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Mallorca v Sevilla — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 27 August 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

0–0
0.94 – 0.61 xG
Shots
12 – 16
On target
4 – 7
Shots in box
8 – 6
xG per shot
0.08 – 0.04
Set-piece xG
0.15 – 0.13
Goals − xG
-0.94 – -0.61
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.30.50.81.10'15'30'45'60'75'90'
Mallorca 0.94 xGSevilla 0.61 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Vedat Muriqi 10' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Vedat Muriqi 10' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Saúl Ñíguez 11' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Raíllo 13' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Dodi Lukebakio 19' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Saúl Ñíguez 26' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Chidera Ejuke 27' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Dodi Lukebakio 28' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Dodi Lukebakio 31' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Kelechi Iheanacho 31' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)José Ángel Carmona 32' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Chidera Ejuke 37' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Kelechi Iheanacho 45' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Dodi Lukebakio 47' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Loic Bade 50' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Djibril Sow 52' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Antonio Sánchez 54' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Vedat Muriqi 56' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Vedat Muriqi 63' — Saved Shot (0.49 xG, Open Play)Vedat Muriqi 64' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Takuma Asano 69' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Omar Mascarell 75' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Chidera Ejuke 80' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Isaac Romero 81' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Johan Mojica 82' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Adrià Pedrosa 87' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Abdón Prats 90' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Marc Domenech 93' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)
Mallorca attacking right Sevilla attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
10' Mallorca Vedat Muriqi 0.04 Open Play Missed Shot Pablo Maffeo
10' Mallorca Vedat Muriqi 0.02 From Corner Saved Shot Sergi Darder
11' Sevilla Saúl Ñíguez 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Chidera Ejuke
13' Mallorca Raíllo 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Samú Costa
19' Sevilla Dodi Lukebakio 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
26' Sevilla Saúl Ñíguez 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Chidera Ejuke
27' Sevilla Chidera Ejuke 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Dodi Lukebakio
28' Sevilla Dodi Lukebakio 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Djibril Sow
31' Sevilla Dodi Lukebakio 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Kelechi Iheanacho
31' Sevilla Kelechi Iheanacho 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Chidera Ejuke
32' Sevilla José Ángel Carmona 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot
37' Sevilla Chidera Ejuke 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kelechi Iheanacho
45' Sevilla Kelechi Iheanacho 0.05 Open Play Saved Shot Adrià Pedrosa
47' Sevilla Dodi Lukebakio 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Chidera Ejuke
50' Sevilla Loic Bade 0.08 From Corner Missed Shot Chidera Ejuke
52' Sevilla Djibril Sow 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Saúl Ñíguez
54' Mallorca Antonio Sánchez 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Vedat Muriqi
56' Mallorca Vedat Muriqi 0.14 Open Play Missed Shot Antonio Sánchez
63' Mallorca Vedat Muriqi 0.49 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
64' Mallorca Vedat Muriqi 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Sergi Darder
69' Mallorca Takuma Asano 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Johan Mojica
75' Mallorca Omar Mascarell 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Vedat Muriqi
80' Sevilla Chidera Ejuke 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Djibril Sow
81' Sevilla Isaac Romero 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot José Ángel Carmona
82' Mallorca Johan Mojica 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
87' Sevilla Adrià Pedrosa 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Chidera Ejuke
90' Mallorca Abdón Prats 0.03 Set Piece Blocked Shot Dani Rodríguez
93' Mallorca Marc Domenech 0.02 From Corner Blocked Shot

Players

Sevilla

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Chidera Ejuke FWL 90 0 0 3 6 0.11 0.21 0.32
Djibril Sow MC 90 0 0 1 2 0.09 0.05 0.16
Loic Bade DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.13
Saúl Ñíguez MC 90 0 0 2 1 0.05 0.09 0.16
Adrià Pedrosa DL 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.05 0.33
José Ángel Carmona DR 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.04 0.08
Ørjan Nyland GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dodi Lukebakio FWR 71 0 0 4 1 0.12 0.03 0.21
Nemanja Gudelj DC 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.17
Albert Sambi Lokonga MC 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Kelechi Iheanacho FW 63 0 0 2 2 0.09 0.07 0.15
Isaac Romero Sub 27 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Juanlu Sanchez Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jesús Navas Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marcão Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Lucien Agoume Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Mallorca

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Raíllo DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.19
Johan Mojica DL 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.03 0.22
Leo Román GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Martin Valjent DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.23
Pablo Maffeo DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.09
Samú Costa MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.19
Vedat Muriqi FW 83 0 0 5 2 0.72 0.09 0.76
Sergi Darder MC 83 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.06 0.03
Manuel Morlanes MC 74 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.26
Antonio Sánchez FWR 66 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.14 0.19
Cyle Larin FWL 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Takuma Asano Sub 24 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Dani Rodríguez Sub 24 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.04
Omar Mascarell Sub 16 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Abdón Prats Sub 7 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.00
Marc Domenech Sub 7 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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