Le Havre v Strasbourg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Le Havre

14:00 UTC

Strasbourg

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 819h before kick-off

Le Havre win

27.8%

model 29.8%

Draw

23.0%

model 23.2%

Strasbourg win

49.2%

model 47.1%

282349

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
1-2 9.3%
0-1 7.7%
2-1 7.2%
0-2 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.8%	Under 2.5	39.2%
BTTS yes	61.9%	BTTS no	38.1%
Le Havre 1+	74.6%	Le Havre 2+	39.7%
Strasbourg 1+	83.0%	Strasbourg 2+	52.9%

Expected goals 1.37 – 1.77. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

91/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Strasbourg or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 54%

72.6% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 88%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 383 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Strasbourg carry the stronger rating, 1593 Elo against 1404.
Strasbourg have created 1.39 xG a match over their last five while Le Havre have allowed 1.78.
Away from home Strasbourg average 1.21 xG a match.

Risk factors

Strasbourg have scored 2.00 a match from 1.39 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Strasbourg have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.8% for Le Havre and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.37 for Le Havre and 1.77 for Strasbourg.

Why Le Havre

Le Havre have created 1.18 xG a match over their last five while Strasbourg have allowed 1.84. At home Le Havre average 1.22 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Strasbourg were missing 1.50 expected goal involvements a match against 0.85.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Strasbourg can win

Strasbourg carry the stronger rating, 1593 Elo against 1404. Strasbourg have created 1.39 xG a match over their last five while Le Havre have allowed 1.78. Away from home Strasbourg average 1.21 xG a match.

Key players

Le Havre's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Issa Soumaré (0.44), Mbwana Samatta (0.32), Josh Maja (0.28). Strasbourg's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Julio Enciso (0.42), Martial Godo (0.30), Sebastian Nanasi (0.29).

Availability

1 of Le Havre's top three contributors did not start their last match. 64% of Le Havre's last eleven are new to the club this window. Reported unavailable for Le Havre: Ayumu Seko (suspended). 3 of Strasbourg's top three contributors did not start their last match. 91% of Strasbourg's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Le Havre: 51% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.27 xG a match from set pieces. Strasbourg: 46% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.23 xG a match from set pieces. Le Havre's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Strasbourg are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 91/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Le Havre are finishing below their chances — 3.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 4.8 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DLWLDLDLLL last 10 scored 8 from 11.8 xG conceded 13 from 17.8 xG

Strasbourg are finishing sharply above their chances — 6.2 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off. They are also conceding more than the chances against them merit — 2.6 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DWWLWWDLLL last 10 scored 20 from 13.9 xG conceded 21 from 18.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302347	1.37–1.77	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	332443	1.37–1.62	1-1 11%	57%	60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to win	41.0%	42.9%	31.4%	1.37×	2.33
Le Havre to win	34.2%	30.4%	46.2%	0.66×	3.29
Draw	24.8%	24.5%	22.5%	1.09×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg & both teams score	21.1%	21.8%	15.9%	1.37×	4.59
Strasbourg & not both score	19.9%	18.0%	15.6%	1.15×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.56
Le Havre & both teams score	17.9%	18.0%	22.8%	0.79×	5.57
Le Havre & not both score	16.3%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.57
Draw & not both score	5.6%	8.3%	6.3%	1.31×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg & over 1.5	32.6%	30.7%	25.3%	1.21×	3.25
Strasbourg & under 3.5	27.0%	26.1%	20.3%	1.28×	3.84
Le Havre & over 1.5	26.6%	26.1%	36.2%	0.72×	3.84
Strasbourg & over 2.5	26.1%	26.1%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Le Havre & under 3.5	23.1%	21.6%	29.6%	0.73×	4.63
Le Havre & over 2.5	21.4%	21.6%	28.9%	0.75×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	16.1%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	16.1%	1.12×	5.56
Strasbourg & under 2.5	14.9%	12.8%	11.6%	1.10×	7.79
Strasbourg & over 3.5	14.0%	12.8%	11.2%	1.15×	7.79
Le Havre & under 2.5	12.8%	12.8%	17.5%	0.73×	7.79
Le Havre & over 3.5	11.1%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.79
Le Havre & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Strasbourg & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (1UP)	58.1%	58.1%	49.0%	1.19×	1.72
Le Havre (1UP)	52.3%	52.5%	59.1%	0.89×	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (2UP)	41.0%	47.0%	33.6%	1.40×	2.13
Le Havre (2UP)	34.2%	30.5%	48.2%	0.63×	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	35.2%	36.2%	31.2%	1.16×	2.77
Le Havre to win 2nd half	32.5%	34.1%	42.0%	0.81×	2.93
Strasbourg to win 2nd half	32.3%	34.1%	27.0%	1.27×	2.93

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.8%	84.1%	82.2%	1.02×	1.19
Strasbourg over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.1%	54.2%	50.4%	1.08×	1.84
Strasbourg under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.9%	45.8%	49.6%	0.92×	2.19
Strasbourg over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.2%	15.9%	17.8%	0.89×	6.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.7%	82.6%	75.4%	1.09×	1.21
Le Havre over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.3%	58.2%	62.2%	0.94×	1.72
Le Havre under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.7%	41.8%	37.9%	1.11×	2.39
Le Havre over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.3%	17.4%	24.6%	0.71×	5.74

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (+2.5)	94.5%	92.1%	90.1%	1.02×	1.09
Strasbourg (+1.5)	84.6%	82.6%	75.6%	1.09×	1.21
Strasbourg (+0.5)	65.8%	68.7%	53.8%	1.28×	1.46
Le Havre (+0.5)	59.0%	57.0%	68.6%	0.83×	1.75
Strasbourg (-0.5)	41.0%	43.0%	31.4%	1.37×	2.33
Le Havre (-0.5)	34.2%	31.3%	46.2%	0.68×	3.19
Le Havre (-1.5)	15.4%	17.4%	24.4%	0.71×	5.74
Le Havre (-2.5)	5.5%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to concede	74.5%	76.7%	78.2%	0.98×	1.30
Strasbourg clean sheet	25.5%	23.3%	21.8%	1.07×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg clean sheet in 1st half	57.0%	57.0%	51.8%	1.10×	1.75
Strasbourg to concede in 1st half	43.0%	43.0%	48.2%	0.89×	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to concede in 2nd half	55.3%	57.5%	62.2%	0.92×	1.74
Strasbourg clean sheet in 2nd half	44.7%	42.5%	37.9%	1.12×	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 6.5 corners	87.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Strasbourg under 5.5 corners	79.9%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Strasbourg under 4.5 corners	68.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Strasbourg over 2.5 corners	64.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Strasbourg under 3.5 corners	53.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Strasbourg over 3.5 corners	46.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Strasbourg under 2.5 corners	35.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Strasbourg over 4.5 corners	31.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Strasbourg over 5.5 corners	20.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Strasbourg over 6.5 corners	12.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 3.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	93.7%	0.99×	1.08
Strasbourg under 2.5 goals	80.4%	81.5%	84.5%	0.96×	1.23
Strasbourg over 0.5 goals	78.1%	76.3%	70.3%	1.09×	1.31
Strasbourg under 1.5 goals	55.1%	59.4%	63.2%	0.94×	1.68
Strasbourg over 1.5 goals	44.9%	40.6%	36.8%	1.10×	2.46
Strasbourg under 0.5 goals	21.9%	23.7%	29.8%	0.80×	4.21
Strasbourg over 2.5 goals	19.6%	18.5%	15.5%	1.20×	5.39
Strasbourg over 3.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	6.3%	1.21×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 1.5 in 1st half	83.8%	83.0%	87.8%	0.95×	1.21
Strasbourg over 0.5 in 1st half	51.2%	55.3%	42.0%	1.32×	1.81
Strasbourg under 0.5 in 1st half	48.8%	44.7%	58.0%	0.77×	2.24
Strasbourg over 1.5 in 1st half	16.2%	17.0%	12.2%	1.39×	5.88

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg scores equally in both	36.4%	37.5%	40.9%	0.91×	2.67
Strasbourg scores more in 2nd half	34.2%	33.3%	34.6%	0.96×	3.01
Strasbourg scores more in 1st half	29.4%	26.7%	24.6%	1.09×	3.74

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre (away no bet)	58.0%	57.4%	67.2%	0.85×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.0%	42.6%	32.8%	1.30×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg even goals	52.4%	52.6%	55.7%	0.94×	1.90
Strasbourg odd goals	47.6%	47.4%	44.3%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.5%	82.8%	82.6%	1.00×	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.5%	17.2%	17.4%	0.99×	5.82

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.8%	68.3%	66.0%	1.04×	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.2%	31.7%	34.0%	0.93×	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.4%	55.1%	60.6%	0.91×	1.81
Strasbourg to score 2+ in a row	35.6%	36.5%	28.0%	1.30×	2.74
Le Havre to score 2+ in a row	30.3%	29.0%	38.6%	0.75×	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.0%	19.6%	22.3%	0.88×	5.11
Strasbourg to score 3+ in a row	12.2%	12.0%	9.1%	1.31×	8.32
Le Havre to score 3+ in a row	9.2%	5.6%	13.7%	0.41×	17.93

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre corners (+3.5)	90.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Le Havre corners (+2.5)	85.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Le Havre corners (+1.5)	78.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Strasbourg corners (+3.5)	73.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Strasbourg corners (+2.5)	63.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Strasbourg corners (+1.5)	53.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Le Havre corners (-1.5)	46.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Le Havre corners (-2.5)	36.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Le Havre corners (-3.5)	26.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Strasbourg corners (-1.5)	21.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Strasbourg corners (-2.5)	14.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
Strasbourg corners (-3.5)	9.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	26.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	21.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	71.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 7.5 corners	41.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	37.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	28.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	15.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.6%	11.5%	9.9%	1.16×	8.72
0-1	8.5%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.51
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.51
1-0	7.6%	7.4%	10.2%	0.73×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.51
0-0	5.6%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
0-2	6.4%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
2-0	5.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	5.2%	1.44×	13.51
0-3	3.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
1-3	4.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.29
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.30
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.31
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	6.0%	0.28×	58.30
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	3.88×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.82×	58.32
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre (2nd half DNB)	50.1%	53.2%	60.9%	0.87×	1.88
Strasbourg (2nd half DNB)	49.9%	46.8%	39.1%	1.20×	2.14

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg leading at HT (DNB)	58.1%	56.4%	45.8%	1.23×	1.77
Le Havre leading at HT (DNB)	41.9%	43.6%	54.2%	0.80×	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre or Strasbourg (12)	75.2%	75.5%	77.5%	0.98×	1.32
Strasbourg or draw (X2)	65.8%	69.6%	53.8%	1.29×	1.44
Le Havre or draw (1X)	59.0%	57.1%	68.6%	0.83×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg or draw at HT	74.9%	74.8%	66.6%	1.12×	1.34
Le Havre or draw at HT	65.3%	67.0%	71.7%	0.93×	1.49
Le Havre or Strasbourg at HT	59.8%	57.7%	61.6%	0.94×	1.73

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg or draw (1UP)	65.8%	76.2%	61.7%	1.24×	1.31
Le Havre or draw (1UP)	59.0%	63.1%	73.2%	0.86×	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre or draw in 2nd half	67.7%	65.9%	73.0%	0.90×	1.52
Strasbourg or draw in 2nd half	67.5%	65.9%	58.0%	1.14×	1.52
Le Havre or Strasbourg in 2nd half	64.8%	63.8%	68.8%	0.93×	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.3%	61.3%	57.0%	1.08×	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.7%	38.7%	43.0%	0.90×	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (DNB)	54.5%	51.0%	40.4%	1.26×	1.96
Le Havre (DNB)	45.5%	49.0%	59.6%	0.82×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to score first	49.7%	46.1%	43.5%	1.06×	2.17
Le Havre to score first	44.7%	41.8%	50.3%	0.83×	2.39
No goal scored	5.6%	7.4%	6.3%	1.16×	13.55

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.2%	55.0%	54.8%	1.00×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.8%	45.0%	45.2%	0.99×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.6%	44.3%	45.1%	0.98×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	33.3%	34.5%	35.2%	0.98×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	11.6%	12.4%	9.9%	1.25×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.5%	8.3%	10.2%	0.82×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.2%	82.6%	84.5%	0.98×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.8%	17.4%	15.5%	1.13×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.5%	67.2%	69.4%	0.97×	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.5%	32.8%	30.6%	1.07×	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.2%	54.6%	57.1%	0.95×	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	23.8%	21.0%	24.3%	0.86×	4.76
Both score 1st half only	15.3%	14.9%	12.4%	1.21×	6.69
Both score in both halves	6.7%	6.8%	6.5%	1.05×	14.70

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.0%	81.2%	81.3%	1.00×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.0%	18.8%	18.7%	1.01×	5.31

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.7%	57.0%	59.6%	0.96×	1.75
A half without a goal	42.3%	43.0%	40.4%	1.07×	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.6%	47.2%	43.4%	1.09×	2.12
4-6 goals	29.9%	26.6%	30.8%	0.87×	3.76
0-1 goals	21.7%	22.9%	22.4%	1.02×	4.37
7+ goals	2.8%	1.8%	3.7%	0.50×	54.25

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to score exactly 1	33.3%	33.8%	33.6%	1.01×	2.96
Strasbourg to score exactly 2	25.3%	27.4%	21.5%	1.27×	3.65
Strasbourg to score exactly 0	21.9%	22.3%	29.8%	0.75×	4.49
Strasbourg to score 3+	19.6%	19.6%	15.5%	1.27×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre to score exactly 1	34.8%	32.6%	31.8%	1.02×	3.07
Le Havre to score exactly 0	25.5%	26.5%	21.8%	1.22×	3.77
Le Havre to score exactly 2	23.8%	23.3%	24.2%	0.97×	4.29
Le Havre to score 3+	15.9%	18.7%	22.5%	0.83×	5.34

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.2%	42.3%	38.4%	1.10×	2.37
Strasbourg leading at HT	34.7%	33.0%	28.3%	1.17×	3.03
Le Havre leading at HT	25.1%	25.2%	33.4%	0.75×	3.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg -1: 1	59.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Strasbourg -1: X	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Strasbourg -1: 2	20.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (0:1)	65.8%	65.2%	53.8%	1.21×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.8%	17.8%	21.9%	0.81×	5.61
Le Havre (0:1)	15.4%	17.8%	24.4%	0.73×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (0:2)	84.6%	83.0%	75.6%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.9%	7.7%	14.7%	0.52×	13.02
Le Havre (0:2)	5.5%	7.7%	9.9%	0.78×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (0:3)	94.5%	92.7%	90.1%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.9%	2.4%	5.9%	0.40×	42.06
Le Havre (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (0:4)	98.4%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	2.8%	0.44×	82.04
Le Havre (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	82.13

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre (1:0)	59.0%	58.4%	68.6%	0.85×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	20.9%	21.7%	14.7%	1.47×	4.61
Strasbourg (1:0)	20.1%	21.7%	16.8%	1.29×	4.62

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre (2:0)	79.9%	80.6%	83.2%	0.97×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.2%	10.3%	9.9%	1.04×	9.73
Strasbourg (2:0)	7.9%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.0%	48.6%	48.3%	1.01×	2.06
1st half highest scoring	30.5%	27.5%	25.9%	1.06×	3.64
Halves equal	24.5%	24.4%	25.9%	0.94×	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre to concede	78.1%	76.1%	70.3%	1.08×	1.32
Le Havre clean sheet	21.9%	23.9%	29.8%	0.80×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre to concede in 1st half	51.2%	55.3%	42.0%	1.32×	1.81
Le Havre clean sheet in 1st half	48.8%	44.7%	58.0%	0.77×	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre to concede in 2nd half	55.1%	54.5%	50.4%	1.08×	1.83
Le Havre clean sheet in 2nd half	44.9%	45.5%	49.6%	0.92×	2.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre over 2.5 corners	79.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Le Havre under 6.5 corners	73.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Le Havre over 3.5 corners	65.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Le Havre under 5.5 corners	62.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Le Havre over 4.5 corners	51.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Le Havre under 4.5 corners	48.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Le Havre over 5.5 corners	38.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Le Havre under 3.5 corners	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Le Havre over 6.5 corners	27.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Le Havre under 2.5 corners	20.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre under 3.5 goals	95.0%	92.2%	91.6%	1.01×	1.08
Le Havre under 2.5 goals	84.1%	82.2%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Le Havre over 0.5 goals	74.5%	74.3%	78.2%	0.95×	1.35
Le Havre under 1.5 goals	60.3%	63.6%	53.5%	1.19×	1.57
Le Havre over 1.5 goals	39.7%	36.4%	46.5%	0.78×	2.75
Le Havre under 0.5 goals	25.5%	25.7%	21.8%	1.18×	3.88
Le Havre over 2.5 goals	15.9%	17.8%	22.5%	0.79×	5.63
Le Havre over 3.5 goals	5.0%	7.8%	8.4%	0.92×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre under 1.5 in 1st half	89.0%	90.2%	87.2%	1.03×	1.11
Le Havre under 0.5 in 1st half	57.0%	56.9%	51.8%	1.10×	1.76
Le Havre over 0.5 in 1st half	43.0%	43.1%	48.2%	0.90×	2.32
Le Havre over 1.5 in 1st half	11.0%	9.8%	12.8%	0.76×	10.23

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre scores equally in both	38.4%	37.8%	36.5%	1.04×	2.64
Le Havre scores more in 2nd half	38.1%	37.8%	40.9%	0.92×	2.64
Le Havre scores more in 1st half	23.5%	21.1%	22.7%	0.93×	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (home no bet)	62.4%	60.0%	58.2%	1.03×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.6%	40.0%	41.8%	0.96×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre even goals	53.3%	50.7%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Le Havre odd goals	46.8%	49.3%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.8%	28.5%	28.6%	1.00×	3.51
HT 0-1	20.0%	18.5%	16.8%	1.10×	5.39
HT 1-0	15.6%	18.5%	21.5%	0.86×	5.42
HT 1-1	11.2%	11.0%	9.4%	1.16×	9.12
HT 0-2	7.2%	6.9%	5.2%	1.34×	14.46
Any other HT score	5.5%	6.9%	4.6%	1.51×	14.49
HT 2-0	4.4%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	41.92
HT 1-2	4.0%	2.4%	4.4%	0.54×	41.95
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.4%	3.2%	0.73×	42.00
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	0.7%	3.22×	42.13

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg at HT / Strasbourg at FT	25.9%	27.2%	18.9%	1.44×	3.68
Le Havre at HT / Le Havre at FT	18.4%	16.8%	27.7%	0.61×	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.2%	12.7%	12.7%	1.00×	7.90
Draw at HT / Le Havre at FT	13.1%	12.6%	15.2%	0.83×	7.91
Draw at HT / Strasbourg at FT	13.0%	12.6%	10.9%	1.16×	7.91
Strasbourg at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.1%	6.0%	1.01×	16.47
Le Havre at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	4.1%	0.84×	28.80
Strasbourg at HT / Le Havre at FT	2.8%	3.5%	3.7%	0.94×	28.87
Le Havre at HT / Strasbourg at FT	2.1%	3.5%	1.9%	1.81×	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to score last	49.7%	46.6%	40.9%	1.14×	2.15
Le Havre to score last	44.7%	40.2%	53.0%	0.76×	2.49
No goal scored	5.6%	7.4%	6.3%	1.16×	13.55

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.4%	92.7%	93.7%	0.99×	1.08
Strasbourg to lead by 1 at any time	58.1%	54.9%	49.0%	1.12×	1.82
Le Havre to lead by 1 at any time	52.3%	50.8%	59.1%	0.86×	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.4%	44.4%	51.5%	0.86×	2.25
Strasbourg to lead by 2 at any time	26.9%	25.4%	21.7%	1.17×	3.95
Le Havre to lead by 2 at any time	21.8%	19.5%	29.9%	0.65×	5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.4%	14.9%	19.8%	0.75×	6.72
Strasbourg to lead by 3 at any time	10.1%	10.5%	8.3%	1.27×	9.56
Le Havre to lead by 3 at any time	7.3%	6.7%	11.7%	0.57×	14.96

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre most corners	58.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Strasbourg most corners	31.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.8%	78.7%	76.9%	1.02×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.5%	78.7%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.0%	72.3%	69.2%	1.05×	1.38
1-3 goals	61.7%	63.3%	59.5%	1.06×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.3%	60.8%	1.04×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.3%	53.2%	51.5%	1.03×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.8%	48.5%	46.7%	1.04×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.6%	48.5%	43.4%	1.12×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.3%	39.2%	38.7%	1.01×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.5%	39.2%	38.3%	1.02×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.9%	30.2%	30.8%	0.98×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.4%	30.2%	25.9%	1.17×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.8%	14.8%	13.4%	1.11×	6.75
7+ goals	2.8%	2.6%	3.7%	0.69×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg never behind	42.1%	48.6%	40.9%	1.19×	2.06
Le Havre never behind	36.3%	44.0%	51.0%	0.86×	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	47.9%	1.06×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	52.1%	0.94×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.9%	51.8%	51.5%	1.00×	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.1%	48.2%	48.5%	1.00×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	51.9%	50.1%	1.04×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.1%	49.9%	0.96×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	93.7%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	91.5%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.4%	82.3%	83.1%	0.99×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.3%	77.3%	77.6%	1.00×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.3%	66.3%	65.7%	1.01×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.1%	58.6%	55.1%	1.06×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.9%	41.4%	44.9%	0.92×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	32.7%	33.7%	34.3%	0.98×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.7%	22.7%	22.4%	1.01×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.6%	17.7%	16.9%	1.04×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	8.5%	0.90×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	6.3%	1.22×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.1%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.0%	92.4%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.2%	81.1%	79.5%	1.02×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.8%	72.4%	71.1%	1.02×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.9%	55.8%	56.7%	0.98×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.1%	44.2%	43.3%	1.02×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.2%	27.6%	28.9%	0.96×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.8%	18.9%	20.5%	0.92×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.0%	7.6%	9.3%	0.81×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.9%	2.8%	3.9%	0.73×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.2%	89.0%	87.5%	1.02×	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.2%	71.4%	71.4%	1.00×	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.4%	63.2%	66.6%	0.95×	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.6%	36.8%	33.4%	1.10×	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.8%	28.6%	28.6%	1.00×	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.8%	11.0%	12.5%	0.88×	9.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.8%	81.9%	0.97×	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.2%	79.7%	75.3%	1.06×	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.3%	50.1%	1.06×	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	46.7%	49.9%	0.94×	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.8%	20.3%	24.7%	0.82×	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.2%	18.1%	1.12×	4.94

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre not to score in both halves	76.2%	78.5%	67.9%	1.16×	1.27
Strasbourg not to score in both halves	71.8%	73.9%	77.9%	0.95×	1.35
Strasbourg to score in both halves	28.2%	26.1%	22.1%	1.18×	3.83
Le Havre to score in both halves	23.8%	21.5%	32.1%	0.67×	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.2%	58.7%	54.8%	1.07×	1.70
Only Strasbourg scores	19.9%	16.0%	15.6%	1.03×	6.23
Only Le Havre scores	16.3%	16.0%	23.6%	0.68×	6.24
Neither team scores	5.6%	7.1%	6.3%	1.12×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.2%	22.6%	22.7%	1.00×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	20.9%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.1%	17.5%	16.2%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	16.1%	17.5%	17.5%	1.00×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.3%	7.6%	8.5%	0.89×	13.14
6 or more goals	7.3%	7.6%	8.5%	0.89×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.6%	7.6%	6.3%	1.20×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.6%	37.3%	38.1%	0.98×	2.68
No goals in 1st half	27.8%	28.5%	28.6%	1.00×	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	22.8%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	13.8%	10.9%	12.5%	0.87×	9.15

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.7%	44.8%	49.9%	0.90×	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.2%	33.7%	32.1%	1.05×	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	20.1%	22.5%	18.1%	1.24×	4.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre not to win both halves	91.9%	94.1%	83.7%	1.13×	1.06
Strasbourg not to win both halves	88.8%	88.0%	90.7%	0.97×	1.14
Strasbourg to win both halves	11.2%	12.0%	9.3%	1.29×	8.34
Le Havre to win both halves	8.1%	5.9%	16.3%	0.36×	17.01

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to win either half	55.8%	59.1%	46.0%	1.29×	1.69
Le Havre to win neither half	50.6%	54.2%	40.9%	1.32×	1.84
Le Havre to win either half	49.4%	45.8%	59.1%	0.78×	2.18
Strasbourg to win neither half	44.2%	40.9%	54.1%	0.76×	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Havre not to win to nil	83.7%	83.1%	76.4%	1.09×	1.20
Strasbourg not to win to nil	80.1%	83.1%	84.4%	0.98×	1.20
Strasbourg to win to nil	19.9%	16.9%	15.6%	1.08×	5.91
Le Havre to win to nil	16.3%	16.9%	23.6%	0.72×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.8%	24.1%	22.5%	1.07×	4.15
Strasbourg by 1	20.9%	24.1%	14.7%	1.64×	4.15
Le Havre by 1	18.8%	17.1%	21.9%	0.78×	5.87
Strasbourg by 2	12.2%	11.8%	9.9%	1.19×	8.51
Le Havre by 2	9.9%	7.2%	14.7%	0.49×	13.89
Strasbourg by 3+	7.9%	7.2%	7.1%	1.02×	13.90
Le Havre by 3+	5.5%	7.2%	9.9%	0.73×	13.91