Leganes v Albacete — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Leganes

20:00 UTC

Albacete

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 345h before kick-off

Leganes win

39.9%

model 39.8%

Draw

28.9%

model 27.0%

Albacete win

31.2%

model 33.2%

402931

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.7%
1-0 11.9%
0-1 10.6%
0-0 8.9%
2-1 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.8%	Under 2.5	57.2%
BTTS yes	48.2%	BTTS no	51.8%
Leganes 1+	71.7%	Leganes 2+	36.0%
Albacete 1+	67.6%	Albacete 2+	31.1%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.13. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

56/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.4% fair odds 1.87

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Albacete (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Leganes have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.2% for Albacete and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Leganes and 1.13 for Albacete.

Why Leganes

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. A combined 2.39 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.26 to 1.13. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Albacete can win

Albacete carry the stronger rating, 1470 Elo against 1429.

Key players

Leganes's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Raba (0.38), Miguel De la Fuente (0.20), Diego García (0.19).

Availability

2 of Leganes's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Albacete, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Leganes: 41% possession, 8.0 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.41 xG a match from set pieces. Albacete: 47% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Leganes are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. Confidence 56/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Leganes are conceding fewer than expected — 2.8 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LDLDDDWLWW last 10 scored 13 from 13.3 xG conceded 13 from 15.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	402733	1.26–1.13	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	442729	1.31–0.99	1-0 13%	40%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to win	44.2%	43.0%	45.5%	0.94×	2.33
Albacete to win	28.5%	27.9%	28.1%	0.99×	3.58
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes & not both score	27.4%	25.2%	23.6%	1.07×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.57
Albacete & not both score	17.3%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.57
Leganes & both teams score	16.7%	18.0%	22.0%	0.82×	5.57
Albacete & both teams score	11.2%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.8%	8.3%	9.1%	0.91×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes & under 3.5	34.3%	30.8%	32.2%	0.96×	3.25
Leganes & over 1.5	30.7%	30.7%	32.6%	0.94×	3.25
Albacete & under 3.5	23.2%	21.6%	19.6%	1.10×	4.63
Leganes & over 2.5	22.1%	21.6%	26.3%	0.82×	4.63
Leganes & under 2.5	22.1%	21.6%	19.3%	1.12×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	22.5%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.5%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Albacete & over 1.5	18.2%	18.0%	19.5%	0.92×	5.56
Albacete & under 2.5	15.2%	18.0%	11.5%	1.56×	5.56
Leganes & under 1.5	13.5%	12.8%	13.0%	0.99×	7.79
Albacete & over 2.5	13.3%	12.8%	16.7%	0.77×	7.79
Albacete & under 1.5	10.2%	12.8%	8.7%	1.48×	7.79
Leganes & over 3.5	9.9%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	9.8%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Albacete & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (1UP)	57.6%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Albacete (1UP)	43.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (2UP)	44.2%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Albacete (2UP)	28.5%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.0%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Leganes to win 2nd half	35.2%	36.2%	—	—	2.77
Albacete to win 2nd half	25.9%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Albacete under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.2%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Albacete over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.8%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Albacete over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	13.2%	—	—	7.60

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.8%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Leganes over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Leganes under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.4%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Leganes over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (+2.5)	92.8%	92.1%	92.3%	1.00×	1.09
Albacete (+1.5)	79.8%	78.5%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
Leganes (+0.5)	71.5%	73.6%	71.9%	1.02×	1.36
Albacete (+0.5)	55.8%	57.0%	54.5%	1.05×	1.75
Leganes (-0.5)	44.2%	43.0%	45.5%	0.94×	2.33
Albacete (-0.5)	28.5%	26.4%	28.1%	0.94×	3.79
Leganes (-1.5)	20.2%	21.5%	19.6%	1.10×	4.65
Leganes (-2.5)	7.2%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to concede	73.0%	76.7%	77.6%	0.99×	1.30
Albacete clean sheet	27.0%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete clean sheet in 1st half	57.0%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Albacete to concede in 1st half	43.0%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to concede in 2nd half	52.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Albacete clean sheet in 2nd half	47.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete over 2.5 corners	82.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Albacete under 6.5 corners	73.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Albacete over 3.5 corners	68.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Albacete under 5.5 corners	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Albacete over 4.5 corners	53.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Albacete under 4.5 corners	46.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Albacete over 5.5 corners	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Albacete under 3.5 corners	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Albacete over 6.5 corners	26.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Albacete under 2.5 corners	17.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 3.5 goals	98.2%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Albacete under 2.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Albacete under 1.5 goals	74.0%	71.9%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Albacete over 0.5 goals	62.8%	63.2%	67.4%	0.94×	1.58
Albacete under 0.5 goals	37.2%	36.8%	32.6%	1.13×	2.72
Albacete over 1.5 goals	26.0%	28.1%	30.6%	0.92×	3.55
Albacete over 2.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	10.9%	0.70×	13.06
Albacete over 3.5 goals	1.8%	2.5%	3.0%	0.82×	39.97

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 1.5 in 1st half	94.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Albacete under 0.5 in 1st half	67.3%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Albacete over 0.5 in 1st half	32.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Albacete over 1.5 in 1st half	6.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.27

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete scores equally in both	46.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Albacete scores more in 2nd half	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Albacete scores more in 1st half	20.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (away no bet)	61.8%	61.9%	63.2%	0.98×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	38.2%	38.1%	36.8%	1.03×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete even goals	56.9%	56.9%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Albacete odd goals	43.1%	43.1%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.4%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.6%	8.3%	—	—	12.12

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.2%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.1%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Leganes to score 2+ in a row	31.2%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Albacete to score 2+ in a row	19.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Leganes to score 3+ in a row	10.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Albacete to score 3+ in a row	4.7%	2.6%	—	—	37.99

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes corners (+3.5)	84.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Albacete corners (+3.5)	80.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Leganes corners (+2.5)	77.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Albacete corners (+2.5)	72.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Leganes corners (+1.5)	68.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Albacete corners (+1.5)	62.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Leganes corners (-1.5)	37.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Albacete corners (-1.5)	31.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Leganes corners (-2.5)	27.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Albacete corners (-2.5)	22.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Leganes corners (-3.5)	19.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Albacete corners (-3.5)	15.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	34.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	73.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	64.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 9.5 corners	44.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	35.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	27.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.5%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
1-1	12.7%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.72
0-1	10.2%	11.5%	8.7%	1.32×	8.72
0-0	9.8%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
2-0	8.6%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.51
2-1	8.5%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
1-2	6.4%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-2	4.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.29
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.32
2-2	4.2%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.30
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-0	3.8%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.30
3-1	3.7%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (2nd half DNB)	57.6%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
Albacete (2nd half DNB)	42.4%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes leading at HT (DNB)	60.8%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Albacete leading at HT (DNB)	39.2%	34.8%	—	—	2.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes or Albacete (12)	72.7%	72.1%	73.5%	0.98×	1.39
Leganes or draw (1X)	71.5%	72.1%	71.9%	1.00×	1.39
Albacete or draw (X2)	55.8%	57.0%	54.5%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes or draw at HT	79.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Albacete or draw at HT	68.0%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Leganes or Albacete at HT	52.7%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes or draw (1UP)	71.5%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Albacete or draw (1UP)	55.8%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes or draw in 2nd half	74.1%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Albacete or draw in 2nd half	64.8%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Leganes or Albacete in 2nd half	61.1%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.1%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	31.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (DNB)	60.8%	62.6%	61.8%	1.01×	1.60
Albacete (DNB)	39.2%	37.4%	38.2%	0.98×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to score first	51.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Albacete to score first	38.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	9.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.31

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.5%	51.3%	45.9%	1.12×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.5%	48.7%	54.1%	0.90×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.0%	44.4%	39.7%	1.12×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	32.8%	34.5%	43.0%	0.80×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	12.7%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.3%	6.3%	1.32×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.2%	89.0%	85.6%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.8%	11.0%	14.4%	0.77×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	20.1%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	10.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	3.3%	4.9%	—	—	20.43

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.0%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.0%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	41.3%	1.14×	2.12
0-1 goals	33.5%	30.7%	30.6%	1.00×	3.25
4-6 goals	19.1%	20.2%	26.7%	0.76×	4.95
7+ goals	0.9%	1.8%	1.6%	1.17×	54.44

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to score exactly 0	37.2%	35.9%	32.6%	1.10×	2.78
Albacete to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	36.9%	0.97×	2.78
Albacete to score exactly 2	18.2%	19.6%	19.8%	0.99×	5.11
Albacete to score 3+	7.8%	8.6%	10.9%	0.78×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.5%	35.6%	1.00×	2.81
Leganes to score exactly 0	27.0%	26.5%	22.4%	1.18×	3.77
Leganes to score exactly 2	23.1%	23.3%	24.9%	0.93×	4.29
Leganes to score 3+	14.5%	14.3%	17.2%	0.83×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.3%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Leganes leading at HT	32.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Albacete leading at HT	20.7%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes -1: 2	55.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Leganes -1: X	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Leganes -1: 1	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:1)	55.8%	55.8%	54.5%	1.02×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	24.0%	24.2%	26.0%	0.93×	4.13
Leganes (0:1)	20.2%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:2)	79.8%	79.4%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.0%	11.0%	12.1%	0.91×	9.10
Leganes (0:2)	7.2%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:3)	92.8%	92.7%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.1%	5.8%	5.3%	1.08×	17.26
Leganes (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	2.4%	0.98×	42.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:4)	97.9%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.99
Leganes (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	0.4%	2.90×	82.12

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (1:0)	71.5%	72.4%	71.9%	1.01×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	18.2%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.85
Albacete (1:0)	10.3%	12.7%	10.3%	1.24×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (2:0)	89.7%	88.5%	89.7%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.4%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.67
Albacete (2:0)	2.9%	2.3%	3.2%	0.70×	43.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to concede	62.8%	63.7%	67.4%	0.94×	1.57
Leganes clean sheet	37.2%	36.3%	32.6%	1.11×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes clean sheet in 1st half	67.3%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Leganes to concede in 1st half	32.7%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes clean sheet in 2nd half	55.2%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Leganes to concede in 2nd half	44.8%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes over 2.5 corners	85.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Leganes over 3.5 corners	72.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Leganes under 6.5 corners	69.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Leganes over 4.5 corners	57.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Leganes under 5.5 corners	57.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Leganes over 5.5 corners	42.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Leganes under 4.5 corners	42.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Leganes over 6.5 corners	30.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Leganes under 3.5 corners	27.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Leganes under 2.5 corners	14.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes under 3.5 goals	95.6%	96.4%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Leganes under 2.5 goals	85.5%	87.2%	82.8%	1.05×	1.15
Leganes over 0.5 goals	73.0%	74.2%	77.6%	0.96×	1.35
Leganes under 1.5 goals	62.4%	63.6%	58.0%	1.10×	1.57
Leganes over 1.5 goals	37.6%	36.4%	42.0%	0.87×	2.75
Leganes under 0.5 goals	27.0%	25.8%	22.4%	1.15×	3.88
Leganes over 2.5 goals	14.5%	12.8%	17.2%	0.74×	7.84
Leganes over 3.5 goals	4.4%	3.6%	6.3%	0.58×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes under 1.5 in 1st half	89.0%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Leganes under 0.5 in 1st half	57.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Leganes over 0.5 in 1st half	43.0%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Leganes over 1.5 in 1st half	11.0%	9.8%	—	—	10.23

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes scores equally in both	39.6%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Leganes scores more in 2nd half	35.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Leganes scores more in 1st half	24.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (home no bet)	51.0%	51.4%	51.4%	1.00×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.0%	48.6%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes even goals	53.7%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Leganes odd goals	46.3%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
HT 1-0	21.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	15.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.42
HT 1-1	8.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 2-0	6.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.03
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.18

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes at HT / Leganes at FT	25.5%	27.1%	—	—	3.68
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Leganes at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Albacete at HT / Albacete at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Albacete at FT	12.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Leganes at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Albacete at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Albacete at HT / Leganes at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Leganes at HT / Albacete at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to score last	51.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Albacete to score last	38.9%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	9.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.31

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Leganes to lead by 1 at any time	57.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Albacete to lead by 1 at any time	43.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.4%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Leganes to lead by 2 at any time	25.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Albacete to lead by 2 at any time	14.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.48
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Leganes to lead by 3 at any time	8.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.90
Albacete to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	1.6%	—	—	61.33

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes most corners	47.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Albacete most corners	41.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.3%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.9%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.2%	72.3%	62.8%	1.15×	1.38
2-6 goals	65.6%	68.8%	67.9%	1.01×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.6%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.2%	59.1%	56.6%	1.04×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.9%	48.5%	41.8%	1.16×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.5%	41.3%	1.17×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.4%	39.2%	47.7%	0.82×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.3%	39.2%	44.1%	0.89×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.0%	35.2%	36.4%	0.97×	2.84
4-6 goals	19.1%	18.8%	26.7%	0.70×	5.31
4-5 goals	17.0%	18.8%	23.2%	0.81×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.4%	8.9%	11.4%	0.78×	11.27
7+ goals	0.9%	2.6%	1.6%	1.62×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes never behind	46.6%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Albacete never behind	32.6%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.3%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.7%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.0%	95.4%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	87.1%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	80.0%	77.3%	71.8%	1.08×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	66.5%	66.3%	69.4%	0.96×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.7%	58.6%	50.8%	1.15×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	40.3%	41.4%	49.2%	0.84×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	33.5%	33.7%	30.6%	1.10×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.0%	22.7%	28.2%	0.80×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.94
Over 4.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	12.9%	0.60×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.0%	4.6%	5.1%	0.89×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.9%	97.2%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.6%	92.4%	84.8%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.9%	72.4%	64.3%	1.13×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.6%	51.9%	61.6%	0.84×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.4%	48.1%	38.4%	1.25×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.1%	27.6%	35.7%	0.77×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.4%	7.6%	15.2%	0.50×	13.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.1%	2.8%	5.6%	0.50×	35.58
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.8%	1.6%	1.72×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.2%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.9%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.1%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete not to score in both halves	85.4%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Leganes not to score in both halves	77.4%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Leganes to score in both halves	22.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
Albacete to score in both halves	14.6%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.5%	50.7%	54.1%	0.94×	1.97
Only Leganes scores	27.4%	26.0%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Only Albacete scores	17.3%	16.0%	13.4%	1.19×	6.24
Neither team scores	9.8%	7.1%	9.1%	0.78×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.2%	24.9%	20.3%	1.22×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	23.7%	22.6%	21.6%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.3%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	11.7%	12.1%	15.4%	0.79×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	9.8%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	7.9%	0.97×	13.15
6 or more goals	3.0%	4.5%	5.1%	0.87×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.6%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
3+ goals in 1st half	7.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.6%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
1 goal in 2nd half	35.3%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goals in 2nd half	26.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.41

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete not to win both halves	94.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Leganes not to win both halves	88.8%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Leganes to win both halves	11.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Albacete to win both halves	5.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.21

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to win neither half	58.8%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Leganes to win either half	56.0%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Leganes to win neither half	44.0%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
Albacete to win either half	41.2%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete not to win to nil	82.7%	83.1%	86.6%	0.96×	1.20
Leganes not to win to nil	72.6%	75.3%	76.4%	0.99×	1.33
Leganes to win to nil	27.4%	24.7%	23.6%	1.05×	4.06
Albacete to win to nil	17.3%	16.9%	13.4%	1.26×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.59
Leganes by 1	24.0%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
Albacete by 1	18.2%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87
Leganes by 2	13.0%	11.8%	12.1%	0.97×	8.51
Albacete by 2	7.4%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91
Leganes by 3+	7.2%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.91
Albacete by 3+	2.9%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.84