Leganes v Córdoba — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 18 October 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Leganes

18:00 UTC

Córdoba

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,028h before kick-off

Leganes win

36.7%

model 36.9%

Draw

26.7%

model 26.4%

Córdoba win

36.7%

model 36.7%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.5%
1-0 10.7%
0-1 10.7%
2-1 8.0%
1-2 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.3%	Under 2.5	54.7%
BTTS yes	50.3%	BTTS no	49.7%
Leganes 1+	71.3%	Leganes 2+	35.4%
Córdoba 1+	71.1%	Córdoba 2+	35.2%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.24. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

52/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Leganes have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.7% for Córdoba and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.25 for Leganes and 1.24 for Córdoba.

Why Leganes

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.25 to 1.24. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Córdoba can win

Córdoba carry the stronger rating, 1466 Elo against 1429.

Key players

Leganes's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Raba (0.39), Miguel De la Fuente (0.20), Diego García (0.19).

Availability

2 of Leganes's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Córdoba, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Leganes: 41% possession, 8.0 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.41 xG a match from set pieces. Córdoba: 56% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Leganes are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%. Confidence 52/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Leganes are conceding fewer than expected — 2.8 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LDLDDDWLWW last 10 scored 13 from 13.3 xG conceded 13 from 15.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	412732	1.24–1.07	1-1 13%	41%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to win	40.6%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.33
Córdoba to win	32.0%	30.4%	28.1%	1.08×	3.29
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	26.6%	1.05×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes & not both score	24.8%	21.9%	23.7%	0.93×	4.57
Córdoba & not both score	19.3%	17.9%	13.5%	1.33×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	17.9%	17.6%	1.02×	5.58
Leganes & both teams score	15.8%	17.9%	21.9%	0.82×	5.58
Córdoba & both teams score	12.7%	13.3%	14.7%	0.90×	7.55
Draw & not both score	9.6%	8.4%	9.1%	0.92×	11.92

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes & under 3.5	31.7%	30.9%	32.3%	0.96×	3.24
Leganes & over 1.5	27.9%	26.0%	32.5%	0.80×	3.84
Córdoba & under 3.5	25.6%	26.0%	19.7%	1.32×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	22.4%	21.7%	20.3%	1.07×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	22.4%	21.7%	20.3%	1.07×	4.62
Córdoba & over 1.5	21.0%	21.7%	19.5%	1.11×	4.62
Leganes & over 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	26.2%	0.83×	4.62
Leganes & under 2.5	20.4%	21.6%	19.3%	1.12×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.56
Córdoba & under 2.5	16.6%	18.0%	11.6%	1.55×	5.56
Córdoba & over 2.5	15.4%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.56
Leganes & under 1.5	12.7%	12.9%	13.0%	0.99×	7.77
Córdoba & under 1.5	11.0%	12.9%	8.7%	1.47×	7.77
Leganes & over 3.5	8.9%	7.9%	13.2%	0.59×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	9.1%	0.86×	12.70
Córdoba & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	8.5%	0.92×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.1%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (1UP)	54.7%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Córdoba (1UP)	47.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (2UP)	40.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Córdoba (2UP)	32.0%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.9%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Leganes to win 2nd half	32.6%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Córdoba to win 2nd half	28.5%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (+2.5)	94.0%	92.1%	92.3%	1.00×	1.09
Córdoba (+1.5)	82.3%	82.4%	80.4%	1.02×	1.21
Leganes (+0.5)	68.0%	68.7%	71.9%	0.96×	1.46
Córdoba (+0.5)	59.4%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.75
Leganes (-0.5)	40.6%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.33
Córdoba (-0.5)	32.0%	31.3%	28.1%	1.11×	3.20
Leganes (-1.5)	17.7%	17.6%	19.6%	0.90×	5.69
Leganes (-2.5)	6.0%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to concede	71.1%	76.4%	77.5%	0.99×	1.31
Córdoba clean sheet	28.9%	23.6%	22.5%	1.05×	4.24

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half	58.6%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Córdoba to concede in 1st half	41.4%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba over 2.5 corners	89.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Córdoba over 3.5 corners	79.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Córdoba over 4.5 corners	67.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Córdoba under 6.5 corners	59.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Córdoba over 5.5 corners	53.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Córdoba under 5.5 corners	46.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Córdoba over 6.5 corners	40.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Córdoba under 4.5 corners	33.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Córdoba under 3.5 corners	20.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Córdoba under 2.5 corners	10.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 3.5 goals	97.7%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Córdoba under 2.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	89.2%	1.04×	1.08
Córdoba under 1.5 goals	71.1%	71.9%	69.5%	1.04×	1.39
Córdoba over 0.5 goals	65.6%	67.9%	67.3%	1.01×	1.47
Córdoba under 0.5 goals	34.4%	32.1%	32.7%	0.98×	3.12
Córdoba over 1.5 goals	28.9%	28.1%	30.5%	0.92×	3.56
Córdoba over 2.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	10.8%	0.71×	13.03
Córdoba over 3.5 goals	2.3%	2.5%	3.0%	0.80×	40.76

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half	93.1%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half	65.3%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half	34.7%	31.7%	—	—	3.16
Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half	6.9%	5.8%	—	—	17.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (away no bet)	59.6%	57.5%	63.1%	0.91×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.4%	42.5%	36.9%	1.15×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba even goals	55.9%	56.8%	54.7%	1.04×	1.76
Córdoba odd goals	44.1%	43.2%	45.3%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.3%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.7%	7.9%	—	—	12.74

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.1%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.9%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Leganes to score 2+ in a row	28.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Córdoba to score 2+ in a row	22.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Leganes to score 3+ in a row	8.7%	5.7%	—	—	17.63
Córdoba to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.87

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba corners (+3.5)	92.5%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba corners (+2.5)	87.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Córdoba corners (+1.5)	81.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Leganes corners (+3.5)	67.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Leganes corners (+2.5)	57.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Córdoba corners (-1.5)	53.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Leganes corners (+1.5)	47.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Córdoba corners (-2.5)	42.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Córdoba corners (-3.5)	32.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Leganes corners (-1.5)	18.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Leganes corners (-2.5)	12.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Leganes corners (-3.5)	7.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
0-8 corners	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	73.3%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	64.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	55.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	44.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	44.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	35.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	34.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	26.7%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	24.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.7%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.73
1-1	12.8%	11.5%	11.3%	1.02×	8.73
0-1	11.0%	11.5%	8.7%	1.31×	8.73
0-0	9.6%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.48
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.48
2-0	7.7%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.48
2-1	8.2%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.48
0-2	5.7%	7.4%	2.9%	2.52×	13.48
0-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.48
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.49
1-3	2.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.48
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.03×	58.49
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.46
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.48
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.49
3-0	3.2%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.47
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.47
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.48
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.49
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.13×	58.49
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.48×	58.48
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.9%	0.90×	58.48
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.48×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.42×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.13×	58.49
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes leading at HT (DNB)	56.9%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Córdoba leading at HT (DNB)	43.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes or Córdoba (12)	72.5%	72.1%	73.4%	0.98×	1.39
Leganes or draw (1X)	68.0%	69.6%	71.9%	0.97×	1.44
Córdoba or draw (X2)	59.4%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes or draw at HT	77.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Córdoba or draw at HT	70.0%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Leganes or Córdoba at HT	52.6%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes or draw (1UP)	68.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Córdoba or draw (1UP)	59.4%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes or draw in 2nd half	71.5%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Córdoba or draw in 2nd half	67.4%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Leganes or Córdoba in 2nd half	61.1%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.2%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	31.8%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (DNB)	55.9%	58.2%	61.8%	0.94×	1.72
Córdoba (DNB)	44.1%	41.8%	38.2%	1.09×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to score first	48.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Córdoba to score first	41.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	9.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.7%	51.4%	46.1%	1.12×	1.95
Both teams to score	46.3%	48.6%	53.9%	0.90×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.6%	44.3%	39.9%	1.11×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	33.5%	34.3%	42.8%	0.80×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	12.8%	12.3%	11.3%	1.10×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	7.2%	8.4%	6.3%	1.32×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.8%	85.6%	85.7%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.2%	14.4%	14.3%	1.00×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.1%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.9%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Both score 2nd half only	20.4%	20.8%	—	—	4.82
Both score 1st half only	10.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.35
Both score in both halves	3.4%	5.0%	—	—	20.04

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.7%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	14.3%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.5%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	45.5%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.4%	41.4%	1.14×	2.11
0-1 goals	33.2%	30.8%	30.7%	1.00×	3.25
4-6 goals	19.3%	20.2%	26.5%	0.76×	4.95
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.6%	1.16×	54.71

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	36.9%	0.98×	2.78
Córdoba to score exactly 0	34.4%	33.8%	32.7%	1.03×	2.96
Córdoba to score exactly 2	19.6%	19.6%	19.8%	0.99×	5.11
Córdoba to score 3+	9.3%	8.5%	10.8%	0.78×	11.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.6%	35.6%	1.00×	2.81
Leganes to score exactly 0	28.9%	26.5%	22.5%	1.18×	3.77
Leganes to score exactly 2	22.3%	23.2%	25.0%	0.93×	4.30
Leganes to score 3+	13.0%	14.3%	17.0%	0.84×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.4%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Leganes leading at HT	30.0%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Córdoba leading at HT	22.7%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes -1: 2	59.4%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Leganes -1: X	22.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Leganes -1: 1	17.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (0:1)	59.4%	55.9%	54.6%	1.02×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	22.9%	24.3%	26.0%	0.93×	4.12
Leganes (0:1)	17.7%	17.8%	19.6%	0.91×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (0:2)	82.3%	82.8%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.7%	11.0%	12.0%	0.91×	9.13
Leganes (0:2)	6.0%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (0:3)	94.0%	92.6%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.4%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.09
Leganes (0:3)	1.7%	2.4%	2.4%	0.98×	42.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (0:4)	98.3%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.60
Leganes (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	0.4%	2.84×	83.71

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (1:0)	68.0%	70.0%	71.9%	0.97×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.7%	17.1%	18.0%	0.95×	5.86
Córdoba (1:0)	12.2%	12.8%	10.2%	1.26×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (2:0)	87.8%	88.4%	89.8%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.6%	6.5%	7.0%	0.92×	15.48
Córdoba (2:0)	3.6%	2.3%	3.3%	0.69×	44.16

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to concede	65.6%	66.5%	67.3%	0.99×	1.50
Leganes clean sheet	34.4%	33.5%	32.7%	1.02×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes clean sheet in 1st half	65.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Leganes to concede in 1st half	34.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes under 6.5 corners	83.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Leganes over 2.5 corners	74.4%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Leganes under 5.5 corners	73.4%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Leganes under 4.5 corners	59.5%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Leganes over 3.5 corners	57.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Leganes under 3.5 corners	42.8%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Leganes over 4.5 corners	40.5%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Leganes over 5.5 corners	26.6%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Leganes under 2.5 corners	25.6%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Leganes over 6.5 corners	16.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes under 3.5 goals	96.2%	96.4%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Leganes under 2.5 goals	87.0%	87.3%	83.0%	1.05×	1.15
Leganes over 0.5 goals	71.1%	74.2%	77.5%	0.96×	1.35
Leganes under 1.5 goals	64.8%	63.5%	58.0%	1.09×	1.57
Leganes over 1.5 goals	35.2%	36.5%	42.0%	0.87×	2.74
Leganes under 0.5 goals	28.9%	25.8%	22.5%	1.15×	3.87
Leganes over 2.5 goals	13.0%	12.7%	17.0%	0.75×	7.85
Leganes over 3.5 goals	3.8%	3.6%	6.3%	0.58×	27.45

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes under 1.5 in 1st half	89.9%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Leganes under 0.5 in 1st half	58.6%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Leganes over 0.5 in 1st half	41.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Leganes over 1.5 in 1st half	10.1%	10.1%	—	—	9.91

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (home no bet)	53.8%	51.6%	51.3%	1.01×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.2%	48.4%	48.7%	0.99×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes even goals	54.2%	50.6%	51.8%	0.98×	1.98
Leganes odd goals	45.8%	49.4%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	20.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	16.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	8.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
HT 2-0	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 0-2	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.53
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.57
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.67

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes at HT / Leganes at FT	23.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Córdoba at HT / Córdoba at FT	16.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Leganes at FT	15.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Córdoba at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Leganes at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
Leganes at HT / Córdoba at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Córdoba at HT / Leganes at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to score last	48.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Córdoba to score last	41.8%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	9.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.4%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Leganes to lead by 1 at any time	54.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time	47.0%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Leganes to lead by 2 at any time	22.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time	16.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Leganes to lead by 3 at any time	7.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.10
Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	1.7%	—	—	59.81

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba most corners	63.6%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Leganes most corners	26.7%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	9.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.4%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.9%	83.5%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.2%	72.4%	63.0%	1.15×	1.38
2-6 goals	65.8%	68.9%	67.8%	1.02×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.7%	63.4%	64.2%	0.99×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.3%	59.2%	56.6%	1.05×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.8%	48.7%	42.0%	1.16×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.7%	41.4%	1.17×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.7%	39.2%	47.5%	0.82×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.6%	39.1%	44.0%	0.89×	2.56
3-4 goals	32.2%	35.4%	36.3%	0.97×	2.83
4-6 goals	19.3%	18.6%	26.5%	0.70×	5.36
4-5 goals	17.2%	18.6%	22.9%	0.81×	5.37
5-6 goals	7.5%	8.7%	11.4%	0.77×	11.45
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	1.6%	1.61×	39.31

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes never behind	43.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Córdoba never behind	35.8%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.8%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.2%	49.2%	51.5%	0.95×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.0%	95.5%	94.8%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	87.2%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	90.4%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	79.8%	77.3%	72.0%	1.07×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	66.8%	66.2%	69.3%	0.96×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.4%	58.9%	51.0%	1.15×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	40.6%	41.1%	49.0%	0.84×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	33.2%	33.8%	30.7%	1.10×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	20.2%	22.7%	28.0%	0.81×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	9.6%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.92
Over 4.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	3.0%	4.5%	5.2%	0.87×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.8%	97.2%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.4%	92.5%	84.9%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.6%	72.6%	64.6%	1.12×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.0%	55.4%	61.5%	0.90×	1.81
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.0%	44.6%	38.5%	1.16×	2.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.4%	27.4%	35.4%	0.77×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.6%	7.5%	15.1%	0.50×	13.25
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.2%	2.8%	5.6%	0.50×	36.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	1.6%	1.69×	36.21

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.1%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.75

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.6%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.1%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.1%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.9%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba not to score in both halves	83.6%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Leganes not to score in both halves	79.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Leganes to score in both halves	21.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Córdoba to score in both halves	16.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.3%	50.5%	53.9%	0.94×	1.98
Only Leganes scores	24.8%	22.3%	23.7%	0.94×	4.48
Only Córdoba scores	19.3%	16.1%	13.5%	1.19×	6.22
Neither team scores	9.6%	7.2%	9.1%	0.79×	13.89

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.1%	25.0%	20.4%	1.22×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	23.6%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	20.4%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	11.8%	12.1%	15.2%	0.79×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	9.6%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.10
6 or more goals	3.0%	4.4%	5.2%	0.86×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.9%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
1 goal in 2nd half	35.3%	39.8%	—	—	2.52
No goals in 2nd half	25.9%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba not to win both halves	93.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Leganes not to win both halves	90.3%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Leganes to win both halves	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Córdoba to win both halves	6.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.67

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to win neither half	55.3%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Leganes to win either half	52.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Leganes to win neither half	47.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Córdoba to win either half	44.7%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba not to win to nil	80.7%	83.0%	86.5%	0.96×	1.21
Leganes not to win to nil	75.2%	78.0%	76.3%	1.02×	1.28
Leganes to win to nil	24.8%	22.0%	23.7%	0.93×	4.55
Córdoba to win to nil	19.3%	17.0%	13.5%	1.26×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.5%	27.8%	26.6%	1.05×	3.59
Leganes by 1	22.9%	24.2%	26.0%	0.93×	4.14
Córdoba by 1	19.7%	16.9%	18.0%	0.94×	5.90
Leganes by 2	11.7%	11.8%	12.0%	0.98×	8.48
Córdoba by 2	8.6%	7.3%	7.0%	1.03×	13.78
Leganes by 3+	6.0%	7.3%	7.7%	0.94×	13.79
Córdoba by 3+	3.6%	2.7%	3.3%	0.83×	36.98