Machida Zelvia v Tokyo Verdy 1969 — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Machida Zelvia

07:00 UTC

Tokyo Verdy 1969

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 836h before kick-off

Machida Zelvia win

69.9%

model 69.4%

Draw

19.3%

model 19.6%

Tokyo Verdy 1969 win

10.8%

model 10.9%

701911

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 15.3%
2-0 14.7%
3-0 9.5%
1-1 9.0%
2-1 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.2%	Under 2.5	52.8%
BTTS yes	39.1%	BTTS no	60.9%
Machida Zelvia 1+	85.8%	Machida Zelvia 2+	58.0%
Tokyo Verdy 1969 1+	45.8%	Tokyo Verdy 1969 2+	12.6%

Expected goals 1.95 – 0.61. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Machida Zelvia (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 43%

68.8% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1174 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Machida Zelvia carry the stronger rating, 1671 Elo against 1408.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Machida Zelvia have an estimated 69.9% win probability, against 19.3% for the draw and 10.8% for Tokyo Verdy 1969. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.95 for Machida Zelvia and 0.61 for Tokyo Verdy 1969.

Why Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia carry the stronger rating, 1671 Elo against 1408. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.3%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Tokyo Verdy 1969 can win

Nothing in the data singles out Tokyo Verdy 1969.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Machida Zelvia, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Tokyo Verdy 1969, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Machida Zelvia: 50% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Tokyo Verdy 1969: 41% possession, 8.6 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Machida Zelvia's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Machida Zelvia are the model's most likely outcome at 69.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 15.3%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	692011	1.95–0.61	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	662212	1.72–0.55	1-0 18%	39%	34%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia to win	66.2%	64.8%	43.0%	1.51×	1.54
Draw	22.3%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win	11.5%	13.4%	31.1%	0.43×	7.45

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia & not both score	47.7%	43.1%	25.0%	1.72×	2.32
Machida Zelvia & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	12.1%	13.3%	19.2%	0.69×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.2%	13.3%	7.0%	1.89×	7.54
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & not both score	7.8%	8.3%	17.8%	0.47×	12.01
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & both teams score	3.7%	4.9%	13.4%	0.36×	20.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia & under 3.5	50.6%	48.8%	33.1%	1.47×	2.05
Machida Zelvia & over 1.5	48.1%	45.1%	30.3%	1.49×	2.22
Machida Zelvia & under 2.5	33.4%	30.8%	20.0%	1.54×	3.25
Machida Zelvia & over 2.5	32.8%	30.8%	23.1%	1.33×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	19.7%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.7%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Machida Zelvia & under 1.5	18.1%	18.0%	12.8%	1.40×	5.56
Machida Zelvia & over 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	10.0%	1.80×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	12.1%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & under 3.5	10.4%	12.8%	23.4%	0.55×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.2%	12.8%	7.0%	1.83×	7.79
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & under 2.5	7.5%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.63
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & under 1.5	5.9%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & over 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	21.3%	0.37×	12.63
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & over 2.5	4.1%	4.8%	17.8%	0.27×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	2.5%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	2.5%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.82
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & over 3.5	1.1%	4.8%	7.8%	0.61×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (1UP)	74.0%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (1UP)	23.6%	22.5%	—	—	4.44

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (2UP)	66.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (2UP)	11.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia to win 2nd half	51.4%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	36.4%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win 2nd half	12.3%	11.2%	—	—	8.93

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 1.5 in 2nd half	95.7%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 0.5 in 2nd half	72.1%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 0.5 in 2nd half	27.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 1.5 in 2nd half	4.3%	7.0%	—	—	14.21

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.4%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Machida Zelvia over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.4%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Machida Zelvia under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Machida Zelvia over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.6%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (+0.5)	88.5%	88.5%	68.9%	1.28×	1.13
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (+2.5)	82.4%	82.6%	93.8%	0.88×	1.21
Machida Zelvia (-0.5)	66.2%	68.7%	43.0%	1.60×	1.46
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (+1.5)	61.7%	62.9%	81.9%	0.77×	1.59
Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	38.3%	37.1%	18.1%	2.05×	2.70
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (+0.5)	33.8%	31.3%	57.0%	0.55×	3.19
Machida Zelvia (-2.5)	17.6%	17.4%	6.3%	2.79×	5.73
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (-0.5)	11.5%	11.5%	31.1%	0.37×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to concede	82.0%	81.5%	75.3%	1.08×	1.23
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet	18.0%	18.5%	24.7%	0.75×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to concede in 1st half	52.2%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet in 1st half	47.8%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to concede in 2nd half	62.4%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet in 2nd half	37.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 6.5 corners	94.7%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 5.5 corners	89.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 4.5 corners	79.1%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 3.5 corners	63.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 2.5 corners	56.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 2.5 corners	43.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 3.5 corners	36.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 4.5 corners	20.9%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 5.5 corners	11.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.78
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 6.5 corners	5.3%	10.1%	—	—	9.91

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 3.5 goals	99.8%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 2.5 goals	98.2%	97.5%	87.8%	1.11×	1.03
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 1.5 goals	89.6%	87.8%	68.3%	1.29×	1.14
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 0.5 goals	57.9%	59.4%	31.9%	1.86×	1.68
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 0.5 goals	42.1%	40.6%	68.1%	0.60×	2.47
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 1.5 goals	10.4%	12.2%	31.7%	0.38×	8.21
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 2.5 goals	1.8%	2.5%	12.2%	0.21×	39.97
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 3.5 goals	0.2%	2.5%	4.1%	0.61×	40.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 1.5 in 1st half	97.9%	96.3%	—	—	1.04
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 0.5 in 1st half	80.4%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 0.5 in 1st half	19.6%	17.4%	—	—	5.76
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 1.5 in 1st half	2.1%	3.7%	—	—	27.25

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores equally in both	62.1%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores more in 2nd half	23.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores more in 1st half	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.86

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (away no bet)	74.8%	68.5%	62.2%	1.10×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	25.2%	31.5%	37.8%	0.83×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 even goals	66.8%	64.9%	54.2%	1.20×	1.54
Tokyo Verdy 1969 odd goals	33.2%	35.1%	45.8%	0.77×	2.85

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.7%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.3%	8.2%	—	—	12.23

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.9%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.1%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Machida Zelvia to score 2+ in a row	46.7%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Machida Zelvia to score 3+ in a row	20.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 2+ in a row	6.9%	5.5%	—	—	18.11
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 3+ in a row	0.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.28

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia corners (+3.5)	96.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Machida Zelvia corners (+2.5)	92.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Machida Zelvia corners (+1.5)	86.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (+3.5)	69.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (+2.5)	57.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Machida Zelvia corners (-1.5)	54.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (+1.5)	45.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Machida Zelvia corners (-2.5)	42.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Machida Zelvia corners (-3.5)	30.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (-1.5)	13.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (-2.5)	7.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (-3.5)	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	58.3%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	26.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	14.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	90.3%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	85.2%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	78.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	69.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 8.5 corners	58.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	53.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 7.5 corners	46.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 8.5 corners	41.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	30.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	21.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	14.8%	17.0%	—	—	5.90
Over 12.5 corners	9.7%	16.6%	—	—	6.01

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	18.1%	13.8%	12.8%	1.08×	7.22
2-0	15.3%	13.8%	7.3%	1.88×	7.24
0-0	10.2%	11.5%	7.0%	1.63×	8.72
3-0	8.8%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.51
1-1	9.5%	7.4%	13.4%	0.55×	13.51
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.51
0-1	5.9%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
3-1	4.8%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.29
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.32
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.32
4-0	3.8%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.30
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
Any other score	3.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
0-2	1.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.32
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.32
1-2	2.7%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	58.30
1-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.32
2-2	2.3%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.31
2-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (2nd half DNB)	80.7%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (2nd half DNB)	19.3%	18.4%	—	—	5.45

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia leading at HT (DNB)	81.6%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Tokyo Verdy 1969 leading at HT (DNB)	18.4%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia or draw (1X)	88.5%	86.6%	68.9%	1.26×	1.16
Machida Zelvia or Tokyo Verdy 1969 (12)	77.7%	75.5%	73.9%	1.02×	1.32
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw (X2)	33.8%	35.2%	57.0%	0.62×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia or draw at HT	89.8%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Machida Zelvia or Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT	55.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw at HT	55.0%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia or draw (1UP)	88.5%	92.2%	—	—	1.09
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw (1UP)	33.8%	39.1%	—	—	2.56

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia or draw in 2nd half	87.7%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Machida Zelvia or Tokyo Verdy 1969 in 2nd half	63.6%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw in 2nd half	48.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.11

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (DNB)	85.2%	87.0%	58.0%	1.50×	1.15
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (DNB)	14.8%	13.0%	42.0%	0.31×	7.67

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia to score first	68.1%	69.7%	—	—	1.43
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score first	21.7%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
No goal scored	10.2%	9.3%	—	—	10.73

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	65.7%	58.4%	49.5%	1.18×	1.71
Both teams to score	34.3%	41.6%	50.5%	0.82×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	51.1%	47.2%	40.2%	1.18×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	24.8%	27.9%	37.2%	0.75×	3.59
Not both score & over 2.5	14.6%	12.4%	9.5%	1.30×	8.08
Both score & under 2.5	9.5%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.7%	89.0%	86.3%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.3%	11.0%	13.8%	0.80×	9.12

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	82.6%	73.2%	—	—	1.37
Both teams to score in 2nd half	17.4%	26.8%	—	—	3.73

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	74.2%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Both score 2nd half only	15.6%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Both score 1st half only	8.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.61
Both score in both halves	1.8%	4.8%	—	—	20.76

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.8%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	10.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	44.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	47.2%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	34.2%	30.8%	29.5%	1.04×	3.25
4-6 goals	18.4%	20.2%	20.9%	0.97×	4.95
7+ goals	0.9%	1.8%	2.7%	0.69×	54.45

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score exactly 0	57.9%	51.9%	31.9%	1.63×	1.93
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score exactly 1	31.6%	33.8%	36.6%	0.93×	2.96
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score exactly 2	8.6%	8.6%	19.7%	0.43×	11.69
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 3+	1.8%	4.6%	12.2%	0.37×	21.95

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia to score exactly 1	30.9%	32.6%	36.3%	0.90×	3.07
Machida Zelvia to score exactly 2	26.5%	26.5%	24.5%	1.08×	3.77
Machida Zelvia to score 3+	24.7%	23.3%	14.8%	1.57×	4.29
Machida Zelvia to score exactly 0	18.0%	18.8%	24.7%	0.76×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia leading at HT	45.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	44.8%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Tokyo Verdy 1969 leading at HT	10.2%	11.5%	—	—	8.72

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia -1: 1	38.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Machida Zelvia -1: 2	33.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Machida Zelvia -1: X	27.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (0:1)	38.3%	37.3%	18.1%	2.06×	2.68
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:1)	33.8%	30.1%	57.0%	0.53×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	27.9%	27.0%	25.0%	1.08×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:2)	61.7%	67.0%	81.9%	0.82×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	20.7%	20.3%	12.0%	1.69×	4.93
Machida Zelvia (0:2)	17.6%	15.3%	6.3%	2.44×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:3)	82.4%	85.4%	93.8%	0.91×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	11.0%	9.9%	4.2%	2.35×	10.10
Machida Zelvia (0:3)	6.6%	5.8%	2.2%	2.65×	17.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:4)	93.4%	94.6%	97.8%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.5%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	81.67
Machida Zelvia (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	81.94

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (1:0)	88.5%	86.2%	68.9%	1.25×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.0%	6.9%	19.4%	0.36×	14.45
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (1:0)	2.5%	3.3%	11.9%	0.27×	30.73

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia (2:0)	97.5%	96.8%	88.1%	1.10×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.1%	2.3%	6.1%	0.38×	43.76
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (2:0)	0.4%	2.3%	5.9%	0.38×	43.86

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.8%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Halves equal	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia clean sheet	57.9%	60.7%	31.9%	1.90×	1.65
Machida Zelvia to concede	42.1%	39.3%	68.1%	0.58×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia clean sheet in 1st half	80.4%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Machida Zelvia to concede in 1st half	19.6%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia clean sheet in 2nd half	72.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Machida Zelvia to concede in 2nd half	27.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.63

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia over 2.5 corners	83.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Machida Zelvia under 6.5 corners	73.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Machida Zelvia over 3.5 corners	69.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Machida Zelvia under 5.5 corners	61.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Machida Zelvia over 4.5 corners	53.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Machida Zelvia under 4.5 corners	46.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Machida Zelvia over 5.5 corners	38.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Machida Zelvia under 3.5 corners	30.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Machida Zelvia over 6.5 corners	26.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Machida Zelvia under 2.5 corners	16.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia under 3.5 goals	90.4%	92.2%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Machida Zelvia over 0.5 goals	82.0%	82.2%	75.3%	1.09×	1.22
Machida Zelvia under 2.5 goals	75.3%	77.7%	85.2%	0.91×	1.29
Machida Zelvia over 1.5 goals	51.2%	53.2%	39.2%	1.36×	1.88
Machida Zelvia under 1.5 goals	48.8%	46.8%	60.8%	0.77×	2.14
Machida Zelvia over 2.5 goals	24.7%	22.3%	14.8%	1.50×	4.49
Machida Zelvia under 0.5 goals	18.0%	17.8%	24.7%	0.72×	5.63
Machida Zelvia over 3.5 goals	9.6%	7.8%	5.2%	1.51×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia under 1.5 in 1st half	83.1%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Machida Zelvia over 0.5 in 1st half	52.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Machida Zelvia under 0.5 in 1st half	47.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Machida Zelvia over 1.5 in 1st half	16.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.19

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia scores more in 2nd half	39.9%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Machida Zelvia scores equally in both	33.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Machida Zelvia scores more in 1st half	26.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	65.9%	64.1%	45.6%	1.40×	1.56
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (home no bet)	34.1%	35.9%	54.4%	0.66×	2.78

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia even goals	51.6%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Machida Zelvia odd goals	48.4%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
HT 1-0	28.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 2-0	10.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-1	8.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 1-1	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
Any other HT score	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	41.95
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 0-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 1-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia at HT / Machida Zelvia at FT	41.1%	41.4%	—	—	2.41
Draw at HT / Machida Zelvia at FT	23.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Tokyo Verdy 1969 at FT	5.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT / Tokyo Verdy 1969 at FT	5.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Machida Zelvia at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT / Draw at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT / Machida Zelvia at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Machida Zelvia at HT / Tokyo Verdy 1969 at FT	0.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia to score last	68.1%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score last	21.7%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
No goal scored	10.2%	8.7%	—	—	11.47

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.8%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Machida Zelvia to lead by 1 at any time	74.0%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.6%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Machida Zelvia to lead by 2 at any time	42.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to lead by 1 at any time	23.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Machida Zelvia to lead by 3 at any time	19.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to lead by 2 at any time	4.3%	1.6%	—	—	60.84
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to lead by 3 at any time	0.6%	1.6%	—	—	64.37

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia most corners	67.1%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Tokyo Verdy 1969 most corners	22.0%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.9%	83.4%	81.7%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.5%	72.3%	69.7%	1.04×	1.38
2-6 goals	65.0%	63.3%	68.0%	0.93×	1.58
2-5 goals	63.0%	63.3%	65.0%	0.97×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.9%	59.1%	59.2%	1.00×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.4%	53.2%	46.6%	1.14×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.5%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	38.5%	39.2%	44.1%	0.89×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.6%	39.2%	41.1%	0.95×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.5%	35.2%	35.3%	1.00×	2.84
4-6 goals	18.4%	18.8%	20.9%	0.90×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.5%	18.8%	18.0%	1.05×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.1%	8.9%	8.9%	1.00×	11.27
7+ goals	0.9%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia never behind	66.2%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Tokyo Verdy 1969 never behind	15.8%	18.1%	—	—	5.54

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	53.3%	0.96×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	46.7%	1.05×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.3%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.7%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.2%	95.4%	94.4%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	88.6%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.8%	87.6%	93.0%	0.94×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	80.7%	82.3%	76.6%	1.08×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	65.8%	66.3%	70.5%	0.94×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	60.6%	61.7%	53.4%	1.16×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	39.4%	38.3%	46.6%	0.82×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	34.2%	33.7%	29.5%	1.14×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	19.3%	17.7%	23.4%	0.75×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	10.2%	12.4%	7.0%	1.76×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	11.4%	0.68×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.8%	4.6%	5.6%	0.81×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.1%	97.2%	94.0%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.1%	92.4%	87.0%	1.06×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	75.9%	75.9%	69.5%	1.09×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.5%	51.9%	61.2%	0.85×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.5%	48.1%	38.8%	1.24×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	24.1%	24.1%	30.5%	0.79×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.9%	7.6%	13.0%	0.59×	13.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.9%	2.8%	6.0%	0.47×	35.58
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.8%	2.7%	1.02×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.2%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.2%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.0%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.6%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.0%	22.4%	—	—	4.46
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to score in both halves	94.5%	91.0%	—	—	1.10
Machida Zelvia not to score in both halves	67.4%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Machida Zelvia to score in both halves	32.6%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score in both halves	5.5%	9.0%	—	—	11.06

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Machida Zelvia scores	47.7%	50.7%	25.0%	2.03×	1.97
Both teams score	34.3%	33.3%	50.5%	0.66×	3.00
Neither team scores	10.2%	11.0%	7.0%	1.57×	9.07
Only Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores	7.8%	7.1%	17.8%	0.40×	14.03

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	24.9%	24.1%	1.03×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	24.0%	22.6%	22.7%	1.00×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.1%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	11.4%	12.1%	12.2%	0.99×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	10.2%	12.1%	7.0%	1.72×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	5.1%	7.6%	5.9%	1.28×	13.15
6 or more goals	2.8%	4.5%	5.6%	0.79×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
3+ goals in 1st half	7.2%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.4%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
1 goal in 2nd half	35.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goals in 2nd half	27.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to win both halves	98.8%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Machida Zelvia not to win both halves	76.9%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Machida Zelvia to win both halves	23.1%	24.7%	—	—	4.04
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win both halves	1.2%	2.7%	—	—	36.50

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win neither half	78.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Machida Zelvia to win either half	73.3%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Machida Zelvia to win neither half	26.7%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win either half	21.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.01

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to win to nil	92.2%	92.1%	82.2%	1.12×	1.09
Machida Zelvia not to win to nil	52.3%	53.8%	75.0%	0.72×	1.86
Machida Zelvia to win to nil	47.7%	46.2%	25.0%	1.85×	2.17
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win to nil	7.8%	7.9%	17.8%	0.44×	12.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Machida Zelvia by 1	27.9%	27.9%	25.0%	1.12×	3.59
Draw	22.3%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Machida Zelvia by 2	20.7%	24.1%	12.0%	2.00×	4.15
Machida Zelvia by 3+	17.6%	17.0%	6.3%	2.73×	5.87
Tokyo Verdy 1969 by 1	9.0%	7.2%	19.4%	0.37×	13.90
Tokyo Verdy 1969 by 2	2.1%	2.7%	6.1%	0.45×	36.87
Tokyo Verdy 1969 by 3+	0.4%	2.7%	5.9%	0.46×	36.92