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Levante v Barcelona — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 23 August 2025 · ESP-La Liga · 2526

La Liga xG

Levante
2–3
2.69 – 2.48 xG
Barcelona
Shots
9 – 26
On target
5 – 10
Shots in box
8 – 16
xG per shot
0.30 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
1.01 – 0.58
Goals − xG
-0.70 – +0.52
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.52.33.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Iván Romero 14' — goalPedri 48' — goalFerrán Torres 51' — goalMorales 51' — goal
Levante 2.70 xGBarcelona 2.48 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Lamine Yamal 3' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Marcus Rashford 4' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Raphinha 4' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Álex Balde 12' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Iván Romero 14' — Goal (0.59 xG, Open Play)Lamine Yamal 23' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Lamine Yamal 24' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Ferrán Torres 27' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Pedri 35' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ferrán Torres 36' — Shot On Post (0.40 xG, Open Play)Lamine Yamal 39' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Adrián De la Fuente 41' — Missed Shot (0.26 xG, Set Piece)Raphinha 44' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Roger Brugué 46' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Lamine Yamal 47' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Pedri 48' — Goal (0.02 xG, From Corner)Morales 48' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Roger Brugué 48' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Ferrán Torres 51' — Goal (0.33 xG, From Corner)Morales 51' — Goal (0.74 xG, )Morales 52' — Saved Shot (0.25 xG, Open Play)Roger Brugué 52' — Saved Shot (0.50 xG, Open Play)Lamine Yamal 53' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Eric Garcia 56' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Ferrán Torres 69' — Saved Shot (0.55 xG, Open Play)Lamine Yamal 70' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Dani Olmo 71' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Ferrán Torres 71' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Lamine Yamal 72' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Dani Olmo 77' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Raphinha 83' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jules Koundé 86' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Pau Cubarsí 89' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Set Piece)Raphinha 89' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Unai Elgezabal 90' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Open Play)
Levante attacking right Barcelona attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Barcelona Lamine Yamal 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Eric Garcia
4' Barcelona Marcus Rashford 0.06 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot —
4' Barcelona Raphinha 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Marcus Rashford
12' Barcelona Álex Balde 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Raphinha
14' Levante Iván Romero 0.59 Open Play Right Foot Goal Jeremy Toljan
23' Barcelona Lamine Yamal 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Pedri
24' Barcelona Lamine Yamal 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ferrán Torres
27' Barcelona Ferrán Torres 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Álex Balde
35' Barcelona Pedri 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Marcus Rashford
36' Barcelona Ferrán Torres 0.40 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Pedri
39' Barcelona Lamine Yamal 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Eric Garcia
41' Levante Adrián De la Fuente 0.26 Set Piece — Missed Shot Pablo Martínez
44' Barcelona Raphinha 0.06 Open Play — Missed Shot Álex Balde
46' Levante Roger Brugué 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jeremy Toljan
47' Barcelona Lamine Yamal 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Saved Shot Raphinha
48' Barcelona Pedri 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Goal Lamine Yamal
48' Levante Morales 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Roger Brugué
48' Levante Roger Brugué 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Iván Romero
51' Barcelona Ferrán Torres 0.33 From Corner Right Foot Goal Raphinha
51' Levante Morales 0.74 Right Foot Goal —
52' Levante Morales 0.25 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Iván Romero
52' Levante Roger Brugué 0.50 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Manuel Sánchez
53' Barcelona Lamine Yamal 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
56' Barcelona Eric Garcia 0.11 Open Play — Saved Shot Dani Olmo
69' Barcelona Ferrán Torres 0.55 Open Play — Saved Shot Raphinha
70' Barcelona Lamine Yamal 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Dani Olmo
71' Barcelona Dani Olmo 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Eric Garcia
71' Barcelona Ferrán Torres 0.11 Open Play — Blocked Shot Álex Balde
72' Barcelona Lamine Yamal 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Gavi
77' Barcelona Dani Olmo 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Lamine Yamal
83' Barcelona Raphinha 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
86' Barcelona Jules Koundé 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ferrán Torres
89' Barcelona Pau Cubarsí 0.06 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot —
89' Barcelona Raphinha 0.05 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot —
90' Levante Unai Elgezabal 0.00 Open Play — Own Goal —

Players

Barcelona

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Ferrán Torres FW 90 1 0 5 2 1.50 0.12 1.43
Lamine Yamal AMR 90 0 1 8 2 0.32 0.08 1.17
Raphinha AMC 90 0 1 4 4 0.17 0.95 1.07
Eric Garcia DR 90 0 0 1 3 0.11 0.09 0.98
Pau Cubarsí DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.35
Pedri DMC 90 1 0 2 2 0.05 0.44 1.59
Joan García GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.17
Álex Balde DL 84 0 0 1 3 0.05 0.28 1.22
Ronald Araújo DC 84 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.23
Marcus Rashford AML 54 0 0 1 2 0.06 0.07 0.23
Marc Casadó DMC 54 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.33
Dani Olmo Sub 36 0 0 2 2 0.09 0.18 0.34
Gavi Sub 36 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.22
Robert Lewandowski Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Andreas Christensen Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Jules Koundé Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.07

Levante

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Adrián De la Fuente DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.26 0.00 0.25
Pablo Cuñat GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oriol Rey MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.60
Pablo Martínez MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.26 0.25
Jorge Cabello DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.50
Jeremy Toljan DR 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.69 0.95
Unai Elgezabal DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Roger Brugué MR 83 0 0 3 1 0.71 0.13 0.85
Iván Romero FW 83 1 0 1 2 0.59 0.37 0.97
Manuel Sánchez DL 83 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.50 1.19
Morales ML 67 1 0 3 0 1.13 0.00 1.48
Carlos Álvarez Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Carlos Espí Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iker Losada Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Diego Pampín Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Víctor García Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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