Levante v Sevilla — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 06:09 UTC

Levante

15:00 UTC

Sevilla

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 771h before kick-off

Levante win

56.7%

model 55.9%

Draw

21.7%

model 22.7%

Sevilla win

21.6%

model 21.4%

572222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (317 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.7%
1-0 10.2%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.4%
3-1 6.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.4%	Under 2.5	44.6%
BTTS yes	54.9%	BTTS no	45.1%
Levante 1+	84.2%	Levante 2+	55.1%
Sevilla 1+	65.1%	Sevilla 2+	28.4%

Expected goals 1.85 – 1.05. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

90/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Levante over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 42%

55.8% fair odds 1.79

strong signal · 845 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time · usually 83%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1245 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Levante carry the stronger rating, 1543 Elo against 1490.
Levante have created 1.78 xG a match over their last five while Sevilla have allowed 1.34.
At home Levante average 2.71 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Levante have an estimated 56.7% win probability, against 21.7% for the draw and 21.6% for Sevilla. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.85 for Levante and 1.05 for Sevilla.

Why Levante

Levante carry the stronger rating, 1543 Elo against 1490. Levante have created 1.78 xG a match over their last five while Sevilla have allowed 1.34. At home Levante average 2.71 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.7%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Sevilla can win

Sevilla have created 1.01 xG a match over their last five while Levante have allowed 1.46. Away from home Sevilla average 0.71 xG a match.

Key players

Levante's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Carlos Espí (0.41), Iván Romero (0.39), Roger Brugué (0.27). Sevilla's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Akor Adams (0.31), Neal Maupay (0.27), Robbie Ure (0.27).

Availability

1 of Levante's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Levante's last eleven are new to the club this window. 2 of Sevilla's top three contributors did not start their last match. Sevilla had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.05 expected goal involvements a match. 45% of Sevilla's last eleven are new to the club this window. Reported unavailable for Sevilla: Arouna Sangante (suspended).

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Levante: 43% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.41 xG a match from set pieces. Sevilla: 43% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.12 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

Levante are the model's most likely outcome at 56.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 90/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Levante are finishing below their chances — 2.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

DLWWWLLDWD last 10 scored 15 from 17.8 xG conceded 16 from 14.6 xG

Sevilla are finishing above their chances — 3.9 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.

LWWWLLWWLD last 10 scored 14 from 10.1 xG conceded 13 from 13.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	562321	1.85–1.05	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	612217	1.91–0.91	1-0 11%	53%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to win	55.9%	58.1%	46.8%	1.24×	1.72
Draw	22.7%	22.2%	25.2%	0.88×	4.50
Sevilla to win	21.4%	22.2%	28.1%	0.79×	4.51

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante & not both score	29.4%	26.2%	25.3%	1.04×	3.82
Levante & both teams score	26.6%	26.1%	21.7%	1.21×	3.83
Draw & both teams score	17.2%	17.8%	20.2%	0.88×	5.62
Sevilla & both teams score	11.1%	12.1%	13.7%	0.88×	8.26
Sevilla & not both score	10.3%	12.1%	14.6%	0.83×	8.27
Draw & not both score	5.5%	7.3%	5.1%	1.43×	13.74

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante & over 1.5	45.8%	46.6%	34.1%	1.37×	2.14
Levante & over 2.5	36.4%	37.6%	28.0%	1.34×	2.66
Levante & under 3.5	35.2%	37.6%	33.0%	1.14×	2.66
Levante & over 3.5	20.7%	21.5%	13.9%	1.54×	4.66
Levante & under 2.5	19.5%	17.6%	18.9%	0.93×	5.68
Draw & over 1.5	17.2%	17.6%	20.2%	0.87×	5.68
Draw & under 2.5	16.2%	17.6%	20.1%	0.88×	5.68
Draw & under 3.5	16.2%	17.6%	20.1%	0.88×	5.68
Sevilla & over 1.5	15.6%	17.6%	21.2%	0.83×	5.68
Sevilla & under 3.5	15.6%	17.6%	21.7%	0.81×	5.68
Sevilla & over 2.5	12.5%	12.7%	16.7%	0.76×	7.88
Levante & under 1.5	10.2%	12.7%	12.8%	0.99×	7.88
Sevilla & under 2.5	8.9%	7.5%	11.6%	0.65×	13.33
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.5%	5.2%	1.43×	13.34
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.5%	5.2%	1.43×	13.34
Sevilla & under 1.5	5.8%	7.5%	7.1%	1.06×	13.35
Sevilla & over 3.5	5.8%	7.5%	6.6%	1.14×	13.35
Draw & under 1.5	5.5%	7.5%	5.1%	1.47×	13.35

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (1UP)	69.6%	72.3%	63.2%	1.15×	1.38
Sevilla (1UP)	39.7%	38.4%	47.1%	0.82×	2.61

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (2UP)	55.9%	61.1%	48.7%	1.25×	1.64
Sevilla (2UP)	21.4%	20.8%	29.7%	0.70×	4.80

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to win 2nd half	42.4%	39.4%	39.5%	1.00×	2.54
2nd half drawn	33.5%	33.8%	33.0%	1.03×	2.96
Sevilla to win 2nd half	24.1%	22.3%	27.7%	0.81×	4.48

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.1%	85.3%	84.5%	1.01×	1.17
Sevilla under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.6%	51.4%	48.3%	1.06×	1.94
Sevilla over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.4%	48.6%	51.7%	0.94×	2.06
Sevilla over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	14.7%	15.5%	0.95×	6.79

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.3%	71.1%	80.0%	0.89×	1.41
Levante over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.5%	65.3%	58.7%	1.11×	1.53
Levante under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.5%	34.7%	41.3%	0.84×	2.88
Levante over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.7%	28.9%	20.0%	1.45×	3.46

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla (+2.5)	85.1%	89.0%	90.0%	0.99×	1.12
Levante (+0.5)	78.6%	78.8%	71.9%	1.10×	1.27
Sevilla (+1.5)	67.9%	69.2%	79.2%	0.87×	1.45
Levante (-0.5)	55.9%	56.8%	46.8%	1.21×	1.76
Sevilla (+0.5)	44.1%	43.2%	53.2%	0.81×	2.32
Levante (-1.5)	32.1%	30.8%	20.8%	1.48×	3.24
Sevilla (-0.5)	21.4%	21.2%	28.1%	0.75×	4.72
Levante (-2.5)	14.9%	11.0%	10.0%	1.11×	9.05

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla to concede	84.2%	84.8%	80.4%	1.05×	1.18
Sevilla clean sheet	15.8%	15.2%	19.6%	0.78×	6.60

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla to concede in 1st half	56.8%	60.3%	48.1%	1.25×	1.66
Sevilla clean sheet in 1st half	43.2%	39.7%	51.9%	0.76×	2.52

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla to concede in 2nd half	63.5%	63.8%	58.7%	1.09×	1.57
Sevilla clean sheet in 2nd half	36.5%	36.2%	41.3%	0.88×	2.77

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla under 6.5 corners	79.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Sevilla over 2.5 corners	77.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Sevilla under 5.5 corners	68.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Sevilla over 3.5 corners	61.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Sevilla under 4.5 corners	54.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Sevilla over 4.5 corners	45.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Sevilla under 3.5 corners	38.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Sevilla over 5.5 corners	31.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Sevilla under 2.5 corners	22.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Sevilla over 6.5 corners	20.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla under 3.5 goals	97.8%	97.3%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Sevilla under 2.5 goals	91.0%	92.7%	90.0%	1.03×	1.08
Sevilla under 1.5 goals	71.6%	72.0%	68.1%	1.06×	1.39
Sevilla over 0.5 goals	65.1%	67.2%	69.7%	0.96×	1.49
Sevilla under 0.5 goals	34.9%	32.8%	30.3%	1.08×	3.05
Sevilla over 1.5 goals	28.4%	28.0%	31.9%	0.88×	3.57
Sevilla over 2.5 goals	9.0%	7.3%	10.0%	0.73×	13.75
Sevilla over 3.5 goals	2.2%	2.7%	2.7%	1.00×	36.65

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla under 1.5 in 1st half	94.6%	93.4%	93.3%	1.00×	1.07
Sevilla under 0.5 in 1st half	68.9%	67.2%	63.4%	1.06×	1.49
Sevilla over 0.5 in 1st half	31.1%	32.8%	36.6%	0.90×	3.05
Sevilla over 1.5 in 1st half	5.4%	6.6%	6.7%	0.98×	15.12

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla scores equally in both	44.3%	42.3%	42.2%	1.00×	2.36
Sevilla scores more in 2nd half	38.0%	38.9%	37.1%	1.05×	2.57
Sevilla scores more in 1st half	17.7%	18.3%	20.8%	0.88×	5.47

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (away no bet)	71.1%	73.6%	65.1%	1.13×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	28.9%	26.4%	34.9%	0.75×	3.79

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla even goals	56.1%	58.3%	53.9%	1.08×	1.71
Sevilla odd goals	43.9%	41.7%	46.1%	0.90×	2.40

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.8%	81.7%	86.9%	0.94×	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.2%	18.3%	13.1%	1.39×	5.47

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.3%	65.2%	62.4%	1.04×	1.53
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.7%	34.8%	37.6%	0.93×	2.88

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.3%	61.0%	52.3%	1.17×	1.64
Levante to score 2+ in a row	47.0%	47.5%	34.3%	1.38×	2.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.2%	21.8%	18.9%	1.16×	4.58
Levante to score 3+ in a row	19.9%	17.9%	13.0%	1.38×	5.60
Sevilla to score 2+ in a row	19.8%	17.9%	23.6%	0.76×	5.60
Sevilla to score 3+ in a row	4.5%	3.4%	6.4%	0.54×	29.23

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante corners (+3.5)	84.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Sevilla corners (+3.5)	83.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Levante corners (+2.5)	77.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Sevilla corners (+2.5)	75.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Levante corners (+1.5)	67.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Sevilla corners (+1.5)	65.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Levante corners (-1.5)	34.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Sevilla corners (-1.5)	32.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Levante corners (-2.5)	24.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Sevilla corners (-2.5)	22.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Levante corners (-3.5)	17.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Sevilla corners (-3.5)	15.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	24.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	66.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	43.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	34.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 10.5 corners	33.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	24.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	17.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.7%	11.6%	15.1%	0.77×	8.62
1-0	10.2%	11.6%	12.8%	0.90×	8.63
2-1	9.9%	7.3%	9.7%	0.75×	13.75
2-0	9.4%	7.3%	6.2%	1.17×	13.76
0-1	5.8%	7.3%	7.1%	1.02×	13.77
3-0	5.8%	7.3%	4.6%	1.58×	13.77
3-1	6.1%	7.3%	3.6%	2.01×	13.77
0-0	5.5%	7.3%	5.1%	1.42×	13.77
1-2	5.6%	7.3%	8.3%	0.87×	13.77
2-2	5.2%	7.3%	4.4%	1.67×	13.77
Any other score	4.4%	1.8%	3.0%	0.60×	55.40
0-2	3.1%	1.8%	4.6%	0.39×	55.43
3-2	3.2%	1.8%	3.2%	0.56×	55.43
4-0	2.7%	1.8%	1.6%	1.11×	55.44
4-1	2.8%	1.8%	2.0%	0.91×	55.44
1-3	2.0%	1.8%	1.9%	0.97×	55.46
2-3	1.8%	1.8%	2.2%	0.80×	55.46
4-2	1.5%	1.8%	1.4%	1.32×	55.47
0-3	1.1%	1.8%	2.0%	0.90×	55.48
0-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.9%	2.07×	55.50
1-4	0.5%	1.8%	0.5%	3.62×	55.50
2-4	0.5%	1.8%	0.5%	3.62×	55.50
3-3	1.1%	1.8%	1.0%	1.81×	55.48
3-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.4%	4.82×	55.50
4-3	0.5%	1.8%	0.7%	2.41×	55.50
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.1%	14.47×	55.50

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (2nd half DNB)	63.7%	67.0%	58.7%	1.14×	1.49
Sevilla (2nd half DNB)	36.3%	33.0%	41.3%	0.80×	3.03

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante leading at HT (DNB)	74.2%	73.8%	62.3%	1.19×	1.36
Sevilla leading at HT (DNB)	25.8%	26.2%	37.7%	0.69×	3.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante or draw (1X)	78.6%	77.8%	71.9%	1.08×	1.29
Levante or Sevilla (12)	77.3%	77.8%	74.8%	1.04×	1.29
Sevilla or draw (X2)	44.1%	41.9%	53.2%	0.79×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante or draw at HT	84.5%	81.8%	78.5%	1.04×	1.22
Levante or Sevilla at HT	60.2%	63.1%	56.8%	1.11×	1.58
Sevilla or draw at HT	55.4%	58.1%	64.5%	0.90×	1.72

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante or draw (1UP)	78.6%	84.9%	78.2%	1.09×	1.18
Sevilla or draw (1UP)	44.1%	45.9%	60.1%	0.76×	2.18

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante or draw in 2nd half	75.9%	77.7%	72.3%	1.07×	1.29
Levante or Sevilla in 2nd half	66.5%	66.2%	67.0%	0.99×	1.51
Sevilla or draw in 2nd half	57.6%	60.6%	60.5%	1.00×	1.65

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.0%	58.0%	62.2%	0.93×	1.72
Neither half drawn	40.0%	42.0%	37.8%	1.11×	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (DNB)	72.3%	71.4%	62.5%	1.14×	1.40
Sevilla (DNB)	27.7%	28.6%	37.5%	0.76×	3.49

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to score first	60.2%	66.5%	55.4%	1.20×	1.50
Sevilla to score first	34.3%	32.1%	39.6%	0.81×	3.11
No goal scored	5.5%	6.2%	5.1%	1.21×	16.11

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.9%	53.2%	55.3%	0.96×	1.88
Not both teams to score	45.1%	46.8%	44.7%	1.05×	2.14

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.2%	42.4%	40.3%	1.05×	2.36
Not both score & under 2.5	33.9%	34.3%	35.4%	0.97×	2.92
Not both score & over 2.5	11.3%	11.7%	9.5%	1.24×	8.55
Both score & under 2.5	10.7%	11.7%	15.1%	0.78×	8.56

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.4%	81.1%	86.2%	0.94×	1.23
Both teams to score 2+	15.6%	18.9%	13.8%	1.37×	5.28

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.6%	69.5%	71.4%	0.97×	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.4%	30.5%	28.6%	1.07×	3.28

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.5%	57.6%	60.3%	0.96×	1.74
Both score 2nd half only	25.8%	24.6%	23.1%	1.07×	4.06
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	11.6%	11.2%	1.03×	8.65
Both score in both halves	5.5%	6.4%	5.6%	1.13×	15.71

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.3%	83.2%	83.3%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.7%	16.8%	16.7%	1.01×	5.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.2%	55.7%	54.8%	1.02×	1.80
A half without a goal	42.8%	44.3%	45.2%	0.98×	2.26

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.5%	45.9%	49.8%	0.92×	2.18
4-6 goals	30.2%	31.8%	23.4%	1.36×	3.15
0-1 goals	21.5%	22.7%	24.8%	0.92×	4.41
7+ goals	2.9%	1.9%	2.2%	0.86×	51.63

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla to score exactly 1	36.7%	34.6%	38.0%	0.91×	2.89
Sevilla to score exactly 0	34.9%	33.1%	30.3%	1.09×	3.02
Sevilla to score exactly 2	19.4%	18.5%	22.0%	0.84×	5.40
Sevilla to score 3+	9.0%	7.5%	10.0%	0.76×	13.29

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to score exactly 1	29.1%	27.1%	38.4%	0.71×	3.69
Levante to score 3+	28.2%	27.1%	19.7%	1.38×	3.69
Levante to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.1%	22.7%	1.19×	3.70
Levante to score exactly 0	15.8%	18.4%	19.6%	0.94×	5.42

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante leading at HT	44.6%	41.9%	35.5%	1.18×	2.39
Draw at HT	39.9%	36.9%	43.2%	0.85×	2.71
Sevilla leading at HT	15.5%	18.2%	21.5%	0.85×	5.50

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante -1: 2	44.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Levante -1: 1	32.1%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Levante -1: X	23.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla (0:1)	44.1%	42.4%	53.2%	0.80×	2.36
Levante (0:1)	32.1%	34.4%	20.8%	1.65×	2.91
Draw (0:1)	23.8%	24.5%	26.2%	0.94×	4.08

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla (0:2)	67.9%	66.1%	79.2%	0.83×	1.51
Draw (0:2)	17.2%	16.3%	11.0%	1.49×	6.13
Levante (0:2)	14.9%	11.7%	10.0%	1.17×	8.58

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla (0:3)	85.1%	88.3%	90.0%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (0:3)	9.2%	6.9%	7.1%	0.97×	14.56
Levante (0:3)	5.8%	6.8%	3.0%	2.27×	14.76

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla (0:4)	94.2%	94.3%	97.0%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.9%	1.2%	2.4%	0.53×	80.14
Levante (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	0.7%	1.65×	81.17

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (1:0)	78.6%	78.7%	71.9%	1.10×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.6%	11.7%	17.7%	0.66×	8.55
Sevilla (1:0)	7.8%	8.6%	10.6%	0.81×	11.65

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (2:0)	92.2%	91.6%	89.4%	1.02×	1.09
Draw (2:0)	5.6%	6.5%	6.8%	0.95×	15.44
Sevilla (2:0)	2.2%	2.7%	3.9%	0.70×	37.07

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.6%	48.7%	51.3%	0.95×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.83
Halves equal	24.0%	23.2%	22.5%	1.03×	4.31

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to concede	65.1%	66.9%	69.7%	0.96×	1.49
Levante clean sheet	34.9%	33.1%	30.3%	1.09×	3.02

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante clean sheet in 1st half	68.9%	67.4%	63.4%	1.06×	1.48
Levante to concede in 1st half	31.1%	32.6%	36.6%	0.89×	3.07

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante clean sheet in 2nd half	50.6%	51.2%	48.3%	1.06×	1.95
Levante to concede in 2nd half	49.4%	48.8%	51.7%	0.94×	2.05

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante over 2.5 corners	78.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Levante under 6.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Levante under 5.5 corners	66.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Levante over 3.5 corners	63.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Levante under 4.5 corners	52.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Levante over 4.5 corners	47.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Levante under 3.5 corners	36.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Levante over 5.5 corners	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Levante over 6.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Levante under 2.5 corners	21.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante under 3.5 goals	88.4%	87.8%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Levante over 0.5 goals	84.2%	82.6%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Levante under 2.5 goals	71.8%	72.8%	80.3%	0.91×	1.38
Levante over 1.5 goals	55.1%	55.8%	42.2%	1.32×	1.79
Levante under 1.5 goals	44.9%	44.2%	57.8%	0.76×	2.26
Levante over 2.5 goals	28.2%	27.2%	19.7%	1.38×	3.67
Levante under 0.5 goals	15.8%	17.4%	19.6%	0.89×	5.74
Levante over 3.5 goals	11.6%	12.2%	7.3%	1.66×	8.20

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante under 1.5 in 1st half	79.5%	79.4%	86.0%	0.92×	1.26
Levante over 0.5 in 1st half	56.8%	60.1%	48.1%	1.25×	1.67
Levante under 0.5 in 1st half	43.2%	39.9%	51.9%	0.77×	2.51
Levante over 1.5 in 1st half	20.5%	20.6%	14.0%	1.47×	4.87

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante scores more in 2nd half	38.5%	38.7%	40.0%	0.97×	2.58
Levante scores equally in both	32.2%	31.6%	32.5%	0.97×	3.17
Levante scores more in 1st half	29.3%	27.9%	27.7%	1.01×	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla (home no bet)	48.5%	50.8%	52.8%	0.96×	1.97
Draw (home no bet)	51.5%	49.2%	47.2%	1.04×	2.03

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante even goals	51.2%	50.2%	47.4%	1.06×	1.99
Levante odd goals	48.8%	49.8%	52.6%	0.95×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.8%	28.2%	32.1%	0.88×	3.55
HT 1-0	25.0%	22.7%	22.7%	1.00×	4.40
HT 0-1	11.1%	11.2%	16.2%	0.69×	8.95
HT 2-0	10.5%	11.2%	6.2%	1.79×	8.96
HT 1-1	9.3%	7.7%	10.1%	0.76×	12.97
Any other HT score	5.9%	7.7%	4.5%	1.71×	13.02
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.5%	3.2%	0.77×	39.78
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.5%	3.1%	0.80×	39.88
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.5%	1.5%	1.67×	39.90
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.5%	1.2%	2.00×	39.96

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante at HT / Levante at FT	36.8%	41.5%	26.5%	1.57×	2.41
Draw at HT / Levante at FT	16.9%	16.8%	18.0%	0.93×	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.3%	11.9%	14.0%	0.85×	8.37
Sevilla at HT / Sevilla at FT	9.7%	6.6%	12.9%	0.51×	15.16
Draw at HT / Sevilla at FT	9.6%	6.6%	11.5%	0.57×	15.16
Levante at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.6%	5.2%	1.25×	15.26
Sevilla at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.4%	6.1%	0.56×	29.35
Levante at HT / Sevilla at FT	2.1%	3.4%	4.0%	0.85×	29.41
Sevilla at HT / Levante at FT	2.3%	3.4%	2.7%	1.24×	29.41

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to score last	60.2%	60.0%	55.7%	1.08×	1.67
Sevilla to score last	34.3%	35.9%	39.3%	0.91×	2.79
No goal scored	5.5%	6.2%	5.1%	1.21×	16.11

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.5%	93.8%	94.9%	0.99×	1.07
Levante to lead by 1 at any time	69.6%	71.0%	63.2%	1.12×	1.41
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.3%	50.9%	41.6%	1.23×	1.96
Sevilla to lead by 1 at any time	39.7%	37.4%	47.1%	0.79×	2.68
Levante to lead by 2 at any time	38.9%	37.4%	26.5%	1.41×	2.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.0%	19.8%	16.7%	1.18×	5.06
Levante to lead by 3 at any time	17.7%	17.6%	12.2%	1.44×	5.68
Sevilla to lead by 2 at any time	12.7%	11.4%	15.5%	0.73×	8.80
Sevilla to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	2.6%	4.6%	0.57×	38.13

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante most corners	45.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Sevilla most corners	43.0%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.9%	89.2%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.7%	78.9%	81.2%	0.97×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.7%	78.9%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.1%	73.6%	69.5%	1.06×	1.36
2-4 goals	61.7%	62.2%	61.5%	1.01×	1.61
1-3 goals	61.5%	62.2%	69.5%	0.90×	1.61
3-6 goals	52.5%	52.4%	47.6%	1.10×	1.91
3-5 goals	48.0%	48.0%	44.0%	1.09×	2.08
2-3 goals	45.5%	48.0%	49.8%	0.96×	2.09
1-2 goals	39.1%	38.9%	45.3%	0.86×	2.57
3-4 goals	38.6%	38.9%	36.0%	1.08×	2.57
4-6 goals	30.2%	34.0%	23.4%	1.45×	2.94
4-5 goals	25.6%	30.5%	19.8%	1.54×	3.28
5-6 goals	14.0%	13.5%	11.7%	1.16×	7.39
7+ goals	2.9%	2.0%	2.2%	0.90×	49.65

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante never behind	54.8%	61.5%	52.9%	1.16×	1.63
Sevilla never behind	24.9%	24.2%	36.8%	0.66×	4.13

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.2%	53.7%	0.94×	1.99
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.8%	46.3%	1.07×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	52.0%	53.6%	0.97×	1.92
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.0%	46.4%	1.03×	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	51.7%	49.7%	1.04×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.3%	50.3%	0.96×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.5%	93.0%	94.9%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.6%	93.0%	94.1%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.2%	81.0%	86.2%	0.94×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	78.5%	78.1%	75.2%	1.04×	1.28
Under 3.5 goals	67.0%	65.3%	74.5%	0.88×	1.53
Over 2.5 goals	55.4%	57.5%	49.7%	1.16×	1.74
Under 2.5 goals	44.6%	42.5%	50.3%	0.85×	2.35
Over 3.5 goals	33.0%	34.7%	25.5%	1.36×	2.88
Under 1.5 goals	21.5%	21.9%	24.8%	0.88×	4.57
Over 4.5 goals	16.8%	19.0%	13.8%	1.37×	5.27
Over 5.5 goals	7.4%	7.0%	5.9%	1.20×	14.25
Under 0.5 goals	5.5%	7.0%	5.1%	1.37×	14.30

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.0%	97.2%	97.7%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.8%	92.8%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.9%	76.6%	84.3%	0.91×	1.31
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.1%	72.2%	66.7%	1.08×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.4%	55.6%	66.3%	0.84×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.6%	44.4%	33.7%	1.32×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.9%	27.8%	33.3%	0.84×	3.59
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.1%	23.4%	15.7%	1.50×	4.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.2%	7.2%	6.4%	1.13×	13.90
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.8%	2.3%	1.18×	36.30

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.7%	88.1%	89.9%	0.98×	1.14
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.2%	72.4%	67.9%	1.07×	1.38
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.9%	68.5%	70.8%	0.97×	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.1%	31.5%	29.2%	1.08×	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.8%	27.6%	32.1%	0.86×	3.62
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.3%	11.9%	10.1%	1.18×	8.40

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.5%	82.0%	81.8%	1.00×	1.22
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.0%	80.3%	79.7%	1.01×	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.7%	51.8%	53.7%	0.97×	1.93
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.3%	48.2%	46.3%	1.04×	2.08
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.0%	19.7%	20.4%	0.97×	5.08
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.5%	18.0%	18.2%	0.99×	5.55

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla not to score in both halves	84.6%	81.7%	81.4%	1.00×	1.22
Levante not to score in both halves	64.0%	62.7%	73.7%	0.85×	1.60
Levante to score in both halves	36.0%	37.3%	26.3%	1.42×	2.68
Sevilla to score in both halves	15.4%	18.3%	18.6%	0.98×	5.47

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.9%	55.1%	55.3%	1.00×	1.82
Only Levante scores	29.4%	25.6%	25.3%	1.01×	3.91
Only Sevilla scores	10.3%	10.8%	14.6%	0.74×	9.26
Neither team scores	5.5%	6.6%	5.1%	1.29×	15.18

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.1%	21.6%	25.7%	0.84×	4.63
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	21.6%	24.3%	0.89×	4.63
Exactly 4 goals	16.2%	18.5%	11.8%	1.57×	5.39
Exactly 1 goals	16.0%	18.5%	19.8%	0.94×	5.39
Exactly 5 goals	9.4%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.10
6 or more goals	7.4%	7.6%	5.9%	1.30×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	5.5%	7.6%	5.1%	1.49×	13.16

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.3%	38.8%	0.96×	2.68
No goals in 1st half	29.8%	27.6%	32.1%	0.86×	3.62
2 goals in 1st half	21.8%	21.6%	19.2%	1.12×	4.63
3+ goals in 1st half	12.3%	11.9%	10.1%	1.18×	8.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.3%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11
1 goal in 2nd half	31.2%	33.1%	35.6%	0.93×	3.02
No goals in 2nd half	18.5%	18.4%	18.2%	1.01×	5.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla not to win both halves	96.3%	96.6%	94.6%	1.02×	1.04
Levante not to win both halves	81.1%	82.8%	88.1%	0.94×	1.21
Levante to win both halves	18.9%	17.2%	11.9%	1.45×	5.80
Sevilla to win both halves	3.7%	3.4%	5.4%	0.64×	29.27

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to win either half	68.1%	67.2%	63.0%	1.07×	1.49
Sevilla to win neither half	64.1%	63.8%	56.2%	1.14×	1.57
Sevilla to win either half	35.9%	36.2%	43.8%	0.83×	2.76
Levante to win neither half	31.9%	32.8%	37.0%	0.89×	3.05

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sevilla not to win to nil	89.7%	88.3%	85.4%	1.03×	1.13
Levante not to win to nil	70.6%	74.4%	74.7%	1.00×	1.34
Levante to win to nil	29.4%	25.6%	25.3%	1.01×	3.91
Sevilla to win to nil	10.3%	11.7%	14.6%	0.81×	8.52

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante by 1	23.8%	23.9%	26.2%	0.91×	4.19
Draw	22.7%	23.9%	25.2%	0.95×	4.19
Levante by 2	17.2%	17.1%	11.0%	1.56×	5.86
Levante by 3+	14.9%	11.7%	10.0%	1.18×	8.51
Sevilla by 1	13.6%	11.7%	17.7%	0.66×	8.52
Sevilla by 2	5.6%	7.0%	6.8%	1.02×	14.27
Sevilla by 3+	2.2%	2.8%	3.9%	0.73×	35.40