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Mallorca v Valencia — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 29 November 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

2–1
0.72 – 1.33 xG
Shots
9 – 7
On target
3 – 1
Shots in box
7 – 5
xG per shot
0.08 – 0.19
Set-piece xG
0.02 – 0.92
Goals − xG
+1.28 – -0.33
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.71.11.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Luis Rioja 31' — goalCyle Larin 47' — goalAbdón Prats 80' — goal
Mallorca 0.72 xGValencia 1.33 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Raíllo 13' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Cyle Larin 17' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Diego López 22' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Enzo Barrenechea 24' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, From Corner)Luis Rioja 31' — Goal (0.74 xG, )Cyle Larin 35' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Dani Rodríguez 44' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Enzo Barrenechea 45' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Cyle Larin 47' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Roberto Navarro 50' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Manuel Morlanes 55' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Roberto Navarro 56' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Diego López 58' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Abdón Prats 80' — Goal (0.33 xG, Open Play)Dimitri Foulquier 85' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Dani Gómez 89' — Missed Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)
Mallorca attacking right Valencia attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
13' Mallorca Raíllo 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Dani Rodríguez
17' Mallorca Cyle Larin 0.06 Open Play Missed Shot Roberto Navarro
22' Valencia Diego López 0.08 Open Play Missed Shot José Gayá
24' Valencia Enzo Barrenechea 0.12 From Corner Missed Shot Javier Guerra
31' Valencia Luis Rioja 0.74 Left Foot Goal
35' Mallorca Cyle Larin 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Sergi Darder
44' Mallorca Dani Rodríguez 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
45' Valencia Enzo Barrenechea 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Dimitri Foulquier
47' Mallorca Cyle Larin 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Goal Dani Rodríguez
50' Mallorca Roberto Navarro 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
55' Mallorca Manuel Morlanes 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Roberto Navarro
56' Mallorca Roberto Navarro 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
58' Valencia Diego López 0.03 From Corner Missed Shot Javier Guerra
80' Mallorca Abdón Prats 0.33 Open Play Goal Sergi Darder
85' Valencia Dimitri Foulquier 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot André Almeida
89' Valencia Dani Gómez 0.31 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot José Gayá

Players

Valencia

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Enzo Barrenechea MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.15 0.00 0.11
Diego López ML 90 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.42
Dimitri Foulquier DR 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.03 0.11
Yarek Gasiorowski DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Giorgi Mamardashvili GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
César Tárrega DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Cristhian Mosquera DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Hugo Duro FW 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
José Gayá DL 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.39 0.39
Luis Rioja MR 81 1 0 1 0 0.74 0.00 0.08
Javier Guerra MC 81 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.15 0.08
Pepelu Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.31
German Valera Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.31
Dani Gómez Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.31 0.00 0.31
André Almeida Sub 1 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.31

Mallorca

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Manuel Morlanes DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.43
Raíllo DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.39
Sergi Darder AML 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.39 0.43
Samú Costa DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.46
Dominik Greif GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.33
Johan Mojica DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Martin Valjent DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Cyle Larin FW 85 1 0 3 0 0.20 0.00 0.24
Mateu Morey DR 84 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.17
Roberto Navarro AMR 76 0 0 2 2 0.08 0.10 0.25
Dani Rodríguez AMC 76 0 1 1 2 0.06 0.09 0.13
Valery Fernández Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Antonio Sánchez Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.33
Pablo Maffeo Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.33
Abdón Prats Sub 5 1 0 1 0 0.33 0.00 0.33
Omar Mascarell Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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