Luton v Chelsea — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 30 December 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
15 – 12
On target
6 – 8
Shots in box
12 – 7
xG per shot
0.18 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.73 – 0.04
Goals − xG
-0.74 – +1.43
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Luton 2.74 xGChelsea 1.57 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Luton attacking right
Chelsea attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4' |
 Chelsea |
Conor Gallagher | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Noni Madueke |
| 9' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Malo Gusto |
| 10' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Cole Palmer |
| 11' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 17' |
 Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.06 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 18' |
Chelsea |
Armando Broja | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 19' |
Luton |
Elijah Adebayo | 0.05 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | — |
| 28' |
Luton |
Jacob Brown | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Amari'i Bell |
| 33' |
Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Alfie Doughty |
| 36' |
Chelsea |
Noni Madueke | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Cole Palmer |
| 41' |
Luton |
Jacob Brown | 0.13 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Teden Mengi |
| 47' |
Luton |
Chiedozie Ogbene | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Andros Townsend |
| 48' |
Chelsea |
Conor Gallagher | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Armando Broja |
| 50' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.02 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Noni Madueke |
| 52' |
Luton |
Tahith Chong | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Alfie Doughty |
| 60' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Moisés Caicedo |
| 67' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.02 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Noni Madueke |
| 69' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.93 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Nicolas Jackson |
| 76' |
Chelsea |
Noni Madueke | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Nicolas Jackson |
| 77' |
Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Chiedozie Ogbene |
| 79' |
Luton |
Elijah Adebayo | 0.60 | Open Play | — | Shot On Post | Chiedozie Ogbene |
| 79' |
Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.12 | From Corner | — | Goal | Alfie Doughty |
| 82' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.19 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Ross Barkley |
| 82' |
Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 84' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.42 | Set Piece | — | Saved Shot | Alfie Doughty |
| 86' |
Luton |
Alfie Doughty | 0.11 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Chiedozie Ogbene |
| 86' |
Luton |
Elijah Adebayo | 0.70 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
Players
Luton
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Adebayo FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1.36 | 0.00 | 1.36 |
| Ross Barkley MC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.19 | 0.50 |
| Alfie Doughty DML | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.11 | 0.61 | 0.22 |
| Thomas Kaminski GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Teden Mengi DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
| Gabriel Osho DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| Amari'i Bell DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Andros Townsend AMC | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| Jacob Brown AMC | 50 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Issa Kabore DMR | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Chiedozie Ogbene Sub | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.12 | 0.74 | 0.86 |
| Tahith Chong Sub | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| Carlton Morris Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Cauley Woodrow Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Chelsea
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Palmer AMC | 90 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1.03 | 0.12 | 1.16 |
| Conor Gallagher DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| Nicolas Jackson AML | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.14 | 1.04 | 1.27 |
| Axel Disasi DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.05 |
| Levi Colwill DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Djordje Petrovic GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Malo Gusto DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.17 |
| Moisés Caicedo DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| Thiago Silva DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 |
| Noni Madueke AMR | 85 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.35 |
| Armando Broja FW | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| Christopher Nkunku Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Enzo Fernández Sub | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alfie Gilchrist Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |