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Angers under 4.5 corners | 64.0% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Angers over 3.5 corners | 51.1% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Angers under 3.5 corners | 48.9% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Angers over 4.5 corners | 36.0% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Angers under 2.5 corners | 32.0% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Angers over 5.5 corners | 23.9% | 24.0% | — | — | 4.16 |
| Angers over 6.5 corners | 15.2% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.38 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers under 3.5 goals | 97.3% | 97.4% | 93.4% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| Angers under 2.5 goals | 89.7% | 87.9% | 84.6% | 1.04× | 1.14 |
| Angers under 1.5 goals | 69.3% | 67.9% | 63.2% | 1.07× | 1.47 |
| Angers over 0.5 goals | 67.2% | 67.9% | 69.9% | 0.97× | 1.47 |
| Angers under 0.5 goals | 32.8% | 32.1% | 30.1% | 1.07× | 3.11 |
| Angers over 1.5 goals | 30.7% | 32.1% | 36.8% | 0.87× | 3.11 |
| Angers over 2.5 goals | 10.3% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 0.78× | 8.27 |
| Angers over 3.5 goals | 2.7% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 0.39× | 38.86 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers under 1.5 in 1st half | 92.0% | 94.2% | 87.2% | 1.08× | 1.06 |
| Angers under 0.5 in 1st half | 62.8% | 64.1% | 57.3% | 1.12× | 1.56 |
| Angers over 0.5 in 1st half | 37.2% | 35.9% | 42.7% | 0.84× | 2.79 |
| Angers over 1.5 in 1st half | 8.0% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 0.46× | 17.12 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers scores equally in both | 43.5% | 43.8% | 42.0% | 1.04× | 2.28 |
| Angers scores more in 2nd half | 34.3% | 34.2% | 33.1% | 1.03× | 2.93 |
| Angers scores more in 1st half | 22.3% | 22.4% | 25.1% | 0.89× | 4.46 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (away no bet) | 64.4% | 62.0% | 66.7% | 0.93× | 1.61 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 35.6% | 38.0% | 33.3% | 1.14× | 2.63 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers even goals | 55.4% | 56.9% | 56.3% | 1.01× | 1.76 |
| Angers odd goals | 44.6% | 43.2% | 43.7% | 0.99× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 85.8% | 87.6% | 83.0% | 1.06× | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 14.2% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 0.73× | 8.06 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 61.4% | 58.0% | 65.5% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 38.6% | 42.0% | 34.5% | 1.22× | 2.38 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 54.0% | 51.4% | 60.2% | 0.85× | 1.95 |
| Le Havre to score 2+ in a row | 36.8% | 36.5% | 38.1% | 0.96× | 2.74 |
| Angers to score 2+ in a row | 22.8% | 19.5% | 28.1% | 0.69× | 5.13 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 18.7% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 0.72× | 6.12 |
| Le Havre to score 3+ in a row | 13.1% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 0.87× | 8.22 |
| Angers to score 3+ in a row | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 0.61× | 17.87 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre corners (+3.5) | 89.1% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Le Havre corners (+2.5) | 83.5% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Le Havre corners (+1.5) | 75.9% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Angers corners (+3.5) | 73.7% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Angers corners (+2.5) | 64.8% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Angers corners (+1.5) | 54.6% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Le Havre corners (-1.5) | 45.4% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Le Havre corners (-2.5) | 35.2% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Le Havre corners (-3.5) | 26.3% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Angers corners (-1.5) | 24.1% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Angers corners (-2.5) | 16.5% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
| Angers corners (-3.5) | 10.9% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 48.3% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| 9-11 corners | 26.7% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 25.0% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.91 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 81.4% | 80.7% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 75.0% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 67.2% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 62.1% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 58.2% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 51.7% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 48.3% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 41.8% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 37.9% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 32.8% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 25.0% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 18.6% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.18 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.1% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 1.12× | 8.80 |
| 1-0 | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 1.14× | 8.80 |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.53 |
| 0-0 | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 1.13× | 13.53 |
| 0-1 | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 1.16× | 13.53 |
| 1-2 | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 1.13× | 13.53 |
| 2-0 | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 0.97× | 13.53 |
| 2-2 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.53× | 13.53 |
| 0-2 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 0.30× | 57.66 |
| 0-3 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.69× | 57.67 |
| 0-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.11× | 57.68 |
| 1-3 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.51× | 57.67 |
| 1-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.11× | 57.68 |
| 2-3 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.93× | 57.67 |
| 2-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.22× | 57.68 |
| 3-0 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 0.46× | 57.66 |
| 3-1 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 6.2% | 0.28× | 57.66 |
| 3-2 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.62× | 57.67 |
| 3-3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.11× | 57.67 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.22× | 57.68 |
| 4-0 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.01× | 57.67 |
| 4-1 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.86× | 57.67 |
| 4-2 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.11× | 57.67 |
| 4-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.56× | 57.68 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.56× | 57.68 |
| Any other score | 2.5% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 0.34× | 57.67 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (2nd half DNB) | 55.2% | 60.3% | 61.1% | 0.99× | 1.66 |
| Angers (2nd half DNB) | 44.8% | 39.7% | 38.9% | 1.02× | 2.52 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre leading at HT (DNB) | 65.4% | 73.1% | 53.2% | 1.37× | 1.37 |
| Angers leading at HT (DNB) | 34.6% | 26.9% | 46.8% | 0.57× | 3.72 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre or Angers (12) | 74.4% | 72.3% | 77.2% | 0.94× | 1.38 |
| Le Havre or draw (1X) | 72.0% | 72.3% | 68.2% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| Angers or draw (X2) | 53.6% | 52.4% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre or draw at HT | 79.5% | 80.1% | 71.1% | 1.13× | 1.25 |
| Angers or draw at HT | 61.2% | 62.0% | 67.2% | 0.92× | 1.61 |
| Le Havre or Angers at HT | 59.2% | 57.0% | 61.5% | 0.93× | 1.75 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre or draw (1UP) | 72.0% | 80.1% | 72.5% | 1.10× | 1.25 |
| Angers or draw (1UP) | 53.6% | 59.3% | 62.2% | 0.95× | 1.69 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre or draw in 2nd half | 72.3% | 73.6% | 73.2% | 1.01× | 1.36 |
| Angers or draw in 2nd half | 65.9% | 65.5% | 57.9% | 1.13× | 1.53 |
| Le Havre or Angers in 2nd half | 61.9% | 64.0% | 68.8% | 0.93× | 1.56 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 63.3% | 61.7% | 56.8% | 1.09× | 1.62 |
| Neither half drawn | 36.7% | 38.3% | 43.2% | 0.89× | 2.61 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (DNB) | 62.4% | 62.9% | 58.9% | 1.07× | 1.59 |
| Angers (DNB) | 37.6% | 37.1% | 41.1% | 0.90× | 2.70 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre to score first | 53.4% | 53.9% | 49.3% | 1.09× | 1.86 |
| Angers to score first | 39.4% | 32.9% | 44.3% | 0.74× | 3.04 |
| No goal scored | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 1.14× | 13.34 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 52.4% | 51.6% | 54.0% | 0.96× | 1.94 |
| Not both teams to score | 47.6% | 48.4% | 46.0% | 1.05× | 2.07 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 40.3% | 41.7% | 44.0% | 0.95× | 2.40 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 38.9% | 38.6% | 35.7% | 1.08× | 2.59 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 1.21× | 8.16 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 0.80× | 11.94 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 86.3% | 85.4% | 84.7% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 13.7% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 0.95× | 6.87 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 74.6% | 74.2% | 69.9% | 1.06× | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 25.4% | 25.8% | 30.1% | 0.86× | 3.87 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 59.9% | 59.5% | 57.4% | 1.04× | 1.68 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 20.4% | 20.8% | 23.7% | 0.88× | 4.82 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 0.85× | 9.29 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 1.02× | 14.90 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 80.2% | 82.4% | 81.0% | 1.02× | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 19.8% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 0.93× | 5.67 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 53.3% | 53.4% | 59.4% | 0.90× | 1.87 |
| A half without a goal | 46.7% | 46.6% | 40.6% | 1.15× | 2.15 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.8% | 46.9% | 43.4% | 1.08× | 2.13 |
| 0-1 goals | 26.2% | 26.9% | 22.6% | 1.19× | 3.71 |
| 4-6 goals | 25.2% | 26.9% | 30.7% | 0.88× | 3.71 |
| 7+ goals | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 0.52× | 54.03 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers to score exactly 1 | 36.6% | 35.8% | 33.2% | 1.08× | 2.80 |
| Angers to score exactly 0 | 32.8% | 33.7% | 30.1% | 1.12× | 2.97 |
| Angers to score exactly 2 | 20.4% | 22.5% | 21.5% | 1.04× | 4.45 |
| Angers to score 3+ | 10.3% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 0.84× | 7.71 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre to score exactly 1 | 33.3% | 32.6% | 31.8% | 1.03× | 3.06 |
| Le Havre to score exactly 2 | 25.2% | 26.2% | 23.1% | 1.13× | 3.82 |
| Le Havre to score exactly 0 | 22.0% | 23.3% | 22.5% | 1.04× | 4.28 |
| Le Havre to score 3+ | 19.5% | 19.2% | 22.9% | 0.84× | 5.22 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 40.8% | 43.0% | 38.5% | 1.12× | 2.33 |
| Le Havre leading at HT | 38.8% | 38.0% | 32.8% | 1.16× | 2.63 |
| Angers leading at HT | 20.5% | 19.9% | 28.9% | 0.69× | 5.02 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre -1: 2 | 53.6% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Le Havre -1: 1 | 23.3% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.23 |
| Le Havre -1: X | 23.1% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.23 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers (0:1) | 53.6% | 51.3% | 54.4% | 0.94× | 1.95 |
| Le Havre (0:1) | 23.3% | 24.4% | 25.0% | 0.98× | 4.10 |
| Draw (0:1) | 23.1% | 24.4% | 20.7% | 1.18× | 4.10 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers (0:2) | 76.7% | 79.6% | 75.0% | 1.06× | 1.26 |
| Draw (0:2) | 14.0% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 0.72× | 9.22 |
| Le Havre (0:2) | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 0.77× | 12.99 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers (0:3) | 90.7% | 92.7% | 90.0% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 0.97× | 16.94 |
| Le Havre (0:3) | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 0.58× | 42.33 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers (0:4) | 97.0% | 98.1% | 95.9% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 0.46× | 81.60 |
| Le Havre (0:4) | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.78× | 81.74 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (1:0) | 72.0% | 72.6% | 68.2% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| Draw (1:0) | 17.0% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 1.13× | 5.86 |
| Angers (1:0) | 10.9% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 0.76× | 7.85 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (2:0) | 89.1% | 88.3% | 83.2% | 1.06× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 0.67× | 15.26 |
| Angers (2:0) | 3.3% | 2.4% | 7.2% | 0.34× | 41.38 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 41.3% | 47.9% | 47.3% | 1.01× | 2.09 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 32.7% | 29.9% | 26.8% | 1.11× | 3.35 |
| Halves equal | 26.1% | 26.5% | 26.1% | 1.02× | 3.78 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre to concede | 67.2% | 66.6% | 69.9% | 0.95× | 1.50 |
| Le Havre clean sheet | 32.8% | 33.4% | 30.1% | 1.11× | 2.99 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre clean sheet in 1st half | 62.8% | 64.1% | 57.3% | 1.12× | 1.56 |
| Le Havre to concede in 1st half | 37.2% | 35.9% | 42.7% | 0.84× | 2.79 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre clean sheet in 2nd half | 52.2% | 53.2% | 50.2% | 1.06× | 1.88 |
| Le Havre to concede in 2nd half | 47.8% | 46.8% | 49.8% | 0.94× | 2.14 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre over 2.5 corners | 80.1% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Le Havre under 6.5 corners | 71.3% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Le Havre over 3.5 corners | 66.6% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Le Havre under 5.5 corners | 60.3% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Le Havre over 4.5 corners | 52.6% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Le Havre under 4.5 corners | 47.4% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Le Havre over 5.5 corners | 39.7% | 37.8% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Le Havre under 3.5 corners | 33.4% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Le Havre over 6.5 corners | 28.7% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Le Havre under 2.5 corners | 19.9% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre under 3.5 goals | 93.3% | 92.1% | 91.7% | 1.00× | 1.09 |
| Le Havre under 2.5 goals | 80.5% | 81.9% | 77.1% | 1.06× | 1.22 |
| Le Havre over 0.5 goals | 78.0% | 77.4% | 77.5% | 1.00× | 1.29 |
| Le Havre under 1.5 goals | 55.3% | 58.6% | 54.1% | 1.08× | 1.71 |
| Le Havre over 1.5 goals | 44.7% | 41.4% | 45.9% | 0.90× | 2.41 |
| Le Havre under 0.5 goals | 22.0% | 22.6% | 22.5% | 1.00× | 4.43 |
| Le Havre over 2.5 goals | 19.5% | 18.1% | 22.9% | 0.79× | 5.53 |
| Le Havre over 3.5 goals | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 0.95× | 12.71 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre under 1.5 in 1st half | 82.4% | 84.2% | 87.4% | 0.96× | 1.19 |
| Le Havre under 0.5 in 1st half | 46.9% | 50.8% | 52.3% | 0.97× | 1.97 |
| Le Havre over 0.5 in 1st half | 53.1% | 49.2% | 47.7% | 1.03× | 2.03 |
| Le Havre over 1.5 in 1st half | 17.6% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 1.25× | 6.34 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre scores equally in both | 36.5% | 37.6% | 36.7% | 1.03× | 2.66 |
| Le Havre scores more in 1st half | 31.7% | 32.8% | 22.6% | 1.45× | 3.05 |
| Le Havre scores more in 2nd half | 31.7% | 32.8% | 40.9% | 0.80× | 3.05 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers (home no bet) | 52.2% | 51.5% | 58.3% | 0.88× | 1.94 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 47.8% | 48.5% | 41.7% | 1.16× | 2.06 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre even goals | 52.4% | 50.4% | 51.3% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Le Havre odd goals | 47.6% | 49.6% | 48.7% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 29.5% | 28.9% | 28.5% | 1.01× | 3.46 |
| HT 1-0 | 22.3% | 24.2% | 21.1% | 1.15× | 4.14 |
| HT 0-1 | 13.7% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 0.65× | 9.14 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 1.15× | 9.17 |
| HT 2-0 | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 1.09× | 14.01 |
| Any other HT score | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.52× | 14.05 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 0.70× | 43.42 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 0.42× | 43.47 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 0.51× | 43.53 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2.94× | 43.64 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre at HT / Le Havre at FT | 30.7% | 32.7% | 27.5% | 1.19× | 3.06 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 15.5% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 1.29× | 5.98 |
| Angers at HT / Angers at FT | 14.5% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Le Havre at FT | 13.9% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 0.86× | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Angers at FT | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 1.14× | 7.90 |
| Le Havre at HT / Draw at FT | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.53× | 16.71 |
| Angers at HT / Draw at FT | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 0.56× | 28.76 |
| Le Havre at HT / Angers at FT | 2.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.02× | 28.84 |
| Angers at HT / Le Havre at FT | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 0.97× | 28.85 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre to score last | 53.4% | 52.0% | 53.2% | 0.98× | 1.92 |
| Angers to score last | 39.4% | 38.6% | 40.4% | 0.96× | 2.59 |
| No goal scored | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 1.14× | 13.34 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 92.8% | 92.6% | 93.4% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Le Havre to lead by 1 at any time | 61.2% | 61.3% | 58.0% | 1.06× | 1.63 |
| Angers to lead by 1 at any time | 45.1% | 43.9% | 49.6% | 0.88× | 2.28 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 45.2% | 43.9% | 51.3% | 0.86× | 2.28 |
| Le Havre to lead by 2 at any time | 29.4% | 25.5% | 29.5% | 0.87× | 3.92 |
| Angers to lead by 2 at any time | 16.0% | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.67× | 6.74 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 15.8% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 0.74× | 6.74 |
| Le Havre to lead by 3 at any time | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 0.88× | 9.58 |
| Angers to lead by 3 at any time | 4.5% | 1.7% | 8.4% | 0.20× | 59.96 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre most corners | 56.2% | 55.6% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Angers most corners | 33.3% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
| Corners level | 10.5% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.62 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.7% | 87.4% | 85.0% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 80.1% | 83.3% | 76.4% | 1.09× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 72.0% | 72.3% | 73.9% | 0.98× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 68.7% | 68.9% | 69.0% | 1.00× | 1.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 65.7% | 68.8% | 59.4% | 1.16× | 1.45 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.2% | 63.2% | 60.4% | 1.05× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 47.1% | 48.5% | 50.9% | 0.95× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.8% | 48.5% | 43.4% | 1.12× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 43.9% | 43.6% | 39.3% | 1.11× | 2.29 |
| 3-5 goals | 43.8% | 43.6% | 45.9% | 0.95× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 36.2% | 39.3% | 37.3% | 1.05× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 25.2% | 30.6% | 30.7% | 1.00× | 3.27 |
| 4-5 goals | 21.9% | 24.8% | 25.7% | 0.96× | 4.04 |
| 5-6 goals | 10.9% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 1.09× | 6.66 |
| 7+ goals | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 0.71× | 38.99 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre never behind | 47.6% | 56.6% | 50.4% | 1.12× | 1.77 |
| Angers never behind | 31.5% | 35.5% | 42.0% | 0.85× | 2.82 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 49.7% | 51.0% | 47.3% | 1.08× | 1.96 |
| Even number of goals | 50.3% | 49.0% | 52.7% | 0.93× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.3% | 51.7% | 51.6% | 1.00× | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.7% | 48.3% | 48.4% | 1.00× | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.0% | 52.0% | 49.5% | 1.05× | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.0% | 48.0% | 50.5% | 0.95× | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 94.9% | 92.2% | 91.4% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 92.8% | 92.2% | 93.4% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87.3% | 87.4% | 82.8% | 1.06× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.8% | 72.4% | 77.4% | 0.94× | 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73.0% | 72.4% | 65.8% | 1.10× | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51.1% | 53.0% | 45.7% | 1.16× | 1.89 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.9% | 47.0% | 54.3% | 0.87× | 2.13 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.0% | 27.6% | 34.2% | 0.81× | 3.62 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26.2% | 27.6% | 22.6% | 1.22× | 3.63 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12.7% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 0.73× | 7.97 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 1.19× | 12.84 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 0.91× | 12.85 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.1% | 97.2% | 96.2% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 94.5% | 92.4% | 90.6% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 85.2% | 86.6% | 79.3% | 1.09× | 1.16 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 65.4% | 67.6% | 57.2% | 1.18× | 1.48 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 65.1% | 67.6% | 70.6% | 0.96× | 1.48 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 34.9% | 32.4% | 29.4% | 1.10× | 3.09 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 34.6% | 32.4% | 42.8% | 0.76× | 3.09 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 14.8% | 13.4% | 20.7% | 0.65× | 7.46 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 0.81× | 13.17 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 0.75× | 35.15 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 87.5% | 89.0% | 87.2% | 1.02× | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 70.5% | 71.2% | 71.5% | 1.00× | 1.41 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 65.5% | 69.0% | 66.1% | 1.04× | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 34.5% | 31.0% | 33.9% | 0.92× | 3.23 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 29.5% | 28.8% | 28.5% | 1.01× | 3.47 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 0.86× | 9.09 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 83.2% | 82.8% | 75.4% | 1.10× | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 75.5% | 79.7% | 81.4% | 0.98× | 1.26 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 58.9% | 54.8% | 51.3% | 1.07× | 1.82 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 41.1% | 45.2% | 48.7% | 0.93× | 2.21 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 24.5% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 1.09× | 4.92 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 16.8% | 17.2% | 24.6% | 0.70× | 5.81 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers not to score in both halves | 82.2% | 84.4% | 77.4% | 1.09× | 1.19 |
| Le Havre not to score in both halves | 71.8% | 73.7% | 68.0% | 1.08× | 1.36 |
| Le Havre to score in both halves | 28.2% | 26.3% | 32.0% | 0.82× | 3.80 |
| Angers to score in both halves | 17.8% | 15.6% | 22.6% | 0.69× | 6.39 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 52.4% | 54.2% | 54.0% | 1.00× | 1.84 |
| Only Le Havre scores | 25.6% | 26.1% | 23.7% | 1.10× | 3.83 |
| Only Angers scores | 14.8% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 0.69× | 9.00 |
| Neither team scores | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 1.09× | 14.05 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 24.9% | 22.4% | 23.2% | 0.97× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.9% | 22.4% | 20.3% | 1.11× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 19.0% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 1.08× | 5.70 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.4% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 0.70× | 8.30 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 0.89× | 12.86 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 1.19× | 12.86 |
| 6 or more goals | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 0.91× | 12.86 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 36.0% | 37.1% | 37.8% | 0.98× | 2.70 |
| No goals in 1st half | 29.5% | 28.6% | 28.5% | 1.00× | 3.50 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 22.0% | 21.7% | 21.2% | 1.02× | 4.61 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 0.85× | 9.18 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 41.1% | 44.4% | 48.7% | 0.91× | 2.25 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 34.5% | 33.4% | 32.9% | 1.01× | 3.00 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 24.5% | 23.1% | 18.6% | 1.25× | 4.32 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers not to win both halves | 94.3% | 94.0% | 90.6% | 1.04× | 1.06 |
| Le Havre not to win both halves | 86.8% | 87.9% | 83.3% | 1.06× | 1.14 |
| Le Havre to win both halves | 13.2% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 0.73× | 8.26 |
| Angers to win both halves | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 0.64× | 16.72 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre to win either half | 59.7% | 59.6% | 58.2% | 1.02× | 1.68 |
| Angers to win neither half | 57.5% | 59.5% | 53.7% | 1.11× | 1.68 |
| Angers to win either half | 42.5% | 40.5% | 46.3% | 0.87× | 2.47 |
| Le Havre to win neither half | 40.3% | 40.4% | 41.8% | 0.97× | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers not to win to nil | 85.2% | 87.9% | 83.9% | 1.05× | 1.14 |
| Le Havre not to win to nil | 74.4% | 75.2% | 76.3% | 0.99× | 1.33 |
| Le Havre to win to nil | 25.6% | 24.8% | 23.7% | 1.05× | 4.03 |
| Angers to win to nil | 14.8% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 0.75× | 8.28 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 25.6% | 27.7% | 22.8% | 1.22× | 3.61 |
| Le Havre by 1 | 23.1% | 24.2% | 20.7% | 1.16× | 4.14 |
| Angers by 1 | 17.0% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 1.12× | 5.92 |
| Le Havre by 2 | 14.0% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 0.78× | 8.53 |
| Le Havre by 3+ | 9.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 0.73× | 13.76 |
| Angers by 2 | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 0.74× | 13.76 |
| Angers by 3+ | 3.3% | 2.8% | 7.2% | 0.39× | 35.59 |
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Le Havre 1.06 xGAngers 0.49 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Le Havre attacking right
Angers attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0' |
 Le Havre |
Mbwana Samatta | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Ayumu Seko |
| 1' |
Le Havre |
Ayumu Seko | 0.04 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 3' |
Le Havre |
Mbwana Samatta | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Kaito Mizuta |
| 5' |
 Angers |
Jim Allevinah | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Amine Sbaï |
| 5' |
Angers |
Jim Allevinah | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 9' |
Angers |
Jim Allevinah | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Amine El Ouazzani |
| 14' |
Le Havre |
Djibril Ouziad | 0.30 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Kaito Mizuta |
| 16' |
Angers |
Jim Allevinah | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Amine Sbaï |
| 37' |
Le Havre |
Sota Nakamura | 0.02 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Kaito Mizuta |
| 39' |
Le Havre |
Mbwana Samatta | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Shot On Post | Amir Richardson |
| 42' |
Le Havre |
Djibril Ouziad | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Elias Jelert |
| 45' |
Le Havre |
Mbwana Samatta | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Amir Richardson |
| 46' |
Le Havre |
Amir Richardson | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Kaito Mizuta |
| 46' |
Le Havre |
Josh Maja | 0.16 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 46' |
Le Havre |
Josh Maja | 0.16 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 47' |
Le Havre |
Mbwana Samatta | 0.10 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Amir Richardson |
| 50' |
Angers |
Carlens Arcus | 0.05 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Branco van den Boomen |
| 52' |
Le Havre |
Simon Ebonog | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Sota Nakamura |
| 55' |
Angers |
Amine El Ouazzani | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Jim Allevinah |
| 67' |
Angers |
Jim Allevinah | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Carlens Arcus |
| 68' |
Le Havre |
Mbwana Samatta | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Josh Maja |
| 71' |
Le Havre |
Mbwana Samatta | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Amir Richardson |
| 75' |
Angers |
Djibirin Harouna | 0.02 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 87' |
Le Havre |
Amir Richardson | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Ismaïl Bouneb |
| 88' |
Angers |
Mamadou Simbakoli | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Louis Mouton |
Players
Le Havre
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbwana Samatta FWL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Amir Richardson MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.07 | 0.18 | 0.44 |
| Ayumu Seko DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| Simon Ebonog MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Ahmed Touba DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Elias Jelert DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.38 |
| Gauthier Gallon GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Kaito Mizuta MC | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| Djibril Ouziad DL | 81 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.45 |
| Josh Maja FW | 81 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.01 | 0.40 |
| Sota Nakamura FWR | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.36 |
| Rayan Fofana Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ismaïl Bouneb Sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| Enzo Koffi Sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Daren Mosengo Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Hakim Dongopandji Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Angers
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branco van den Boomen DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| Jordan Lefort DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Joseph Kalulu DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Anthony Lopes GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Yassin Belkhdim DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Ousmane Camara DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Amine Sbaï AML | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| Jim Allevinah AMR | 80 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.36 | 0.02 | 0.38 |
| Carlens Arcus DR | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| Amine El Ouazzani FW | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.24 |
| Bané Diatta AMC | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Djibirin Harouna Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Prosper Peter Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lilian Raolisoa Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Mamadou Simbakoli Sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Louis Mouton Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 |