Levante v Athletic Club — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 16 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Levante

15:00 UTC

Athletic Club

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 171h before kick-off

Levante win

46.1%

model 41.6%

Draw

23.4%

model 24.2%

Athletic Club win

30.5%

model 34.2%

462331

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (554 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.1%
2-1 8.8%
1-2 7.9%
1-0 7.9%
0-1 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.8%	Under 2.5	42.2%
BTTS yes	60.3%	BTTS no	39.7%
Levante 1+	79.6%	Levante 2+	47.1%
Athletic Club 1+	75.8%	Athletic Club 2+	41.4%

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.42. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

92/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

Over 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 50%

57.8% fair odds 1.73

strong signal · 12482 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Levante (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 89%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 4434 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Levante have created 1.78 xG a match over their last five while Athletic Club have allowed 1.45.
At home Levante average 2.71 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Levante have an estimated 46.1% win probability, against 30.5% for Athletic Club and 23.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for Levante and 1.42 for Athletic Club.

Why Levante

Levante have created 1.78 xG a match over their last five while Athletic Club have allowed 1.45. At home Levante average 2.71 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.4%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.59 to 1.42. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Athletic Club can win

Athletic Club have created 1.47 xG a match over their last five while Levante have allowed 1.46. Away from home Athletic Club average 1.32 xG a match.

Key players

Levante's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Carlos Espí (0.41), Iván Romero (0.39), Roger Brugué (0.27). Athletic Club's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Iñaki Williams (0.41), Gorka Guruzeta (0.37), Nico Williams (0.28).

Availability

1 of Levante's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Levante's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Athletic Club's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Levante: 43% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.41 xG a match from set pieces. Athletic Club: 41% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.35 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Levante are the model's most likely outcome at 46.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%. Confidence 92/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Levante are finishing below their chances — 2.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

DLWWWLLDWD last 10 scored 15 from 17.8 xG conceded 16 from 14.6 xG

Athletic Club are conceding more than the chances against them merit — 3.5 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

LWLLDLLLWW last 10 scored 15 from 14.7 xG conceded 18 from 14.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	422434	1.59–1.42	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352442	1.48–1.65	1-1 11%	61%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to win	41.6%	41.6%	46.8%	0.89×	2.41
Athletic Club to win	34.2%	31.5%	28.1%	1.12×	3.17
Draw	24.2%	23.6%	25.2%	0.94×	4.23

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante & both teams score	22.4%	21.7%	21.7%	1.00×	4.61
Levante & not both score	19.3%	18.1%	25.3%	0.72×	5.52
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	18.1%	20.2%	0.90×	5.52
Athletic Club & both teams score	18.7%	18.1%	13.7%	1.32×	5.52
Athletic Club & not both score	15.5%	18.1%	14.6%	1.24×	5.52
Draw & not both score	5.0%	4.2%	5.1%	0.82×	23.90

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante & over 1.5	33.8%	31.8%	34.1%	0.93×	3.15
Levante & over 2.5	27.5%	26.4%	28.0%	0.94×	3.79
Athletic Club & over 1.5	27.2%	26.4%	21.2%	1.25×	3.79
Levante & under 3.5	26.3%	26.4%	33.0%	0.80×	3.79
Athletic Club & over 2.5	22.2%	21.8%	16.7%	1.31×	4.58
Athletic Club & under 3.5	22.3%	21.8%	21.7%	1.01×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	17.7%	20.2%	0.88×	5.64
Levante & over 3.5	15.4%	17.7%	13.9%	1.27×	5.64
Draw & under 2.5	16.1%	17.7%	20.1%	0.88×	5.64
Draw & under 3.5	16.1%	17.7%	20.1%	0.88×	5.64
Levante & under 2.5	14.1%	12.4%	18.9%	0.66×	8.05
Athletic Club & under 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	11.6%	1.07×	8.06
Athletic Club & over 3.5	11.9%	12.4%	6.6%	1.88×	8.06
Levante & under 1.5	7.9%	7.6%	12.8%	0.59×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	7.6%	5.2%	1.45×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	7.6%	5.2%	1.45×	13.21
Athletic Club & under 1.5	7.0%	7.6%	7.1%	1.07×	13.21
Draw & under 1.5	5.0%	4.4%	5.1%	0.86×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (1UP)	59.2%	57.0%	63.2%	0.90×	1.75
Athletic Club (1UP)	52.9%	54.3%	47.1%	1.15×	1.84

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (2UP)	41.6%	44.2%	48.7%	0.91×	2.26
Athletic Club (2UP)	34.2%	35.6%	29.7%	1.20×	2.81

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to win 2nd half	36.4%	36.5%	39.5%	0.92×	2.74
2nd half drawn	33.1%	32.9%	33.0%	1.00×	3.04
Athletic Club to win 2nd half	30.5%	32.8%	27.7%	1.18×	3.05

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.7%	78.2%	84.5%	0.92×	1.28
Athletic Club over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	54.8%	51.7%	1.06×	1.82
Athletic Club under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	45.2%	48.3%	0.93×	2.21
Athletic Club over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.3%	21.8%	15.5%	1.41×	4.58

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.7%	78.1%	80.0%	0.98×	1.28
Levante over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.0%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
Levante under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.0%	36.7%	41.3%	0.89×	2.73
Levante over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.3%	21.9%	20.0%	1.10×	4.57

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club (+2.5)	91.6%	92.3%	90.0%	1.03×	1.08
Athletic Club (+1.5)	79.1%	78.0%	79.2%	0.99×	1.28
Levante (+0.5)	65.8%	67.9%	71.9%	0.94×	1.47
Athletic Club (+0.5)	58.4%	58.3%	53.2%	1.10×	1.71
Levante (-0.5)	41.6%	41.7%	46.8%	0.89×	2.40
Athletic Club (-0.5)	34.2%	32.1%	28.1%	1.14×	3.12
Levante (-1.5)	20.9%	22.0%	20.8%	1.06×	4.55
Levante (-2.5)	8.4%	7.7%	10.0%	0.77×	12.97

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club to concede	79.6%	78.9%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
Athletic Club clean sheet	20.4%	21.1%	19.6%	1.08×	4.74

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club clean sheet in 1st half	52.4%	53.8%	51.9%	1.04×	1.86
Athletic Club to concede in 1st half	47.6%	46.2%	48.1%	0.96×	2.17

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club to concede in 2nd half	61.0%	61.3%	58.7%	1.04×	1.63
Athletic Club clean sheet in 2nd half	39.0%	38.7%	41.3%	0.94×	2.58

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club over 2.5 corners	85.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Athletic Club over 3.5 corners	73.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Athletic Club under 6.5 corners	67.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Athletic Club over 4.5 corners	59.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Athletic Club under 5.5 corners	55.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Athletic Club over 5.5 corners	45.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Athletic Club under 4.5 corners	40.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Athletic Club over 6.5 corners	32.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Athletic Club under 3.5 corners	26.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Athletic Club under 2.5 corners	14.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.2%	97.3%	0.95×	1.09
Athletic Club under 2.5 goals	82.9%	82.5%	90.0%	0.92×	1.21
Athletic Club over 0.5 goals	75.8%	76.4%	69.7%	1.10×	1.31
Athletic Club under 1.5 goals	58.6%	58.9%	68.1%	0.86×	1.70
Athletic Club over 1.5 goals	41.4%	41.1%	31.9%	1.29×	2.43
Athletic Club under 0.5 goals	24.2%	23.6%	30.3%	0.78×	4.23
Athletic Club over 2.5 goals	17.1%	17.5%	10.0%	1.76×	5.71
Athletic Club over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.8%	2.7%	2.86×	12.76

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club under 1.5 in 1st half	88.3%	87.1%	93.3%	0.93×	1.15
Athletic Club under 0.5 in 1st half	55.8%	54.0%	63.4%	0.85×	1.85
Athletic Club over 0.5 in 1st half	44.2%	46.0%	36.6%	1.26×	2.17
Athletic Club over 1.5 in 1st half	11.7%	12.9%	6.7%	1.91×	7.76

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club scores more in 2nd half	38.7%	38.1%	37.1%	1.03×	2.63
Athletic Club scores equally in both	37.5%	38.1%	42.2%	0.90×	2.63
Athletic Club scores more in 1st half	23.8%	23.6%	20.8%	1.13×	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (away no bet)	63.3%	62.3%	65.1%	0.96×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.7%	37.7%	34.9%	1.08×	2.65

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club even goals	52.9%	53.6%	53.9%	0.99×	1.87
Athletic Club odd goals	47.1%	46.4%	46.1%	1.01×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.6%	82.3%	86.9%	0.95×	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.4%	17.7%	13.1%	1.35×	5.65

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.4%	66.9%	62.4%	1.07×	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.6%	33.1%	37.6%	0.88×	3.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.5%	60.2%	52.3%	1.15×	1.66
Levante to score 2+ in a row	37.3%	37.0%	34.3%	1.08×	2.70
Athletic Club to score 2+ in a row	31.5%	32.0%	23.6%	1.36×	3.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.5%	21.7%	18.9%	1.15×	4.60
Levante to score 3+ in a row	13.1%	12.9%	13.0%	0.99×	7.76
Athletic Club to score 3+ in a row	9.8%	7.8%	6.4%	1.22×	12.87

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club corners (+3.5)	88.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Athletic Club corners (+2.5)	81.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Levante corners (+3.5)	75.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Athletic Club corners (+1.5)	73.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Levante corners (+2.5)	67.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Levante corners (+1.5)	56.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Athletic Club corners (-1.5)	43.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Athletic Club corners (-2.5)	33.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Levante corners (-1.5)	26.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Athletic Club corners (-3.5)	24.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Levante corners (-2.5)	18.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Levante corners (-3.5)	12.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
12+ corners	32.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.9%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	37.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	32.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	27.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.1%	11.2%	15.1%	0.75×	8.91
0-1	7.0%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.45
1-0	7.9%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.45
1-2	7.9%	7.4%	8.3%	0.89×	13.45
2-0	6.2%	7.4%	6.2%	1.19×	13.45
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	9.7%	0.77×	13.45
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	4.4%	1.71×	13.45
0-0	5.0%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.34
0-2	5.0%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.34
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.34
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.97×	58.35
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	1.9%	0.92×	58.34
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.44×	58.34
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.34
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.44×	58.35
3-0	3.3%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.34
3-1	4.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.34
3-2	3.3%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.34
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.34
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.35
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.34
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.34
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.34
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.29×	58.35
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.76×	58.35
Any other score	3.8%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (2nd half DNB)	54.4%	51.5%	58.7%	0.88×	1.94
Athletic Club (2nd half DNB)	45.6%	48.5%	41.3%	1.18×	2.06

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante leading at HT (DNB)	53.3%	54.7%	62.3%	0.88×	1.83
Athletic Club leading at HT (DNB)	46.7%	45.3%	37.7%	1.20×	2.21

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante or Athletic Club (12)	75.8%	76.4%	74.8%	1.02×	1.31
Levante or draw (1X)	65.8%	68.5%	71.9%	0.95×	1.46
Athletic Club or draw (X2)	58.4%	58.4%	53.2%	1.10×	1.71

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante or draw at HT	72.6%	71.2%	78.5%	0.91×	1.40
Athletic Club or draw at HT	68.7%	67.2%	64.5%	1.04×	1.49
Levante or Athletic Club at HT	58.6%	57.2%	56.8%	1.01×	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante or draw (1UP)	65.8%	71.3%	78.2%	0.91×	1.40
Athletic Club or draw (1UP)	58.4%	64.8%	60.1%	1.08×	1.54

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante or draw in 2nd half	69.5%	67.2%	72.3%	0.93×	1.49
Levante or Athletic Club in 2nd half	66.9%	67.1%	67.0%	1.00×	1.49
Athletic Club or draw in 2nd half	63.6%	63.5%	60.5%	1.05×	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.8%	60.4%	62.2%	0.97×	1.66
Neither half drawn	39.2%	39.6%	37.8%	1.05×	2.53

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (DNB)	54.9%	51.7%	62.5%	0.83×	1.94
Athletic Club (DNB)	45.1%	48.3%	37.5%	1.29×	2.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to score first	50.2%	52.2%	55.4%	0.94×	1.92
Athletic Club to score first	44.8%	43.9%	39.6%	1.11×	2.28
No goal scored	5.0%	4.8%	5.1%	0.93×	21.04

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.3%	58.9%	55.3%	1.07×	1.70
Not both teams to score	39.7%	41.1%	44.7%	0.92×	2.44

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.1%	45.1%	40.3%	1.12×	2.22
Not both score & under 2.5	31.1%	34.0%	35.4%	0.96×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	11.1%	11.9%	15.1%	0.79×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	8.7%	8.4%	9.5%	0.89×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.5%	83.0%	86.2%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.5%	17.0%	13.8%	1.23×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.5%	69.3%	71.4%	0.97×	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.5%	30.7%	28.6%	1.08×	3.25

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.7%	55.0%	60.3%	0.91×	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	27.3%	25.9%	23.1%	1.12×	3.86
Both score 1st half only	13.8%	11.9%	11.2%	1.06×	8.40
Both score in both halves	7.3%	6.9%	5.6%	1.23×	14.47

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.0%	79.7%	83.3%	0.96×	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	21.0%	20.3%	16.7%	1.21×	4.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.8%	57.4%	54.8%	1.05×	1.74
A half without a goal	41.2%	42.6%	45.2%	0.94×	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.8%	43.6%	49.8%	0.88×	2.29
4-6 goals	32.0%	31.2%	23.4%	1.33×	3.21
0-1 goals	19.8%	19.1%	24.8%	0.77×	5.24
7+ goals	3.4%	2.0%	2.2%	0.90×	49.70

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club to score exactly 1	34.3%	32.3%	38.0%	0.85×	3.09
Athletic Club to score exactly 2	24.4%	23.3%	22.0%	1.06×	4.30
Athletic Club to score exactly 0	24.2%	23.3%	30.3%	0.77×	4.30
Athletic Club to score 3+	17.1%	18.2%	10.0%	1.83×	5.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to score exactly 1	32.5%	32.2%	38.4%	0.84×	3.10
Levante to score exactly 2	25.8%	26.4%	22.7%	1.17×	3.78
Levante to score 3+	21.3%	22.9%	19.7%	1.16×	4.38
Levante to score exactly 0	20.4%	22.8%	19.6%	1.17×	4.38

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.4%	42.8%	43.2%	0.99×	2.34
Levante leading at HT	31.3%	32.8%	35.5%	0.93×	3.05
Athletic Club leading at HT	27.4%	28.8%	21.5%	1.34×	3.47

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante -1: 2	58.4%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Levante -1: 1	20.9%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
Levante -1: X	20.7%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club (0:1)	58.4%	57.8%	53.2%	1.09×	1.73
Levante (0:1)	20.9%	23.6%	20.8%	1.13×	4.24
Draw (0:1)	20.7%	23.6%	26.2%	0.90×	4.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club (0:2)	79.1%	79.2%	79.2%	1.00×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.5%	11.4%	11.0%	1.04×	8.81
Levante (0:2)	8.4%	7.7%	10.0%	0.77×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club (0:3)	91.6%	92.5%	90.0%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.6%	6.5%	7.1%	0.91×	15.41
Levante (0:3)	2.8%	2.6%	3.0%	0.85×	39.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club (0:4)	97.2%	97.7%	97.0%	1.01×	1.02
Levante (0:4)	0.8%	1.4%	0.7%	1.89×	70.74
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.4%	2.4%	0.60×	70.70

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (1:0)	65.8%	69.0%	71.9%	0.96×	1.45
Draw (1:0)	18.5%	17.3%	17.7%	0.98×	5.77
Athletic Club (1:0)	15.7%	17.3%	10.6%	1.64×	5.77

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (2:0)	84.3%	83.8%	89.4%	0.94×	1.19
Draw (2:0)	9.9%	6.6%	6.8%	0.97×	15.10
Athletic Club (2:0)	5.7%	6.6%	3.9%	1.71×	15.12

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.2%	52.8%	51.3%	1.03×	1.90
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.2%	26.3%	0.99×	3.82
Halves equal	23.3%	23.2%	22.5%	1.03×	4.31

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to concede	75.8%	77.1%	69.7%	1.11×	1.30
Levante clean sheet	24.2%	22.9%	30.3%	0.76×	4.37

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante clean sheet in 1st half	55.8%	54.0%	63.4%	0.85×	1.85
Levante to concede in 1st half	44.2%	46.0%	36.6%	1.26×	2.17

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to concede in 2nd half	56.6%	54.6%	51.7%	1.06×	1.83
Levante clean sheet in 2nd half	43.4%	45.4%	48.3%	0.94×	2.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante under 6.5 corners	79.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Levante over 2.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Levante under 5.5 corners	68.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Levante over 3.5 corners	62.1%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Levante under 4.5 corners	53.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Levante over 4.5 corners	46.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Levante under 3.5 corners	37.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Levante over 5.5 corners	32.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Levante under 2.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Levante over 6.5 corners	20.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante under 3.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Levante over 0.5 goals	79.6%	78.2%	80.4%	0.97×	1.28
Levante under 2.5 goals	78.7%	78.2%	80.3%	0.97×	1.28
Levante under 1.5 goals	52.9%	52.8%	57.8%	0.91×	1.89
Levante over 1.5 goals	47.1%	47.2%	42.2%	1.12×	2.12
Levante over 2.5 goals	21.3%	21.8%	19.7%	1.11×	4.58
Levante under 0.5 goals	20.4%	21.8%	19.6%	1.12×	4.58
Levante over 3.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	7.3%	1.04×	13.07

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante under 1.5 in 1st half	86.3%	87.6%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
Levante under 0.5 in 1st half	52.4%	53.9%	51.9%	1.04×	1.86
Levante over 0.5 in 1st half	47.6%	46.1%	48.1%	0.96×	2.17
Levante over 1.5 in 1st half	13.7%	12.4%	14.0%	0.88×	8.09

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante scores more in 2nd half	41.0%	41.7%	40.0%	1.04×	2.40
Levante scores equally in both	34.9%	32.2%	32.5%	0.99×	3.10
Levante scores more in 1st half	24.1%	23.2%	27.7%	0.84×	4.31

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club (home no bet)	58.6%	56.0%	52.8%	1.06×	1.79
Draw (home no bet)	41.4%	44.0%	47.2%	0.93×	2.27

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante even goals	52.1%	50.9%	47.4%	1.07×	1.96
Levante odd goals	47.9%	49.1%	52.6%	0.93×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.2%	26.0%	32.1%	0.81×	3.84
HT 1-0	18.9%	19.9%	22.7%	0.88×	5.02
HT 0-1	17.1%	19.9%	16.2%	1.22×	5.03
HT 1-1	11.0%	10.9%	10.1%	1.08×	9.16
HT 2-0	6.1%	8.0%	6.2%	1.28×	12.56
HT 0-2	5.0%	2.5%	3.1%	0.79×	40.36
Any other HT score	4.9%	2.5%	4.5%	0.55×	40.36
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.5%	3.2%	0.76×	40.42
HT 1-2	3.2%	2.5%	1.5%	1.65×	40.44
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.5%	1.2%	1.98×	40.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante at HT / Levante at FT	23.6%	21.0%	26.5%	0.79×	4.77
Athletic Club at HT / Athletic Club at FT	19.1%	17.3%	12.9%	1.35×	5.77
Draw at HT / Levante at FT	15.1%	17.3%	18.0%	0.96×	5.78
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.7%	12.0%	14.0%	0.86×	8.32
Draw at HT / Athletic Club at FT	12.6%	12.0%	11.5%	1.05×	8.33
Athletic Club at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.4%	6.1%	1.05×	15.51
Levante at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.4%	5.2%	1.23×	15.51
Athletic Club at HT / Levante at FT	2.9%	3.6%	2.7%	1.32×	27.55
Levante at HT / Athletic Club at FT	2.5%	3.6%	4.0%	0.91×	27.57

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to score last	50.2%	54.7%	55.7%	0.98×	1.83
Athletic Club to score last	44.8%	43.6%	39.3%	1.11×	2.30
No goal scored	5.0%	4.8%	5.1%	0.93×	21.04

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.0%	95.3%	94.9%	1.00×	1.05
Levante to lead by 1 at any time	59.2%	55.7%	63.2%	0.88×	1.80
Athletic Club to lead by 1 at any time	52.9%	51.8%	47.1%	1.10×	1.93
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.2%	51.7%	41.6%	1.24×	1.93
Levante to lead by 2 at any time	28.1%	25.0%	26.5%	0.95×	4.00
Athletic Club to lead by 2 at any time	22.4%	21.4%	15.5%	1.38×	4.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.6%	17.6%	16.7%	1.05×	5.67
Levante to lead by 3 at any time	10.9%	11.0%	12.2%	0.90×	9.08
Athletic Club to lead by 3 at any time	7.7%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.47

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club most corners	53.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Levante most corners	35.6%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.1%	89.2%	0.98×	1.15
1-4 goals	76.5%	77.9%	81.2%	0.96×	1.28
2-6 goals	76.8%	77.9%	73.1%	1.07×	1.28
2-5 goals	71.7%	72.2%	69.5%	1.04×	1.39
2-4 goals	61.6%	62.7%	61.5%	1.02×	1.60
1-3 goals	59.7%	58.9%	69.5%	0.85×	1.70
3-6 goals	54.4%	52.9%	47.6%	1.11×	1.89
3-5 goals	49.4%	47.4%	44.0%	1.08×	2.11
2-3 goals	44.8%	43.6%	49.8%	0.87×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.2%	39.0%	36.0%	1.08×	2.56
1-2 goals	37.2%	39.0%	45.3%	0.86×	2.56
4-6 goals	32.0%	34.7%	23.4%	1.48×	2.88
4-5 goals	27.0%	28.5%	19.8%	1.44×	3.51
5-6 goals	15.2%	18.9%	11.7%	1.61×	5.30
7+ goals	3.4%	2.3%	2.2%	1.01×	44.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club never behind	35.9%	47.2%	36.8%	1.28×	2.12
Levante never behind	42.2%	47.1%	52.9%	0.89×	2.12

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.1%	50.1%	46.3%	1.08×	2.00
Odd number of goals	49.9%	49.9%	53.7%	0.93×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.3%	51.6%	53.6%	0.96×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.7%	48.4%	46.4%	1.04×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	51.6%	49.7%	1.04×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.4%	50.3%	0.96×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.0%	96.0%	94.9%	1.01×	1.04
Under 5.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.4%	81.6%	86.2%	0.95×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	80.2%	81.6%	75.2%	1.09×	1.23
Under 3.5 goals	64.6%	62.0%	74.5%	0.83×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	57.8%	57.8%	49.7%	1.16×	1.73
Under 2.5 goals	42.2%	42.2%	50.3%	0.84×	2.37
Over 3.5 goals	35.4%	38.0%	25.5%	1.49×	2.63
Under 1.5 goals	19.8%	18.4%	24.8%	0.74×	5.44
Over 4.5 goals	18.6%	18.4%	13.8%	1.33×	5.44
Over 5.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	5.9%	1.32×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	5.0%	4.0%	5.1%	0.78×	25.18

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.5%	97.3%	97.7%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.6%	92.0%	93.6%	0.98×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.7%	76.0%	84.3%	0.90×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.5%	72.1%	66.7%	1.08×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.4%	52.0%	66.3%	0.78×	1.92
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.6%	48.0%	33.7%	1.43×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.5%	27.9%	33.3%	0.84×	3.59
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.3%	24.0%	15.7%	1.54×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.4%	8.0%	6.4%	1.26×	12.51
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.6%	2.7%	2.3%	1.17×	36.69

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.3%	88.4%	89.9%	0.98×	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.8%	73.8%	67.9%	1.09×	1.36
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.2%	67.0%	70.8%	0.95×	1.49
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.8%	33.0%	29.2%	1.13×	3.03
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.2%	26.2%	32.1%	0.82×	3.81
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.7%	11.6%	10.1%	1.15×	8.60

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.1%	82.5%	81.8%	1.01×	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.7%	75.7%	79.7%	0.95×	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	50.5%	53.7%	0.94×	1.98
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.0%	49.5%	46.3%	1.07×	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.3%	24.3%	20.4%	1.20×	4.11
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.9%	17.5%	18.2%	0.96×	5.73

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club not to score in both halves	75.0%	72.6%	81.4%	0.89×	1.38
Levante not to score in both halves	71.0%	72.5%	73.7%	0.98×	1.38
Levante to score in both halves	29.0%	27.5%	26.3%	1.05×	3.63
Athletic Club to score in both halves	25.0%	27.4%	18.6%	1.47×	3.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.3%	61.2%	55.3%	1.11×	1.63
Only Levante scores	19.3%	16.9%	25.3%	0.67×	5.93
Only Athletic Club scores	15.5%	16.9%	14.6%	1.16×	5.93
Neither team scores	5.0%	4.1%	5.1%	0.79×	24.65

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.4%	22.3%	25.7%	0.87×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.3%	24.3%	0.92×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	16.8%	17.6%	11.8%	1.49×	5.68
Exactly 1 goals	14.9%	12.3%	19.8%	0.62×	8.14
Exactly 5 goals	10.1%	12.3%	8.1%	1.52×	8.15
6 or more goals	8.4%	7.8%	5.9%	1.33×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	5.0%	4.0%	5.1%	0.79×	24.72

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.0%	36.9%	38.8%	0.95×	2.71
No goals in 1st half	29.2%	25.8%	32.1%	0.80×	3.87
2 goals in 1st half	22.1%	21.6%	19.2%	1.12×	4.63
3+ goals in 1st half	12.7%	11.4%	10.1%	1.13×	8.77

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.0%	49.6%	46.3%	1.07×	2.02
1 goal in 2nd half	30.1%	34.3%	35.6%	0.96×	2.92
No goals in 2nd half	16.9%	16.4%	18.2%	0.90×	6.09

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club not to win both halves	91.6%	92.6%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
Levante not to win both halves	88.6%	87.8%	88.1%	1.00×	1.14
Levante to win both halves	11.4%	12.2%	11.9%	1.03×	8.22
Athletic Club to win both halves	8.4%	7.4%	5.4%	1.38×	13.50

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to win either half	56.3%	58.1%	63.0%	0.92×	1.72
Athletic Club to win neither half	50.5%	52.9%	56.2%	0.94×	1.89
Athletic Club to win either half	49.5%	47.1%	43.8%	1.07×	2.12
Levante to win neither half	43.7%	41.9%	37.0%	1.13×	2.39

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletic Club not to win to nil	84.5%	83.0%	85.4%	0.97×	1.21
Levante not to win to nil	80.7%	82.9%	74.7%	1.11×	1.21
Levante to win to nil	19.3%	17.1%	25.3%	0.67×	5.86
Athletic Club to win to nil	15.5%	17.0%	14.6%	1.17×	5.87

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.2%	23.4%	25.2%	0.93×	4.27
Levante by 1	20.7%	23.4%	26.2%	0.89×	4.27
Athletic Club by 1	18.5%	17.2%	17.7%	0.97×	5.80
Levante by 2	12.5%	11.8%	11.0%	1.08×	8.45
Athletic Club by 2	9.9%	7.3%	6.8%	1.06×	13.76
Levante by 3+	8.4%	7.3%	10.0%	0.73×	13.77
Athletic Club by 3+	5.7%	7.3%	3.9%	1.88×	13.77