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Marseille v Auxerre — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 8 November 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

1–3
2.03 – 2.09 xG
Shots
19 – 10
On target
5 – 6
Shots in box
14 – 8
xG per shot
0.11 – 0.21
Set-piece xG
1.08 – 0.11
Goals − xG
-1.03 – +0.91
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.21.82.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Lassine Sinayoko 9' — goalGaetan Perrin 42' — goalHamed Junior Traore 44' — goalMason Greenwood 64' — goal
Marseille 2.03 xGAuxerre 2.09 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Gabriel Osho 2' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, From Corner)Gaetan Perrin 3' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Lassine Sinayoko 9' — Goal (0.21 xG, Open Play)Lilian Brassier 13' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Pol Lirola 19' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Jonathan Rowe 23' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Adrien Rabiot 26' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Quentin Merlin 28' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Hamed Junior Traore 29' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Neal Maupay 30' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Neal Maupay 34' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Lassine Sinayoko 35' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Neal Maupay 40' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Gaetan Perrin 42' — Goal (0.93 xG, Open Play)Hamed Junior Traore 44' — Goal (0.33 xG, Open Play)Hamed Junior Traore 48' — Shot On Post (0.35 xG, Open Play)Jonathan Rowe 48' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Luis Henrique 52' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ismaël Koné 54' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 54' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Lassine Sinayoko 55' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mason Greenwood 62' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Mason Greenwood 64' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Sepe Elye Wahi 70' — Saved Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Adrien Rabiot 73' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Gaetan Perrin 75' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mason Greenwood 76' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 93' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Adrien Rabiot 94' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)
Marseille attacking right Auxerre attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Auxerre Gabriel Osho 0.11 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot
3' Auxerre Gaetan Perrin 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ki-Jana Hoever
9' Auxerre Lassine Sinayoko 0.21 Open Play Right Foot Goal Donovan Léon
13' Marseille Lilian Brassier 0.07 From Corner Missed Shot Mason Greenwood
19' Marseille Pol Lirola 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Mason Greenwood
23' Marseille Jonathan Rowe 0.04 Open Play Missed Shot Mason Greenwood
26' Marseille Adrien Rabiot 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Pol Lirola
28' Marseille Quentin Merlin 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Neal Maupay
29' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
30' Marseille Neal Maupay 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mason Greenwood
34' Marseille Neal Maupay 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
35' Auxerre Lassine Sinayoko 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Hamed Junior Traore
40' Marseille Neal Maupay 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Mason Greenwood
42' Auxerre Gaetan Perrin 0.93 Open Play Right Foot Goal Lassine Sinayoko
44' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.33 Open Play Left Foot Goal Gaetan Perrin
48' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.35 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Ki-Jana Hoever
48' Marseille Jonathan Rowe 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mason Greenwood
52' Marseille Luis Henrique 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
54' Marseille Ismaël Koné 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Luis Henrique
54' Marseille Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 0.08 From Corner Blocked Shot Mason Greenwood
55' Auxerre Lassine Sinayoko 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Gideon Mensah
62' Marseille Mason Greenwood 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
64' Marseille Mason Greenwood 0.76 Right Foot Goal
70' Marseille Sepe Elye Wahi 0.32 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Leonardo Balerdi
73' Marseille Adrien Rabiot 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
75' Auxerre Gaetan Perrin 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ki-Jana Hoever
76' Marseille Mason Greenwood 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Sepe Elye Wahi
93' Marseille Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 0.07 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
94' Marseille Adrien Rabiot 0.09 Open Play Missed Shot Mason Greenwood

Players

Marseille

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Mason Greenwood AMR 90 1 0 3 8 0.83 0.55 0.69
Adrien Rabiot DMC 90 0 0 3 0 0.18 0.00 0.24
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg DMC 90 0 0 2 2 0.15 0.07 0.63
Luis Henrique AMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.01 0.15
Leonardo Balerdi DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.32 0.49
Gerónimo Rulli GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Pol Lirola DR 81 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.05 0.27
Lilian Brassier DC 70 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.14
Neal Maupay FW 50 0 0 3 1 0.25 0.04 0.23
Jonathan Rowe AML 50 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.24
Quentin Merlin DL 50 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.11
Sepe Elye Wahi Sub 40 0 0 1 1 0.32 0.01 0.33
Ismaël Koné Sub 40 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.10
Ulisses García Sub 40 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.35
Geoffrey Kondogbia Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.33
Amir Murillo Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Auxerre

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Hamed Junior Traore AMC 90 1 0 3 1 0.69 0.04 1.70
Gabriel Osho DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.00
Clément Akpa DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Donovan Léon GK 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.21 0.21
Elisha Owusu MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Gideon Mensah DML 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 1.00
Ki-Jana Hoever DMR 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.43 0.43
Rayan Raveloson DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.39
Gaetan Perrin AMC 89 1 1 3 1 1.00 0.33 1.37
Kévin Danois MC 83 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Lassine Sinayoko FW 82 1 1 3 1 0.29 0.93 1.21
Assane Diousse Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Theo Bair Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ado Onaiwu Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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