Los Chankas v Alianza Lima — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Los Chankas

20:00 UTC

Alianza Lima

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 297h before kick-off

Los Chankas win

23.2%

model 23.0%

Draw

23.2%

model 22.8%

Alianza Lima win

53.6%

model 54.3%

232354

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 11.3%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 9.8%
0-2 9.4%
1-0 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.5%	Under 2.5	47.5%
BTTS yes	52.7%	BTTS no	47.3%
Los Chankas 1+	64.5%	Los Chankas 2+	27.8%
Alianza Lima 1+	82.4%	Alianza Lima 2+	51.8%

Expected goals 1.04 – 1.74. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Alianza Lima (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 25%

52.2% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1174 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Alianza Lima carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1499.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Alianza Lima have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 23.2% for Los Chankas and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.04 for Los Chankas and 1.74 for Alianza Lima.

Why Los Chankas

Nothing in the data singles out Los Chankas.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Alianza Lima can win

Alianza Lima carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1499.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Los Chankas, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Alianza Lima, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Los Chankas: 44% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Alianza Lima: 64% possession, 19.8 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Alianza Lima are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 11.3%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	232354	1.04–1.74	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	252550	1.00–1.54	0-1 13%	47%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win	50.2%	51.5%	25.4%	2.03×	1.94
Los Chankas to win	25.1%	27.9%	49.8%	0.56×	3.59
Draw	24.6%	24.5%	25.0%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima & not both score	29.3%	25.2%	12.3%	2.05×	3.97
Alianza Lima & both teams score	20.9%	21.8%	13.2%	1.65×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	17.2%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
Los Chankas & not both score	14.1%	13.3%	26.4%	0.50×	7.54
Los Chankas & both teams score	11.1%	13.3%	23.6%	0.56×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.4%	8.3%	7.8%	1.07×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima & over 1.5	37.6%	34.9%	17.4%	2.01×	2.87
Alianza Lima & under 3.5	36.1%	34.9%	19.4%	1.80×	2.87
Alianza Lima & over 2.5	28.3%	26.1%	14.5%	1.80×	3.84
Alianza Lima & under 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	11.1%	1.96×	4.63
Los Chankas & under 3.5	19.7%	18.0%	33.7%	0.53×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	19.1%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	19.1%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Los Chankas & over 1.5	16.8%	18.0%	38.0%	0.47×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.2%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.56
Alianza Lima & over 3.5	14.2%	12.8%	6.2%	2.08×	7.79
Los Chankas & over 2.5	12.8%	12.8%	30.8%	0.42×	7.79
Los Chankas & under 2.5	12.3%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
Alianza Lima & under 1.5	12.6%	12.8%	8.2%	1.57×	7.79
Los Chankas & under 1.5	8.4%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.63
Los Chankas & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (1UP)	63.6%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Los Chankas (1UP)	41.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2UP)	50.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Los Chankas (2UP)	25.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win 2nd half	42.5%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	35.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Los Chankas to win 2nd half	21.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.4%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Alianza Lima over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.3%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Alianza Lima under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.7%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Alianza Lima over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.6%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.8%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
Los Chankas under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.5%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Los Chankas over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Los Chankas over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.2%	11.1%	—	—	9.01

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (+2.5)	97.5%	96.3%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Alianza Lima (+1.5)	91.1%	92.1%	75.4%	1.22×	1.09
Alianza Lima (+0.5)	74.9%	73.7%	50.2%	1.47×	1.36
Alianza Lima (-0.5)	50.2%	52.4%	25.4%	2.07×	1.91
Los Chankas (+0.5)	49.8%	47.6%	74.6%	0.64×	2.10
Los Chankas (-0.5)	25.1%	26.3%	49.8%	0.53×	3.80
Los Chankas (-1.5)	8.9%	7.9%	24.6%	0.32×	12.69
Los Chankas (-2.5)	2.5%	3.7%	11.4%	0.32×	27.18

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to concede	63.3%	67.6%	80.1%	0.84×	1.48
Alianza Lima clean sheet	36.7%	32.4%	19.9%	1.63×	3.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima clean sheet in 1st half	65.0%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Alianza Lima to concede in 1st half	35.0%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima clean sheet in 2nd half	56.5%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Alianza Lima to concede in 2nd half	43.5%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 6.5 corners	78.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Alianza Lima over 2.5 corners	77.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Alianza Lima under 5.5 corners	67.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Alianza Lima over 3.5 corners	62.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Alianza Lima under 4.5 corners	53.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Alianza Lima over 4.5 corners	46.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Alianza Lima under 3.5 corners	37.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Alianza Lima over 5.5 corners	32.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Alianza Lima under 2.5 corners	22.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Alianza Lima over 6.5 corners	21.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 3.5 goals	92.9%	92.4%	97.5%	0.95×	1.08
Alianza Lima under 2.5 goals	79.9%	76.3%	92.0%	0.83×	1.31
Alianza Lima over 0.5 goals	78.5%	76.3%	65.9%	1.16×	1.31
Alianza Lima under 1.5 goals	54.5%	53.6%	71.6%	0.75×	1.87
Alianza Lima over 1.5 goals	45.5%	46.4%	28.4%	1.63×	2.15
Alianza Lima under 0.5 goals	21.5%	23.7%	34.1%	0.70×	4.21
Alianza Lima over 2.5 goals	20.1%	23.7%	8.0%	2.98×	4.21
Alianza Lima over 3.5 goals	7.1%	7.6%	2.5%	3.02×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 1.5 in 1st half	87.3%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Alianza Lima under 0.5 in 1st half	54.0%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Alianza Lima over 0.5 in 1st half	46.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Alianza Lima over 1.5 in 1st half	12.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima scores more in 2nd half	41.1%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Alianza Lima scores equally in both	35.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Alianza Lima scores more in 1st half	23.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (away no bet)	50.5%	51.6%	66.6%	0.78×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	49.5%	48.4%	33.4%	1.45×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima even goals	52.3%	52.6%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
Alianza Lima odd goals	47.7%	47.4%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.6%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.26

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.5%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.5%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Alianza Lima to score 2+ in a row	38.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Los Chankas to score 2+ in a row	19.3%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Alianza Lima to score 3+ in a row	14.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Los Chankas to score 3+ in a row	4.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.27

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima corners (+3.5)	93.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Alianza Lima corners (+2.5)	88.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Alianza Lima corners (+1.5)	80.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Los Chankas corners (+3.5)	75.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Los Chankas corners (+2.5)	65.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Los Chankas corners (+1.5)	53.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Alianza Lima corners (-1.5)	46.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Alianza Lima corners (-2.5)	34.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Alianza Lima corners (-3.5)	24.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Los Chankas corners (-1.5)	19.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Los Chankas corners (-2.5)	11.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Los Chankas corners (-3.5)	6.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	60.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	25.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	14.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	90.6%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	85.8%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	79.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	70.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	60.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	51.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 7.5 corners	48.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	39.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	29.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	20.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	14.2%	16.9%	—	—	5.91
Over 12.5 corners	9.4%	16.6%	—	—	6.02

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	12.6%	11.5%	8.2%	1.41×	8.71
1-1	11.7%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.71
0-2	9.3%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.51
1-0	8.4%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.51
1-2	9.4%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
0-0	7.4%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.51
2-1	6.1%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
0-3	4.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.29
1-3	4.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.29
0-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.31
1-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
2-0	4.0%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.30
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-0	1.3%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.31
3-1	2.0%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.31
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	2.4%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2nd half DNB)	65.9%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Los Chankas (2nd half DNB)	34.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima leading at HT (DNB)	61.1%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Los Chankas leading at HT (DNB)	38.9%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas or Alianza Lima (12)	75.4%	75.5%	75.0%	1.01×	1.32
Alianza Lima or draw (X2)	74.9%	72.1%	50.2%	1.44×	1.39
Los Chankas or draw (1X)	49.8%	48.5%	74.6%	0.65×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw at HT	78.6%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Los Chankas or draw at HT	66.3%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Los Chankas or Alianza Lima at HT	55.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw (1UP)	74.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Los Chankas or draw (1UP)	49.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw in 2nd half	78.1%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Los Chankas or Alianza Lima in 2nd half	64.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Los Chankas or draw in 2nd half	57.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.0%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	35.0%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (DNB)	66.6%	67.4%	33.7%	2.00×	1.48
Los Chankas (DNB)	33.4%	32.6%	66.3%	0.49×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score first	56.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Los Chankas to score first	36.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	7.4%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.8%	51.3%	46.2%	1.11×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.2%	48.7%	53.8%	0.91×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.7%	41.6%	37.7%	1.10×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	37.6%	38.5%	42.8%	0.90×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.7%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.1%	8.3%	8.7%	0.95×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.9%	85.6%	85.7%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.1%	14.4%	14.3%	1.00×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.9%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.2%	4.9%	—	—	20.29

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.0%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.0%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	49.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
0-1 goals	28.4%	26.6%	27.5%	0.97×	3.76
4-6 goals	23.6%	22.9%	26.8%	0.86×	4.36
7+ goals	1.5%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.41

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score exactly 1	33.0%	33.8%	37.7%	0.90×	2.96
Alianza Lima to score exactly 2	25.4%	27.4%	20.7%	1.33×	3.65
Alianza Lima to score exactly 0	21.5%	22.3%	34.1%	0.65×	4.49
Alianza Lima to score 3+	20.1%	22.3%	8.0%	2.79×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas to score exactly 0	36.7%	35.5%	19.9%	1.78×	2.81
Los Chankas to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	33.0%	1.08×	2.81
Los Chankas to score exactly 2	18.4%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.32
Los Chankas to score 3+	8.1%	10.4%	22.5%	0.46×	9.66

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Alianza Lima leading at HT	33.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Los Chankas leading at HT	21.4%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima -1: 1	49.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Alianza Lima -1: 2	25.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Alianza Lima -1: X	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:1)	74.9%	71.1%	50.2%	1.42×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	16.2%	17.8%	25.4%	0.70×	5.62
Los Chankas (0:1)	8.9%	9.3%	24.6%	0.38×	10.80

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:2)	91.1%	90.7%	75.4%	1.20×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.4%	7.7%	13.4%	0.57×	13.07
Los Chankas (0:2)	2.5%	3.7%	11.4%	0.33×	26.76

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:3)	97.5%	96.6%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	42.06
Los Chankas (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:4)	99.5%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.85
Los Chankas (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (1:0)	49.8%	49.3%	74.6%	0.66×	2.03
Alianza Lima (1:0)	25.5%	25.0%	7.6%	3.29×	4.00
Draw (1:0)	24.7%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (2:0)	74.5%	76.6%	92.4%	0.83×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	15.2%	15.8%	5.6%	2.81×	6.33
Alianza Lima (2:0)	10.4%	10.3%	2.2%	4.73×	9.73

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.9%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas to concede	78.5%	76.1%	65.9%	1.15×	1.31
Los Chankas clean sheet	21.5%	23.9%	34.1%	0.70×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas clean sheet in 1st half	54.0%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Los Chankas to concede in 1st half	46.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas to concede in 2nd half	60.3%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Los Chankas clean sheet in 2nd half	39.7%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas under 6.5 corners	92.2%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Los Chankas under 5.5 corners	85.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Los Chankas under 4.5 corners	74.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Los Chankas over 2.5 corners	60.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Los Chankas under 3.5 corners	59.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Los Chankas over 3.5 corners	40.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Los Chankas under 2.5 corners	39.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Los Chankas over 4.5 corners	25.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Los Chankas over 5.5 corners	14.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.25
Los Chankas over 6.5 corners	7.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas under 3.5 goals	98.1%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Los Chankas under 2.5 goals	91.9%	92.2%	77.5%	1.19×	1.09
Los Chankas under 1.5 goals	73.5%	74.2%	52.7%	1.41×	1.35
Los Chankas over 0.5 goals	63.3%	63.6%	80.1%	0.79×	1.57
Los Chankas under 0.5 goals	36.7%	36.4%	19.9%	1.83×	2.75
Los Chankas over 1.5 goals	26.5%	25.8%	47.3%	0.55×	3.88
Los Chankas over 2.5 goals	8.1%	7.8%	22.5%	0.35×	12.83
Los Chankas over 3.5 goals	1.9%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.60

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas under 1.5 in 1st half	93.0%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Los Chankas under 0.5 in 1st half	65.0%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Los Chankas over 0.5 in 1st half	35.0%	35.4%	—	—	2.83
Los Chankas over 1.5 in 1st half	7.0%	5.2%	—	—	19.22

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas scores equally in both	46.3%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Los Chankas scores more in 2nd half	31.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Los Chankas scores more in 1st half	22.1%	21.0%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (home no bet)	67.1%	64.2%	50.4%	1.27×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	32.9%	35.8%	49.6%	0.72×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas even goals	56.7%	55.3%	50.5%	1.09×	1.81
Los Chankas odd goals	43.3%	44.7%	49.5%	0.90×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
HT 0-1	21.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	15.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	6.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-0	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	28.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Los Chankas at HT / Los Chankas at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Los Chankas at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Los Chankas at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Alianza Lima at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Los Chankas at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Alianza Lima at HT / Los Chankas at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score last	56.0%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Los Chankas to score last	36.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	7.4%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.6%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Alianza Lima to lead by 1 at any time	63.6%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.5%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Los Chankas to lead by 1 at any time	41.5%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Alianza Lima to lead by 2 at any time	31.4%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Los Chankas to lead by 2 at any time	13.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
Alianza Lima to lead by 3 at any time	12.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
Los Chankas to lead by 3 at any time	3.4%	1.6%	—	—	61.91

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima most corners	59.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Los Chankas most corners	29.2%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.1%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.2%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.1%	72.3%	70.8%	1.02×	1.38
1-3 goals	67.5%	68.8%	63.9%	1.08×	1.45
2-5 goals	67.1%	68.8%	67.4%	1.02×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.2%	63.3%	58.3%	1.09×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.9%	48.4%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.1%	48.4%	49.6%	0.98×	2.07
3-5 goals	42.2%	43.6%	46.2%	0.94×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.2%	39.2%	37.1%	1.05×	2.55
4-6 goals	23.6%	24.5%	26.8%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.6%	24.4%	23.4%	1.05×	4.09
5-6 goals	9.9%	8.9%	12.7%	0.70×	11.24
7+ goals	1.5%	2.6%	1.8%	1.41×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima never behind	51.1%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Los Chankas never behind	29.0%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.3%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.7%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.5%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.6%	87.6%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.9%	72.5%	71.6%	1.01×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	71.6%	72.5%	72.5%	1.00×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	53.3%	52.5%	48.7%	1.08×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	46.7%	47.5%	51.3%	0.93×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	28.4%	27.5%	27.5%	1.00×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	25.1%	27.5%	28.4%	0.97×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	11.4%	12.4%	14.3%	0.87×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.5%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.4%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.2%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.8%	86.7%	83.3%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	68.0%	67.5%	63.1%	1.07×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.2%	61.9%	65.1%	0.95×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.8%	38.1%	34.9%	1.09×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.0%	32.5%	36.9%	0.88×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.2%	13.3%	16.7%	0.80×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.8%	2.8%	5.8%	0.49×	35.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.6%	2.8%	1.9%	1.50×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.1%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.0%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.0%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.0%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.9%	7.3%	—	—	13.71

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.0%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.7%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.9%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.3%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas not to score in both halves	84.8%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Alianza Lima not to score in both halves	72.3%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Alianza Lima to score in both halves	27.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Los Chankas to score in both halves	15.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.2%	50.7%	53.8%	0.94×	1.97
Only Alianza Lima scores	29.3%	26.1%	12.3%	2.12×	3.83
Only Los Chankas scores	14.1%	11.0%	26.4%	0.42×	9.06
Neither team scores	7.4%	7.1%	7.8%	0.92×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.0%	22.6%	21.4%	1.06×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.5%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	21.0%	22.6%	19.9%	1.13×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	13.7%	12.1%	14.3%	0.85×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	7.4%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.0%	7.6%	9.2%	0.82×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.5%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	35.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	19.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
3+ goals in 1st half	8.9%	7.3%	—	—	13.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.9%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	33.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goals in 2nd half	22.3%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas not to win both halves	95.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Alianza Lima not to win both halves	85.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Alianza Lima to win both halves	14.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Los Chankas to win both halves	4.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.31

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win either half	61.9%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Los Chankas to win neither half	61.3%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Los Chankas to win either half	38.7%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Alianza Lima to win neither half	38.1%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas not to win to nil	85.9%	88.1%	73.6%	1.20×	1.14
Alianza Lima not to win to nil	70.7%	75.3%	87.7%	0.86×	1.33
Alianza Lima to win to nil	29.3%	24.7%	12.3%	2.01×	4.05
Los Chankas to win to nil	14.1%	11.9%	26.4%	0.45×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima by 1	24.7%	24.1%	17.9%	1.34×	4.15
Draw	24.6%	24.1%	25.0%	0.96×	4.15
Los Chankas by 1	16.2%	17.0%	25.4%	0.67×	5.87
Alianza Lima by 2	15.2%	17.0%	5.6%	3.03×	5.87
Alianza Lima by 3+	10.4%	11.8%	2.2%	5.41×	8.51
Los Chankas by 2	6.4%	7.2%	13.4%	0.54×	13.91
Los Chankas by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	11.4%	0.24×	36.90