Manisa v İstanbulspor — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · TUR-1. Lig · 2627

TUR-1. Lig results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Manisa

16:00 UTC

İstanbulspor

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 268h before kick-off

Manisa win

55.2%

model 56.4%

Draw

22.4%

model 23.4%

İstanbulspor win

22.4%

model 20.3%

552222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,259 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.6%
2-1 9.7%
2-0 8.0%
3-1 6.8%
1-0 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.2%	Under 2.5	35.8%
BTTS yes	62.9%	BTTS no	37.1%
Manisa 1+	87.7%	Manisa 2+	61.9%
İstanbulspor 1+	70.2%	İstanbulspor 2+	34.2%

Expected goals 2.09 – 1.21. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Manisa over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 44%

62.4% fair odds 1.60

strong signal · 9927 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Manisa or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Manisa have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while İstanbulspor have allowed 1.35.
At home Manisa average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Manisa have only 0 matches on record.
İstanbulspor have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Manisa have an estimated 55.2% win probability, against 22.4% for the draw and 22.4% for İstanbulspor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.09 for Manisa and 1.21 for İstanbulspor.

Why Manisa

Manisa have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while İstanbulspor have allowed 1.35. At home Manisa average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.4%.

Why İstanbulspor can win

İstanbulspor have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Manisa have allowed 1.35. Away from home İstanbulspor average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Manisa, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for İstanbulspor, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Manisa: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. İstanbulspor: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Manisa are the model's most likely outcome at 55.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	562320	2.09–1.21	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	602218	2.28–1.22	2-1 10%	68%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa to win	56.4%	58.2%	45.5%	1.28×	1.72
Draw	23.4%	23.6%	23.0%	1.03×	4.23
İstanbulspor to win	20.3%	23.6%	32.0%	0.74×	4.23

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa & both teams score	31.5%	30.8%	18.5%	1.67×	3.24
Manisa & not both score	24.8%	21.7%	27.5%	0.79×	4.61
Draw & both teams score	18.4%	18.1%	16.2%	1.12×	5.52
İstanbulspor & both teams score	12.9%	12.7%	16.7%	0.76×	7.88
İstanbulspor & not both score	7.4%	7.6%	15.8%	0.49×	13.08
Draw & not both score	4.9%	4.2%	7.2%	0.58×	23.90

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa & over 1.5	49.9%	46.3%	37.4%	1.24×	2.16
Manisa & over 2.5	41.9%	42.9%	30.2%	1.42×	2.33
Manisa & under 3.5	29.8%	26.4%	25.2%	1.05×	3.79
Manisa & over 3.5	26.6%	26.4%	20.7%	1.27×	3.79
Draw & over 1.5	18.4%	17.7%	16.2%	1.09×	5.64
İstanbulspor & over 1.5	17.1%	17.7%	26.6%	0.67×	5.64
Draw & under 2.5	15.5%	17.7%	19.4%	0.92×	5.64
Draw & under 3.5	15.5%	17.7%	19.4%	0.92×	5.64
Manisa & under 2.5	14.4%	12.4%	15.8%	0.79×	8.05
İstanbulspor & over 2.5	14.4%	12.4%	23.9%	0.52×	8.05
İstanbulspor & under 3.5	12.6%	12.4%	19.8%	0.63×	8.06
Manisa & under 1.5	6.4%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	7.9%	7.6%	4.1%	1.87×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	7.9%	7.6%	4.1%	1.87×	13.21
İstanbulspor & over 3.5	7.7%	7.6%	12.6%	0.60×	13.21
İstanbulspor & under 2.5	5.9%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.21
Draw & under 1.5	4.9%	4.4%	7.2%	0.61×	22.79
İstanbulspor & under 1.5	3.2%	4.4%	5.9%	0.75×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa (1UP)	71.7%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
İstanbulspor (1UP)	41.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa (2UP)	56.4%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
İstanbulspor (2UP)	20.3%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa to win 2nd half	46.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
2nd half drawn	31.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
İstanbulspor to win 2nd half	22.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
İstanbulspor over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.7%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
İstanbulspor under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.3%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
İstanbulspor over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.7%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Manisa under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.5%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Manisa over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.5%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Manisa under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.3%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor (+2.5)	82.3%	83.2%	82.9%	1.00×	1.20
Manisa (+0.5)	79.7%	78.0%	68.0%	1.15×	1.28
İstanbulspor (+1.5)	64.9%	62.7%	69.8%	0.90×	1.60
Manisa (-0.5)	56.4%	58.3%	45.5%	1.28×	1.71
İstanbulspor (+0.5)	43.7%	41.7%	54.5%	0.76×	2.40
Manisa (-1.5)	35.1%	37.3%	30.2%	1.24×	2.68
İstanbulspor (-0.5)	20.3%	22.0%	32.0%	0.69×	4.55
Manisa (-2.5)	17.7%	16.8%	17.1%	0.98×	5.95

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor to concede	87.7%	88.1%	77.5%	1.14×	1.14
İstanbulspor clean sheet	12.3%	11.9%	22.5%	0.53×	8.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor to concede in 1st half	59.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
İstanbulspor clean sheet in 1st half	40.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor to concede in 2nd half	69.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
İstanbulspor clean sheet in 2nd half	30.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor under 3.5 goals	96.5%	97.3%	92.3%	1.05×	1.03
İstanbulspor under 2.5 goals	87.7%	87.1%	81.5%	1.07×	1.15
İstanbulspor over 0.5 goals	70.2%	71.6%	65.8%	1.09×	1.40
İstanbulspor under 1.5 goals	65.8%	67.5%	67.1%	1.01×	1.48
İstanbulspor over 1.5 goals	34.2%	32.5%	32.9%	0.99×	3.08
İstanbulspor under 0.5 goals	29.8%	28.4%	34.2%	0.83×	3.52
İstanbulspor over 2.5 goals	12.3%	12.9%	18.5%	0.70×	7.76
İstanbulspor over 3.5 goals	3.5%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	37.10

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
İstanbulspor under 0.5 in 1st half	61.6%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
İstanbulspor over 0.5 in 1st half	38.4%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
İstanbulspor over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	6.2%	—	—	16.10

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor scores equally in both	41.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
İstanbulspor scores more in 2nd half	37.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
İstanbulspor scores more in 1st half	21.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa (away no bet)	70.7%	72.3%	66.4%	1.09×	1.38
Draw (away no bet)	29.3%	27.7%	33.6%	0.82×	3.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor even goals	54.4%	53.6%	54.5%	0.98×	1.87
İstanbulspor odd goals	45.6%	46.4%	45.5%	1.02×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.9%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.1%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.1%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.9%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Manisa to score 2+ in a row	52.6%	51.4%	—	—	1.94
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.4%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Manisa to score 3+ in a row	24.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
İstanbulspor to score 2+ in a row	23.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
İstanbulspor to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	7.7%	—	—	13.00

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.6%	11.2%	12.6%	0.89×	8.91
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.45
Any other score	6.9%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.45
1-0	6.4%	7.4%	8.6%	0.87×	13.45
1-2	5.6%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.45
2-0	8.0%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.45
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.45
3-0	5.6%	7.4%	4.1%	1.83×	13.45
3-1	6.8%	7.4%	5.0%	1.50×	13.45
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.35
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.35
0-0	4.9%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	58.34
0-1	3.2%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.34
0-2	2.7%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.34
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	5.0%	0.35×	58.35
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.35
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.34
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.35
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.34
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.90×	58.35
3-2	4.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.90×	58.34
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.90×	58.34
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.35
4-0	2.9%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.34
4-1	3.6%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.34
4-2	2.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa (2nd half DNB)	67.9%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
İstanbulspor (2nd half DNB)	32.1%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa leading at HT (DNB)	69.9%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
İstanbulspor leading at HT (DNB)	30.1%	28.3%	—	—	3.54

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa or draw (1X)	79.7%	76.4%	68.0%	1.12×	1.31
Manisa or İstanbulspor (12)	76.6%	76.4%	77.0%	0.99×	1.31
İstanbulspor or draw (X2)	43.7%	41.8%	54.5%	0.77×	2.40

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa or draw at HT	81.2%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Manisa or İstanbulspor at HT	62.4%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
İstanbulspor or draw at HT	56.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa or draw (1UP)	79.7%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
İstanbulspor or draw (1UP)	43.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa or draw in 2nd half	77.9%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Manisa or İstanbulspor in 2nd half	68.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
İstanbulspor or draw in 2nd half	53.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.7%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Neither half drawn	44.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa (DNB)	73.5%	72.6%	58.7%	1.24×	1.38
İstanbulspor (DNB)	26.5%	27.4%	41.3%	0.66×	3.64

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa to score first	60.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
İstanbulspor to score first	34.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
No goal scored	4.9%	4.8%	—	—	21.04

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.9%	59.0%	50.5%	1.17×	1.70
Not both teams to score	37.1%	41.0%	49.6%	0.83×	2.44

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.3%	48.5%	38.3%	1.27×	2.06
Not both score & under 2.5	25.2%	31.4%	30.6%	1.03×	3.18
Not both score & over 2.5	11.9%	11.9%	19.4%	0.61×	8.41
Both score & under 2.5	10.6%	11.9%	12.6%	0.94×	8.41

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.8%	80.1%	90.1%	0.89×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	21.2%	19.9%	9.9%	2.01×	5.03

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.5%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.77

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	48.7%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Both score 2nd half only	28.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Both score 1st half only	14.8%	11.9%	—	—	8.39
Both score in both halves	8.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.43

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	23.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
A half without a goal	35.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.74

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.4%	43.6%	43.2%	1.01×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.0%	35.3%	32.9%	1.07×	2.83
0-1 goals	14.5%	14.9%	20.7%	0.72×	6.70
7+ goals	5.1%	6.6%	4.1%	1.63×	15.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor to score exactly 1	36.1%	36.0%	33.3%	1.08×	2.78
İstanbulspor to score exactly 0	29.8%	27.4%	34.2%	0.80×	3.65
İstanbulspor to score exactly 2	21.9%	23.2%	14.9%	1.56×	4.30
İstanbulspor to score 3+	12.3%	13.0%	18.5%	0.70×	7.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa to score 3+	34.9%	32.2%	25.7%	1.26×	3.10
Manisa to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.4%	18.9%	1.40×	3.78
Manisa to score exactly 1	25.8%	26.4%	33.8%	0.78×	3.78
Manisa to score exactly 0	12.3%	13.3%	22.5%	0.59×	7.53

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa leading at HT	43.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Draw at HT	37.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
İstanbulspor leading at HT	18.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.17

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa -1: 2	43.7%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
Manisa -1: 1	35.1%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Manisa -1: X	21.3%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor (0:1)	43.7%	41.1%	54.5%	0.75×	2.44
Manisa (0:1)	35.1%	36.2%	30.2%	1.20×	2.77
Draw (0:1)	21.3%	23.6%	15.8%	1.49×	4.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor (0:2)	64.9%	67.2%	69.8%	0.96×	1.49
Manisa (0:2)	17.7%	15.7%	17.1%	0.92×	6.38
Draw (0:2)	17.4%	15.7%	13.5%	1.16×	6.38

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor (0:3)	82.3%	84.4%	82.9%	1.02×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	10.2%	11.6%	8.1%	1.43×	8.65
Manisa (0:3)	7.5%	6.5%	9.5%	0.69×	15.40

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor (0:4)	92.5%	93.3%	90.5%	1.03×	1.07
Draw (0:4)	4.8%	1.4%	5.9%	0.24×	70.60
Manisa (0:4)	2.7%	1.4%	4.1%	0.35×	70.68

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa (1:0)	79.7%	76.9%	68.0%	1.13×	1.30
Draw (1:0)	11.8%	12.5%	15.3%	0.82×	7.97
İstanbulspor (1:0)	8.5%	7.5%	17.1%	0.44×	13.39

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa (2:0)	91.5%	92.9%	82.9%	1.12×	1.08
Draw (2:0)	5.8%	6.6%	6.8%	0.98×	15.12
İstanbulspor (2:0)	2.7%	2.8%	10.8%	0.26×	35.91

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.0%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	24.1%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa to concede	70.2%	71.9%	65.8%	1.09×	1.39
Manisa clean sheet	29.8%	28.1%	34.2%	0.82×	3.57

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa clean sheet in 1st half	61.6%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Manisa to concede in 1st half	38.4%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa clean sheet in 2nd half	48.3%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
Manisa to concede in 2nd half	51.7%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa over 0.5 goals	87.7%	87.3%	77.5%	1.13×	1.15
Manisa under 3.5 goals	84.0%	82.3%	84.2%	0.98×	1.22
Manisa under 2.5 goals	65.1%	68.3%	74.3%	0.92×	1.46
Manisa over 1.5 goals	61.9%	62.4%	44.1%	1.41×	1.60
Manisa under 1.5 goals	38.1%	37.6%	55.9%	0.67×	2.66
Manisa over 2.5 goals	34.9%	31.7%	25.7%	1.24×	3.15
Manisa over 3.5 goals	16.0%	17.7%	15.8%	1.12×	5.66
Manisa under 0.5 goals	12.3%	12.7%	22.5%	0.56×	7.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa under 1.5 in 1st half	77.2%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Manisa over 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Manisa under 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.36
Manisa over 1.5 in 1st half	22.8%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa scores more in 2nd half	42.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Manisa scores equally in both	29.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Manisa scores more in 1st half	27.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.6%	52.0%	41.8%	1.24×	1.92
İstanbulspor (home no bet)	46.4%	48.0%	58.2%	0.82×	2.08

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa even goals	50.8%	50.9%	53.6%	0.95×	1.96
Manisa odd goals	49.2%	49.1%	46.4%	1.06×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
HT 1-0	22.3%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
HT 0-1	11.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 1-1	11.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
Any other HT score	7.5%	8.0%	—	—	12.54
HT 2-1	4.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.36
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.45
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.5%	—	—	40.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa at HT / Manisa at FT	36.2%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
Draw at HT / Manisa at FT	16.8%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
İstanbulspor at HT / İstanbulspor at FT	10.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Draw at HT / İstanbulspor at FT	7.6%	6.5%	—	—	15.46
Manisa at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.4%	—	—	15.51
İstanbulspor at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.6%	—	—	27.50
İstanbulspor at HT / Manisa at FT	3.4%	3.6%	—	—	27.54
Manisa at HT / İstanbulspor at FT	2.0%	3.6%	—	—	27.58

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa to score last	60.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
İstanbulspor to score last	34.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
No goal scored	4.9%	4.8%	—	—	21.04

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.1%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Manisa to lead by 1 at any time	71.7%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Manisa to lead by 2 at any time	43.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
İstanbulspor to lead by 1 at any time	41.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.3%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Manisa to lead by 3 at any time	21.2%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
İstanbulspor to lead by 2 at any time	14.4%	11.1%	—	—	9.04
İstanbulspor to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	2.6%	—	—	37.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.3%	82.1%	85.1%	0.96×	1.22
2-6 goals	80.4%	82.1%	75.7%	1.08×	1.22
2-5 goals	73.7%	72.2%	71.6%	1.01×	1.39
1-4 goals	71.2%	72.2%	73.4%	0.98×	1.39
2-4 goals	61.6%	62.7%	59.9%	1.05×	1.60
3-6 goals	59.1%	58.9%	53.6%	1.10×	1.70
1-3 goals	53.0%	52.9%	56.8%	0.93×	1.89
3-5 goals	52.4%	52.9%	49.6%	1.07×	1.89
2-3 goals	43.4%	43.6%	43.2%	1.01×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	37.8%	1.15×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.0%	39.0%	32.9%	1.19×	2.56
1-2 goals	30.9%	34.7%	36.0%	0.96×	2.88
4-5 goals	30.3%	34.7%	28.8%	1.20×	2.88
5-6 goals	18.7%	18.9%	16.2%	1.16×	5.30
7+ goals	5.1%	8.9%	4.1%	2.20×	11.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa never behind	53.8%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
İstanbulspor never behind	23.4%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	52.6%	50.1%	50.0%	1.00×	2.00
Odd number of goals	47.4%	49.9%	50.0%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.6%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.9%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.1%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.1%	96.0%	92.8%	1.03×	1.04
Under 5.5 goals	88.2%	87.8%	91.9%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.5%	87.8%	79.3%	1.11×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	76.2%	77.0%	80.2%	0.96×	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	64.2%	62.0%	57.2%	1.08×	1.61
Under 3.5 goals	57.9%	57.8%	63.5%	0.91×	1.73
Over 3.5 goals	42.1%	42.2%	36.5%	1.16×	2.37
Under 2.5 goals	35.8%	38.0%	42.8%	0.89×	2.63
Over 4.5 goals	23.8%	23.0%	19.8%	1.16×	4.34
Under 1.5 goals	14.5%	12.2%	20.7%	0.59×	8.21
Over 5.5 goals	11.8%	12.2%	8.1%	1.50×	8.21
Under 0.5 goals	4.9%	4.0%	7.2%	0.55×	25.18

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.5%	92.0%	95.8%	0.96×	1.09
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.6%	86.6%	90.8%	0.95×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.6%	81.5%	73.4%	1.11×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.8%	72.1%	76.2%	0.95×	1.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.0%	52.0%	46.0%	1.13×	1.92
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.0%	48.0%	54.0%	0.89×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.2%	27.9%	23.8%	1.17×	3.58
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.4%	18.5%	26.6%	0.70×	5.40
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.4%	13.4%	9.2%	1.46×	7.48
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.5%	8.0%	4.2%	1.89×	12.52

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.7%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.8%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.5%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.5%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.9%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.8%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor not to score in both halves	80.1%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Manisa not to score in both halves	58.6%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Manisa to score in both halves	41.4%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
İstanbulspor to score in both halves	19.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.9%	61.2%	50.5%	1.21×	1.63
Only Manisa scores	24.8%	21.6%	27.5%	0.78×	4.64
Only İstanbulspor scores	7.4%	7.1%	15.8%	0.45×	14.09
Neither team scores	4.9%	4.1%	7.2%	0.56×	24.65

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.3%	21.2%	1.05×	4.49
Exactly 2 goals	21.3%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	17.6%	17.1%	1.03×	5.68
Exactly 5 goals	12.1%	12.3%	12.2%	1.01×	8.14
6 or more goals	11.8%	12.3%	8.1%	1.51×	8.14
Exactly 1 goals	9.6%	7.8%	14.0%	0.56×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	4.9%	4.0%	7.2%	0.56×	24.72

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
No goals in 1st half	25.2%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
2 goals in 1st half	24.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
3+ goals in 1st half	16.3%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.6%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
1 goal in 2nd half	27.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
No goals in 2nd half	15.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.12

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor not to win both halves	95.7%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Manisa not to win both halves	79.4%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Manisa to win both halves	20.6%	18.4%	—	—	5.44
İstanbulspor to win both halves	4.3%	2.7%	—	—	36.64

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Manisa to win either half	69.6%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
İstanbulspor to win neither half	63.4%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
İstanbulspor to win either half	36.6%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Manisa to win neither half	30.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
İstanbulspor not to win to nil	92.6%	92.4%	84.2%	1.10×	1.08
Manisa not to win to nil	75.2%	78.4%	72.5%	1.08×	1.28
Manisa to win to nil	24.8%	21.6%	27.5%	0.79×	4.63
İstanbulspor to win to nil	7.4%	7.6%	15.8%	0.48×	13.08

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.4%	23.4%	23.0%	1.02×	4.27
Manisa by 1	21.3%	23.4%	15.8%	1.48×	4.27
Manisa by 2	17.4%	17.2%	13.5%	1.28×	5.80
Manisa by 3+	17.7%	17.2%	17.1%	1.01×	5.80
İstanbulspor by 1	11.8%	11.8%	15.3%	0.77×	8.45
İstanbulspor by 2	5.8%	7.3%	6.8%	1.07×	13.77
İstanbulspor by 3+	2.7%	3.0%	10.8%	0.28×	33.46