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Lyon v Nantes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 October 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

Lyon
2–0
2.43 – 0.77 xG
Nantes
Shots
17 – 12
On target
6 – 5
Shots in box
14 – 8
xG per shot
0.15 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.90 – 0.04
Goals − xG
-0.47 – -0.77
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.42.12.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Nicolás Tagliafico 21' — goal
Lyon 2.47 xGNantes 0.77 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Moses Simon 13' — Saved Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Duje Caleta-Car 21' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Nicolás Tagliafico 21' — Goal (0.48 xG, From Corner)Nicolas Cozza 29' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Pedro Chirivella 31' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Malick Fofana 36' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mathis Cherki 39' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mathis Cherki 40' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Nicolás Tagliafico 40' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Malick Fofana 43' — Shot On Post (0.21 xG, Open Play)Alexandre Lacazette 45' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Nathan Zeze 45' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Corentin Tolisso 47' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Moses Simon 47' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Said Benrahma 52' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Duje Caleta-Car 53' — Missed Shot (0.38 xG, From Corner)Nicolas Pallois 53' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, From Corner)Ernest Nuamah 69' — Shot On Post (0.09 xG, Open Play)Matthis Abline 69' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Ernest Nuamah 70' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Ignatius Ganago 80' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Mostafa Mohamed 86' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Ernest Nuamah 88' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Dehmaine Assoumani 89' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Georges Mikautadze 90' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Maxence Caqueret 90' — Missed Shot (0.42 xG, Open Play)Mostafa Mohamed 91' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Florent Mollet 92' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Georges Mikautadze 93' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)
Lyon attacking right Nantes attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
13' Nantes Moses Simon 0.32 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot —
21' Lyon Duje Caleta-Car 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Mathis Cherki
21' Lyon Nicolás Tagliafico 0.48 From Corner Right Foot Goal Said Benrahma
29' Nantes Nicolas Cozza 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Sorba Thomas
31' Nantes Pedro Chirivella 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
36' Lyon Malick Fofana 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Corentin Tolisso
39' Lyon Mathis Cherki 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ainsley Maitland-Niles
40' Lyon Mathis Cherki 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Malick Fofana
40' Lyon Nicolás Tagliafico 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Alexandre Lacazette
43' Lyon Malick Fofana 0.21 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Mathis Cherki
45' Lyon Alexandre Lacazette 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nicolás Tagliafico
45' Nantes Nathan Zeze 0.02 From Corner — Blocked Shot —
47' Lyon Corentin Tolisso 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mathis Cherki
47' Nantes Moses Simon 0.01 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot —
52' Lyon Said Benrahma 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Corentin Tolisso
53' Lyon Duje Caleta-Car 0.38 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Corentin Tolisso
53' Nantes Nicolas Pallois 0.00 From Corner Left Foot Own Goal —
69' Lyon Ernest Nuamah 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Said Benrahma
69' Nantes Matthis Abline 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mostafa Mohamed
70' Lyon Ernest Nuamah 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
80' Nantes Ignatius Ganago 0.01 From Corner — Missed Shot Florent Mollet
86' Nantes Mostafa Mohamed 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Louis Leroux
88' Lyon Ernest Nuamah 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Maxence Caqueret
89' Nantes Dehmaine Assoumani 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Mostafa Mohamed
90' Lyon Georges Mikautadze 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jordan Veretout
90' Lyon Maxence Caqueret 0.42 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
91' Nantes Mostafa Mohamed 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ignatius Ganago
92' Nantes Florent Mollet 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ignatius Ganago
93' Lyon Georges Mikautadze 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Maxence Caqueret

Players

Lyon

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Nicolás Tagliafico DL 90 1 0 2 1 0.59 0.11 0.73
Duje Caleta-Car DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.42 0.00 0.45
Jordan Veretout DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.56
Ainsley Maitland-Niles DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.34
Moussa Niakhate DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.51
Lucas Perri GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.20
Alexandre Lacazette FW 85 0 0 1 1 0.11 0.11 0.31
Said Benrahma AMR 85 0 1 1 3 0.03 0.57 0.56
Malick Fofana AML 76 0 0 2 1 0.24 0.13 0.37
Corentin Tolisso DMC 76 0 0 1 3 0.07 0.43 0.58
Mathis Cherki AMC 67 0 0 2 3 0.18 0.32 0.68
Ernest Nuamah Sub 23 0 0 3 0 0.27 0.00 0.35
Maxence Caqueret Sub 14 0 0 1 2 0.42 0.17 0.60
Tanner Tessmann Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Georges Mikautadze Sub 5 0 0 2 0 0.14 0.00 0.24
Abner Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Nantes

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Nicolas Cozza DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.06
Nathan Zeze DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.03
Nicolas Pallois DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Kelvin Adou DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Alban Lafont GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Douglas Augusto DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Matthis Abline FW 83 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.09
Pedro Chirivella AMC 83 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.10
Moses Simon AML 75 0 0 2 0 0.33 0.00 0.35
Sorba Thomas AMR 68 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Jean-Philippe Gbamin DMC 67 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mostafa Mohamed Sub 23 0 0 2 2 0.16 0.11 0.30
Florent Mollet Sub 22 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.01 0.05
Ignatius Ganago Sub 15 0 0 1 2 0.01 0.10 0.10
Dehmaine Assoumani Sub 7 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.05
Louis Leroux Sub 7 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.13
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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