Mallorca v Almería — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 27 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Mallorca

14:15 UTC

Almería

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 435h before kick-off

Mallorca win

48.9%

model 45.2%

Draw

22.2%

model 24.2%

Almería win

28.9%

model 30.7%

492229

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.3%
1-0 9.5%
2-1 9.2%
0-1 7.6%
1-2 7.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.1%	Under 2.5	45.9%
BTTS yes	56.7%	BTTS no	43.3%
Mallorca 1+	79.5%	Mallorca 2+	47.0%
Almería 1+	71.6%	Almería 2+	35.9%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.26. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

52/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Over 1.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 69%

78.1% fair odds 1.28

moderate signal · 1604 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1245 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Mallorca have an estimated 48.9% win probability, against 28.9% for Almería and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.58 for Mallorca and 1.26 for Almería.

Why Mallorca

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Almería can win

Almería carry the stronger rating, 1537 Elo against 1491.

Key players

Mallorca's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Vedat Muriqi (0.60), Zito (0.22), Sergi Darder (0.20).

Availability

1 of Mallorca's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Almería, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Mallorca: 58% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.14 xG a match from set pieces. Almería: 57% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Mallorca are the model's most likely outcome at 48.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%. Confidence 52/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Mallorca are conceding fewer than expected — 3.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWWDLWDLLW last 10 scored 14 from 14.8 xG conceded 12 from 15.1 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	452431	1.58–1.26	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	502326	1.70–1.16	1-1 11%	54%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca to win	45.2%	49.0%	45.5%	1.08×	2.04
Almería to win	30.7%	28.9%	28.0%	1.03×	3.46
Draw	24.2%	22.3%	26.6%	0.84×	4.49

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca & not both score	22.8%	22.7%	23.6%	0.96×	4.41
Mallorca & both teams score	22.4%	22.7%	22.0%	1.03×	4.41
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	17.8%	17.5%	1.02×	5.61
Almería & both teams score	15.7%	17.8%	14.7%	1.21×	5.62
Almería & not both score	15.0%	12.2%	13.4%	0.90×	8.23
Draw & not both score	5.6%	7.3%	9.1%	0.80×	13.74

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca & over 1.5	35.7%	37.6%	32.6%	1.15×	2.66
Mallorca & under 3.5	29.8%	25.6%	32.2%	0.79×	3.91
Mallorca & over 2.5	28.4%	25.5%	26.3%	0.97×	3.91
Almería & over 1.5	23.1%	21.5%	19.4%	1.11×	4.66
Almería & under 3.5	21.5%	21.5%	19.6%	1.09×	4.66
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	17.6%	17.5%	1.00×	5.68
Almería & over 2.5	18.4%	17.6%	16.6%	1.06×	5.68
Draw & under 2.5	16.9%	17.6%	20.3%	0.87×	5.68
Draw & under 3.5	16.9%	17.6%	20.3%	0.87×	5.68
Mallorca & under 2.5	16.8%	17.6%	19.3%	0.91×	5.68
Mallorca & over 3.5	15.3%	17.6%	13.3%	1.32×	5.68
Almería & under 2.5	12.2%	12.7%	11.6%	1.10×	7.88
Mallorca & under 1.5	9.5%	7.5%	13.0%	0.58×	13.33
Almería & over 3.5	9.2%	7.5%	8.5%	0.88×	13.33
Almería & under 1.5	7.6%	7.5%	8.7%	0.86×	13.34
Draw & over 2.5	7.3%	7.5%	6.4%	1.17×	13.34
Draw & over 3.5	7.3%	7.5%	6.4%	1.17×	13.34
Draw & under 1.5	5.6%	7.5%	9.1%	0.82×	13.35

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca (1UP)	61.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Almería (1UP)	48.7%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca (2UP)	45.2%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Almería (2UP)	30.7%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca to win 2nd half	37.0%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
2nd half drawn	34.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Almería to win 2nd half	28.7%	27.6%	—	—	3.63

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.4%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Almería over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.1%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Almería under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Almería over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.6%	18.2%	—	—	5.48

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.1%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Mallorca over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.5%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Mallorca under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.5%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Mallorca over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.9%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (+2.5)	90.7%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Almería (+1.5)	77.1%	78.7%	80.5%	0.98×	1.27
Mallorca (+0.5)	69.3%	69.2%	72.0%	0.96×	1.45
Almería (+0.5)	54.8%	51.9%	54.5%	0.95×	1.93
Mallorca (-0.5)	45.2%	48.1%	45.5%	1.06×	2.08
Almería (-0.5)	30.7%	30.8%	28.0%	1.10×	3.25
Mallorca (-1.5)	22.9%	21.3%	19.5%	1.09×	4.70
Mallorca (-2.5)	9.3%	7.7%	7.7%	1.01×	12.96

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería to concede	79.5%	76.4%	77.5%	0.99×	1.31
Almería clean sheet	20.5%	23.6%	22.5%	1.05×	4.23

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería clean sheet in 1st half	50.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Almería to concede in 1st half	49.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería to concede in 2nd half	59.5%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Almería clean sheet in 2nd half	40.5%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería over 2.5 corners	84.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Almería over 3.5 corners	71.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Almería under 6.5 corners	70.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Almería under 5.5 corners	57.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Almería over 4.5 corners	56.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Almería under 4.5 corners	43.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Almería over 5.5 corners	42.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Almería over 6.5 corners	29.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Almería under 3.5 corners	28.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Almería under 2.5 corners	15.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería under 3.5 goals	96.1%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Almería under 2.5 goals	86.6%	89.1%	89.2%	1.00×	1.12
Almería over 0.5 goals	71.6%	72.0%	67.3%	1.07×	1.39
Almería under 1.5 goals	64.1%	63.9%	69.4%	0.92×	1.56
Almería over 1.5 goals	35.9%	36.1%	30.6%	1.18×	2.77
Almería under 0.5 goals	28.4%	28.0%	32.7%	0.86×	3.57
Almería over 2.5 goals	13.4%	10.9%	10.8%	1.01×	9.16
Almería over 3.5 goals	3.9%	2.8%	3.0%	0.91×	36.23

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería under 1.5 in 1st half	90.9%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Almería under 0.5 in 1st half	60.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Almería over 0.5 in 1st half	39.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Almería over 1.5 in 1st half	9.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.84

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería scores equally in both	40.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Almería scores more in 2nd half	37.7%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
Almería scores more in 1st half	22.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.64

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca (away no bet)	65.2%	71.9%	63.1%	1.14×	1.39
Draw (away no bet)	34.8%	28.1%	36.9%	0.76×	3.56

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería even goals	54.0%	52.2%	54.7%	0.95×	1.91
Almería odd goals	46.0%	47.8%	45.3%	1.05×	2.09

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.6%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.4%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.1%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.9%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.9%	59.4%	—	—	1.69
Mallorca to score 2+ in a row	38.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Almería to score 2+ in a row	26.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Mallorca to score 3+ in a row	13.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.17
Almería to score 3+ in a row	7.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería corners (+3.5)	89.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Almería corners (+2.5)	83.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Mallorca corners (+3.5)	76.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Almería corners (+1.5)	75.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Mallorca corners (+2.5)	67.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Mallorca corners (+1.5)	56.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Almería corners (-1.5)	43.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Almería corners (-2.5)	32.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Mallorca corners (-1.5)	24.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Almería corners (-3.5)	23.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Mallorca corners (-2.5)	16.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Mallorca corners (-3.5)	10.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	37.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	30.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	28.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	20.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.3%	11.6%	11.2%	1.03×	8.62
1-0	9.5%	7.3%	13.0%	0.56×	13.76
2-1	9.2%	7.3%	10.1%	0.72×	13.76
0-1	7.6%	7.3%	8.7%	0.83×	13.76
1-2	7.3%	7.3%	7.0%	1.03×	13.76
2-0	7.3%	7.3%	6.4%	1.13×	13.76
2-2	5.8%	7.3%	5.7%	1.28×	13.77
0-0	5.6%	7.3%	9.1%	0.79×	13.77
0-2	4.6%	1.8%	2.9%	0.61×	55.39
3-0	3.9%	1.8%	3.0%	0.59×	55.41
3-1	4.9%	1.8%	4.5%	0.40×	55.39
1-3	3.1%	1.8%	3.6%	0.51×	55.43
2-3	2.4%	1.8%	2.3%	0.78×	55.45
3-2	3.1%	1.8%	2.8%	0.64×	55.43
Any other score	3.2%	1.8%	2.7%	0.66×	55.43
0-3	1.9%	1.8%	1.3%	1.43×	55.46
3-3	1.3%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.48
4-0	1.5%	1.8%	1.2%	1.56×	55.47
4-1	1.9%	1.8%	1.9%	0.95×	55.46
4-2	1.2%	1.8%	1.2%	1.56×	55.48
0-4	0.6%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.49
1-4	1.0%	1.8%	0.8%	2.14×	55.48
2-4	0.8%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.49
3-4	0.4%	1.8%	0.2%	8.58×	55.50
4-3	0.5%	1.8%	0.3%	5.72×	55.50
4-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.2%	8.58×	55.50

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca (2nd half DNB)	56.3%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Almería (2nd half DNB)	43.7%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca leading at HT (DNB)	59.7%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Almería leading at HT (DNB)	40.3%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca or Almería (12)	75.8%	77.8%	73.4%	1.06×	1.29
Mallorca or draw (1X)	69.3%	71.1%	72.0%	0.99×	1.41
Almería or draw (X2)	54.8%	51.0%	54.5%	0.94×	1.96

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca or draw at HT	76.6%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Almería or draw at HT	65.3%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Mallorca or Almería at HT	58.1%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca or draw (1UP)	69.3%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Almería or draw (1UP)	54.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca or draw in 2nd half	71.3%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Mallorca or Almería in 2nd half	65.8%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Almería or draw in 2nd half	63.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Neither half drawn	37.9%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca (DNB)	59.6%	63.0%	61.9%	1.02×	1.59
Almería (DNB)	40.4%	37.0%	38.1%	0.97×	2.70

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca to score first	52.6%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Almería to score first	41.8%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
No goal scored	5.6%	6.2%	—	—	16.11

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.7%	56.5%	54.0%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	43.3%	43.5%	46.0%	0.95×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.3%	45.5%	42.9%	1.06×	2.20
Not both score & under 2.5	34.6%	34.3%	39.8%	0.86×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	11.7%	11.2%	1.04×	8.55
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.7%	6.3%	1.38×	11.54

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.1%	81.0%	85.6%	0.95×	1.23
Both teams to score 2+	16.9%	19.0%	14.4%	1.32×	5.27

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.5%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.5%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both score 2nd half only	25.3%	24.6%	—	—	4.06
Both score 1st half only	13.3%	11.6%	—	—	8.63
Both score in both halves	6.2%	6.4%	—	—	15.66

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.5%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.5%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.1%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
A half without a goal	43.9%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.6%	45.9%	41.4%	1.11×	2.18
4-6 goals	29.2%	27.8%	26.6%	1.04×	3.60
0-1 goals	22.6%	22.7%	30.7%	0.74×	4.40
7+ goals	2.6%	1.9%	1.6%	1.23×	51.73

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería to score exactly 1	35.7%	34.6%	36.9%	0.94×	2.89
Almería to score exactly 0	28.4%	27.1%	32.7%	0.83×	3.69
Almería to score exactly 2	22.5%	24.1%	19.9%	1.21×	4.16
Almería to score 3+	13.4%	13.4%	10.8%	1.24×	7.47

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca to score exactly 1	32.5%	30.5%	35.6%	0.86×	3.28
Mallorca to score exactly 2	25.7%	27.0%	25.0%	1.08×	3.70
Mallorca to score 3+	21.3%	22.9%	17.1%	1.34×	4.36
Mallorca to score exactly 0	20.5%	22.9%	22.5%	1.02×	4.36

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Mallorca leading at HT	34.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
Almería leading at HT	23.4%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca -1: 2	54.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Mallorca -1: 1	22.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Mallorca -1: X	22.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (0:1)	54.8%	53.7%	54.5%	0.99×	1.86
Mallorca (0:1)	22.9%	24.5%	19.5%	1.25×	4.08
Draw (0:1)	22.3%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.08

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (0:2)	77.1%	77.4%	80.5%	0.96×	1.29
Draw (0:2)	13.5%	11.6%	12.0%	0.97×	8.61
Mallorca (0:2)	9.3%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.90

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (0:3)	90.7%	92.5%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.2%	6.8%	5.4%	1.27×	14.73
Mallorca (0:3)	3.1%	2.3%	2.4%	0.96×	43.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (0:4)	96.9%	98.1%	97.6%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	80.97
Mallorca (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	81.68

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca (1:0)	69.3%	70.7%	72.0%	0.98×	1.42
Draw (1:0)	17.8%	16.4%	18.0%	0.91×	6.09
Almería (1:0)	12.9%	11.7%	10.2%	1.15×	8.57

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca (2:0)	87.1%	89.3%	89.8%	0.99×	1.12
Draw (2:0)	8.6%	6.5%	7.0%	0.93×	15.28
Almería (2:0)	4.3%	2.7%	3.3%	0.84×	36.58

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	23.9%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca to concede	71.6%	71.4%	67.3%	1.06×	1.40
Mallorca clean sheet	28.4%	28.6%	32.7%	0.88×	3.49

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca clean sheet in 1st half	60.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Mallorca to concede in 1st half	39.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca to concede in 2nd half	53.1%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Mallorca clean sheet in 2nd half	47.0%	48.7%	—	—	2.05

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca under 6.5 corners	82.0%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Mallorca over 2.5 corners	76.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Mallorca under 5.5 corners	71.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Mallorca over 3.5 corners	59.4%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Mallorca under 4.5 corners	57.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Mallorca over 4.5 corners	42.8%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Mallorca under 3.5 corners	40.6%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Mallorca over 5.5 corners	28.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Mallorca under 2.5 corners	23.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Mallorca over 6.5 corners	18.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca under 3.5 goals	92.3%	92.2%	93.7%	0.98×	1.09
Mallorca over 0.5 goals	79.5%	77.0%	77.5%	0.99×	1.30
Mallorca under 2.5 goals	78.8%	76.9%	82.9%	0.93×	1.30
Mallorca under 1.5 goals	53.0%	53.0%	58.0%	0.91×	1.89
Mallorca over 1.5 goals	47.0%	47.0%	42.0%	1.12×	2.13
Mallorca over 2.5 goals	21.3%	23.1%	17.1%	1.35×	4.34
Mallorca under 0.5 goals	20.5%	23.0%	22.5%	1.02×	4.34
Mallorca over 3.5 goals	7.7%	7.8%	6.3%	1.24×	12.81

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca under 1.5 in 1st half	85.1%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Mallorca under 0.5 in 1st half	50.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Mallorca over 0.5 in 1st half	49.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Mallorca over 1.5 in 1st half	14.9%	12.3%	—	—	8.13

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca scores more in 2nd half	38.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Mallorca scores equally in both	35.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Mallorca scores more in 1st half	26.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (home no bet)	55.9%	54.3%	51.3%	1.06×	1.84
Draw (home no bet)	44.1%	45.7%	48.7%	0.94×	2.19

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca even goals	52.1%	50.2%	51.8%	0.97×	1.99
Mallorca odd goals	47.9%	49.8%	48.2%	1.03×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.5%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
HT 1-0	20.9%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
HT 0-1	15.5%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-1	10.5%	11.2%	—	—	8.96
HT 2-0	7.1%	7.7%	—	—	13.00
Any other HT score	4.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.74
HT 0-2	3.9%	2.5%	—	—	39.78
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.80
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.85
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.5%	—	—	39.95

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca at HT / Mallorca at FT	27.0%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Almería at HT / Almería at FT	16.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Mallorca at FT	15.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.37
Draw at HT / Almería at FT	12.2%	11.9%	—	—	8.38
Mallorca at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.26
Almería at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.31
Almería at HT / Mallorca at FT	2.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.40
Mallorca at HT / Almería at FT	2.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.41

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca to score last	52.6%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Almería to score last	41.9%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
No goal scored	5.6%	6.2%	—	—	16.11

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.4%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Mallorca to lead by 1 at any time	61.2%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Almería to lead by 1 at any time	48.7%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.2%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Mallorca to lead by 2 at any time	29.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Almería to lead by 2 at any time	18.8%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.5%	17.6%	—	—	5.68
Mallorca to lead by 3 at any time	11.6%	11.3%	—	—	8.82
Almería to lead by 3 at any time	5.9%	7.0%	—	—	14.26

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería most corners	54.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Mallorca most corners	34.7%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.6%	87.9%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.5%	78.9%	78.0%	1.01×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.7%	73.7%	67.9%	1.09×	1.36
2-5 goals	70.5%	73.6%	64.3%	1.14×	1.36
1-3 goals	62.7%	62.2%	62.9%	0.99×	1.61
2-4 goals	61.4%	62.2%	56.5%	1.10×	1.61
3-6 goals	51.5%	52.3%	47.6%	1.10×	1.91
3-5 goals	47.2%	48.0%	44.0%	1.09×	2.08
2-3 goals	45.6%	48.0%	41.4%	1.16×	2.09
1-2 goals	40.3%	43.6%	41.9%	1.04×	2.29
3-4 goals	38.2%	38.9%	36.2%	1.07×	2.57
4-6 goals	29.2%	30.6%	26.6%	1.15×	3.27
4-5 goals	24.9%	24.8%	23.0%	1.08×	4.04
5-6 goals	13.3%	13.5%	11.5%	1.18×	7.40
7+ goals	2.6%	2.0%	1.6%	1.28×	49.74

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca never behind	45.7%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Almería never behind	33.2%	36.3%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.2%	48.4%	1.04×	1.99
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.8%	51.6%	0.97×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 1st half	45.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.4%	93.0%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.1%	93.0%	94.9%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.1%	81.0%	87.1%	0.93×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	77.4%	78.1%	69.3%	1.13×	1.28
Under 3.5 goals	68.2%	65.3%	72.0%	0.91×	1.53
Over 2.5 goals	54.1%	53.6%	49.1%	1.09×	1.87
Under 2.5 goals	45.9%	46.4%	50.9%	0.91×	2.15
Over 3.5 goals	31.8%	34.7%	28.0%	1.24×	2.88
Under 1.5 goals	22.6%	21.9%	30.7%	0.71×	4.57
Over 4.5 goals	15.9%	19.0%	12.9%	1.47×	5.28
Over 5.5 goals	6.9%	7.0%	5.1%	1.36×	14.26
Under 0.5 goals	5.6%	7.0%	9.1%	0.77×	14.30

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.3%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.4%	92.8%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.1%	80.5%	84.8%	0.95×	1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.5%	72.1%	61.5%	1.17×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.1%	55.7%	64.5%	0.86×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.9%	44.3%	35.5%	1.25×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.5%	27.9%	38.5%	0.73×	3.59
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.9%	19.5%	15.2%	1.28×	5.13
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.6%	7.2%	5.6%	1.29×	13.93
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.7%	2.8%	1.6%	1.68×	36.34

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.3%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.7%	11.9%	—	—	8.41

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.1%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.8%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.3%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.2%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.9%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería not to score in both halves	79.0%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Mallorca not to score in both halves	70.6%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Mallorca to score in both halves	29.4%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Almería to score in both halves	21.0%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.7%	57.7%	54.0%	1.07×	1.73
Only Mallorca scores	22.8%	22.8%	23.6%	0.97×	4.38
Only Almería scores	15.0%	10.9%	13.4%	0.81×	9.16
Neither team scores	5.6%	6.6%	9.1%	0.72×	15.17

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.3%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	21.6%	21.1%	1.02×	4.63
Exactly 1 goals	17.1%	18.6%	21.6%	0.86×	5.39
Exactly 4 goals	15.9%	18.5%	15.2%	1.22×	5.39
Exactly 5 goals	9.0%	7.6%	7.9%	0.97×	13.11
6 or more goals	6.9%	7.6%	5.1%	1.48×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.6%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.16

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	30.5%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
2 goals in 1st half	21.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
3+ goals in 1st half	11.7%	11.9%	—	—	8.42

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	31.8%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
No goals in 2nd half	18.9%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería not to win both halves	93.3%	93.5%	—	—	1.07
Mallorca not to win both halves	87.2%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Mallorca to win both halves	12.8%	12.4%	—	—	8.03
Almería to win both halves	6.7%	6.5%	—	—	15.28

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mallorca to win either half	58.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Almería to win neither half	54.5%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Almería to win either half	45.5%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Mallorca to win neither half	41.1%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería not to win to nil	85.0%	88.1%	86.6%	1.02×	1.14
Mallorca not to win to nil	77.2%	77.2%	76.4%	1.01×	1.30
Mallorca to win to nil	22.8%	22.8%	23.6%	0.97×	4.38
Almería to win to nil	15.0%	11.9%	13.4%	0.89×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.2%	23.9%	26.6%	0.90×	4.19
Mallorca by 1	22.3%	23.9%	26.1%	0.92×	4.19
Almería by 1	17.8%	17.1%	18.0%	0.95×	5.86
Mallorca by 2	13.5%	11.7%	12.0%	0.98×	8.53
Mallorca by 3+	9.3%	7.1%	7.7%	0.92×	14.18
Almería by 2	8.6%	7.0%	7.0%	1.00×	14.20
Almería by 3+	4.3%	2.8%	3.3%	0.87×	35.10