Lecce v Juventus — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 06:09 UTC

Lecce

14:00 UTC

Juventus

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 1,134h before kick-off

Lecce win

10.4%

model 13.3%

Draw

22.1%

model 20.3%

Juventus win

67.6%

model 66.4%

102268

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (159 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 12.7%
0-2 12.7%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 9.6%
0-3 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.9%	Under 2.5	48.1%
BTTS yes	45.8%	BTTS no	54.2%
Lecce 1+	53.0%	Lecce 2+	17.5%
Juventus 1+	86.4%	Juventus 2+	59.2%

Expected goals 0.76 – 1.99. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

94/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Juventus (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 34%

68.9% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1052 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time · usually 84%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1245 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Juventus carry the stronger rating, 1722 Elo against 1456.
Juventus have created 1.85 xG a match over their last five while Lecce have allowed 2.12.
Away from home Juventus average 1.75 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Juventus have an estimated 67.6% win probability, against 22.1% for the draw and 10.4% for Lecce. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.76 for Lecce and 1.99 for Juventus.

Why Lecce

Lecce have created 1.31 xG a match over their last five while Juventus have allowed 0.63. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. At home Lecce average 1.24 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Juventus were missing 1.41 expected goal involvements a match against 0.73.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.1%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Juventus can win

Juventus carry the stronger rating, 1722 Elo against 1456. Juventus have created 1.85 xG a match over their last five while Lecce have allowed 2.12. Away from home Juventus average 1.75 xG a match.

Key players

Lecce's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Walid Cheddira (0.26), Willem Geubbels (0.26), Nikola Stulic (0.24). Juventus's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Kenan Yildiz (0.43), Dusan Vlahovic (0.38), Francisco Conceição (0.36).

Availability

2 of Lecce's top three contributors did not start their last match. 2 of Juventus's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Juventus's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Lecce: 36% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.41 xG a match from set pieces. Juventus: 57% possession, 19.6 shots a match, 8.0 faced, 0.68 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

Juventus are the model's most likely outcome at 67.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.7%. Confidence 94/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Lecce are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.1 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 9.2 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LDDWLWWWLL last 10 scored 9 from 13.1 xG conceded 12 from 21.2 xG

Juventus are finishing sharply below their chances — 7.5 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

WWDDWLDWWD last 10 scored 11 from 18.5 xG conceded 6 from 6.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	132066	0.76–1.99	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	142165	0.76–1.94	0-1 13%	51%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to win	66.4%	67.6%	34.0%	1.99×	1.48
Draw	20.3%	22.1%	26.8%	0.82×	4.53
Lecce to win	13.3%	10.4%	39.4%	0.26×	9.62

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus & not both score	40.6%	45.5%	20.8%	2.19×	2.20
Juventus & both teams score	25.9%	26.3%	13.3%	1.98×	3.80
Draw & both teams score	13.9%	12.2%	18.7%	0.65×	8.21
Lecce & not both score	7.2%	7.3%	22.6%	0.32×	13.68
Draw & not both score	6.4%	7.3%	8.2%	0.89×	13.70
Lecce & both teams score	6.0%	7.3%	16.9%	0.43×	13.70

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus & over 1.5	53.7%	49.3%	24.6%	2.00×	2.03
Juventus & under 3.5	43.5%	44.0%	26.6%	1.65×	2.27
Juventus & over 2.5	41.0%	43.9%	18.1%	2.43×	2.28
Juventus & under 2.5	25.5%	25.5%	16.0%	1.59×	3.93
Juventus & over 3.5	22.9%	21.5%	7.4%	2.89×	4.65
Draw & under 2.5	16.0%	17.6%	19.9%	0.88×	5.70
Draw & under 3.5	16.0%	17.6%	19.9%	0.88×	5.70
Draw & over 1.5	13.9%	12.7%	18.7%	0.68×	7.86
Juventus & under 1.5	12.7%	12.7%	9.5%	1.34×	7.86
Lecce & under 3.5	10.8%	12.7%	29.4%	0.43×	7.87
Lecce & over 1.5	8.4%	7.5%	29.0%	0.26×	13.40
Lecce & under 2.5	6.7%	7.5%	17.0%	0.44×	13.41
Lecce & over 2.5	6.6%	7.5%	22.5%	0.33×	13.41
Draw & under 1.5	6.4%	7.5%	8.2%	0.91×	13.41
Lecce & under 1.5	4.8%	4.6%	10.5%	0.44×	21.90
Draw & over 2.5	4.3%	4.6%	6.9%	0.66×	21.92
Draw & over 3.5	4.3%	4.6%	6.9%	0.66×	21.92
Lecce & over 3.5	2.5%	4.5%	10.1%	0.45×	22.00

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (1UP)	76.3%	79.7%	51.1%	1.56×	1.25
Lecce (1UP)	28.9%	24.7%	54.7%	0.45×	4.05

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (2UP)	66.4%	68.4%	36.5%	1.87×	1.46
Lecce (2UP)	13.3%	14.1%	41.0%	0.34×	7.09

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to win 2nd half	52.0%	48.7%	29.5%	1.65×	2.05
2nd half drawn	34.0%	33.8%	35.9%	0.94×	2.96
Lecce to win 2nd half	14.0%	10.9%	34.7%	0.31×	9.19

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (+2.5)	99.2%	97.2%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Juventus (+1.5)	96.3%	97.1%	83.0%	1.17×	1.03
Juventus (+0.5)	86.7%	89.0%	60.6%	1.47×	1.12
Juventus (-0.5)	66.4%	68.9%	34.0%	2.03×	1.45
Lecce (+0.5)	33.6%	31.1%	66.0%	0.47×	3.22
Lecce (-0.5)	13.3%	11.0%	39.4%	0.28×	9.06
Lecce (-1.5)	3.7%	2.9%	17.0%	0.17×	34.89
Lecce (-2.5)	0.8%	2.8%	7.6%	0.36×	36.34

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to concede	53.0%	58.5%	71.1%	0.82×	1.71
Juventus clean sheet	47.0%	41.5%	28.9%	1.44×	2.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus clean sheet in 1st half	70.6%	73.9%	58.8%	1.26×	1.35
Juventus to concede in 1st half	29.4%	26.1%	41.2%	0.63×	3.83

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus over 2.5 corners	86.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Juventus over 3.5 corners	76.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Juventus over 4.5 corners	63.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Juventus under 6.5 corners	61.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Juventus over 5.5 corners	50.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Juventus under 5.5 corners	49.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Juventus over 6.5 corners	38.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Juventus under 4.5 corners	36.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Juventus under 3.5 corners	23.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Juventus under 2.5 corners	13.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus over 0.5 goals	86.4%	88.9%	69.3%	1.28×	1.13
Juventus under 3.5 goals	85.8%	88.9%	97.1%	0.92×	1.13
Juventus under 2.5 goals	67.8%	67.2%	88.4%	0.76×	1.49
Juventus over 1.5 goals	59.2%	57.8%	34.6%	1.67×	1.73
Juventus under 1.5 goals	40.8%	42.2%	65.4%	0.65×	2.37
Juventus over 2.5 goals	32.2%	32.8%	11.6%	2.82×	3.05
Juventus over 3.5 goals	14.2%	11.1%	2.9%	3.83×	8.99
Juventus under 0.5 goals	13.6%	11.1%	30.7%	0.36×	9.01

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus under 1.5 in 1st half	76.3%	79.0%	90.2%	0.88×	1.27
Juventus over 0.5 in 1st half	60.4%	63.5%	41.0%	1.55×	1.58
Juventus under 0.5 in 1st half	39.6%	36.5%	59.0%	0.62×	2.74
Juventus over 1.5 in 1st half	23.7%	21.0%	9.8%	2.14×	4.75

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	60.5%	58.8%	40.5%	1.45×	1.70
Lecce (away no bet)	39.5%	41.2%	59.5%	0.69×	2.43

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus even goals	50.9%	52.3%	55.7%	0.94×	1.91
Juventus odd goals	49.1%	47.7%	44.3%	1.08×	2.10

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.2%	81.8%	87.2%	0.94×	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.8%	18.2%	12.8%	1.43×	5.49

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.0%	66.4%	59.6%	1.11×	1.51
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.0%	33.6%	40.4%	0.83×	2.98

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.3%	61.2%	52.8%	1.16×	1.63
Juventus to score 2+ in a row	53.1%	52.9%	27.7%	1.91×	1.89
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.9%	25.2%	17.3%	1.45×	3.98
Juventus to score 3+ in a row	25.2%	25.1%	7.7%	3.26×	3.99
Lecce to score 2+ in a row	11.4%	12.2%	31.1%	0.39×	8.22
Lecce to score 3+ in a row	1.9%	3.3%	9.7%	0.34×	29.92

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus corners (+3.5)	91.5%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Juventus corners (+2.5)	86.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Juventus corners (+1.5)	80.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Lecce corners (+3.5)	67.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Lecce corners (+2.5)	57.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Juventus corners (-1.5)	52.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Lecce corners (+1.5)	47.4%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Juventus corners (-2.5)	42.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Juventus corners (-3.5)	32.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Lecce corners (-1.5)	19.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Lecce corners (-2.5)	13.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Lecce corners (-3.5)	8.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
12+ corners	33.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.6%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	71.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	41.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	38.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	33.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	28.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	25.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	12.7%	11.6%	9.5%	1.22×	8.63
0-2	12.7%	11.6%	6.7%	1.73×	8.63
1-1	9.6%	7.3%	11.9%	0.61×	13.74
1-2	9.6%	7.3%	7.6%	0.96×	13.74
0-3	8.4%	7.3%	3.3%	2.22×	13.74
0-0	6.4%	7.3%	8.2%	0.89×	13.75
1-3	6.4%	7.3%	1.9%	3.84×	13.75
Any other score	5.3%	7.3%	2.8%	2.62×	13.75
0-4	4.2%	1.8%	1.0%	1.79×	55.40
1-0	4.8%	1.8%	10.5%	0.17×	55.39
1-4	3.2%	1.8%	0.8%	2.38×	55.43
2-1	3.6%	1.8%	9.2%	0.20×	55.42
2-2	3.6%	1.8%	6.1%	0.30×	55.42
2-0	1.8%	1.8%	6.7%	0.27×	55.46
2-3	2.4%	1.8%	3.0%	0.60×	55.45
2-4	1.2%	1.8%	0.1%	14.28×	55.48
3-0	0.5%	1.8%	3.4%	0.53×	55.50
3-1	0.9%	1.8%	3.0%	0.59×	55.49
3-2	0.9%	1.8%	2.9%	0.62×	55.49
3-3	0.6%	1.8%	0.9%	2.04×	55.49
3-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.3%	7.14×	55.50
4-0	0.1%	1.8%	1.6%	1.10×	55.51
4-1	0.2%	1.8%	1.1%	1.59×	55.50
4-2	0.2%	1.8%	0.1%	14.27×	55.50
4-3	0.1%	1.8%	0.3%	7.13×	55.51
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.3%	7.13×	55.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus leading at HT (DNB)	78.3%	80.0%	49.9%	1.60×	1.25
Lecce leading at HT (DNB)	21.7%	20.0%	50.1%	0.40×	4.99

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus or draw (X2)	86.7%	89.6%	60.6%	1.48×	1.12
Lecce or Juventus (12)	79.7%	77.9%	73.2%	1.06×	1.28
Lecce or draw (1X)	33.6%	32.4%	66.0%	0.49×	3.09

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus or draw at HT	86.5%	88.3%	72.5%	1.22×	1.13
Lecce or Juventus at HT	62.3%	63.2%	54.8%	1.15×	1.58
Lecce or draw at HT	51.2%	52.0%	72.6%	0.72×	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus or draw (1UP)	86.7%	92.6%	66.3%	1.40×	1.08
Lecce or draw (1UP)	33.6%	37.5%	71.3%	0.53×	2.67

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus or draw in 2nd half	86.0%	89.1%	65.3%	1.37×	1.12
Lecce or Juventus in 2nd half	66.0%	66.2%	64.1%	1.03×	1.51
Lecce or draw in 2nd half	48.0%	51.3%	70.5%	0.73×	1.95

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.9%	58.0%	64.4%	0.90×	1.72
Neither half drawn	41.1%	42.0%	35.6%	1.18×	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (DNB)	83.4%	81.6%	46.3%	1.76×	1.23
Lecce (DNB)	16.6%	18.4%	53.7%	0.34×	5.43

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to score first	67.9%	71.3%	44.2%	1.61×	1.40
Lecce to score first	25.7%	24.6%	47.7%	0.51×	4.07
No goal scored	6.4%	6.2%	8.2%	0.76×	16.05

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.2%	52.9%	51.4%	1.03×	1.89
Both teams to score	45.8%	47.1%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	38.5%	37.5%	41.0%	0.91×	2.67
Both score & over 2.5	36.2%	37.4%	36.9%	1.01×	2.67
Not both score & over 2.5	15.7%	17.7%	10.5%	1.69×	5.65
Both score & under 2.5	9.6%	8.7%	11.9%	0.74×	11.43

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.6%	85.6%	86.9%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.4%	14.4%	13.1%	1.10×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.0%	73.9%	74.7%	0.99×	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.0%	26.1%	25.3%	1.03×	3.83

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.2%	59.6%	63.1%	0.94×	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	18.1%	18.2%	20.5%	0.89×	5.49
Both score 1st half only	13.9%	11.6%	11.7%	0.99×	8.63
Both score in both halves	3.9%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.2%	83.2%	83.5%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.8%	16.8%	16.5%	1.02×	5.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.6%	55.6%	51.8%	1.07×	1.80
A half without a goal	44.4%	44.4%	48.2%	0.92×	2.25

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	45.9%	48.0%	0.96×	2.18
4-6 goals	27.5%	27.7%	23.5%	1.18×	3.61
0-1 goals	24.0%	22.8%	27.9%	0.82×	4.38
7+ goals	2.2%	1.9%	0.9%	2.20×	51.43

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to score 3+	32.2%	33.2%	11.6%	2.86×	3.01
Juventus to score exactly 1	27.2%	27.1%	34.8%	0.78×	3.69
Juventus to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.1%	23.1%	1.17×	3.69
Juventus to score exactly 0	13.6%	13.4%	30.7%	0.44×	7.44

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lecce to score exactly 0	47.0%	45.6%	28.9%	1.58×	2.20
Lecce to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.9%	32.3%	1.11×	2.78
Lecce to score exactly 2	13.4%	13.5%	24.6%	0.55×	7.41
Lecce to score 3+	4.1%	2.9%	14.4%	0.20×	34.82

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus leading at HT	48.8%	48.0%	27.4%	1.75×	2.08
Draw at HT	37.7%	36.8%	45.2%	0.81×	2.72
Lecce leading at HT	13.5%	11.7%	27.5%	0.43×	8.53

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus -1: 2	41.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Juventus -1: 1	33.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Juventus -1: X	25.1%	27.0%	—	—	3.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (0:1)	86.7%	89.5%	60.6%	1.48×	1.12
Draw (0:1)	9.5%	8.7%	22.5%	0.39×	11.55
Lecce (0:1)	3.7%	2.4%	17.0%	0.14×	42.36

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (0:2)	96.3%	97.5%	83.0%	1.18×	1.03
Draw (0:2)	2.9%	3.0%	9.6%	0.31×	33.27
Lecce (0:2)	0.8%	2.9%	7.6%	0.39×	34.13

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (0:3)	99.2%	97.2%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (0:3)	0.7%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.45
Lecce (0:3)	0.1%	2.3%	3.2%	0.73×	43.57

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (0:4)	99.9%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	2.3%	0.54×	81.29
Lecce (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.0%	1.22×	81.35

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (1:0)	41.3%	42.9%	14.1%	3.03×	2.33
Draw (1:0)	25.1%	28.4%	19.9%	1.42×	3.52
Lecce (1:0)	33.6%	27.6%	66.0%	0.42×	3.63

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lecce (2:0)	58.7%	53.9%	85.9%	0.63×	1.85
Juventus (2:0)	20.9%	20.6%	5.8%	3.55×	4.85
Draw (2:0)	20.4%	20.5%	8.5%	2.42×	4.88

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	41.9%	49.3%	46.6%	1.06×	2.03
Halves equal	25.4%	26.1%	26.8%	0.98×	3.83
1st half highest scoring	32.7%	25.8%	26.8%	0.97×	3.87

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lecce to concede	86.4%	88.4%	69.3%	1.28×	1.13
Lecce clean sheet	13.6%	11.6%	30.7%	0.38×	8.61

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lecce to concede in 1st half	60.4%	63.3%	41.0%	1.54×	1.58
Lecce clean sheet in 1st half	39.6%	36.7%	59.0%	0.62×	2.72

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lecce under 6.5 corners	84.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Lecce under 5.5 corners	74.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Lecce over 2.5 corners	70.7%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Lecce under 4.5 corners	62.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Lecce over 3.5 corners	53.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Lecce under 3.5 corners	46.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Lecce over 4.5 corners	37.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Lecce under 2.5 corners	29.3%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Lecce over 5.5 corners	25.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Lecce over 6.5 corners	15.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lecce under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.8%	95.5%	1.02×	1.02
Lecce under 2.5 goals	95.9%	97.7%	85.6%	1.14×	1.02
Lecce under 1.5 goals	82.5%	82.4%	61.1%	1.35×	1.21
Lecce over 0.5 goals	53.0%	52.8%	71.1%	0.74×	1.90
Lecce under 0.5 goals	47.0%	47.2%	28.9%	1.63×	2.12
Lecce over 1.5 goals	17.5%	17.6%	38.9%	0.45×	5.69
Lecce over 2.5 goals	4.1%	2.3%	14.4%	0.16×	43.56
Lecce over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.2%	4.5%	0.48×	45.57

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lecce under 1.5 in 1st half	95.2%	96.5%	90.2%	1.07×	1.04
Lecce under 0.5 in 1st half	70.6%	72.1%	58.8%	1.22×	1.39
Lecce over 0.5 in 1st half	29.4%	27.9%	41.2%	0.68×	3.58
Lecce over 1.5 in 1st half	4.8%	3.5%	9.8%	0.36×	28.52

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (home no bet)	76.6%	78.6%	55.9%	1.41×	1.27
Draw (home no bet)	23.4%	21.4%	44.1%	0.49×	4.68

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lecce even goals	61.0%	64.8%	56.6%	1.15×	1.54
Lecce odd goals	39.0%	35.2%	43.4%	0.81×	2.84

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.9%	28.1%	34.3%	0.82×	3.56
HT 0-1	25.9%	28.0%	18.4%	1.52×	3.57
HT 0-2	12.0%	11.2%	5.4%	2.06×	8.94
HT 1-0	9.7%	7.7%	18.3%	0.42×	12.97
HT 1-1	9.0%	7.7%	10.5%	0.74×	12.98
Any other HT score	7.2%	7.7%	3.0%	2.54×	13.00
HT 1-2	4.2%	2.5%	2.5%	1.00×	39.76
HT 2-0	1.7%	2.5%	5.6%	0.45×	39.90
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.5%	2.3%	1.10×	39.91
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.5%	0.6%	3.96×	39.96

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus at HT / Juventus at FT	44.2%	42.8%	19.2%	2.23×	2.33
Draw at HT / Juventus at FT	19.6%	16.8%	13.0%	1.29×	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.8%	12.0%	16.7%	0.72×	8.35
Lecce at HT / Lecce at FT	7.2%	6.6%	21.3%	0.31×	15.22
Draw at HT / Lecce at FT	5.3%	6.6%	15.8%	0.42×	15.27
Lecce at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.4%	4.4%	0.77×	29.36
Juventus at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.4%	5.9%	0.57×	29.35
Lecce at HT / Juventus at FT	2.6%	3.4%	2.0%	1.68×	29.40
Juventus at HT / Lecce at FT	0.8%	3.4%	2.5%	1.34×	29.48

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to score last	67.9%	68.3%	43.6%	1.57×	1.46
Lecce to score last	25.7%	31.5%	48.4%	0.65×	3.18
No goal scored	6.4%	6.2%	8.2%	0.76×	16.05

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.6%	93.7%	91.8%	1.02×	1.07
Juventus to lead by 1 at any time	76.3%	78.5%	51.1%	1.53×	1.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.4%	51.0%	42.6%	1.20×	1.96
Juventus to lead by 2 at any time	46.9%	46.1%	20.1%	2.30×	2.17
Lecce to lead by 1 at any time	28.9%	26.0%	54.7%	0.48×	3.84
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	24.7%	19.9%	14.5%	1.37×	5.04
Juventus to lead by 3 at any time	23.4%	19.8%	6.3%	3.14×	5.05
Lecce to lead by 2 at any time	6.7%	7.0%	22.9%	0.31×	14.22
Lecce to lead by 3 at any time	1.3%	2.6%	8.3%	0.31×	38.82

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus most corners	62.8%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Lecce most corners	27.7%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	9.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.5%	87.9%	89.1%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.2%	78.9%	80.7%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.8%	73.6%	71.3%	1.03×	1.36
2-5 goals	70.0%	68.4%	69.4%	0.98×	1.46
1-3 goals	63.9%	62.3%	67.7%	0.92×	1.61
2-4 goals	61.6%	62.3%	61.0%	1.02×	1.61
3-6 goals	49.6%	48.0%	46.5%	1.03×	2.08
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.0%	48.0%	1.00×	2.08
3-5 goals	45.8%	48.0%	44.6%	1.08×	2.08
1-2 goals	41.8%	43.6%	44.7%	0.98×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.4%	38.8%	36.1%	1.08×	2.58
4-6 goals	27.5%	30.5%	23.5%	1.30×	3.28
4-5 goals	23.6%	24.7%	21.6%	1.15×	4.04
5-6 goals	12.2%	13.5%	10.5%	1.28×	7.43
7+ goals	2.2%	2.0%	0.9%	2.29×	49.43

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus never behind	64.7%	69.7%	45.3%	1.54×	1.43
Lecce never behind	17.3%	20.2%	48.9%	0.41×	4.96

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.1%	51.8%	0.97×	1.99
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.9%	48.2%	1.03×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.9%	51.9%	56.8%	0.91×	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.1%	48.1%	43.2%	1.11×	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.6%	51.7%	51.4%	1.01×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.4%	48.3%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.9%	93.0%	97.2%	0.96×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.6%	93.0%	91.8%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.6%	88.7%	88.8%	1.00×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	76.0%	78.2%	72.1%	1.08×	1.28
Under 3.5 goals	70.3%	72.4%	75.8%	0.96×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.8%	53.5%	47.2%	1.13×	1.87
Under 2.5 goals	48.2%	46.5%	52.8%	0.88×	2.15
Over 3.5 goals	29.7%	27.6%	24.2%	1.14×	3.62
Under 1.5 goals	24.0%	21.8%	27.9%	0.78×	4.59
Over 4.5 goals	14.4%	11.3%	11.2%	1.00×	8.87
Under 0.5 goals	6.4%	7.0%	8.2%	0.86×	14.20
Over 5.5 goals	6.1%	7.0%	2.8%	2.53×	14.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.2%	99.1%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.4%	92.7%	97.0%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.0%	80.7%	87.1%	0.93×	1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.4%	68.1%	62.9%	1.08×	1.47
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.9%	62.3%	68.5%	0.91×	1.60
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.1%	37.7%	31.5%	1.20×	2.66
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.6%	31.9%	37.1%	0.86×	3.13
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.0%	19.3%	12.9%	1.49×	5.19
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.6%	7.3%	3.0%	2.39×	13.78
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.8%	0.9%	3.08×	36.10

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.3%	88.0%	91.9%	0.96×	1.14
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.1%	72.4%	65.7%	1.10×	1.38
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.6%	63.1%	70.8%	0.89×	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.4%	36.9%	29.2%	1.27×	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.9%	27.6%	34.3%	0.80×	3.63
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.7%	12.0%	8.1%	1.48×	8.35

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.5%	82.0%	82.3%	1.00×	1.22
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.1%	80.3%	77.9%	1.03×	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	54.2%	56.8%	0.95×	1.85
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	45.8%	43.2%	1.06×	2.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.9%	19.8%	22.1%	0.89×	5.06
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.5%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.57

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lecce not to score in both halves	90.2%	89.9%	76.3%	1.18×	1.11
Juventus not to score in both halves	60.4%	62.3%	78.8%	0.79×	1.61
Juventus to score in both halves	39.6%	37.7%	21.2%	1.78×	2.65
Lecce to score in both halves	9.8%	10.1%	23.7%	0.43×	9.86

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.8%	49.4%	48.6%	1.02×	2.02
Only Juventus scores	40.6%	45.4%	20.8%	2.18×	2.20
Only Lecce scores	7.2%	6.7%	22.6%	0.29×	15.03
Neither team scores	6.4%	6.6%	8.2%	0.81×	15.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.2%	21.6%	25.0%	0.86×	4.64
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	21.5%	23.1%	0.93×	4.64
Exactly 1 goals	17.6%	18.6%	19.8%	0.94×	5.39
Exactly 4 goals	15.2%	18.5%	13.1%	1.41×	5.40
Exactly 5 goals	8.4%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.12
Exactly 0 goals	6.4%	7.6%	8.2%	0.93×	13.15
6 or more goals	6.1%	7.6%	2.8%	2.74×	13.15

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.4%	46.4%	43.2%	1.07×	2.15
1 goal in 2nd half	33.8%	33.2%	34.8%	0.95×	3.01
No goals in 2nd half	22.9%	18.5%	22.1%	0.84×	5.40

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lecce not to win both halves	98.1%	96.7%	90.3%	1.07×	1.03
Juventus not to win both halves	74.6%	74.1%	91.4%	0.81×	1.35
Juventus to win both halves	25.4%	25.9%	8.6%	3.02×	3.86
Lecce to win both halves	1.9%	3.3%	9.7%	0.34×	30.41

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to win either half	75.4%	81.7%	48.4%	1.69×	1.22
Lecce to win neither half	74.4%	72.4%	47.5%	1.53×	1.38
Lecce to win either half	25.6%	27.6%	52.5%	0.52×	3.63
Juventus to win neither half	24.6%	18.3%	51.6%	0.35×	5.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lecce not to win to nil	92.8%	92.3%	77.4%	1.19×	1.08
Juventus not to win to nil	59.4%	54.5%	79.2%	0.69×	1.83
Juventus to win to nil	40.6%	45.5%	20.8%	2.18×	2.20
Lecce to win to nil	7.2%	7.7%	22.6%	0.34×	13.06

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus by 1	25.1%	28.0%	19.9%	1.40×	3.58
Juventus by 3+	20.9%	23.7%	5.8%	4.08×	4.22
Juventus by 2	20.4%	23.7%	8.5%	2.80×	4.22
Draw	20.3%	23.7%	26.8%	0.89×	4.22
Lecce by 1	9.5%	7.1%	22.5%	0.32×	14.06
Lecce by 2	2.9%	2.8%	9.6%	0.29×	35.36
Lecce by 3+	0.8%	2.8%	7.6%	0.37×	35.67