LNZ Cherkasy v Obolon Kyiv — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · UKR-Premier League · 2627

UKR-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

LNZ Cherkasy

3–1

10:00 UTC

Obolon Kyiv

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 11 Sep, 11:38 · 22h before kick-off

LNZ Cherkasy win

68.3%

model 68.5%

Draw

23.7%

model 23.5%

Obolon Kyiv win

8.0%

model 8.0%

68248

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (1,424 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 16.3%
2-0 16.3%
0-0 11.0%
1-1 10.2%
3-0 10.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.5%	Under 2.5	58.5%
BTTS yes	34.6%	BTTS no	65.4%
LNZ Cherkasy 1+	84.1%	LNZ Cherkasy 2+	54.9%
Obolon Kyiv 1+	39.5%	Obolon Kyiv 2+	9.1%

Expected goals 1.84 – 0.50. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

27/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Only LNZ Cherkasy scores

Teams to score · usually 24%

50.7% fair odds 1.97

strong signal · 7645 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Obolon Kyiv under 0.5 in 1st half

Away goals O/U 1HT · usually 59%

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 363 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

LNZ Cherkasy have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Obolon Kyiv have allowed 1.35.
At home LNZ Cherkasy average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
LNZ Cherkasy have only 0 matches on record.
Obolon Kyiv have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

LNZ Cherkasy have an estimated 68.3% win probability, against 23.7% for the draw and 8.0% for Obolon Kyiv. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.84 for LNZ Cherkasy and 0.50 for Obolon Kyiv.

Why LNZ Cherkasy

LNZ Cherkasy have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Obolon Kyiv have allowed 1.35. At home LNZ Cherkasy average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.7%. A combined 2.34 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why Obolon Kyiv can win

Obolon Kyiv have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while LNZ Cherkasy have allowed 1.35. Away from home Obolon Kyiv average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for LNZ Cherkasy, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Obolon Kyiv, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

LNZ Cherkasy: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Obolon Kyiv: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

LNZ Cherkasy are the model's most likely outcome at 68.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 16.3%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	69238	1.84–0.50	0%	0%	0%	Home ✓
ai-blend-oos	66259	1.81–0.56	0%	0%	0%	Home ✓
dc-xg	71235	1.74–0.34	1-0 21%	34%	25%	Home ✓

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy to win	71.4%	73.2%	44.4%	1.65×	1.37
Draw	23.2%	24.6%	25.0%	0.98×	4.07
Obolon Kyiv to win	5.4%	8.5%	30.6%	0.28×	11.79

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy & not both score	57.8%	50.5%	24.4%	2.07×	1.98
LNZ Cherkasy & both teams score	13.6%	13.3%	20.1%	0.66×	7.54
Draw & not both score	13.6%	13.3%	7.3%	1.82×	7.54
Draw & both teams score	9.6%	8.4%	17.7%	0.47×	11.96
Obolon Kyiv & not both score	3.9%	4.9%	16.0%	0.31×	20.36
Obolon Kyiv & both teams score	1.5%	4.9%	14.6%	0.33×	20.42

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy & under 3.5	57.1%	54.5%	30.3%	1.80×	1.84
LNZ Cherkasy & over 1.5	50.7%	48.8%	34.1%	1.43×	2.05
LNZ Cherkasy & under 2.5	39.6%	34.7%	17.5%	1.98×	2.88
LNZ Cherkasy & over 2.5	31.7%	31.0%	26.9%	1.15×	3.22
Draw & under 2.5	22.0%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
LNZ Cherkasy & under 1.5	20.7%	21.6%	10.4%	2.08×	4.63
LNZ Cherkasy & over 3.5	14.3%	12.9%	14.2%	0.91×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	13.6%	12.9%	7.3%	1.76×	7.78
Draw & over 1.5	9.6%	8.0%	17.7%	0.45×	12.57
Obolon Kyiv & under 3.5	5.1%	8.0%	21.6%	0.37×	12.57
Obolon Kyiv & under 2.5	3.8%	4.9%	12.2%	0.40×	20.58
Obolon Kyiv & under 1.5	3.1%	4.9%	7.5%	0.65×	20.58
Obolon Kyiv & over 1.5	2.3%	4.9%	23.1%	0.21×	20.59
Obolon Kyiv & over 2.5	1.6%	4.9%	18.4%	0.26×	20.59
Draw & over 2.5	1.2%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.59
Draw & over 3.5	1.2%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.59
Obolon Kyiv & over 3.5	0.3%	4.9%	9.0%	0.54×	20.60

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy (1UP)	76.9%	78.8%	59.8%	1.32×	1.27
Obolon Kyiv (1UP)	14.4%	14.1%	50.4%	0.28×	7.11

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy (2UP)	71.4%	80.2%	45.2%	1.77×	1.25
Obolon Kyiv (2UP)	5.4%	8.0%	34.2%	0.23×	12.53

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy to win 2nd half	55.5%	59.4%	37.7%	1.58×	1.69
2nd half drawn	37.4%	36.0%	32.7%	1.10×	2.78
Obolon Kyiv to win 2nd half	7.1%	7.3%	29.7%	0.25×	13.66

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv under 1.5 in 2nd half	98.2%	95.0%	82.3%	1.15×	1.05
Obolon Kyiv under 0.5 in 2nd half	81.7%	84.2%	46.6%	1.81×	1.19
Obolon Kyiv over 0.5 in 2nd half	18.3%	15.8%	53.4%	0.30×	6.33
Obolon Kyiv over 1.5 in 2nd half	1.8%	5.0%	17.7%	0.28×	19.89

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.8%	73.7%	77.4%	0.95×	1.36
LNZ Cherkasy over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.0%	62.6%	58.7%	1.07×	1.60
LNZ Cherkasy under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.0%	37.4%	41.4%	0.90×	2.68
LNZ Cherkasy over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.2%	26.3%	22.6%	1.16×	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy (+0.5)	94.6%	92.1%	69.4%	1.33×	1.09
Obolon Kyiv (+2.5)	79.3%	78.4%	90.1%	0.87×	1.28
LNZ Cherkasy (-0.5)	71.4%	73.7%	44.4%	1.66×	1.36
Obolon Kyiv (+1.5)	56.3%	57.0%	77.7%	0.73×	1.76
LNZ Cherkasy (-1.5)	43.7%	43.0%	22.3%	1.93×	2.32
Obolon Kyiv (+0.5)	28.6%	26.3%	55.6%	0.47×	3.80
LNZ Cherkasy (-2.5)	20.7%	21.6%	9.9%	2.18×	4.62
Obolon Kyiv (-0.5)	5.4%	7.9%	30.6%	0.26×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv to concede	82.5%	81.4%	76.7%	1.06×	1.23
Obolon Kyiv clean sheet	17.5%	18.6%	23.3%	0.80×	5.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv clean sheet in 1st half	47.3%	50.7%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Obolon Kyiv to concede in 1st half	52.7%	49.3%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv to concede in 2nd half	63.0%	60.3%	58.7%	1.03×	1.66
Obolon Kyiv clean sheet in 2nd half	37.0%	39.7%	41.4%	0.96×	2.52

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv under 3.5 goals	100.0%	97.4%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Obolon Kyiv under 2.5 goals	99.5%	97.4%	87.0%	1.12×	1.03
Obolon Kyiv under 1.5 goals	95.5%	97.4%	66.3%	1.47×	1.03
Obolon Kyiv under 0.5 goals	71.4%	71.9%	31.7%	2.27×	1.39
Obolon Kyiv over 0.5 goals	28.6%	28.1%	68.3%	0.41×	3.55
Obolon Kyiv over 1.5 goals	4.6%	2.6%	33.7%	0.08×	38.78
Obolon Kyiv over 2.5 goals	0.5%	2.6%	13.0%	0.20×	38.96
Obolon Kyiv over 3.5 goals	0.0%	2.6%	4.3%	0.59×	38.98

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv under 1.5 in 1st half	99.2%	96.2%	89.4%	1.08×	1.04
Obolon Kyiv under 0.5 in 1st half	87.4%	89.0%	59.0%	1.51×	1.12
Obolon Kyiv over 0.5 in 1st half	12.6%	11.0%	41.0%	0.27×	9.07
Obolon Kyiv over 1.5 in 1st half	0.8%	3.8%	10.6%	0.36×	26.13

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv scores equally in both	73.4%	73.4%	40.6%	1.81×	1.36
Obolon Kyiv scores more in 2nd half	16.2%	17.8%	36.5%	0.49×	5.63
Obolon Kyiv scores more in 1st half	10.4%	9.1%	22.9%	0.40×	11.02

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy (away no bet)	75.5%	74.1%	64.0%	1.16×	1.35
Draw (away no bet)	24.5%	25.9%	36.0%	0.72×	3.85

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv even goals	75.5%	79.1%	55.7%	1.42×	1.27
Obolon Kyiv odd goals	24.5%	20.9%	44.3%	0.47×	4.78

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.6%	92.7%	82.7%	1.12×	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.4%	7.3%	17.3%	0.42×	13.64

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	48.9%	50.0%	66.2%	0.76×	2.00
Both halves under 1.5 goals	51.1%	50.0%	33.8%	1.48×	2.00

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.2%	51.2%	58.6%	0.87×	1.95
LNZ Cherkasy to score 2+ in a row	49.2%	46.0%	36.9%	1.25×	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.8%	19.5%	22.9%	0.85×	5.13
LNZ Cherkasy to score 3+ in a row	22.6%	19.5%	14.2%	1.37×	5.13
Obolon Kyiv to score 2+ in a row	2.9%	2.6%	28.6%	0.09×	38.83
Obolon Kyiv to score 3+ in a row	0.2%	2.5%	9.1%	0.27×	40.56

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	20.7%	20.0%	10.4%	1.93×	5.00
2-0	19.0%	13.6%	7.2%	1.90×	7.36
0-0	13.6%	11.4%	7.3%	1.56×	8.80
3-0	11.0%	11.4%	3.9%	2.90×	8.80
1-1	8.4%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.53
2-1	6.4%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.53
0-1	3.1%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	57.66
0-2	0.7%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	57.68
0-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	57.68
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.95×	57.68
1-2	1.2%	1.7%	7.0%	0.25×	57.67
1-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.8%	0.63×	57.68
1-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	57.68
2-2	1.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	57.67
2-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	57.68
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.92×	57.68
3-1	3.7%	1.7%	4.2%	0.42×	57.66
3-2	0.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	57.68
3-3	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	57.68
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	57.68
4-0	4.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.99×	57.65
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.04×	57.67
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.90×	57.68
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.68×	57.68
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	16.37×	57.68
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	4.1%	0.43×	57.66

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy (2nd half DNB)	88.7%	87.5%	55.9%	1.56×	1.14
Obolon Kyiv (2nd half DNB)	11.3%	12.5%	44.1%	0.28×	7.99

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy leading at HT (DNB)	88.8%	87.3%	56.7%	1.54×	1.15
Obolon Kyiv leading at HT (DNB)	11.2%	12.7%	43.3%	0.29×	7.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy or draw (1X)	94.6%	91.5%	69.4%	1.32×	1.09
LNZ Cherkasy or Obolon Kyiv (12)	76.8%	75.4%	75.0%	1.01×	1.33
Obolon Kyiv or draw (X2)	28.6%	26.8%	55.6%	0.48×	3.73

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy or draw at HT	93.9%	90.8%	74.1%	1.23×	1.10
LNZ Cherkasy or Obolon Kyiv at HT	54.0%	47.8%	59.7%	0.80×	2.09
Obolon Kyiv or draw at HT	52.0%	47.6%	66.2%	0.72×	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy or draw (1UP)	94.6%	94.2%	74.2%	1.27×	1.06
Obolon Kyiv or draw (1UP)	28.6%	32.0%	63.9%	0.50×	3.12

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy or draw in 2nd half	92.9%	92.7%	70.3%	1.32×	1.08
LNZ Cherkasy or Obolon Kyiv in 2nd half	62.6%	64.0%	67.3%	0.95×	1.56
Obolon Kyiv or draw in 2nd half	44.5%	40.6%	62.3%	0.65×	2.46

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.0%	61.8%	58.9%	1.05×	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.0%	38.2%	41.1%	0.93×	2.62

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy (DNB)	92.9%	92.9%	59.2%	1.57×	1.08
Obolon Kyiv (DNB)	7.1%	7.1%	40.8%	0.17×	14.08

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy to score first	72.4%	75.0%	51.2%	1.46×	1.33
Obolon Kyiv to score first	14.0%	10.5%	42.9%	0.24×	9.55
No goal scored	13.6%	10.4%	5.9%	1.75×	9.65

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	75.3%	61.5%	47.6%	1.29×	1.63
Both teams to score	24.7%	38.5%	52.4%	0.74×	2.60

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	57.1%	46.9%	37.1%	1.26×	2.13
Not both score & over 2.5	18.2%	21.4%	10.6%	2.02×	4.68
Both score & over 2.5	16.3%	21.3%	40.9%	0.52×	4.69
Both score & under 2.5	8.4%	8.4%	11.5%	0.73×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	97.6%	91.5%	86.0%	1.07×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	2.4%	8.5%	14.0%	0.60×	11.83

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	88.1%	88.4%	70.2%	1.26×	1.13
Both teams to score in 2nd half	11.9%	11.6%	29.8%	0.39×	8.61

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	82.0%	82.5%	57.8%	1.43×	1.21
Both score 2nd half only	11.1%	10.7%	23.8%	0.45×	9.35
Both score 1st half only	6.1%	6.7%	12.5%	0.54×	14.84
Both score in both halves	0.8%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.63

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	93.2%	93.3%	81.5%	1.14×	1.07
Both teams to score by HT	6.8%	6.7%	18.5%	0.36×	14.98

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	58.5%	57.4%	41.1%	1.40×	1.74
A goal in each half	41.5%	42.6%	58.9%	0.72×	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	46.9%	45.4%	1.03×	2.13
0-1 goals	37.4%	35.0%	25.2%	1.39×	2.86
4-6 goals	15.2%	20.2%	27.0%	0.75×	4.95
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	2.4%	0.76×	54.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv to score exactly 0	71.4%	67.6%	31.7%	2.13×	1.48
Obolon Kyiv to score exactly 1	24.1%	22.5%	34.6%	0.65×	4.44
Obolon Kyiv to score exactly 2	4.1%	4.6%	20.8%	0.22×	21.69
Obolon Kyiv to score 3+	0.5%	4.6%	13.0%	0.35×	21.91

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy to score exactly 1	30.5%	32.6%	33.1%	0.99×	3.07
LNZ Cherkasy to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.2%	24.0%	1.09×	3.82
LNZ Cherkasy to score 3+	25.4%	26.2%	19.7%	1.33×	3.82
LNZ Cherkasy to score exactly 0	17.5%	19.2%	23.3%	0.82×	5.22

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy leading at HT	48.0%	52.4%	33.8%	1.55×	1.91
Draw at HT	46.0%	52.2%	40.3%	1.30×	1.92
Obolon Kyiv leading at HT	6.1%	9.2%	25.9%	0.35×	10.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy -1: 1	43.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
LNZ Cherkasy -1: 2	28.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.75
LNZ Cherkasy -1: X	27.7%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy (0:1)	43.7%	42.5%	22.3%	1.91×	2.35
Obolon Kyiv (0:1)	28.6%	27.1%	55.6%	0.49×	3.69
Draw (0:1)	27.7%	27.1%	22.2%	1.22×	3.69

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv (0:2)	56.3%	63.3%	77.7%	0.82×	1.58
Draw (0:2)	23.0%	20.0%	12.3%	1.62×	4.99
LNZ Cherkasy (0:2)	20.7%	20.0%	9.9%	2.01×	5.00

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv (0:3)	79.3%	80.6%	90.1%	0.89×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.7%	10.0%	5.9%	1.70×	9.98
LNZ Cherkasy (0:3)	7.9%	5.9%	4.1%	1.46×	16.92

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv (0:4)	92.1%	94.4%	95.9%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.4%	4.8%	2.5%	1.89×	20.86
LNZ Cherkasy (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	1.5%	0.81×	81.57

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy (1:0)	94.6%	92.4%	69.4%	1.33×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	4.5%	3.5%	17.0%	0.20×	28.73
Obolon Kyiv (1:0)	1.0%	3.4%	13.6%	0.25×	29.19

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy (2:0)	99.0%	96.6%	86.4%	1.12×	1.04
Draw (2:0)	0.9%	2.4%	8.1%	0.30×	41.51
Obolon Kyiv (2:0)	0.1%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	41.55

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.3%	48.2%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07
Halves equal	31.3%	29.3%	25.2%	1.16×	3.42
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.5%	26.3%	1.01×	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy clean sheet	71.4%	73.2%	31.7%	2.31×	1.37
LNZ Cherkasy to concede	28.6%	26.8%	68.3%	0.39×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy clean sheet in 1st half	87.4%	87.4%	59.0%	1.48×	1.14
LNZ Cherkasy to concede in 1st half	12.6%	12.6%	41.0%	0.31×	7.93

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy clean sheet in 2nd half	81.7%	81.6%	46.6%	1.75×	1.23
LNZ Cherkasy to concede in 2nd half	18.3%	18.4%	53.4%	0.35×	5.43

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy under 3.5 goals	90.0%	92.1%	92.4%	1.00×	1.09
LNZ Cherkasy over 0.5 goals	82.5%	81.9%	76.7%	1.07×	1.22
LNZ Cherkasy under 2.5 goals	74.6%	74.3%	80.3%	0.93×	1.35
LNZ Cherkasy over 1.5 goals	52.0%	52.8%	43.7%	1.21×	1.90
LNZ Cherkasy under 1.5 goals	48.0%	47.2%	56.3%	0.84×	2.12
LNZ Cherkasy over 2.5 goals	25.4%	25.7%	19.7%	1.30×	3.89
LNZ Cherkasy under 0.5 goals	17.5%	18.1%	23.3%	0.78×	5.54
LNZ Cherkasy over 3.5 goals	10.0%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.68

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy under 1.5 in 1st half	82.7%	84.2%	85.9%	0.98×	1.19
LNZ Cherkasy under 0.5 in 1st half	47.3%	50.8%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
LNZ Cherkasy over 0.5 in 1st half	52.7%	49.2%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03
LNZ Cherkasy over 1.5 in 1st half	17.3%	15.8%	14.1%	1.11×	6.35

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy scores more in 2nd half	40.1%	42.3%	38.0%	1.12×	2.36
LNZ Cherkasy scores equally in both	33.2%	32.8%	37.1%	0.88×	3.05
LNZ Cherkasy scores more in 1st half	26.7%	28.0%	24.9%	1.12×	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	81.0%	86.3%	44.9%	1.92×	1.16
Obolon Kyiv (home no bet)	19.0%	13.7%	55.1%	0.25×	7.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy even goals	51.5%	50.4%	52.8%	0.96×	1.98
LNZ Cherkasy odd goals	48.5%	49.6%	47.2%	1.05×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	41.5%	40.9%	29.3%	1.40×	2.44
HT 1-0	30.8%	32.2%	20.7%	1.55×	3.11
HT 2-0	11.6%	10.9%	7.1%	1.53×	9.16
HT 0-1	5.4%	7.1%	16.3%	0.44×	14.05
HT 1-1	4.4%	2.3%	10.2%	0.23×	43.38
Any other HT score	4.1%	2.3%	4.7%	0.49×	43.40
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.3%	3.3%	0.70×	43.59
HT 0-2	0.4%	2.3%	4.9%	0.47×	43.68
HT 1-2	0.3%	2.3%	2.8%	0.82×	43.68
HT 2-2	0.1%	2.3%	0.9%	2.56×	43.70

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy at HT / LNZ Cherkasy at FT	45.2%	44.2%	25.8%	1.71×	2.27
Draw at HT / LNZ Cherkasy at FT	24.8%	21.8%	14.7%	1.49×	4.58
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.4%	16.8%	14.1%	1.19×	5.96
Draw at HT / Obolon Kyiv at FT	2.7%	3.5%	11.6%	0.30×	28.81
LNZ Cherkasy at HT / Draw at FT	2.6%	3.5%	5.1%	0.68×	28.82
Obolon Kyiv at HT / Obolon Kyiv at FT	2.5%	3.5%	17.4%	0.20×	28.83
Obolon Kyiv at HT / Draw at FT	2.3%	3.5%	5.6%	0.62×	28.83
Obolon Kyiv at HT / LNZ Cherkasy at FT	1.4%	3.5%	2.9%	1.19×	28.87
LNZ Cherkasy at HT / Obolon Kyiv at FT	0.2%	3.5%	3.0%	1.16×	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy to score last	72.8%	72.6%	51.4%	1.41×	1.38
Obolon Kyiv to score last	13.6%	9.8%	42.7%	0.23×	10.24
No goal scored	13.6%	9.8%	5.9%	1.65×	10.25

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.4%	90.4%	94.1%	0.96×	1.11
LNZ Cherkasy to lead by 1 at any time	76.9%	78.1%	59.8%	1.31×	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.0%	44.0%	48.2%	0.91×	2.27
LNZ Cherkasy to lead by 2 at any time	46.3%	43.9%	28.2%	1.56×	2.28
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.9%	19.6%	19.5%	1.01×	5.11
LNZ Cherkasy to lead by 3 at any time	21.8%	19.6%	12.1%	1.62×	5.11
Obolon Kyiv to lead by 1 at any time	14.4%	10.5%	50.4%	0.21×	9.52
Obolon Kyiv to lead by 2 at any time	1.7%	1.6%	20.3%	0.08×	62.67
Obolon Kyiv to lead by 3 at any time	0.2%	1.6%	7.4%	0.21×	64.31

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.4%	83.3%	86.4%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.4%	83.3%	78.0%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.6%	72.3%	63.3%	1.14×	1.38
2-6 goals	62.1%	63.2%	72.4%	0.87×	1.58
2-5 goals	60.7%	63.2%	68.5%	0.92×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.6%	59.3%	60.1%	0.99×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.9%	53.4%	41.2%	1.30×	1.87
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.5%	45.4%	1.07×	2.06
3-6 goals	33.9%	35.3%	49.1%	0.72×	2.83
3-5 goals	32.5%	35.3%	45.1%	0.78×	2.83
3-4 goals	28.5%	30.6%	36.8%	0.83×	3.27
4-6 goals	15.2%	18.8%	27.0%	0.70×	5.31
4-5 goals	13.8%	15.0%	23.0%	0.65×	6.65
5-6 goals	5.5%	9.0%	12.3%	0.73×	11.16
7+ goals	0.5%	2.6%	2.4%	1.06×	39.04

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy never behind	72.0%	77.0%	49.6%	1.55×	1.30
Obolon Kyiv never behind	9.5%	5.2%	40.2%	0.13×	19.15

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.0%	51.0%	50.2%	1.02×	1.96
Even number of goals	53.0%	49.0%	49.8%	0.98×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.9%	57.6%	53.7%	1.07×	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	41.1%	42.4%	46.3%	0.92×	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.3%	58.1%	51.1%	1.14×	1.72
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.7%	41.9%	48.9%	0.86×	2.39

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.0%	95.4%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.0%	92.2%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.4%	87.4%	92.7%	0.94×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	84.2%	82.2%	70.6%	1.16×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	65.5%	66.0%	48.5%	1.36×	1.52
Over 1.5 goals	62.6%	62.0%	74.8%	0.83×	1.61
Under 1.5 goals	37.4%	38.0%	25.2%	1.51×	2.63
Over 2.5 goals	34.5%	34.0%	51.5%	0.66×	2.94
Over 3.5 goals	15.8%	17.8%	29.4%	0.61×	5.61
Under 0.5 goals	13.6%	12.6%	7.3%	1.72×	7.97
Over 4.5 goals	6.0%	7.8%	14.7%	0.53×	12.85
Over 5.5 goals	2.0%	4.6%	6.3%	0.72×	21.78

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.4%	97.2%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.0%	97.2%	93.1%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.3%	92.4%	82.8%	1.12×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	80.6%	80.5%	62.3%	1.29×	1.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.0%	52.3%	32.9%	1.59×	1.91
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	48.0%	47.7%	67.1%	0.71×	2.10
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	19.4%	19.5%	37.7%	0.52×	5.12
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.7%	7.6%	17.2%	0.44×	13.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.0%	2.8%	6.9%	0.41×	35.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.6%	2.8%	2.5%	1.13×	35.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.0%	92.8%	88.4%	1.05×	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.6%	78.8%	66.3%	1.19×	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	58.5%	62.8%	70.7%	0.89×	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	41.5%	37.2%	29.3%	1.27×	2.69
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.4%	21.2%	33.7%	0.63×	4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.0%	7.2%	11.6%	0.62×	13.93

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	85.4%	77.5%	1.10×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.4%	67.6%	82.3%	0.82×	1.48
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.0%	67.4%	50.2%	1.34×	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.0%	32.6%	49.8%	0.65×	3.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.6%	32.4%	17.7%	1.83×	3.09
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	14.6%	22.5%	0.65×	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv not to score in both halves	97.7%	97.8%	77.6%	1.26×	1.02
LNZ Cherkasy not to score in both halves	66.8%	70.5%	70.5%	1.00×	1.42
LNZ Cherkasy to score in both halves	33.2%	29.5%	29.5%	1.00×	3.39
Obolon Kyiv to score in both halves	2.3%	2.2%	22.4%	0.10×	45.48

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only LNZ Cherkasy scores	57.8%	58.7%	24.4%	2.41×	1.70
Both teams score	24.7%	22.0%	52.4%	0.42×	4.54
Neither team scores	13.6%	11.1%	7.3%	1.52×	9.01
Only Obolon Kyiv scores	3.9%	4.6%	16.0%	0.29×	21.61

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.1%	24.7%	23.3%	1.06×	4.05
Exactly 1 goals	23.8%	22.4%	17.9%	1.25×	4.46
Exactly 3 goals	18.7%	17.6%	22.1%	0.79×	5.70
Exactly 0 goals	13.6%	12.1%	7.3%	1.65×	8.30
Exactly 4 goals	9.7%	7.8%	14.7%	0.53×	12.85
Exactly 5 goals	4.1%	4.5%	8.4%	0.54×	22.23
6 or more goals	2.0%	4.5%	6.3%	0.71×	22.26

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	41.5%	41.6%	29.3%	1.42×	2.41
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.1%	37.0%	1.00×	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	16.3%	15.2%	22.2%	0.69×	6.57
3+ goals in 1st half	6.0%	7.2%	11.6%	0.62×	13.93

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.4%	39.8%	32.5%	1.22×	2.51
2+ goals in 2nd half	34.0%	33.4%	49.8%	0.67×	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	30.6%	33.3%	17.7%	1.88×	3.01

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv not to win both halves	99.5%	97.3%	91.8%	1.06×	1.03
LNZ Cherkasy not to win both halves	73.1%	72.8%	86.8%	0.84×	1.37
LNZ Cherkasy to win both halves	26.9%	27.2%	13.2%	2.06×	3.68
Obolon Kyiv to win both halves	0.5%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	37.12

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv to win neither half	87.3%	92.0%	52.6%	1.75×	1.09
LNZ Cherkasy to win either half	76.6%	79.6%	58.3%	1.37×	1.26
LNZ Cherkasy to win neither half	23.4%	20.4%	41.7%	0.49×	4.91
Obolon Kyiv to win either half	12.7%	8.0%	47.4%	0.17×	12.57

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv not to win to nil	96.1%	96.2%	84.0%	1.14×	1.04
LNZ Cherkasy to win to nil	57.8%	59.8%	24.4%	2.45×	1.67
LNZ Cherkasy not to win to nil	42.2%	40.2%	75.6%	0.53×	2.49
Obolon Kyiv to win to nil	3.9%	3.8%	16.0%	0.24×	25.99

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LNZ Cherkasy by 1	27.7%	27.7%	22.2%	1.25×	3.61
Draw	23.2%	24.2%	25.0%	0.97×	4.14
LNZ Cherkasy by 2	23.0%	24.2%	12.3%	1.96×	4.14
LNZ Cherkasy by 3+	20.7%	24.2%	9.9%	2.43×	4.14
Obolon Kyiv by 1	4.5%	2.8%	17.0%	0.17×	35.56
Obolon Kyiv by 2	0.9%	2.8%	8.1%	0.35×	35.65
Obolon Kyiv by 3+	0.1%	2.8%	5.4%	0.52×	35.67

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.