Manchester United v Aston Villa — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 26 December 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
13 – 10
On target
7 – 3
Shots in box
8 – 7
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.18
Set-piece xG
0.14 – 0.87
Goals − xG
+1.80 – +0.16
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Manchester United 1.20 xGAston Villa 1.84 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Manchester United attacking right
Aston Villa attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' |
 Aston Villa |
John McGinn | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 10' |
 Manchester United |
Christian Eriksen | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 15' |
Aston Villa |
Leon Bailey | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Douglas Luiz |
| 20' |
Aston Villa |
John McGinn | 0.02 | Direct Freekick | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 25' |
Aston Villa |
Leander Dendoncker | 0.76 | From Corner | Right Foot | Goal | Clement Lenglet |
| 30' |
Manchester United |
Bruno Fernandes | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Christian Eriksen |
| 30' |
Manchester United |
Marcus Rashford | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
| 33' |
Manchester United |
Christian Eriksen | 0.03 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 34' |
Manchester United |
Marcus Rashford | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Rasmus Højlund |
| 35' |
Manchester United |
Diogo Dalot | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | André Onana |
| 42' |
Aston Villa |
Douglas Luiz | 0.05 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Lucas Digne |
| 42' |
Aston Villa |
Ezri Konsa Ngoyo | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | John McGinn |
| 43' |
Manchester United |
Marcus Rashford | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
| 56' |
Manchester United |
Bruno Fernandes | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Alejandro Garnacho |
| 58' |
Manchester United |
Alejandro Garnacho | 0.44 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Marcus Rashford |
| 59' |
Aston Villa |
Jacob Ramsey | 0.14 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Leon Bailey |
| 59' |
Aston Villa |
Leon Bailey | 0.12 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Álex Moreno |
| 61' |
Aston Villa |
Diego Carlos | 0.08 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Douglas Luiz |
| 62' |
Manchester United |
Alejandro Garnacho | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | André Onana |
| 70' |
Manchester United |
Alejandro Garnacho | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 71' |
Aston Villa |
John McGinn | 0.47 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Álex Moreno |
| 81' |
Manchester United |
Rasmus Højlund | 0.11 | From Corner | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 91' |
Manchester United |
Alejandro Garnacho | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
Players
Aston Villa
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leander Dendoncker DMC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.76 | 0.00 | 0.59 |
| John McGinn AMC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 0.09 | 0.75 |
| Ezri Konsa Ngoyo DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.62 |
| Diego Carlos DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Douglas Luiz DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| Clement Lenglet DC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| Ollie Watkins FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Emiliano Martinez GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.19 |
| Jacob Ramsey AML | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
| Leon Bailey AMR | 81 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.34 |
| Lucas Digne DL | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Álex Moreno Sub | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| Nicolo Zaniolo Sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Moussa Diaby Sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Tim Iroegbunam Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jhon Durán Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Manchester United
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Garnacho AMR | 90 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.64 | 0.03 | 0.76 |
| Bruno Fernandes AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.86 |
| Rasmus Højlund FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Diogo Dalot DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Christian Eriksen DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.28 |
| Jonny Evans DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.24 |
| Raphael Varane DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| André Onana GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| Aaron Wan-Bissaka DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| Kobbie Mainoo DMC | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| Marcus Rashford AML | 84 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.44 | 0.66 |
| Antony Sub | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Scott McTominay Sub | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Daniel Gore Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Hannibal Mejbri Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Willy Kambwala Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |