Luton v Tottenham Hotspur — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 7 October 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
12 – 15
On target
2 – 4
Shots in box
8 – 10
xG per shot
0.07 – 0.16
Set-piece xG
0.17 – 0.58
Goals − xG
-0.85 – -1.38
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Luton 0.85 xGTottenham Hotspur 2.38 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Luton attacking right
Tottenham Hotspur attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2' |
 Tottenham Hotspur |
Richarlison | 0.60 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Dejan Kulusevski |
| 3' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
Richarlison | 0.39 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | James Maddison |
| 5' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
Son Heung-Min | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Cristian Romero |
| 6' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
Pedro Porro | 0.39 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Son Heung-Min |
| 9' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
Son Heung-Min | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | James Maddison |
| 15' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
Micky van de Ven | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Pape Sarr |
| 16' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
Son Heung-Min | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 18' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
Richarlison | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 20' |
 Luton |
Marvelous Nakamba | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 24' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.04 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Alfie Doughty |
| 25' |
Luton |
Jacob Brown | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu |
| 29' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
Dejan Kulusevski | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Pape Sarr |
| 29' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
Richarlison | 0.02 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | James Maddison |
| 32' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
James Maddison | 0.06 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 46' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
James Maddison | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Son Heung-Min |
| 50' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | 0.04 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 51' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
Micky van de Ven | 0.47 | From Corner | Left Foot | Goal | James Maddison |
| 55' |
Luton |
Alfie Doughty | 0.27 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu |
| 59' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.08 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Elijah Adebayo |
| 61' |
Tottenham Hotspur |
Pedro Porro | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Pape Sarr |
| 63' |
Luton |
Jacob Brown | 0.08 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Alfie Doughty |
| 64' |
Luton |
Chiedozie Ogbene | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Marvelous Nakamba |
| 66' |
Luton |
Cauley Woodrow | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Carlton Morris |
| 72' |
Luton |
Alfie Doughty | 0.04 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Reece Burke |
| 72' |
Luton |
Chiedozie Ogbene | 0.03 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Reece Burke |
| 80' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.06 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | — |
| 96' |
Luton |
Teden Mengi | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
Players
Luton
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfie Doughty DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.12 | 0.47 |
| Carlton Morris FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| Chiedozie Ogbene ML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Marvelous Nakamba MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| Reece Burke DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Thomas Kaminski GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Tom Lockyer DC | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Elijah Adebayo FW | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu MC | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| Jacob Brown MR | 70 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Mads Andersen DC | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Teden Mengi Sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Luke Berry Sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cauley Woodrow Sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Tahith Chong Sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ross Barkley Sub | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Tottenham Hotspur
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micky van de Ven DC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 1.13 |
| Pedro Porro DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 1.04 |
| Dejan Kulusevski AMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.60 | 1.26 |
| Cristian Romero DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1.19 |
| Guglielmo Vicario GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Pape Sarr DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.85 |
| Iyenoma Destiny Udogie DL | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.52 |
| Son Heung-Min FW | 80 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.48 | 1.06 |
| James Maddison AMC | 80 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0.14 | 0.95 | 1.15 |
| Richarlison AML | 50 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1.02 | 0.00 | 1.10 |
| Yves Bissouma DMC | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.53 |
| Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Sub | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Oliver Skipp Sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Emerson Sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ben Davies Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alejo Véliz Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |