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Levadiakos v Panetolikos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Levadiakos win
51.5%
model 52.1%
Draw
27.3%
model 27.6%
Panetolikos win
21.2%
model 20.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.2%
  2. 2-1 9.8%
  3. 2-0 9.5%
  4. 1-0 8.9%
  5. 0-0 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.552.4% Under 2.547.6%
BTTS yes55.0% BTTS no45.0%
Levadiakos 1+82.5% Levadiakos 2+52.0%
Panetolikos 1+64.2% Panetolikos 2+27.5%

Expected goals 1.74 – 1.03. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
95%
★ Best pick
Levadiakos over 1.5 goals
Home goals O/U · usually 39%
52.9% fair odds 1.89
strong signal · 785 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 12.5 corners
Corners O/U
83.4% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1161 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Levadiakos carry the stronger rating, 1516 Elo against 1437.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Levadiakos have an estimated 51.5% win probability, against 27.3% for the draw and 21.2% for Panetolikos. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.74 for Levadiakos and 1.03 for Panetolikos.

Why Levadiakos

Levadiakos carry the stronger rating, 1516 Elo against 1437.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Panetolikos can win

Nothing in the data singles out Panetolikos.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Levadiakos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Panetolikos, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Levadiakos: 53% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Panetolikos: 51% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Levadiakos are the model's most likely outcome at 51.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.74–1.05 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.88–0.96 1-1 12% 54% 54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to win 51.4% 52.0% 41.4% 1.26× 1.93
Draw 27.6% 27.6% 25.0% 1.10× 3.63
Panetolikos to win 20.9% 22.2% 33.8% 0.66× 4.51
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos & not both score 26.7% 26.1% 24.0% 1.09× 3.83
Levadiakos & both teams score 24.7% 22.7% 17.6% 1.29× 4.40
Draw & both teams score 19.5% 17.8% 16.8% 1.06× 5.61
Panetolikos & both teams score 11.5% 12.1% 14.3% 0.84× 8.26
Panetolikos & not both score 9.5% 7.3% 19.7% 0.37× 13.66
Draw & not both score 8.1% 7.3% 8.4% 0.87× 13.69
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos & over 1.5 42.8% 43.8% 32.4% 1.35× 2.29
Levadiakos & over 2.5 33.5% 33.1% 26.4% 1.25× 3.02
Levadiakos & under 3.5 33.1% 33.1% 29.7% 1.11× 3.02
Draw & under 2.5 21.3% 21.5% 21.3% 1.01× 4.66
Draw & under 3.5 21.3% 21.5% 21.3% 1.01× 4.66
Draw & over 1.5 19.5% 17.6% 16.8% 1.05× 5.68
Levadiakos & over 3.5 18.4% 17.6% 11.9% 1.48× 5.68
Levadiakos & under 2.5 17.9% 17.6% 15.2% 1.16× 5.68
Panetolikos & over 1.5 16.5% 17.6% 24.4% 0.72× 5.68
Panetolikos & under 3.5 15.0% 12.7% 26.8% 0.47× 7.87
Panetolikos & over 2.5 13.1% 12.7% 18.4% 0.69× 7.87
Levadiakos & under 1.5 8.7% 7.5% 9.2% 0.81× 13.33
Draw & under 1.5 8.1% 7.5% 8.4% 0.89× 13.34
Panetolikos & under 2.5 7.9% 7.5% 15.6% 0.48× 13.34
Draw & over 2.5 6.3% 7.5% 3.9% 1.92× 13.35
Draw & over 3.5 6.3% 7.5% 3.9% 1.92× 13.35
Panetolikos & over 3.5 5.9% 7.5% 7.2% 1.04× 13.35
Panetolikos & under 1.5 4.5% 4.5% 9.6% 0.47× 22.30
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (1UP) 66.3% 72.1% 1.39
Panetolikos (1UP) 39.8% 38.4% 2.60
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (2UP) 51.4% 53.8% 1.86
Panetolikos (2UP) 20.9% 20.8% 4.81
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to win 2nd half 42.4% 39.4% 2.54
2nd half drawn 35.5% 37.4% 2.67
Panetolikos to win 2nd half 22.1% 22.2% 4.50
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos under 1.5 in 2nd half 86.7% 85.3% 1.17
Panetolikos under 0.5 in 2nd half 53.1% 51.5% 1.94
Panetolikos over 0.5 in 2nd half 46.9% 48.5% 2.06
Panetolikos over 1.5 in 2nd half 13.3% 14.7% 6.83
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos under 1.5 in 2nd half 73.9% 71.2% 1.41
Levadiakos over 0.5 in 2nd half 62.9% 65.3% 1.53
Levadiakos under 0.5 in 2nd half 37.1% 34.7% 2.88
Levadiakos over 1.5 in 2nd half 26.1% 28.8% 3.47
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos (+2.5) 86.9% 89.0% 89.3% 1.00× 1.12
Levadiakos (+0.5) 79.1% 78.8% 66.2% 1.19× 1.27
Panetolikos (+1.5) 70.5% 73.0% 78.9% 0.93× 1.37
Levadiakos (-0.5) 51.4% 51.8% 41.4% 1.25× 1.93
Panetolikos (+0.5) 48.6% 48.2% 58.6% 0.82× 2.08
Levadiakos (-1.5) 29.5% 27.0% 21.1% 1.28× 3.71
Panetolikos (-0.5) 20.9% 21.2% 33.8% 0.63× 4.72
Levadiakos (-2.5) 13.1% 11.0% 10.7% 1.03× 9.10
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos to concede 82.4% 84.7% 72.1% 1.17× 1.18
Panetolikos clean sheet 17.6% 15.3% 27.9% 0.55× 6.54
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos to concede in 1st half 52.7% 54.6% 1.83
Panetolikos clean sheet in 1st half 47.3% 45.4% 2.20
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos to concede in 2nd half 62.9% 63.8% 1.57
Panetolikos clean sheet in 2nd half 37.1% 36.2% 2.76
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos under 6.5 corners 91.7% 90.1% 1.11
Panetolikos under 5.5 corners 84.6% 81.5% 1.23
Panetolikos under 4.5 corners 73.3% 71.5% 1.40
Panetolikos over 2.5 corners 62.0% 61.8% 1.62
Panetolikos under 3.5 corners 57.4% 57.1% 1.75
Panetolikos over 3.5 corners 42.6% 42.9% 2.33
Panetolikos under 2.5 corners 38.0% 38.2% 2.62
Panetolikos over 4.5 corners 26.7% 28.5% 3.52
Panetolikos over 5.5 corners 15.4% 18.5% 5.39
Panetolikos over 6.5 corners 8.3% 9.9% 10.06
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos under 3.5 goals 97.8% 97.3% 96.7% 1.01× 1.03
Panetolikos under 2.5 goals 91.0% 92.7% 89.8% 1.03× 1.08
Panetolikos under 1.5 goals 71.6% 72.0% 67.4% 1.07× 1.39
Panetolikos over 0.5 goals 65.1% 67.2% 67.8% 0.99× 1.49
Panetolikos under 0.5 goals 34.9% 32.8% 32.2% 1.02× 3.05
Panetolikos over 1.5 goals 28.4% 28.0% 32.6% 0.86× 3.57
Panetolikos over 2.5 goals 9.0% 7.3% 10.2% 0.71× 13.75
Panetolikos over 3.5 goals 2.2% 2.7% 3.3% 0.83× 36.65
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos under 1.5 in 1st half 93.3% 93.3% 1.07
Panetolikos under 0.5 in 1st half 65.6% 67.0% 1.49
Panetolikos over 0.5 in 1st half 34.4% 33.0% 3.03
Panetolikos over 1.5 in 1st half 6.7% 6.7% 15.02
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos scores equally in both 44.8% 42.3% 2.36
Panetolikos scores more in 2nd half 34.6% 32.4% 3.08
Panetolikos scores more in 1st half 20.6% 21.5% 4.65
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (away no bet) 65.0% 71.9% 62.3% 1.15× 1.39
Draw (away no bet) 35.0% 28.1% 37.7% 0.75× 3.56
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos even goals 56.1% 58.3% 56.8% 1.03× 1.71
Panetolikos odd goals 43.9% 41.7% 43.2% 0.96× 2.40
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 84.3% 81.8% 1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals 15.8% 18.2% 5.50
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 66.2% 65.1% 1.54
Both halves under 1.5 goals 33.8% 34.9% 2.87
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 58.0% 59.4% 1.68
Levadiakos to score 2+ in a row 43.9% 45.1% 2.22
Either team to score 3+ in a row 22.2% 21.8% 4.59
Panetolikos to score 2+ in a row 20.1% 21.7% 4.60
Levadiakos to score 3+ in a row 17.8% 17.8% 5.61
Panetolikos to score 3+ in a row 4.7% 3.4% 29.19
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos corners (+3.5) 90.3% 89.6% 1.12
Panetolikos corners (+3.5) 84.9% 79.7% 1.25
Levadiakos corners (+2.5) 83.5% 79.7% 1.25
Panetolikos corners (+2.5) 76.2% 74.9% 1.34
Levadiakos corners (+1.5) 73.9% 70.7% 1.41
Panetolikos corners (+1.5) 64.8% 61.9% 1.62
Levadiakos corners (-1.5) 35.2% 38.1% 2.63
Panetolikos corners (-1.5) 26.1% 29.3% 3.42
Levadiakos corners (-2.5) 23.8% 25.1% 3.98
Panetolikos corners (-2.5) 16.5% 20.3% 4.93
Levadiakos corners (-3.5) 15.1% 20.3% 4.93
Panetolikos corners (-3.5) 9.8% 10.5% 9.57
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 69.2% 55.3% 1.81
9-11 corners 21.8% 25.6% 3.90
12+ corners 9.0% 21.7% 4.60
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 94.5% 83.4% 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 91.0% 83.3% 1.20
Under 10.5 corners 85.8% 83.0% 1.21
Under 9.5 corners 78.6% 76.5% 1.31
Under 8.5 corners 69.2% 67.7% 1.48
Under 7.5 corners 57.7% 57.7% 1.73
Over 7.5 corners 42.3% 42.3% 2.37
Over 8.5 corners 30.8% 32.3% 3.09
Over 9.5 corners 21.4% 23.5% 4.26
Over 10.5 corners 14.2% 17.0% 5.88
Over 11.5 corners 9.0% 16.7% 5.99
Over 12.5 corners 5.5% 16.6% 6.03
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.2% 11.6% 13.1% 0.89× 8.61
2-1 9.8% 7.3% 8.6% 0.84× 13.75
2-0 9.3% 7.3% 6.1% 1.18× 13.76
1-0 8.7% 7.3% 9.2% 0.79× 13.76
0-0 8.1% 7.3% 8.4% 0.86× 13.76
1-2 5.9% 7.3% 8.6% 0.84× 13.77
3-0 5.4% 7.3% 6.4% 1.14× 13.77
3-1 5.7% 7.3% 3.5% 2.08× 13.77
2-2 5.1% 7.3% 3.7% 1.97× 13.77
0-1 4.5% 1.8% 9.6% 0.19× 55.40
0-2 3.4% 1.8% 6.1% 0.29× 55.42
3-2 3.0% 1.8% 3.1% 0.59× 55.43
4-1 2.5% 1.8% 1.4% 1.26× 55.45
Any other score 3.7% 1.8% 2.5% 0.73× 55.42
0-3 1.2% 1.8% 3.1% 0.59× 55.48
1-3 2.1% 1.8% 2.0% 0.88× 55.46
2-3 1.8% 1.8% 2.3% 0.80× 55.46
4-0 2.3% 1.8% 1.8% 0.98× 55.45
4-2 1.3% 1.8% 1.4% 1.26× 55.48
0-4 0.3% 1.8% 0.8% 2.20× 55.50
1-4 0.5% 1.8% 1.4% 1.26× 55.49
2-4 0.5% 1.8% 0.6% 2.93× 55.50
3-3 1.0% 1.8% 0.4% 4.40× 55.48
3-4 0.3% 1.8% 0.2% 8.79× 55.50
4-3 0.5% 1.8% 0.2% 8.79× 55.50
4-4 0.1% 1.8% 0.2% 8.79× 55.51
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (2nd half DNB) 65.7% 66.4% 1.51
Panetolikos (2nd half DNB) 34.3% 33.6% 2.98
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos leading at HT (DNB) 68.0% 67.3% 1.49
Panetolikos leading at HT (DNB) 32.0% 32.7% 3.05
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos or draw (1X) 79.1% 77.8% 66.2% 1.18× 1.29
Levadiakos or Panetolikos (12) 72.4% 72.4% 75.0% 0.97× 1.38
Panetolikos or draw (X2) 48.6% 48.0% 58.6% 0.82× 2.08
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos or draw at HT 81.5% 81.7% 1.23
Panetolikos or draw at HT 60.8% 63.2% 1.58
Levadiakos or Panetolikos at HT 57.7% 58.1% 1.72
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos or draw (1UP) 79.1% 84.9% 1.18
Panetolikos or draw (1UP) 48.6% 55.1% 1.81
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos or draw in 2nd half 77.9% 77.8% 1.29
Levadiakos or Panetolikos in 2nd half 64.5% 62.6% 1.60
Panetolikos or draw in 2nd half 57.6% 60.6% 1.65
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 60.6% 59.3% 1.69
Neither half drawn 39.4% 40.7% 2.46
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (DNB) 71.1% 71.2% 55.0% 1.29× 1.40
Panetolikos (DNB) 28.9% 28.8% 45.0% 0.64× 3.47
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to score first 57.2% 62.2% 1.61
Panetolikos to score first 34.7% 32.1% 3.11
No goal scored 8.1% 6.3% 15.94
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 55.7% 56.4% 48.4% 1.17× 1.77
Not both teams to score 44.3% 43.6% 51.6% 0.84× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 42.5% 42.3% 35.5% 1.19× 2.36
Not both score & under 2.5 33.9% 34.3% 38.7% 0.89× 2.92
Both score & under 2.5 13.2% 11.7% 13.1% 0.89× 8.53
Not both score & over 2.5 10.4% 11.7% 13.1% 0.89× 8.56
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 85.3% 85.4% 88.9% 0.96× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 14.7% 14.6% 11.1% 1.32× 6.83
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 69.8% 69.6% 1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half 30.2% 30.4% 3.29
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 56.7% 57.6% 1.74
Both score 2nd half only 24.8% 24.5% 4.09
Both score 1st half only 13.1% 11.6% 8.64
Both score in both halves 5.3% 6.4% 15.72
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 81.5% 83.2% 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 18.5% 16.8% 5.94
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 56.3% 55.6% 1.80
A half without a goal 43.7% 44.4% 2.26
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.1% 45.9% 50.8% 0.90× 2.18
4-6 goals 28.2% 27.7% 21.7% 1.28× 3.61
0-1 goals 21.2% 22.7% 26.8% 0.85× 4.41
7+ goals 2.4% 1.9% 1.0% 1.88× 51.82
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos to score exactly 1 36.7% 34.6% 35.5% 0.98× 2.89
Panetolikos to score exactly 0 34.9% 33.1% 32.2% 1.03× 3.02
Panetolikos to score exactly 2 19.4% 18.5% 22.5% 0.82× 5.40
Panetolikos to score 3+ 9.0% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.29
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to score exactly 1 30.6% 30.4% 33.6% 0.90× 3.29
Levadiakos to score exactly 2 26.6% 27.1% 20.7% 1.31× 3.70
Levadiakos to score 3+ 25.3% 27.0% 18.2% 1.48× 3.70
Levadiakos to score exactly 0 17.6% 18.5% 27.9% 0.66× 5.41
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 42.3% 41.9% 2.39
Levadiakos leading at HT 39.2% 36.8% 2.72
Panetolikos leading at HT 18.5% 18.3% 5.45
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos -1: 2 48.6% 47.2% 2.12
Levadiakos -1: 1 29.5% 27.2% 3.68
Levadiakos -1: X 21.9% 24.0% 4.17
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos (0:1) 48.6% 47.8% 58.6% 0.82× 2.09
Levadiakos (0:1) 29.5% 26.5% 21.1% 1.26× 3.77
Draw (0:1) 21.9% 24.5% 20.5% 1.20× 4.08
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos (0:2) 70.5% 73.2% 78.9% 0.93× 1.37
Draw (0:2) 16.4% 16.3% 10.7% 1.53× 6.15
Levadiakos (0:2) 13.1% 11.6% 10.7% 1.09× 8.61
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos (0:3) 86.9% 88.5% 89.3% 0.99× 1.13
Draw (0:3) 8.3% 6.8% 8.0% 0.86× 14.61
Levadiakos (0:3) 4.8% 2.3% 2.9% 0.81× 42.78
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos (0:4) 95.2% 98.0% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 3.3% 1.2% 1.8% 0.67× 80.42
Levadiakos (0:4) 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.00× 81.37
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (1:0) 79.1% 78.8% 66.2% 1.19× 1.27
Draw (1:0) 12.5% 11.7% 20.1% 0.58× 8.58
Panetolikos (1:0) 8.4% 8.6% 13.9% 0.62× 11.62
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (2:0) 91.6% 91.6% 86.1% 1.06× 1.09
Draw (2:0) 6.0% 6.5% 8.4% 0.77× 15.42
Panetolikos (2:0) 2.4% 2.7% 5.7% 0.47× 37.03
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.3% 48.7% 2.05
Halves equal 27.5% 26.1% 3.83
1st half highest scoring 26.2% 26.1% 3.83
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to concede 65.1% 66.9% 67.8% 0.99× 1.49
Levadiakos clean sheet 34.9% 33.1% 32.2% 1.03× 3.02
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos clean sheet in 1st half 65.6% 67.2% 1.49
Levadiakos to concede in 1st half 34.4% 32.8% 3.05
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos clean sheet in 2nd half 53.1% 51.3% 1.95
Levadiakos to concede in 2nd half 46.9% 48.7% 2.05
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos under 6.5 corners 88.0% 86.3% 1.16
Levadiakos under 5.5 corners 79.3% 76.6% 1.31
Levadiakos over 2.5 corners 68.4% 66.7% 1.50
Levadiakos under 4.5 corners 66.6% 66.7% 1.50
Levadiakos under 3.5 corners 50.0% 52.8% 1.90
Levadiakos over 3.5 corners 50.0% 47.2% 2.12
Levadiakos over 4.5 corners 33.4% 33.3% 3.00
Levadiakos under 2.5 corners 31.6% 33.3% 3.00
Levadiakos over 5.5 corners 20.7% 23.4% 4.27
Levadiakos over 6.5 corners 12.0% 13.7% 7.28
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos under 3.5 goals 90.1% 92.1% 94.3% 0.98× 1.09
Levadiakos over 0.5 goals 82.4% 82.5% 72.1% 1.14× 1.21
Levadiakos under 2.5 goals 74.7% 72.9% 81.8% 0.89× 1.37
Levadiakos over 1.5 goals 51.9% 52.9% 38.7% 1.37× 1.89
Levadiakos under 1.5 goals 48.1% 47.1% 61.3% 0.77× 2.13
Levadiakos over 2.5 goals 25.3% 27.2% 18.2% 1.49× 3.68
Levadiakos under 0.5 goals 17.6% 17.5% 27.9% 0.63× 5.72
Levadiakos over 3.5 goals 9.9% 7.9% 5.7% 1.37× 12.71
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos under 1.5 in 1st half 82.7% 80.5% 1.24
Levadiakos over 0.5 in 1st half 52.7% 54.6% 1.83
Levadiakos under 0.5 in 1st half 47.3% 45.4% 2.20
Levadiakos over 1.5 in 1st half 17.3% 19.5% 5.12
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos scores more in 2nd half 40.1% 40.3% 2.48
Levadiakos scores equally in both 33.2% 31.6% 3.17
Levadiakos scores more in 1st half 26.7% 27.8% 3.60
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 56.9% 54.4% 42.5% 1.28× 1.84
Panetolikos (home no bet) 43.1% 45.6% 57.5% 0.79× 2.19
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos even goals 51.5% 50.2% 52.9% 0.95× 1.99
Levadiakos odd goals 48.5% 49.8% 47.1% 1.06× 2.01
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 31.4% 30.4% 3.29
HT 1-0 22.9% 22.7% 4.41
HT 0-1 12.8% 11.2% 8.93
HT 1-1 10.1% 11.2% 8.96
HT 2-0 8.7% 7.7% 12.98
Any other HT score 4.9% 2.5% 39.72
HT 2-1 3.7% 2.5% 39.79
HT 0-2 2.8% 2.5% 39.84
HT 1-2 2.1% 2.5% 39.88
HT 2-2 0.8% 2.5% 39.96
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos at HT / Levadiakos at FT 31.9% 34.2% 2.93
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 17.2% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Levadiakos at FT 16.8% 16.8% 5.96
Panetolikos at HT / Panetolikos at FT 10.9% 11.9% 8.39
Draw at HT / Panetolikos at FT 8.3% 6.6% 15.19
Levadiakos at HT / Draw at FT 5.6% 6.6% 15.26
Panetolikos at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.4% 29.30
Panetolikos at HT / Levadiakos at FT 2.7% 3.4% 29.39
Levadiakos at HT / Panetolikos at FT 1.7% 3.4% 29.43
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to score last 57.5% 56.7% 1.76
Panetolikos to score last 34.4% 35.9% 2.79
No goal scored 8.1% 6.3% 15.94
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 91.9% 93.7% 1.07
Levadiakos to lead by 1 at any time 66.3% 70.8% 1.41
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 49.1% 46.2% 2.17
Panetolikos to lead by 1 at any time 39.8% 37.4% 2.68
Levadiakos to lead by 2 at any time 36.1% 37.3% 2.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 19.1% 17.6% 5.67
Levadiakos to lead by 3 at any time 15.6% 17.6% 5.69
Panetolikos to lead by 2 at any time 13.3% 11.4% 8.80
Panetolikos to lead by 3 at any time 3.5% 2.6% 38.07
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos most corners 48.3% 46.9% 2.13
Panetolikos most corners 38.2% 39.4% 2.54
Corners level 13.5% 10.4% 9.60
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.4% 87.9% 88.5% 0.99× 1.14
1-4 goals 76.8% 78.9% 80.1% 0.98× 1.27
2-6 goals 76.4% 78.9% 72.3% 1.09× 1.27
2-5 goals 72.3% 73.6% 70.1% 1.05× 1.36
2-4 goals 63.6% 62.2% 61.7% 1.01× 1.61
1-3 goals 61.2% 62.2% 69.3% 0.90× 1.61
3-6 goals 50.5% 52.3% 47.5% 1.10× 1.91
2-3 goals 48.1% 48.0% 50.8% 0.94× 2.08
3-5 goals 46.4% 48.0% 45.3% 1.06× 2.08
1-2 goals 39.0% 38.9% 43.4% 0.90× 2.57
3-4 goals 37.8% 38.9% 36.9% 1.05× 2.57
4-6 goals 28.2% 30.6% 21.7% 1.41× 3.27
4-5 goals 24.2% 24.8% 19.5% 1.27× 4.04
5-6 goals 12.7% 13.5% 10.9% 1.24× 7.41
7+ goals 2.4% 2.0% 1.0% 1.96× 49.82
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos never behind 52.1% 61.3% 1.63
Panetolikos never behind 25.5% 30.6% 3.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 45.8% 50.2% 53.7% 0.93× 1.99
Even number of goals 54.2% 49.8% 46.3% 1.08× 2.01
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.5% 55.2% 1.81
Odd goals in 1st half 44.5% 44.8% 2.23
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.3% 51.7% 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.7% 48.3% 2.07
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 93.6% 93.0% 96.7% 0.96× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 91.9% 93.0% 91.6% 1.02× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 84.9% 81.1% 88.3% 0.92× 1.23
Over 1.5 goals 78.8% 78.1% 73.2% 1.07× 1.28
Under 3.5 goals 69.4% 65.3% 77.5% 0.84× 1.53
Over 2.5 goals 52.9% 53.5% 48.4% 1.11× 1.87
Under 2.5 goals 47.1% 46.5% 51.6% 0.90× 2.15
Over 3.5 goals 30.7% 34.7% 22.5% 1.54× 2.89
Under 1.5 goals 21.2% 21.9% 26.8% 0.81× 4.57
Over 4.5 goals 15.1% 18.9% 11.7% 1.62× 5.28
Under 0.5 goals 8.1% 7.0% 8.4% 0.84× 14.24
Over 5.5 goals 6.4% 7.0% 3.3% 2.14× 14.27
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.5% 97.3% 99.0% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.9% 92.8% 96.4% 0.96× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 82.1% 80.5% 86.9% 0.93× 1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 71.4% 72.1% 64.3% 1.12× 1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 60.6% 62.3% 69.6% 0.89× 1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 39.4% 37.7% 30.4% 1.24× 2.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 28.6% 27.9% 35.7% 0.78× 3.59
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 17.9% 19.5% 13.1% 1.49× 5.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.1% 7.2% 3.6% 2.00× 13.95
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.5% 2.7% 1.0% 2.62× 36.38
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.6% 88.1% 1.14
Over 0.5 in 1st half 68.6% 68.6% 1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half 67.0% 68.6% 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 33.0% 31.4% 3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half 31.4% 31.4% 3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.4% 11.9% 8.42
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 79.6% 80.4% 1.24
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 77.7% 80.4% 1.24
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 48.9% 51.8% 1.93
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 51.1% 48.2% 2.07
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 22.3% 19.6% 5.10
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 20.4% 19.6% 5.11
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos not to score in both halves 83.9% 81.7% 1.22
Levadiakos not to score in both halves 66.9% 66.9% 1.49
Levadiakos to score in both halves 33.1% 33.1% 3.02
Panetolikos to score in both halves 16.1% 18.3% 5.46
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 55.7% 57.7% 48.4% 1.19× 1.73
Only Levadiakos scores 26.7% 25.5% 24.0% 1.06× 3.93
Only Panetolikos scores 9.5% 6.7% 19.7% 0.34× 15.03
Neither team scores 8.1% 6.6% 8.4% 0.79× 15.08
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.9% 24.6% 25.0% 0.99× 4.06
Exactly 3 goals 22.2% 21.6% 26.0% 0.83× 4.63
Exactly 4 goals 15.5% 18.5% 11.1% 1.68× 5.40
Exactly 1 goals 13.1% 12.3% 18.6% 0.66× 8.10
Exactly 5 goals 8.7% 7.6% 8.6% 0.89× 13.11
Exactly 0 goals 8.1% 7.6% 8.4% 0.91× 13.12
6 or more goals 6.4% 7.6% 3.3% 2.32× 13.14
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.6% 37.3% 2.68
No goals in 1st half 31.4% 32.5% 3.08
2 goals in 1st half 21.6% 21.6% 4.63
3+ goals in 1st half 11.4% 11.9% 8.43
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 48.9% 50.9% 1.96
1 goal in 2nd half 30.7% 33.1% 3.02
No goals in 2nd half 20.4% 18.4% 5.43
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos not to win both halves 95.7% 96.6% 1.04
Levadiakos not to win both halves 83.0% 82.9% 1.21
Levadiakos to win both halves 17.0% 17.1% 5.84
Panetolikos to win both halves 4.3% 3.4% 29.13
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to win either half 64.6% 63.8% 1.57
Panetolikos to win neither half 63.7% 63.8% 1.57
Panetolikos to win either half 36.3% 36.3% 2.76
Levadiakos to win neither half 35.4% 36.2% 2.76
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panetolikos not to win to nil 90.5% 92.5% 80.3% 1.15× 1.08
Levadiakos not to win to nil 73.3% 74.5% 76.0% 0.98× 1.34
Levadiakos to win to nil 26.7% 25.5% 24.0% 1.06× 3.93
Panetolikos to win to nil 9.5% 7.5% 19.7% 0.38× 13.25
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.6% 27.9% 25.0% 1.12× 3.58
Levadiakos by 1 21.9% 23.9% 20.5% 1.16× 4.19
Levadiakos by 2 16.4% 17.0% 10.7% 1.60× 5.87
Levadiakos by 3+ 13.1% 11.7% 10.7% 1.10× 8.53
Panetolikos by 1 12.5% 11.7% 20.1% 0.58× 8.53
Panetolikos by 2 6.0% 7.0% 8.4% 0.83× 14.26
Panetolikos by 3+ 2.4% 2.8% 5.7% 0.49× 35.37
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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