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Le Havre v Auxerre — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 September 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

3–1
2.84 – 0.74 xG
Shots
22 – 8
On target
8 – 3
Shots in box
13 – 1
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
0.97 – 0.06
Goals − xG
+0.16 – +0.26
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.62.43.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Gaetan Perrin 16' — goalRassoul Ndiaye 51' — goalAbdoulaye Touré 97' — goal
Le Havre 2.84 xGAuxerre 0.74 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Arouna Sangante 1' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Rassoul Ndiaye 7' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Arouna Sangante 11' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Yassine Kechta 11' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Gaetan Perrin 16' — Goal (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Lassine Sinayoko 20' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Lassine Sinayoko 20' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Elisha Owusu 22' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Open Play)Gaetan Perrin 28' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Hamed Junior Traore 29' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Rassoul Ndiaye 37' — Missed Shot (0.52 xG, Open Play)Abdoulaye Touré 43' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Rassoul Ndiaye 44' — Saved Shot (0.23 xG, Open Play)Yassine Kechta 44' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Issa Soumaré 49' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Rassoul Ndiaye 51' — Goal (0.10 xG, Open Play)Oussama Targhaline 54' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Loïc Négo 55' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Yassine Kechta 57' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Oussama Targhaline 61' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Yassine Kechta 61' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Lassine Sinayoko 64' — Saved Shot (0.56 xG, Open Play)Gaetan Perrin 65' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Josué Casimir 73' — Saved Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Christopher Operi 74' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Josué Casimir 77' — Missed Shot (0.35 xG, Open Play)Josué Casimir 85' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Daler Kuzyaev 87' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Christopher Operi 89' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Abdoulaye Touré 97' — Goal (0.76 xG, )
Le Havre attacking right Auxerre attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Le Havre Arouna Sangante 0.08 From Corner Missed Shot Christopher Operi
7' Le Havre Rassoul Ndiaye 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Loïc Négo
11' Le Havre Arouna Sangante 0.01 Set Piece Saved Shot Yassine Kechta
11' Le Havre Yassine Kechta 0.01 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot
16' Auxerre Gaetan Perrin 0.06 Direct Freekick Right Foot Goal
20' Auxerre Lassine Sinayoko 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Hamed Junior Traore
20' Auxerre Lassine Sinayoko 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
22' Auxerre Elisha Owusu 0.00 Open Play Left Foot Own Goal
28' Auxerre Gaetan Perrin 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Theo Bair
29' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Lassine Sinayoko
37' Le Havre Rassoul Ndiaye 0.52 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
43' Le Havre Abdoulaye Touré 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Christopher Operi
44' Le Havre Rassoul Ndiaye 0.23 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Christopher Operi
44' Le Havre Yassine Kechta 0.01 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
49' Le Havre Issa Soumaré 0.01 Set Piece Missed Shot Christopher Operi
51' Le Havre Rassoul Ndiaye 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Goal Christopher Operi
54' Le Havre Oussama Targhaline 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Yassine Kechta
55' Le Havre Loïc Négo 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Rassoul Ndiaye
57' Le Havre Yassine Kechta 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Christopher Operi
61' Le Havre Oussama Targhaline 0.03 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Loïc Négo
61' Le Havre Yassine Kechta 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Oussama Targhaline
64' Auxerre Lassine Sinayoko 0.56 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Gaetan Perrin
65' Auxerre Gaetan Perrin 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Clément Akpa
73' Le Havre Josué Casimir 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Antoine Joujou
74' Le Havre Christopher Operi 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Abdoulaye Touré
77' Le Havre Josué Casimir 0.35 Open Play Missed Shot Christopher Operi
85' Le Havre Josué Casimir 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
87' Le Havre Daler Kuzyaev 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Christopher Operi
89' Le Havre Christopher Operi 0.06 Direct Freekick Left Foot Saved Shot
97' Le Havre Abdoulaye Touré 0.76 Right Foot Goal

Players

Le Havre

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Abdoulaye Touré MC 90 1 0 2 1 0.78 0.02 0.47
Arouna Sangante DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.78
Loïc Négo DR 90 0 0 1 2 0.08 0.14 0.66
Christopher Operi DL 90 0 1 2 8 0.08 0.93 0.91
Oussama Targhaline ML 90 0 0 2 1 0.05 0.05 0.51
Yoann Salmier DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.54
Arthur Desmas GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.45
Gautier Lloris DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.53
Yassine Kechta MC 86 0 0 4 2 0.16 0.03 0.67
Rassoul Ndiaye MR 66 1 0 4 1 0.96 0.08 1.04
Issa Soumaré FW 66 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.08
Josué Casimir Sub 24 0 0 3 0 0.58 0.00 0.65
Antoine Joujou Sub 24 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.14 0.23
Daler Kuzyaev Sub 4 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05

Auxerre

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Hamed Junior Traore AMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.03 0.63
Donovan Léon GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Elisha Owusu DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Jubal DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rayan Raveloson DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Paul Joly DL 87 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Lassine Sinayoko AML 71 0 0 3 1 0.62 0.03 0.65
Gaetan Perrin AMR 70 1 0 3 1 0.09 0.56 0.63
Gabriel Osho DC 70 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.56
Theo Bair FW 50 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Ki-Jana Hoever DR 44 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Clément Akpa Sub 40 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.01
Sinaly Diomande Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kévin Danois Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Florian Aye Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Eros Maddy Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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