Manchester City v Burnley — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 31 January 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
14 – 8
On target
4 – 3
Shots in box
9 – 6
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.19
Set-piece xG
0.63 – 0.11
Goals − xG
+1.15 – -0.49
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Manchester City 1.85 xGBurnley 1.49 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Manchester City attacking right
Burnley attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6' |
 Manchester City |
Kevin De Bruyne | 0.04 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 12' |
 Burnley |
Wilson Odobert | 0.11 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Josh Brownhill |
| 14' |
Manchester City |
Matheus Nunes | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Jéremy Doku |
| 15' |
Manchester City |
Julián Álvarez | 0.59 | Open Play | — | Goal | Matheus Nunes |
| 17' |
Manchester City |
Kevin De Bruyne | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Jéremy Doku |
| 21' |
Manchester City |
Julián Álvarez | 0.48 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Goal | Kevin De Bruyne |
| 25' |
Burnley |
Sander Berge | 0.08 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Josh Brownhill |
| 26' |
Manchester City |
Matheus Nunes | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Rodri |
| 34' |
Manchester City |
Josko Gvardiol | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Matheus Nunes |
| 42' |
Burnley |
Lyle Foster | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Johann Berg Gudmundsson |
| 45' |
Manchester City |
Rodri | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Phil Foden |
| 46' |
Burnley |
Zeki Amdouni | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Josh Brownhill |
| 50' |
Manchester City |
Phil Foden | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Matheus Nunes |
| 51' |
Burnley |
Zeki Amdouni | 0.29 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Johann Berg Gudmundsson |
| 53' |
Manchester City |
Phil Foden | 0.05 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Jéremy Doku |
| 63' |
Burnley |
Josh Brownhill | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Sander Berge |
| 69' |
Manchester City |
Kevin De Bruyne | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Jéremy Doku |
| 72' |
Manchester City |
Josko Gvardiol | 0.06 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | — |
| 81' |
Burnley |
Hjalmar Ekdal | 0.03 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 84' |
Manchester City |
Erling Haaland | 0.07 | Open Play | — | Blocked Shot | Matheus Nunes |
| 84' |
Manchester City |
Erling Haaland | 0.11 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 92' |
Burnley |
Ameen Al Dakhil | 0.87 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | David Datro Fofana |
Players
Burnley
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ameen Al Dakhil DL | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 1.02 |
| Sander Berge MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 0.33 |
| Josh Brownhill MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| Dara O'Shea DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Vitinho DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| James Trafford GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Hjalmar Ekdal DC | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Wilson Odobert ML | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Zeki Amdouni FW | 61 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| Lyle Foster FW | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Johann Berg Gudmundsson MR | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| Aaron Ramsey Sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| David Datro Fofana Sub | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.87 | 0.04 |
| Connor Roberts Sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Anass Zaroury Sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Han-Noah Massengo Sub | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Manchester City
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josko Gvardiol DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| Matheus Nunes DMC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0.13 | 0.81 | 0.99 |
| John Stones DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Nathan Aké DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| Rico Lewis DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| Ederson GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Jéremy Doku AML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| Julián Álvarez FW | 89 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.08 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
| Rodri DMC | 89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.22 |
| Phil Foden AMR | 79 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Kevin De Bruyne AMC | 73 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.48 | 0.17 |
| Erling Haaland Sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| Jack Grealish Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Mateo Kovacic Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sergio Gómez Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |