Makedonija Gjorche Petrov v Kamjani — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · MKD-Second League · 2627
MKD-Second League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 0-1 14.6%
- 1-0 14.3%
- 1-1 10.7%
- 0-0 7.8%
- 1-2 7.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 39.4% | Under 2.5 | 60.6% |
| BTTS yes | 43.2% | BTTS no | 56.8% |
| Makedonija Gjorche Petrov 1+ | 67.2% | Makedonija Gjorche Petrov 2+ | 30.6% |
| Kamjani 1+ | 68.2% | Kamjani 2+ | 31.8% |
Expected goals 1.12 – 1.15. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
- Away from home Kamjani average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Makedonija Gjorche Petrov have only 0 matches on record.
- Kamjani have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Kamjani have an estimated 39.1% win probability, against 37.6% for Makedonija Gjorche Petrov and 23.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.11 for Makedonija Gjorche Petrov and 1.15 for Kamjani.
Why Makedonija Gjorche Petrov
At home Makedonija Gjorche Petrov average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to Kamjani's 7.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 23.3%. A combined 2.26 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.11 to 1.15.
Why Kamjani can win
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Kamjani average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Makedonija Gjorche Petrov, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kamjani, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kamjani: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-10 15:23 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-10 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·
Kamjani are the model's most likely outcome at 39.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 14.6%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.12–1.15 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.01–1.09 | 0-1 16% | 35% | 40% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.