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Makedonija Gjorche Petrov v Rabotnichki — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · MKD-Second League · 2627

MKD-Second League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov win
27.5%
model 29.6%
Draw
23.9%
model 24.2%
Rabotnichki win
48.6%
model 46.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,541 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 0-1 17.6%
  2. 1-0 13.5%
  3. 1-1 10.5%
  4. 0-0 9.7%
  5. 0-2 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.534.8% Under 2.565.2%
BTTS yes38.5% BTTS no61.5%
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov 1+58.6% Makedonija Gjorche Petrov 2+22.1%
Rabotnichki 1+70.1% Rabotnichki 2+34.0%

Expected goals 0.88 – 1.21. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
25/100
Data quality
30/100
Model agreement
92%
★ Best pick
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)
Over/Under (whole line) · usually 33%
52.0% fair odds 1.92
strong signal · 7157 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (2:0)
Handicap 2:0 · usually 86%
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 4439 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Rabotnichki have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Makedonija Gjorche Petrov have allowed 1.35.
  • Away from home Rabotnichki average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Makedonija Gjorche Petrov have only 0 matches on record.
  • Rabotnichki have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Rabotnichki have an estimated 48.6% win probability, against 27.5% for Makedonija Gjorche Petrov and 23.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.88 for Makedonija Gjorche Petrov and 1.21 for Rabotnichki.

Why Makedonija Gjorche Petrov

Makedonija Gjorche Petrov have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Rabotnichki have allowed 1.35. At home Makedonija Gjorche Petrov average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.9%. A combined 2.09 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why Rabotnichki can win

Rabotnichki have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Makedonija Gjorche Petrov have allowed 1.35. Away from home Rabotnichki average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Makedonija Gjorche Petrov, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rabotnichki, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Makedonija Gjorche Petrov: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rabotnichki: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Rabotnichki are the model's most likely outcome at 48.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 17.6%. Confidence 25/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 0.88–1.21 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.55–1.07 0-1 23% 22% 26%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki to win 50.3% 51.0% 30.6% 1.67× 1.96
Draw 28.5% 27.7% 25.0% 1.11× 3.61
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to win 21.2% 24.6% 44.4% 0.55× 4.07
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki & not both score 40.2% 39.1% 16.0% 2.45× 2.56
Draw & not both score 17.3% 18.0% 7.3% 2.47× 5.55
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov & not both score 16.9% 18.0% 24.4% 0.74× 5.55
Draw & both teams score 11.2% 13.3% 17.7% 0.75× 7.55
Rabotnichki & both teams score 10.2% 13.2% 14.6% 0.90× 7.55
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov & both teams score 4.3% 4.9% 20.1% 0.25× 20.35
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki & under 3.5 45.1% 44.8% 21.6% 2.07× 2.23
Rabotnichki & under 2.5 34.7% 31.1% 12.2% 2.54× 3.22
Rabotnichki & over 1.5 26.9% 25.9% 23.1% 1.12× 3.85
Draw & under 2.5 26.6% 25.9% 18.8% 1.38× 3.86
Draw & under 3.5 26.6% 25.9% 18.8% 1.38× 3.86
Rabotnichki & under 1.5 23.4% 21.6% 7.5% 2.87× 4.63
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov & under 3.5 20.0% 21.6% 30.3% 0.71× 4.63
Draw & under 1.5 17.3% 18.0% 7.3% 2.46× 5.57
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov & under 2.5 16.2% 18.0% 17.5% 1.02× 5.57
Rabotnichki & over 2.5 15.6% 18.0% 18.4% 0.98× 5.57
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov & under 1.5 13.2% 12.9% 10.4% 1.24× 7.78
Draw & over 1.5 11.2% 12.9% 17.7% 0.73× 7.78
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov & over 1.5 8.0% 8.0% 34.1% 0.23× 12.57
Rabotnichki & over 3.5 5.2% 8.0% 9.0% 0.88× 12.57
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov & over 2.5 5.0% 4.9% 26.9% 0.18× 20.57
Draw & over 2.5 1.9% 4.9% 6.2% 0.78× 20.59
Draw & over 3.5 1.9% 4.9% 6.2% 0.78× 20.59
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov & over 3.5 1.2% 4.9% 14.2% 0.34× 20.59
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki (1UP) 57.7% 58.1% 50.4% 1.15× 1.72
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (1UP) 30.3% 32.5% 59.8% 0.54× 3.08
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki (2UP) 50.3% 55.4% 34.2% 1.62× 1.81
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (2UP) 21.2% 23.6% 45.2% 0.52× 4.25
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 44.9% 41.3% 32.7% 1.26× 2.42
Rabotnichki to win 2nd half 38.7% 36.0% 29.7% 1.21× 2.78
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to win 2nd half 16.4% 18.9% 37.7% 0.50× 5.28
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki under 1.5 in 2nd half 86.3% 86.6% 82.3% 1.05× 1.16
Rabotnichki under 0.5 in 2nd half 52.5% 53.3% 46.6% 1.14× 1.88
Rabotnichki over 0.5 in 2nd half 47.5% 46.7% 53.4% 0.87× 2.14
Rabotnichki over 1.5 in 2nd half 13.7% 13.4% 17.7% 0.76× 7.47
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov under 1.5 in 2nd half 95.9% 95.9% 77.4% 1.24× 1.04
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov under 0.5 in 2nd half 72.9% 73.7% 41.4% 1.78× 1.36
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov over 0.5 in 2nd half 27.1% 26.3% 58.7% 0.45× 3.80
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov over 1.5 in 2nd half 4.1% 4.1% 22.6% 0.18× 24.69
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki (+2.5) 99.3% 96.3% 90.1% 1.07× 1.04
Rabotnichki (+1.5) 95.6% 96.3% 77.7% 1.24× 1.04
Rabotnichki (+0.5) 78.8% 78.4% 55.6% 1.41× 1.28
Rabotnichki (-0.5) 50.3% 52.0% 30.6% 1.70× 1.92
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (+0.5) 49.7% 48.0% 69.4% 0.69× 2.09
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (-0.5) 21.2% 21.6% 44.4% 0.49× 4.62
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (-1.5) 4.4% 3.7% 22.3% 0.17× 26.78
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (-2.5) 0.7% 3.7% 9.9% 0.37× 26.99
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki clean sheet 57.5% 62.1% 23.3% 2.67× 1.61
Rabotnichki to concede 42.5% 37.9% 76.7% 0.49× 2.64
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki clean sheet in 1st half 78.8% 78.7% 51.8% 1.52× 1.27
Rabotnichki to concede in 1st half 21.2% 21.3% 48.2% 0.44× 4.70
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki clean sheet in 2nd half 72.9% 70.3% 41.4% 1.70× 1.42
Rabotnichki to concede in 2nd half 27.1% 29.7% 58.7% 0.51× 3.37
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki under 3.5 goals 97.6% 97.4% 95.7% 1.02× 1.03
Rabotnichki under 2.5 goals 90.6% 92.2% 87.0% 1.06× 1.09
Rabotnichki under 1.5 goals 70.9% 71.9% 66.3% 1.08× 1.39
Rabotnichki over 0.5 goals 65.8% 67.8% 68.3% 0.99× 1.47
Rabotnichki under 0.5 goals 34.2% 32.2% 31.7% 1.01× 3.11
Rabotnichki over 1.5 goals 29.1% 28.1% 33.7% 0.83× 3.55
Rabotnichki over 2.5 goals 9.4% 7.8% 13.0% 0.60× 12.80
Rabotnichki over 3.5 goals 2.4% 2.6% 4.3% 0.59× 38.87
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki under 1.5 in 1st half 93.0% 94.2% 89.4% 1.05× 1.06
Rabotnichki under 0.5 in 1st half 65.1% 68.3% 59.0% 1.16× 1.46
Rabotnichki over 0.5 in 1st half 34.9% 31.7% 41.0% 0.77× 3.16
Rabotnichki over 1.5 in 1st half 7.0% 5.8% 10.6% 0.55× 17.24
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki scores equally in both 44.3% 43.9% 40.6% 1.08× 2.28
Rabotnichki scores more in 2nd half 34.9% 34.2% 36.5% 0.94× 2.92
Rabotnichki scores more in 1st half 20.8% 22.4% 22.9% 0.98× 4.47
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 57.4% 57.4% 36.0% 1.60× 1.74
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (away no bet) 42.6% 42.6% 64.0% 0.67× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki even goals 55.8% 56.9% 55.7% 1.02× 1.76
Rabotnichki odd goals 44.2% 43.1% 44.3% 0.97× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 96.4% 96.5% 82.7% 1.17× 1.04
Both halves over 1.5 goals 3.6% 3.5% 17.3% 0.20× 28.38
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 65.4% 68.4% 33.8% 2.02× 1.46
Not both halves under 1.5 34.6% 31.6% 66.2% 0.48× 3.16
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 32.9% 29.1% 58.6% 0.50× 3.44
Rabotnichki to score 2+ in a row 25.9% 25.0% 28.6% 0.87× 4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row 8.7% 5.7% 22.9% 0.25× 17.63
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to score 2+ in a row 8.2% 5.7% 36.9% 0.15× 17.67
Rabotnichki to score 3+ in a row 7.6% 5.6% 9.1% 0.62× 17.72
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to score 3+ in a row 1.2% 2.5% 14.2% 0.18× 39.93
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 23.4% 20.1% 7.5% 2.68× 4.96
0-0 17.3% 13.6% 7.3% 1.86× 7.37
1-0 13.2% 11.4% 10.4% 1.10× 8.80
0-2 11.3% 11.4% 4.7% 2.41× 8.80
1-1 9.3% 7.4% 11.5% 0.65× 13.53
1-2 6.3% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.53
0-3 4.1% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 57.66
0-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.9% 1.95× 57.67
1-3 2.2% 1.7% 2.8% 0.63× 57.67
1-4 0.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.71× 57.68
2-0 3.0% 1.7% 7.2% 0.24× 57.66
2-1 3.2% 1.7% 8.8% 0.20× 57.66
2-2 1.7% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 57.67
2-3 0.6% 1.7% 2.1% 0.84× 57.68
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 2.92× 57.68
3-0 0.6% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 57.68
3-1 0.6% 1.7% 4.2% 0.42× 57.68
3-2 0.3% 1.7% 2.6% 0.67× 57.68
3-3 0.1% 1.7% 1.0% 1.74× 57.68
3-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.4% 4.70× 57.68
4-0 0.1% 1.7% 1.8% 0.99× 57.68
4-1 0.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.04× 57.68
4-2 0.0% 1.7% 0.9% 1.90× 57.68
4-3 0.0% 1.7% 0.4% 4.68× 57.68
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 16.37× 57.68
Any other score 0.5% 1.7% 4.1% 0.43× 57.68
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki (2nd half DNB) 70.2% 67.9% 44.1% 1.54× 1.47
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (2nd half DNB) 29.8% 32.1% 55.9% 0.57× 3.11
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki leading at HT (DNB) 66.3% 73.2% 43.3% 1.69× 1.37
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov leading at HT (DNB) 33.7% 26.8% 56.7% 0.47× 3.73
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki or draw (X2) 78.8% 75.4% 55.6% 1.36× 1.33
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov or Rabotnichki (12) 71.5% 72.3% 75.0% 0.96× 1.38
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov or draw (1X) 49.7% 49.0% 69.4% 0.71× 2.04
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki or draw at HT 85.1% 87.9% 66.2% 1.33× 1.14
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov or draw at HT 70.7% 74.2% 74.1% 1.00× 1.35
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov or Rabotnichki at HT 44.1% 43.2% 59.7% 0.72× 2.32
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki or draw (1UP) 78.8% 84.1% 63.9% 1.31× 1.19
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov or draw (1UP) 49.7% 52.9% 74.2% 0.71× 1.89
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki or draw in 2nd half 83.6% 81.1% 62.3% 1.30× 1.23
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov or draw in 2nd half 61.3% 64.0% 70.3% 0.91× 1.56
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov or Rabotnichki in 2nd half 55.1% 58.7% 67.3% 0.87× 1.70
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 77.9% 78.5% 58.9% 1.33× 1.27
Neither half drawn 22.1% 21.5% 41.1% 0.52× 4.65
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki (DNB) 70.4% 71.1% 40.8% 1.74× 1.41
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (DNB) 29.6% 28.9% 59.2% 0.49× 3.46
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki to score first 54.6% 54.0% 42.9% 1.26× 1.85
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to score first 28.1% 28.3% 51.2% 0.55× 3.53
No goal scored 17.3% 17.8% 5.9% 3.02× 5.60
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 74.3% 63.0% 47.6% 1.32× 1.59
Both teams to score 25.7% 37.0% 52.4% 0.71× 2.70
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 68.3% 57.0% 37.1% 1.54× 1.76
Both score & over 2.5 16.3% 21.3% 40.9% 0.52× 4.69
Both score & under 2.5 9.3% 8.4% 11.5% 0.73× 11.93
Not both score & over 2.5 6.1% 8.4% 10.6% 0.79× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 96.9% 91.5% 86.0% 1.06× 1.09
Both teams to score 2+ 3.1% 8.5% 14.0% 0.60× 11.80
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 87.9% 88.2% 70.2% 1.26× 1.13
Both teams to score in 2nd half 12.1% 11.8% 29.8% 0.40× 8.50
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 81.9% 82.3% 57.8% 1.42× 1.22
Both score 2nd half only 11.1% 10.7% 23.8% 0.45× 9.35
Both score 1st half only 6.0% 6.7% 12.5% 0.54× 14.84
Both score in both halves 1.0% 4.9% 6.0% 0.81× 20.59
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 93.0% 93.2% 81.5% 1.14× 1.07
Both teams to score by HT 7.0% 6.8% 18.5% 0.37× 14.64
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 71.1% 72.6% 41.1% 1.77× 1.38
A goal in each half 28.9% 27.4% 58.9% 0.47× 3.65
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 goals 53.9% 41.7% 25.2% 1.66× 2.40
2-3 goals 37.8% 35.0% 45.4% 0.77× 2.86
4-6 goals 8.1% 7.6% 27.0% 0.28× 13.09
7+ goals 0.1% 1.8% 2.4% 0.76× 54.19
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki to score exactly 1 36.7% 35.8% 34.6% 1.03× 2.80
Rabotnichki to score exactly 0 34.2% 33.7% 31.7% 1.06× 2.97
Rabotnichki to score exactly 2 19.7% 19.5% 20.8% 0.94× 5.12
Rabotnichki to score 3+ 9.4% 8.8% 13.0% 0.68× 11.41
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to score exactly 0 57.5% 43.9% 23.3% 1.89× 2.28
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to score exactly 1 31.8% 32.6% 33.1% 0.99× 3.06
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to score exactly 2 8.8% 10.5% 24.0% 0.44× 9.55
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to score 3+ 1.9% 6.4% 19.7% 0.33× 15.60
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 55.9% 56.8% 40.3% 1.41× 1.76
Rabotnichki leading at HT 29.3% 25.8% 25.9% 1.00× 3.88
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov leading at HT 14.9% 12.1% 33.8% 0.36× 8.27
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki -1: 1 49.7% 47.3% 2.11
Rabotnichki -1: X 30.3% 29.2% 3.43
Rabotnichki -1: 2 20.0% 17.3% 5.79
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki (0:1) 78.8% 73.8% 55.6% 1.33× 1.36
Draw (0:1) 16.8% 17.7% 22.2% 0.80× 5.64
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (0:1) 4.4% 6.1% 22.3% 0.27× 16.44
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki (0:2) 95.6% 93.7% 77.7% 1.21× 1.07
Draw (0:2) 3.7% 3.8% 12.3% 0.31× 26.45
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (0:2) 0.7% 3.8% 9.9% 0.38× 26.61
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki (0:3) 99.3% 96.6% 90.1% 1.07× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 0.6% 2.4% 5.9% 0.40× 42.43
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (0:3) 0.1% 2.4% 4.1% 0.58× 42.45
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki (0:4) 99.9% 98.1% 95.9% 1.02× 1.02
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (0:4) 0.0% 1.2% 1.5% 0.81× 81.82
Draw (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 2.5% 0.48× 81.82
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (1:0) 49.7% 51.1% 69.4% 0.74× 1.96
Draw (1:0) 30.3% 28.8% 17.0% 1.69× 3.47
Rabotnichki (1:0) 20.0% 17.1% 13.6% 1.26× 5.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov (2:0) 80.0% 84.5% 86.4% 0.98× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 13.7% 10.4% 8.1% 1.28× 9.60
Rabotnichki (2:0) 6.2% 6.5% 5.4% 1.21× 15.28
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 43.0% 48.4% 48.6% 1.00× 2.07
Halves equal 30.9% 29.1% 25.2% 1.16× 3.44
1st half highest scoring 26.1% 26.5% 26.3% 1.01× 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to concede 65.8% 66.5% 68.3% 0.97× 1.50
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov clean sheet 34.2% 33.5% 31.7% 1.06× 2.99
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov clean sheet in 1st half 65.1% 68.6% 59.0% 1.16× 1.46
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to concede in 1st half 34.9% 31.4% 41.0% 0.77× 3.19
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov clean sheet in 2nd half 52.5% 53.2% 46.6% 1.14× 1.88
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to concede in 2nd half 47.5% 46.8% 53.4% 0.88× 2.14
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov under 3.5 goals 99.7% 96.3% 92.4% 1.04× 1.04
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov under 2.5 goals 98.1% 96.3% 80.3% 1.20× 1.04
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov under 1.5 goals 89.3% 87.2% 56.3% 1.55× 1.15
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov under 0.5 goals 57.5% 58.6% 23.3% 2.52× 1.71
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov over 0.5 goals 42.5% 41.4% 76.7% 0.54× 2.41
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov over 1.5 goals 10.7% 12.8% 43.7% 0.29× 7.83
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov over 2.5 goals 1.9% 3.7% 19.7% 0.19× 27.05
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov over 3.5 goals 0.3% 3.7% 7.6% 0.49× 27.11
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov under 1.5 in 1st half 97.6% 97.8% 85.9% 1.14× 1.02
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov under 0.5 in 1st half 78.8% 77.3% 51.8% 1.49× 1.29
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov over 0.5 in 1st half 21.2% 22.7% 48.2% 0.47× 4.41
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov over 1.5 in 1st half 2.4% 2.2% 14.1% 0.15× 45.69
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov scores equally in both 61.9% 61.9% 37.1% 1.67× 1.62
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov scores more in 2nd half 22.1% 21.5% 38.0% 0.57× 4.65
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov scores more in 1st half 16.0% 13.8% 24.9% 0.55× 7.27
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki (home no bet) 63.8% 60.0% 55.1% 1.09× 1.67
Draw (home no bet) 36.2% 40.0% 44.9% 0.89× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov even goals 66.5% 65.0% 52.8% 1.23× 1.54
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov odd goals 33.5% 35.0% 47.2% 0.74× 2.86
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 50.9% 49.6% 29.3% 1.70× 2.02
HT 0-1 22.4% 24.2% 16.3% 1.48× 4.14
HT 1-0 12.6% 10.9% 20.7% 0.53× 9.15
HT 1-1 4.8% 2.3% 10.2% 0.23× 43.35
HT 0-2 4.7% 2.3% 4.9% 0.47× 43.36
HT 2-0 1.5% 2.3% 7.1% 0.32× 43.60
Any other HT score 1.1% 2.3% 4.7% 0.49× 43.62
HT 1-2 1.1% 2.3% 2.8% 0.82× 43.62
HT 2-1 0.6% 2.3% 3.3% 0.70× 43.66
HT 2-2 0.1% 2.3% 0.9% 2.56× 43.70
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki at HT / Rabotnichki at FT 26.0% 26.9% 17.4% 1.55× 3.72
Draw at HT / Rabotnichki at FT 22.9% 21.8% 11.6% 1.88× 4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 22.8% 21.8% 14.1% 1.54× 4.60
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov at HT / Makedonija Gjorche Petrov at FT 10.5% 12.6% 25.8% 0.49× 7.91
Draw at HT / Makedonija Gjorche Petrov at FT 10.2% 12.6% 14.7% 0.86× 7.91
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov at HT / Draw at FT 3.0% 3.5% 5.1% 0.68× 28.80
Rabotnichki at HT / Draw at FT 2.7% 3.5% 5.6% 0.62× 28.82
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov at HT / Rabotnichki at FT 1.4% 3.5% 3.0% 1.16× 28.87
Rabotnichki at HT / Makedonija Gjorche Petrov at FT 0.5% 3.5% 2.9% 1.19× 28.90
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki to score last 54.2% 52.1% 42.7% 1.22× 1.92
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to score last 28.5% 27.1% 51.4% 0.53× 3.69
No goal scored 17.3% 12.6% 5.9% 2.13× 7.97
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 82.7% 87.3% 94.1% 0.93× 1.15
Rabotnichki to lead by 1 at any time 57.7% 55.1% 50.4% 1.09× 1.82
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to lead by 1 at any time 30.3% 29.3% 59.8% 0.49× 3.42
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 28.8% 25.5% 48.2% 0.53× 3.92
Rabotnichki to lead by 2 at any time 22.8% 19.6% 20.3% 0.97× 5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 7.9% 6.6% 19.5% 0.34× 15.08
Rabotnichki to lead by 3 at any time 6.9% 6.6% 7.4% 0.90× 15.12
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to lead by 2 at any time 6.1% 6.6% 28.2% 0.23× 15.17
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to lead by 3 at any time 1.0% 1.6% 12.1% 0.13× 63.47
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 82.1% 83.3% 86.4% 0.96× 1.20
1-4 goals 80.2% 83.3% 78.0% 1.07× 1.20
1-3 goals 74.4% 72.3% 63.3% 1.14× 1.38
1-2 goals 60.3% 63.2% 41.2% 1.53× 1.58
2-6 goals 45.9% 48.5% 72.4% 0.67× 2.06
2-5 goals 45.4% 48.5% 68.5% 0.71× 2.06
2-4 goals 43.5% 43.6% 60.1% 0.73× 2.29
2-3 goals 37.8% 39.3% 45.4% 0.86× 2.55
3-6 goals 22.2% 24.8% 49.1% 0.51× 4.04
3-5 goals 21.7% 24.8% 45.1% 0.55× 4.04
3-4 goals 19.9% 18.9% 36.8% 0.51× 5.30
4-6 goals 8.1% 9.0% 27.0% 0.33× 11.15
4-5 goals 7.6% 9.0% 23.0% 0.39× 11.15
5-6 goals 2.4% 2.6% 12.3% 0.21× 38.96
7+ goals 0.1% 2.6% 2.4% 1.06× 39.06
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rabotnichki never behind 52.4% 61.9% 40.2% 1.54× 1.62
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov never behind 25.0% 29.9% 49.6% 0.60× 3.35
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 47.3% 51.0% 49.8% 1.02× 1.96
Odd number of goals 52.7% 49.0% 50.2% 0.98× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 62.3% 59.0% 53.7% 1.10× 1.70
Odd goals in 1st half 37.7% 41.0% 46.3% 0.89× 2.44
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 55.7% 58.4% 51.1% 1.14× 1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half 44.3% 41.6% 48.9% 0.85× 2.41
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 99.3% 95.4% 93.7% 1.02× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 97.5% 95.4% 85.3% 1.12× 1.05
Under 3.5 goals 91.7% 92.2% 70.6% 1.31× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 82.7% 82.2% 92.7% 0.89× 1.22
Under 2.5 goals 77.6% 77.2% 48.5% 1.59× 1.30
Under 1.5 goals 53.9% 53.0% 25.2% 2.10× 1.89
Over 1.5 goals 46.1% 47.0% 74.8% 0.63× 2.13
Over 2.5 goals 22.4% 22.8% 51.5% 0.44× 4.39
Under 0.5 goals 17.3% 17.8% 7.3% 2.44× 5.61
Over 3.5 goals 8.3% 7.8% 29.4% 0.27× 12.84
Over 4.5 goals 2.5% 4.6% 14.7% 0.31× 21.77
Over 5.5 goals 0.7% 4.6% 6.3% 0.72× 21.80
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.9% 97.2% 97.5% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 99.3% 97.2% 93.1% 1.04× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 97.3% 97.2% 82.8% 1.17× 1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 90.4% 92.4% 62.3% 1.48× 1.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 70.7% 72.2% 32.9% 2.20× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 29.3% 27.8% 67.1% 0.41× 3.60
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 9.6% 7.6% 37.7% 0.20× 13.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 2.7% 2.8% 17.2% 0.17× 35.13
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 0.7% 2.8% 6.9% 0.41× 35.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.1% 2.8% 2.5% 1.13× 35.20
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 97.0% 97.5% 88.4% 1.10× 1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half 85.9% 88.9% 66.3% 1.34× 1.12
Under 0.5 in 1st half 50.9% 56.3% 29.3% 1.93× 1.78
Over 0.5 in 1st half 49.1% 43.7% 70.7% 0.62× 2.29
Over 1.5 in 1st half 14.1% 11.1% 33.7% 0.33× 9.04
Over 2.5 in 1st half 3.0% 2.5% 11.6% 0.22× 39.55
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 92.7% 89.4% 77.5% 1.15× 1.12
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 75.8% 79.7% 50.2% 1.59× 1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 62.5% 61.6% 82.3% 0.75× 1.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 37.5% 38.4% 17.7% 2.16× 2.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 24.2% 20.3% 49.8% 0.41× 4.92
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 7.3% 10.6% 22.5% 0.47× 9.44
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov not to score in both halves 94.3% 90.7% 70.5% 1.29× 1.10
Rabotnichki not to score in both halves 83.4% 84.4% 77.6% 1.09× 1.19
Rabotnichki to score in both halves 16.6% 15.6% 22.4% 0.69× 6.41
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to score in both halves 5.7% 9.3% 29.5% 0.31× 10.79
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Only Rabotnichki scores 40.2% 46.7% 16.0% 2.92× 2.14
Both teams score 25.7% 26.1% 52.4% 0.50× 3.83
Neither team scores 17.3% 16.0% 7.3% 2.19× 6.25
Only Makedonija Gjorche Petrov scores 16.9% 16.0% 24.4% 0.66× 6.25
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 1 goals 36.6% 27.1% 17.9% 1.51× 3.70
Exactly 2 goals 23.7% 22.4% 23.3% 0.96× 4.46
Exactly 0 goals 17.3% 17.5% 7.3% 2.40× 5.70
Exactly 3 goals 14.1% 12.1% 22.1% 0.55× 8.30
Exactly 4 goals 5.7% 7.8% 14.7% 0.53× 12.86
Exactly 5 goals 1.9% 4.5% 8.4% 0.54× 22.26
6 or more goals 0.7% 4.5% 6.3% 0.71× 22.28
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 50.9% 49.6% 29.3% 1.70× 2.02
1 goal in 1st half 35.1% 37.0% 37.0% 1.00× 2.70
2 goals in 1st half 11.0% 10.8% 22.2% 0.49× 9.22
3+ goals in 1st half 3.0% 2.5% 11.6% 0.22× 39.55
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 38.4% 40.2% 32.5% 1.23× 2.49
No goals in 2nd half 37.5% 40.1% 17.7% 2.26× 2.50
2+ goals in 2nd half 24.2% 23.1% 49.8% 0.46× 4.33
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov not to win both halves 97.7% 97.2% 86.8% 1.12× 1.03
Rabotnichki not to win both halves 89.1% 88.0% 91.8% 0.96× 1.14
Rabotnichki to win both halves 10.9% 12.0% 8.2% 1.47× 8.32
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to win both halves 2.3% 2.8% 13.2% 0.21× 36.31
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to win neither half 70.9% 72.8% 41.7% 1.74× 1.37
Rabotnichki to win either half 57.0% 59.5% 47.4% 1.26× 1.68
Rabotnichki to win neither half 43.0% 40.5% 52.6% 0.77× 2.47
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to win either half 29.1% 27.2% 58.3% 0.47× 3.67
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov not to win to nil 83.1% 83.2% 75.6% 1.10× 1.20
Rabotnichki not to win to nil 59.8% 59.9% 84.0% 0.71× 1.67
Rabotnichki to win to nil 40.2% 40.1% 16.0% 2.51× 2.49
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov to win to nil 16.9% 16.8% 24.4% 0.69× 5.94
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.5% 27.7% 25.0% 1.11× 3.61
Rabotnichki by 1 30.3% 27.6% 17.0% 1.62× 3.62
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov by 1 16.8% 16.9% 22.2% 0.76× 5.92
Rabotnichki by 2 13.7% 11.7% 8.1% 1.44× 8.53
Rabotnichki by 3+ 6.2% 7.3% 5.4% 1.34× 13.77
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov by 2 3.7% 2.8% 12.3% 0.23× 35.58
Makedonija Gjorche Petrov by 3+ 0.7% 2.8% 9.9% 0.28× 35.66
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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