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Lens v Brest — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 August 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

Lens
2–0
4.02 – 0.70 xG
Brest
Shots
20 – 12
On target
9 – 2
Shots in box
16 – 9
xG per shot
0.21 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.30 – 0.08
Goals − xG
-2.11 – -0.70
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.22.33.54.60'15'30'45'60'75'90'Jhoanner Chávez 18' — goal
Lens 4.11 xGBrest 0.70 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Jhoanner Chávez 0' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Remy Labeau Lascary 0' — Missed Shot (0.67 xG, Open Play)Anass Zaroury 9' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Hugo Magnetti 10' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Jhoanner Chávez 18' — Goal (0.31 xG, Open Play)Remy Labeau Lascary 18' — Missed Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Florian Sotoca 22' — Missed Shot (0.40 xG, Open Play)Romain Del Castillo 26' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Romain Del Castillo 28' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Anass Zaroury 30' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Florian Sotoca 34' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Ludovic Ajorque 38' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Florian Sotoca 42' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Set Piece)Julien Le Cardinal 44' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Open Play)Romain Del Castillo 50' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Brendan Chardonnet 51' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Remy Labeau Lascary 52' — Saved Shot (0.17 xG, Open Play)Ruben Aguilar 52' — Missed Shot (0.41 xG, Open Play)Florian Sotoca 53' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Romain Faivre 56' — Missed Shot (0.30 xG, Open Play)Florian Sotoca 60' — Saved Shot (0.36 xG, Open Play)Anass Zaroury 62' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Florian Sotoca 62' — Saved Shot (0.49 xG, Open Play)Kevin Danso 63' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Angelo Fulgini 67' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Direct Freekick)Mahdi Camara 68' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Facundo Medina 68' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Abdallah Sima 71' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Facundo Medina 77' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jeremy Le Douaron 81' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mahdi Camara 90' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Martín Satriano 92' — Blocked Shot (0.26 xG, Open Play)
Lens attacking right Brest attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Lens Jhoanner Chávez 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Anass Zaroury
0' Lens Remy Labeau Lascary 0.67 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
9' Lens Anass Zaroury 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Remy Labeau Lascary
10' Brest Hugo Magnetti 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
18' Lens Jhoanner Chávez 0.31 Open Play Left Foot Goal Anass Zaroury
18' Lens Remy Labeau Lascary 0.32 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jonathan Gradit
22' Lens Florian Sotoca 0.40 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ruben Aguilar
26' Brest Romain Del Castillo 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Mahdi Camara
28' Brest Romain Del Castillo 0.05 Open Play — Missed Shot Kenny Lala
30' Lens Anass Zaroury 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Adrien Thomasson
34' Lens Florian Sotoca 0.04 From Corner — Saved Shot Jhoanner Chávez
38' Brest Ludovic Ajorque 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
42' Lens Florian Sotoca 0.08 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Anass Zaroury
44' Brest Julien Le Cardinal 0.00 Open Play Right Foot Own Goal —
50' Brest Romain Del Castillo 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Mahdi Camara
51' Brest Brendan Chardonnet 0.08 From Corner — Missed Shot Kenny Lala
52' Lens Remy Labeau Lascary 0.17 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
52' Lens Ruben Aguilar 0.41 Open Play — Missed Shot —
53' Lens Florian Sotoca 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Andy Diouf
56' Brest Romain Faivre 0.30 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Hugo Magnetti
60' Lens Florian Sotoca 0.36 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Andy Diouf
62' Lens Anass Zaroury 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
62' Lens Florian Sotoca 0.49 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Remy Labeau Lascary
63' Lens Kevin Danso 0.03 From Corner — Saved Shot Jhoanner Chávez
67' Lens Angelo Fulgini 0.12 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot —
68' Brest Mahdi Camara 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Abdallah Sima
68' Lens Facundo Medina 0.03 From Corner — Saved Shot Jhoanner Chávez
71' Brest Abdallah Sima 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jordan Amavi
77' Lens Facundo Medina 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Florian Sotoca
81' Brest Jeremy Le Douaron 0.04 Open Play — Missed Shot Pereira Lage
90' Brest Mahdi Camara 0.04 Open Play — Missed Shot Kenny Lala
92' Lens Martín Satriano 0.26 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Facundo Medina

Players

Brest

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Romain Del Castillo FWR 90 0 0 3 0 0.11 0.00 0.45
Brendan Chardonnet DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.00
Mahdi Camara MC 90 0 0 2 2 0.06 0.06 0.12
Hugo Magnetti MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.30 0.36
Marco Bizot GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Kenny Lala DR 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.16 0.08
Julien Le Cardinal DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Jordan Amavi DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.04
Romain Faivre FWL 81 0 0 1 0 0.30 0.00 0.37
Ludovic Ajorque FW 81 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.10
Jonas Martin MC 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Abdallah Sima Sub 24 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.02 0.06
Jeremy Le Douaron Sub 9 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Pereira Lage Sub 9 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.04
Luc Zogbe Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04

Lens

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Florian Sotoca FW 90 0 0 6 1 1.41 0.05 1.34
Ruben Aguilar MR 90 0 0 1 1 0.41 0.40 1.44
Facundo Medina DC 90 0 0 2 1 0.08 0.26 1.54
Kevin Danso DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 1.26
Adrien Thomasson MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.84
Brice Samba GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Andy Diouf MC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.40 0.52
Remy Labeau Lascary FW 77 0 0 3 2 1.15 0.61 1.77
Jhoanner Chávez ML 77 1 0 2 3 0.34 0.10 0.79
Jonathan Gradit DC 77 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.32 0.77
Anass Zaroury AMC 68 0 1 3 3 0.30 0.42 0.68
Angelo Fulgini Sub 22 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.05
Martín Satriano Sub 13 0 0 1 0 0.26 0.00 0.26
Deiver Machado Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Abduqodir Khusanov Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Przemyslaw Frankowski Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.26
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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