Lokomotiva Zagreb v Rijeka — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · CRO-HNL · 2627

CRO-HNL results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

Lokomotiva Zagreb

18:00 UTC

Rijeka

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 11 Sep, 11:38 · 30h before kick-off

Lokomotiva Zagreb win

27.1%

model 27.0%

Draw

31.5%

model 32.2%

Rijeka win

41.5%

model 40.8%

273141

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6,406 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 15.4%
0-0 11.4%
0-1 9.4%
1-2 8.7%
0-2 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.8%	Under 2.5	56.2%
BTTS yes	51.4%	BTTS no	48.6%
Lokomotiva Zagreb 1+	65.8%	Lokomotiva Zagreb 2+	29.1%
Rijeka 1+	74.3%	Rijeka 2+	39.4%

Expected goals 1.07 – 1.36. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

27/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Rijeka (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 36%

62.1% fair odds 1.61

strong signal · 3488 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Rijeka under 1.5 in 2nd half

2nd half away goals O/U

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 709 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Rijeka carry the stronger rating, 1520 Elo against 1486.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Away from home Rijeka average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Lokomotiva Zagreb have only 1 matches on record.
Rijeka have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Rijeka have an estimated 41.5% win probability, against 31.5% for the draw and 27.1% for Lokomotiva Zagreb. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.07 for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.36 for Rijeka.

Why Lokomotiva Zagreb

At home Lokomotiva Zagreb average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.5%.

Why Rijeka can win

Rijeka carry the stronger rating, 1520 Elo against 1486. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Rijeka average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Lokomotiva Zagreb, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rijeka, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Lokomotiva Zagreb: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rijeka: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Rijeka are the model's most likely outcome at 41.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 15.4%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	273241	1.07–1.36	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	243343	0.98–1.37	1-1 15%	42%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka to win	43.2%	42.9%	27.0%	1.59×	2.33
Draw	32.5%	30.6%	26.1%	1.17×	3.27
Lokomotiva Zagreb to win	24.3%	24.6%	47.4%	0.52×	4.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka & not both score	25.4%	25.4%	14.2%	1.79×	3.93
Draw & both teams score	20.4%	21.8%	18.5%	1.18×	4.60
Rijeka & both teams score	17.7%	18.0%	13.3%	1.36×	5.55
Lokomotiva Zagreb & not both score	13.4%	13.3%	26.1%	0.51×	7.54
Draw & not both score	12.1%	13.3%	8.1%	1.64×	7.55
Lokomotiva Zagreb & both teams score	11.0%	13.3%	21.8%	0.61×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka & over 1.5	32.6%	31.0%	24.2%	1.28×	3.22
Rijeka & under 3.5	32.3%	31.0%	17.1%	1.82×	3.22
Draw & under 2.5	27.5%	25.9%	19.4%	1.34×	3.85
Draw & under 3.5	27.5%	25.9%	19.4%	1.34×	3.85
Rijeka & over 2.5	23.7%	21.6%	16.6%	1.30×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.4%	21.6%	18.5%	1.17×	4.63
Lokomotiva Zagreb & under 3.5	19.2%	18.0%	33.2%	0.54×	5.57
Rijeka & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	10.9%	1.65×	5.57
Lokomotiva Zagreb & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	39.3%	0.46×	5.57
Lokomotiva Zagreb & over 2.5	12.9%	12.9%	28.4%	0.45×	7.78
Lokomotiva Zagreb & under 2.5	11.4%	12.9%	19.4%	0.66×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	12.1%	12.9%	8.1%	1.60×	7.78
Rijeka & under 1.5	10.5%	12.9%	3.3%	3.87×	7.78
Rijeka & over 3.5	10.9%	12.9%	10.4%	1.23×	7.78
Lokomotiva Zagreb & under 1.5	6.8%	8.0%	8.5%	0.93×	12.57
Lokomotiva Zagreb & over 3.5	5.1%	8.0%	14.7%	0.54×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	5.0%	4.9%	7.1%	0.68×	20.57
Draw & over 3.5	5.0%	4.9%	7.1%	0.68×	20.57

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka (1UP)	57.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Lokomotiva Zagreb (1UP)	41.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka (2UP)	43.2%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Lokomotiva Zagreb (2UP)	24.3%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.9%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Rijeka to win 2nd half	37.9%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Lokomotiva Zagreb to win 2nd half	22.2%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Rijeka over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.9%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Rijeka under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.1%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Rijeka over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.8%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.2%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.2%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.8%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.8%	11.9%	—	—	8.41

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka (+2.5)	97.3%	96.3%	90.0%	1.07×	1.04
Rijeka (+1.5)	90.3%	92.1%	72.5%	1.27×	1.09
Rijeka (+0.5)	75.7%	78.3%	52.6%	1.49×	1.28
Lokomotiva Zagreb (+0.5)	56.8%	57.0%	73.0%	0.78×	1.76
Rijeka (-0.5)	43.2%	43.0%	27.0%	1.59×	2.32
Lokomotiva Zagreb (-0.5)	24.3%	21.7%	47.4%	0.46×	4.62
Lokomotiva Zagreb (-1.5)	9.7%	7.9%	27.5%	0.29×	12.67
Lokomotiva Zagreb (-2.5)	2.7%	3.7%	10.0%	0.37×	26.88

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka to concede	62.4%	67.9%	78.2%	0.87×	1.47
Rijeka clean sheet	37.6%	32.1%	21.8%	1.47×	3.12

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka clean sheet in 1st half	65.6%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Rijeka to concede in 1st half	34.4%	30.9%	—	—	3.24

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka clean sheet in 2nd half	57.2%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Rijeka to concede in 2nd half	42.8%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka under 3.5 goals	95.0%	97.4%	94.8%	1.03×	1.03
Rijeka under 2.5 goals	84.2%	81.3%	87.7%	0.93×	1.23
Rijeka over 0.5 goals	74.5%	71.9%	66.4%	1.08×	1.39
Rijeka under 1.5 goals	60.4%	63.5%	65.4%	0.97×	1.58
Rijeka over 1.5 goals	39.6%	36.5%	34.6%	1.06×	2.74
Rijeka under 0.5 goals	25.5%	28.1%	33.6%	0.84×	3.56
Rijeka over 2.5 goals	15.8%	18.7%	12.3%	1.52×	5.34
Rijeka over 3.5 goals	5.0%	2.6%	5.2%	0.49×	38.76

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka under 1.5 in 1st half	89.5%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Rijeka under 0.5 in 1st half	57.9%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Rijeka over 0.5 in 1st half	42.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Rijeka over 1.5 in 1st half	10.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka scores more in 2nd half	39.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Rijeka scores equally in both	38.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Rijeka scores more in 1st half	22.6%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	57.2%	57.4%	35.5%	1.62×	1.74
Lokomotiva Zagreb (away no bet)	42.8%	42.6%	64.5%	0.66×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka even goals	53.3%	52.8%	59.2%	0.89×	1.90
Rijeka odd goals	46.7%	47.2%	40.8%	1.16×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.9%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.24

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	56.5%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	43.5%	39.9%	—	—	2.50

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	48.3%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Rijeka to score 2+ in a row	33.1%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score 2+ in a row	19.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Rijeka to score 3+ in a row	11.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score 3+ in a row	4.5%	2.6%	—	—	37.88

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	15.4%	13.6%	11.8%	1.14×	7.38
0-0	12.1%	11.4%	8.1%	1.41×	8.80
0-1	10.5%	11.4%	3.3%	3.42×	8.80
0-2	8.9%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.53
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.53
1-0	6.8%	7.4%	8.5%	0.87×	13.53
2-1	6.3%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.53
0-3	4.1%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	57.66
0-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.22×	57.67
1-3	4.0%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	57.66
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	57.67
2-0	4.6%	1.7%	11.4%	0.15×	57.66
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	57.66
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.83×	57.67
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
3-0	1.5%	1.7%	3.8%	0.46×	57.67
3-1	2.0%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	57.67
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	57.67
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	57.68
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	57.68
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	57.68
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	4.3%	0.41×	57.67

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka (2nd half DNB)	63.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Lokomotiva Zagreb (2nd half DNB)	36.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka leading at HT (DNB)	58.2%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Lokomotiva Zagreb leading at HT (DNB)	41.8%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka or draw (X2)	75.7%	75.4%	52.6%	1.43×	1.33
Lokomotiva Zagreb or Rijeka (12)	67.5%	69.4%	73.9%	0.94×	1.44
Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw (1X)	56.8%	57.1%	73.0%	0.78×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka or draw at HT	78.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw at HT	69.8%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Lokomotiva Zagreb or Rijeka at HT	51.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka or draw (1UP)	75.7%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw (1UP)	56.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka or draw in 2nd half	77.8%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw in 2nd half	62.1%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Lokomotiva Zagreb or Rijeka in 2nd half	60.1%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.1%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	33.9%	30.7%	—	—	3.25

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka (DNB)	64.0%	63.0%	36.3%	1.73×	1.59
Lokomotiva Zagreb (DNB)	36.0%	37.0%	63.7%	0.58×	2.70

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka to score first	51.2%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score first	36.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	12.1%	10.0%	—	—	10.03

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.9%	51.6%	47.4%	1.09×	1.94
Both teams to score	49.1%	48.4%	52.6%	0.92×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	43.0%	41.7%	37.4%	1.11×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	33.7%	34.4%	41.2%	0.83×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	15.4%	21.3%	11.8%	1.80×	4.69
Not both score & over 2.5	7.9%	8.4%	10.4%	0.80×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.8%	85.5%	88.2%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.2%	14.5%	11.8%	1.23×	6.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.8%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	21.3%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Both score 1st half only	11.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.5%	5.0%	—	—	20.03

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.1%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	14.9%	14.1%	—	—	7.11

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	52.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	47.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	49.5%	46.9%	50.2%	0.93×	2.13
0-1 goals	29.5%	27.0%	19.0%	1.42×	3.71
4-6 goals	20.0%	20.2%	29.4%	0.69×	4.94
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	2.4%	0.78×	54.10

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka to score exactly 1	34.9%	33.7%	32.2%	1.04×	2.97
Rijeka to score exactly 0	25.5%	27.6%	33.6%	0.82×	3.63
Rijeka to score exactly 2	23.8%	22.5%	22.7%	0.99×	4.45
Rijeka to score 3+	15.8%	19.5%	12.3%	1.58×	5.13

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score exactly 0	37.6%	35.5%	21.8%	1.63×	2.81
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	31.8%	1.12×	2.81
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score exactly 2	18.0%	19.2%	29.4%	0.65×	5.22
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score 3+	7.6%	10.5%	18.0%	0.58×	9.56

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Rijeka leading at HT	30.2%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
Lokomotiva Zagreb leading at HT	21.7%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka -1: 1	56.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Rijeka -1: X	21.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.23
Rijeka -1: 2	21.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka (0:1)	75.7%	73.6%	52.6%	1.40×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	14.7%	14.0%	20.4%	0.68×	7.17
Lokomotiva Zagreb (0:1)	9.7%	9.2%	27.5%	0.33×	10.92

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka (0:2)	90.3%	90.9%	72.5%	1.25×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	7.0%	7.7%	18.0%	0.43×	13.01
Lokomotiva Zagreb (0:2)	2.7%	3.8%	10.0%	0.38×	26.50

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka (0:3)	97.3%	96.6%	90.0%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	6.6%	0.36×	42.37
Lokomotiva Zagreb (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	3.8%	0.62×	42.43

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	96.2%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	2.8%	0.43×	81.78
Lokomotiva Zagreb (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.4%	0.86×	81.82

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb (1:0)	56.8%	58.4%	73.0%	0.80×	1.71
Rijeka (1:0)	21.7%	21.7%	19.0%	1.15×	4.60
Draw (1:0)	21.5%	21.7%	8.5%	2.55×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb (2:0)	78.3%	79.9%	81.0%	0.99×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	13.7%	10.4%	12.8%	0.81×	9.60
Rijeka (2:0)	8.0%	6.6%	6.6%	0.99×	15.26

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.2%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	31.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
1st half highest scoring	24.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb to concede	74.5%	73.2%	66.4%	1.10×	1.37
Lokomotiva Zagreb clean sheet	25.5%	26.8%	33.6%	0.80×	3.74

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb clean sheet in 1st half	57.9%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Lokomotiva Zagreb to concede in 1st half	42.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.67

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb to concede in 2nd half	55.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Lokomotiva Zagreb clean sheet in 2nd half	44.1%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 3.5 goals	98.2%	96.3%	91.5%	1.05×	1.04
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 2.5 goals	92.4%	92.1%	82.0%	1.12×	1.09
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 1.5 goals	74.3%	74.3%	53.1%	1.40×	1.35
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 0.5 goals	62.4%	63.3%	78.2%	0.81×	1.58
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 0.5 goals	37.6%	36.7%	21.8%	1.68×	2.73
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 1.5 goals	25.7%	25.7%	46.9%	0.55×	3.89
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 2.5 goals	7.6%	7.9%	18.0%	0.44×	12.70
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 3.5 goals	1.8%	3.7%	8.5%	0.43×	27.05

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 1.5 in 1st half	93.3%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 0.5 in 1st half	65.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 0.5 in 1st half	34.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 1.5 in 1st half	6.7%	4.5%	—	—	22.08

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores equally in both	46.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores more in 2nd half	31.2%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores more in 1st half	21.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka (home no bet)	57.0%	56.1%	50.9%	1.10×	1.78
Draw (home no bet)	43.0%	43.9%	49.1%	0.89×	2.28

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb even goals	57.1%	55.4%	57.8%	0.96×	1.81
Lokomotiva Zagreb odd goals	42.9%	44.6%	42.2%	1.06×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.4%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 0-1	20.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 1-0	15.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	9.2%	7.1%	—	—	13.99
HT 0-2	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-0	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.53
HT 2-1	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.57
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.67

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka at HT / Rijeka at FT	23.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Rijeka at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Lokomotiva Zagreb at HT / Lokomotiva Zagreb at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Lokomotiva Zagreb at FT	9.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Lokomotiva Zagreb at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Rijeka at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Lokomotiva Zagreb at HT / Rijeka at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Rijeka at HT / Lokomotiva Zagreb at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka to score last	51.4%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score last	36.5%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	12.1%	9.4%	—	—	10.68

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.9%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Rijeka to lead by 1 at any time	57.9%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Lokomotiva Zagreb to lead by 1 at any time	41.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.5%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Rijeka to lead by 2 at any time	26.9%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Lokomotiva Zagreb to lead by 2 at any time	13.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Rijeka to lead by 3 at any time	9.6%	6.7%	—	—	15.00
Lokomotiva Zagreb to lead by 3 at any time	3.5%	1.6%	—	—	60.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.6%	83.3%	87.2%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	78.9%	78.5%	80.6%	0.97×	1.27
2-6 goals	69.5%	68.9%	79.1%	0.87×	1.45
2-5 goals	67.3%	68.8%	76.3%	0.90×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.9%	68.8%	61.1%	1.13×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.2%	69.7%	0.91×	1.58
2-3 goals	49.5%	48.5%	50.2%	0.96×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.3%	48.5%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.6%	43.6%	49.3%	0.88×	2.30
3-5 goals	38.3%	39.3%	46.4%	0.85×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.7%	35.3%	39.8%	0.89×	2.83
4-6 goals	20.0%	18.9%	29.4%	0.64×	5.30
4-5 goals	17.7%	18.8%	26.5%	0.71×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.9%	9.0%	10.0%	0.90×	11.15
7+ goals	1.0%	2.6%	2.4%	1.08×	39.02

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rijeka never behind	46.7%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Lokomotiva Zagreb never behind	29.9%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	44.4%	50.3%	39.8%	1.26×	1.99
Even number of goals	55.6%	49.7%	60.2%	0.83×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	41.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.8%	95.4%	94.8%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.1%	92.2%	88.2%	1.05×	1.09
Over 0.5 goals	87.9%	87.5%	91.9%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.0%	77.2%	68.7%	1.12×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	70.5%	72.4%	81.0%	0.89×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	58.4%	58.5%	48.8%	1.20×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	41.6%	41.5%	51.2%	0.81×	2.41
Under 1.5 goals	29.5%	27.6%	19.0%	1.46×	3.62
Over 3.5 goals	21.0%	22.8%	31.3%	0.73×	4.39
Under 0.5 goals	12.1%	12.6%	8.1%	1.56×	7.97
Over 4.5 goals	8.9%	7.8%	11.8%	0.66×	12.83
Over 5.5 goals	3.2%	4.6%	5.2%	0.88×	21.76

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.2%	97.6%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.6%	97.2%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.9%	86.6%	85.3%	1.02×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	73.6%	72.3%	60.9%	1.19×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.5%	55.2%	73.0%	0.76×	1.81
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.5%	44.8%	27.0%	1.66×	2.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.4%	27.7%	39.1%	0.71×	3.61
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.1%	13.4%	14.7%	0.91×	7.48
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.4%	2.8%	5.6%	0.51×	35.11
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.8%	2.4%	1.17×	35.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.6%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.3%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.7%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.4%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.9%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.1%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.9%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.1%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb not to score in both halves	85.3%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Rijeka not to score in both halves	76.5%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Rijeka to score in both halves	23.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score in both halves	14.7%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.1%	50.4%	52.6%	0.96×	1.98
Only Rijeka scores	25.4%	26.1%	14.2%	1.83×	3.83
Only Lokomotiva Zagreb scores	13.4%	11.1%	26.1%	0.43×	9.01
Neither team scores	12.1%	11.1%	8.1%	1.38×	9.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.9%	24.7%	30.3%	0.81×	4.05
Exactly 3 goals	20.6%	22.4%	20.4%	1.10×	4.46
Exactly 1 goals	17.4%	17.5%	11.4%	1.54×	5.70
Exactly 0 goals	12.1%	12.1%	8.1%	1.50×	8.30
Exactly 4 goals	12.1%	12.1%	19.9%	0.61×	8.30
Exactly 5 goals	5.7%	7.8%	7.1%	1.09×	12.86
6 or more goals	3.2%	4.5%	5.2%	0.86×	22.24

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	18.2%	15.3%	—	—	6.55
3+ goals in 1st half	7.4%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.9%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	33.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	26.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb not to win both halves	94.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Rijeka not to win both halves	88.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Rijeka to win both halves	11.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Lokomotiva Zagreb to win both halves	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.76

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb to win neither half	61.3%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Rijeka to win either half	56.2%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Rijeka to win neither half	43.8%	40.6%	—	—	2.47
Lokomotiva Zagreb to win either half	38.7%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb not to win to nil	86.6%	87.9%	73.9%	1.19×	1.14
Rijeka not to win to nil	74.6%	75.2%	85.8%	0.88×	1.33
Rijeka to win to nil	25.4%	24.8%	14.2%	1.75×	4.03
Lokomotiva Zagreb to win to nil	13.4%	12.1%	26.1%	0.46×	8.28

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	32.5%	27.7%	26.1%	1.06×	3.62
Rijeka by 1	21.5%	24.2%	8.5%	2.83×	4.14
Lokomotiva Zagreb by 1	14.7%	11.7%	20.4%	0.58×	8.52
Rijeka by 2	13.7%	11.7%	12.8%	0.92×	8.53
Rijeka by 3+	8.0%	7.3%	6.6%	1.10×	13.76
Lokomotiva Zagreb by 2	7.0%	7.3%	18.0%	0.40×	13.77
Lokomotiva Zagreb by 3+	2.7%	2.8%	10.0%	0.28×	35.60