Meshakhte Tkibuli v FC Rustavi — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 14 September 2026 · GEO-Erovnuli Liga · 2627

GEO-Erovnuli Liga results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Meshakhte Tkibuli

12:00 UTC

FC Rustavi

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 120h before kick-off

Meshakhte Tkibuli win

18.6%

model 19.3%

Draw

28.2%

model 28.6%

FC Rustavi win

53.2%

model 52.1%

192853

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,549 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 14.3%
1-1 13.2%
0-0 11.4%
0-2 11.2%
1-2 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.4%	Under 2.5	60.6%
BTTS yes	43.2%	BTTS no	56.8%
Meshakhte Tkibuli 1+	54.8%	Meshakhte Tkibuli 2+	18.9%
FC Rustavi 1+	77.0%	FC Rustavi 2+	43.1%

Expected goals 0.79 – 1.47. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

FC Rustavi (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 46%

72.5% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 2950 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Rustavi or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Away from home FC Rustavi average 1.35 xG a match.
They have had 14 days' rest to Meshakhte Tkibuli's 9.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Meshakhte Tkibuli have only 1 matches on record.
FC Rustavi have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Rustavi have an estimated 53.2% win probability, against 28.2% for the draw and 18.6% for Meshakhte Tkibuli. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.79 for Meshakhte Tkibuli and 1.47 for FC Rustavi.

Why Meshakhte Tkibuli

Nothing in the data singles out Meshakhte Tkibuli.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.2%. A combined 2.26 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why FC Rustavi can win

Away from home FC Rustavi average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to Meshakhte Tkibuli's 9.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Meshakhte Tkibuli, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Rustavi, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Meshakhte Tkibuli: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Rustavi: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

FC Rustavi are the model's most likely outcome at 53.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 14.3%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	192952	0.79–1.47	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	142957	0.60–1.43	0-1 18%	33%	35%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi to win	52.1%	51.2%	34.3%	1.49×	1.95
Draw	28.7%	27.1%	25.7%	1.06×	3.69
Meshakhte Tkibuli to win	19.3%	17.9%	40.3%	0.44×	5.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi & not both score	33.8%	30.9%	17.0%	1.82×	3.24
FC Rustavi & both teams score	18.3%	18.1%	17.7%	1.03×	5.52
Draw & both teams score	17.2%	18.1%	18.0%	1.01×	5.52
Meshakhte Tkibuli & not both score	11.6%	12.7%	21.3%	0.59×	7.88
Draw & not both score	11.5%	12.7%	8.0%	1.59×	7.88
Meshakhte Tkibuli & both teams score	7.7%	7.6%	19.3%	0.40×	13.08

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi & under 3.5	39.9%	36.6%	24.3%	1.50×	2.74
FC Rustavi & over 1.5	37.8%	36.6%	25.0%	1.46×	2.74
FC Rustavi & over 2.5	26.6%	26.4%	20.7%	1.28×	3.79
FC Rustavi & under 2.5	25.5%	26.4%	14.0%	1.88×	3.79
Draw & under 2.5	24.6%	21.8%	19.3%	1.13×	4.58
Draw & under 3.5	24.6%	21.8%	19.3%	1.13×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	17.2%	17.7%	18.0%	0.98×	5.64
Meshakhte Tkibuli & under 3.5	16.2%	17.7%	30.3%	0.58×	5.64
FC Rustavi & under 1.5	14.3%	12.4%	9.7%	1.28×	8.05
Meshakhte Tkibuli & over 1.5	12.0%	12.4%	31.3%	0.40×	8.06
Draw & under 1.5	11.5%	12.4%	8.0%	1.55×	8.06
FC Rustavi & over 3.5	12.2%	12.4%	10.3%	1.20×	8.06
Meshakhte Tkibuli & under 2.5	10.5%	12.4%	15.7%	0.79×	8.06
Meshakhte Tkibuli & under 1.5	7.2%	7.6%	9.3%	0.81×	13.21
Meshakhte Tkibuli & over 2.5	8.7%	7.6%	25.0%	0.30×	13.20
Draw & over 2.5	4.0%	4.4%	6.7%	0.66×	22.79
Draw & over 3.5	4.0%	4.4%	6.7%	0.66×	22.79
Meshakhte Tkibuli & over 3.5	3.0%	4.4%	10.3%	0.42×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (1UP)	64.0%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Meshakhte Tkibuli (1UP)	34.4%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (2UP)	52.1%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Meshakhte Tkibuli (2UP)	19.3%	19.8%	—	—	5.04

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi to win 2nd half	43.6%	41.4%	—	—	2.41
2nd half drawn	38.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Meshakhte Tkibuli to win 2nd half	17.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
FC Rustavi over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
FC Rustavi under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
FC Rustavi over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	22.0%	—	—	4.56

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.4%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
Meshakhte Tkibuli under 0.5 in 2nd half	63.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Meshakhte Tkibuli over 0.5 in 2nd half	36.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Meshakhte Tkibuli over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.6%	8.7%	—	—	11.52

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (+2.5)	98.6%	96.6%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
FC Rustavi (+1.5)	93.8%	92.3%	81.7%	1.13×	1.08
FC Rustavi (+0.5)	80.7%	83.2%	59.7%	1.39×	1.20
FC Rustavi (-0.5)	52.1%	51.8%	34.3%	1.51×	1.93
Meshakhte Tkibuli (+0.5)	47.9%	48.2%	65.7%	0.73×	2.07
Meshakhte Tkibuli (-0.5)	19.3%	16.8%	40.3%	0.42×	5.95
Meshakhte Tkibuli (-1.5)	6.2%	7.7%	18.3%	0.42×	12.98
Meshakhte Tkibuli (-2.5)	1.4%	3.4%	9.0%	0.37×	29.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi to concede	54.8%	54.6%	75.3%	0.72×	1.83
FC Rustavi clean sheet	45.2%	45.4%	24.7%	1.84×	2.20

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi clean sheet in 1st half	71.1%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
FC Rustavi to concede in 1st half	28.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi clean sheet in 2nd half	63.6%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
FC Rustavi to concede in 2nd half	36.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi under 3.5 goals	93.8%	92.2%	94.7%	0.97×	1.09
FC Rustavi under 2.5 goals	81.7%	82.5%	86.3%	0.96×	1.21
FC Rustavi over 0.5 goals	76.9%	76.4%	71.0%	1.08×	1.31
FC Rustavi under 1.5 goals	56.9%	58.9%	66.0%	0.89×	1.70
FC Rustavi over 1.5 goals	43.1%	41.1%	34.0%	1.21×	2.43
FC Rustavi under 0.5 goals	23.1%	23.6%	29.0%	0.81×	4.23
FC Rustavi over 2.5 goals	18.3%	17.5%	13.7%	1.28×	5.71
FC Rustavi over 3.5 goals	6.2%	7.8%	5.3%	1.47×	12.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi under 1.5 in 1st half	88.2%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
FC Rustavi under 0.5 in 1st half	55.6%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
FC Rustavi over 0.5 in 1st half	44.4%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
FC Rustavi over 1.5 in 1st half	11.8%	12.9%	—	—	7.76

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi scores more in 2nd half	40.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
FC Rustavi scores equally in both	36.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
FC Rustavi scores more in 1st half	23.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	59.8%	58.7%	38.9%	1.51×	1.71
Meshakhte Tkibuli (away no bet)	40.2%	41.3%	61.1%	0.68×	2.42

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi even goals	52.7%	53.6%	54.3%	0.99×	1.87
FC Rustavi odd goals	47.3%	46.4%	45.7%	1.02×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.8%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.2%	9.4%	—	—	10.62

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.8%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
FC Rustavi to score 2+ in a row	37.4%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.89
FC Rustavi to score 3+ in a row	13.7%	12.9%	—	—	7.75
Meshakhte Tkibuli to score 2+ in a row	13.6%	12.9%	—	—	7.76
Meshakhte Tkibuli to score 3+ in a row	2.6%	3.1%	—	—	32.07

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	14.3%	11.2%	9.7%	1.16×	8.91
1-1	13.2%	11.2%	11.7%	0.96×	8.91
0-0	11.5%	11.2%	8.0%	1.40×	8.91
0-2	11.2%	11.2%	4.7%	2.41×	8.91
0-3	5.5%	7.4%	2.0%	3.72×	13.45
1-0	7.2%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.45
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	9.0%	0.83×	13.45
0-4	2.0%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.34
1-3	4.4%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.34
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.34
2-0	3.3%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	58.34
2-1	4.8%	1.7%	11.3%	0.15×	58.34
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.34
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.34
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.35
3-0	0.9%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.35
3-1	1.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.34
3-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.35
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	58.35
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.57×	58.35
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.35
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.35
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.14×	58.35
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	58.35
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.14×	58.35
Any other score	1.8%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (2nd half DNB)	71.1%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Meshakhte Tkibuli (2nd half DNB)	28.9%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi leading at HT (DNB)	66.3%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Meshakhte Tkibuli leading at HT (DNB)	33.7%	28.7%	—	—	3.48

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi or draw (X2)	80.7%	82.1%	59.7%	1.38×	1.22
Meshakhte Tkibuli or FC Rustavi (12)	71.4%	72.9%	74.3%	0.98×	1.37
Meshakhte Tkibuli or draw (1X)	47.9%	48.8%	65.7%	0.74×	2.05

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi or draw at HT	82.5%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Meshakhte Tkibuli or draw at HT	65.7%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Meshakhte Tkibuli or FC Rustavi at HT	51.8%	53.9%	—	—	1.86

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi or draw (1UP)	80.7%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Meshakhte Tkibuli or draw (1UP)	47.9%	55.4%	—	—	1.81

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi or draw in 2nd half	82.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Meshakhte Tkibuli or FC Rustavi in 2nd half	61.3%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Meshakhte Tkibuli or draw in 2nd half	56.4%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.1%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Neither half drawn	32.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.87

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (DNB)	73.0%	72.5%	46.0%	1.58×	1.38
Meshakhte Tkibuli (DNB)	27.0%	27.5%	54.0%	0.51×	3.64

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi to score first	57.5%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Meshakhte Tkibuli to score first	31.1%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
No goal scored	11.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.8%	55.3%	45.7%	1.21×	1.81
Both teams to score	43.2%	44.7%	54.3%	0.82×	2.24

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.5%	45.1%	37.0%	1.22×	2.22
Both score & over 2.5	30.0%	34.0%	43.0%	0.79×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	13.2%	11.9%	11.7%	1.02×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	9.3%	8.4%	9.0%	0.94×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.9%	89.9%	87.0%	1.03×	1.11
Both teams to score 2+	8.1%	10.1%	13.0%	0.78×	9.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.3%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.7%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.1%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Both score 2nd half only	18.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
Both score 1st half only	10.3%	11.8%	—	—	8.44
Both score in both halves	2.7%	4.8%	—	—	20.70

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.0%	84.7%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.0%	15.3%	—	—	6.52

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	45.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.8%	46.5%	47.3%	0.98×	2.15
0-1 goals	33.0%	31.2%	26.3%	1.18×	3.21
4-6 goals	18.4%	19.1%	23.7%	0.81×	5.24
7+ goals	0.9%	2.0%	3.3%	0.60×	49.79

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi to score exactly 1	33.8%	32.3%	37.3%	0.87×	3.09
FC Rustavi to score exactly 2	24.8%	23.3%	20.7%	1.13×	4.30
FC Rustavi to score exactly 0	23.1%	23.3%	29.0%	0.80×	4.30
FC Rustavi to score 3+	18.3%	18.2%	13.7%	1.33×	5.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli to score exactly 0	45.2%	45.4%	24.7%	1.84×	2.20
Meshakhte Tkibuli to score exactly 1	35.9%	36.6%	34.3%	1.07×	2.73
Meshakhte Tkibuli to score exactly 2	14.2%	13.3%	26.7%	0.50×	7.53
Meshakhte Tkibuli to score 3+	4.7%	4.8%	15.0%	0.32×	21.02

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.2%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
FC Rustavi leading at HT	34.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Meshakhte Tkibuli leading at HT	17.5%	16.2%	—	—	6.19

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi -1: 1	47.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
FC Rustavi -1: 2	27.0%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
FC Rustavi -1: X	25.1%	26.8%	—	—	3.74

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (0:1)	80.7%	82.0%	59.7%	1.37×	1.22
Draw (0:1)	13.1%	13.1%	22.3%	0.59×	7.62
Meshakhte Tkibuli (0:1)	6.2%	8.6%	18.3%	0.47×	11.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (0:2)	93.8%	91.5%	81.7%	1.12×	1.09
Draw (0:2)	4.8%	3.5%	9.7%	0.36×	28.44
Meshakhte Tkibuli (0:2)	1.4%	3.5%	9.0%	0.39×	28.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (0:3)	98.6%	96.7%	91.0%	1.06×	1.03
Draw (0:3)	1.2%	2.6%	5.7%	0.45×	39.19
Meshakhte Tkibuli (0:3)	0.3%	2.6%	3.7%	0.70×	39.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (0:4)	99.7%	97.8%	96.3%	1.01×	1.02
Meshakhte Tkibuli (0:4)	0.0%	1.4%	1.7%	0.85×	70.77
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.4%	2.3%	0.61×	70.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli (1:0)	47.9%	50.3%	65.7%	0.77×	1.99
FC Rustavi (1:0)	27.0%	25.2%	13.7%	1.84×	3.98
Draw (1:0)	25.1%	25.1%	21.0%	1.20×	3.98

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli (2:0)	73.0%	74.8%	86.3%	0.87×	1.34
Draw (2:0)	16.3%	15.1%	8.3%	1.81×	6.61
FC Rustavi (2:0)	10.7%	11.6%	5.7%	2.04×	8.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Halves equal	29.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	25.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli to concede	76.9%	77.1%	71.0%	1.09×	1.30
Meshakhte Tkibuli clean sheet	23.1%	22.9%	29.0%	0.79×	4.37

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli clean sheet in 1st half	55.6%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
Meshakhte Tkibuli to concede in 1st half	44.4%	46.0%	—	—	2.17

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli to concede in 2nd half	58.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Meshakhte Tkibuli clean sheet in 2nd half	41.5%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli under 3.5 goals	99.1%	96.6%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Meshakhte Tkibuli under 2.5 goals	95.3%	96.6%	85.0%	1.14×	1.04
Meshakhte Tkibuli under 1.5 goals	81.1%	82.3%	58.7%	1.40×	1.22
Meshakhte Tkibuli over 0.5 goals	54.8%	52.8%	75.3%	0.70×	1.89
Meshakhte Tkibuli under 0.5 goals	45.2%	47.2%	24.7%	1.91×	2.12
Meshakhte Tkibuli over 1.5 goals	18.9%	17.7%	41.3%	0.43×	5.65
Meshakhte Tkibuli over 2.5 goals	4.7%	3.4%	15.0%	0.23×	29.37
Meshakhte Tkibuli over 3.5 goals	0.9%	3.4%	6.3%	0.54×	29.46

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli under 1.5 in 1st half	95.3%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Meshakhte Tkibuli under 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Meshakhte Tkibuli over 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
Meshakhte Tkibuli over 1.5 in 1st half	4.7%	3.8%	—	—	26.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli scores equally in both	52.5%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Meshakhte Tkibuli scores more in 2nd half	27.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
Meshakhte Tkibuli scores more in 1st half	19.8%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (home no bet)	64.5%	60.3%	57.2%	1.05×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	35.5%	39.7%	42.8%	0.93×	2.52

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli even goals	60.2%	62.2%	55.7%	1.12×	1.61
Meshakhte Tkibuli odd goals	39.8%	37.8%	44.3%	0.85×	2.64

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.7%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
HT 0-1	23.0%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
HT 1-0	13.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	8.1%	8.0%	—	—	12.54
HT 0-2	6.8%	8.0%	—	—	12.55
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.5%	—	—	40.48
HT 2-0	2.3%	2.5%	—	—	40.48
HT 2-1	1.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.52
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.57

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi at HT / FC Rustavi at FT	29.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Draw at HT / FC Rustavi at FT	20.4%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.7%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
Meshakhte Tkibuli at HT / Meshakhte Tkibuli at FT	10.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Draw at HT / Meshakhte Tkibuli at FT	8.0%	6.5%	—	—	15.46
Meshakhte Tkibuli at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.6%	—	—	27.50
FC Rustavi at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.6%	—	—	27.52
Meshakhte Tkibuli at HT / FC Rustavi at FT	2.5%	3.6%	—	—	27.57
FC Rustavi at HT / Meshakhte Tkibuli at FT	1.0%	3.6%	—	—	27.61

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi to score last	57.6%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Meshakhte Tkibuli to score last	30.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
No goal scored	11.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.08

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
FC Rustavi to lead by 1 at any time	64.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
Meshakhte Tkibuli to lead by 1 at any time	34.4%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
FC Rustavi to lead by 2 at any time	31.8%	31.7%	—	—	3.16
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.3%	11.1%	—	—	9.04
FC Rustavi to lead by 3 at any time	12.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
Meshakhte Tkibuli to lead by 2 at any time	9.3%	7.4%	—	—	13.43
Meshakhte Tkibuli to lead by 3 at any time	2.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.42

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.1%	86.7%	1.00×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.6%	82.1%	79.0%	1.04×	1.22
1-3 goals	69.3%	68.2%	65.7%	1.04×	1.47
2-6 goals	66.2%	68.2%	70.7%	0.97×	1.47
2-5 goals	64.2%	62.7%	68.3%	0.92×	1.60
2-4 goals	59.1%	58.9%	60.7%	0.97×	1.70
1-2 goals	49.2%	47.4%	40.7%	1.16×	2.11
2-3 goals	47.8%	47.4%	47.3%	1.00×	2.11
3-6 goals	38.5%	39.0%	48.7%	0.80×	2.56
3-5 goals	36.6%	39.0%	46.3%	0.84×	2.56
3-4 goals	31.4%	34.7%	38.7%	0.90×	2.88
4-6 goals	18.4%	18.9%	23.7%	0.80×	5.30
4-5 goals	16.5%	18.9%	21.3%	0.88×	5.30
5-6 goals	7.1%	8.9%	10.3%	0.86×	11.22
7+ goals	0.9%	2.3%	3.3%	0.68×	44.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi never behind	54.2%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Meshakhte Tkibuli never behind	24.5%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	52.6%	50.1%	46.3%	1.08×	2.00
Odd number of goals	47.4%	49.9%	53.7%	0.93×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	41.8%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.8%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.2%	96.0%	94.3%	1.02×	1.04
Under 4.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	86.7%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.5%	87.8%	92.0%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	80.7%	81.6%	73.3%	1.11×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	67.0%	67.7%	73.7%	0.92×	1.48
Under 2.5 goals	60.6%	62.0%	48.3%	1.28×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	39.4%	38.0%	51.7%	0.74×	2.63
Under 1.5 goals	33.0%	32.3%	26.3%	1.23×	3.09
Over 3.5 goals	19.3%	18.4%	26.7%	0.69×	5.44
Under 0.5 goals	11.5%	12.2%	8.0%	1.52×	8.21
Over 4.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	13.3%	0.58×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	2.8%	4.0%	5.7%	0.70×	25.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.3%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.1%	97.3%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.1%	92.0%	84.6%	1.09×	1.09
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	75.9%	75.9%	64.4%	1.18×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.4%	52.0%	66.2%	0.79×	1.92
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.6%	48.0%	33.8%	1.42×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	24.1%	24.1%	35.6%	0.68×	4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.9%	8.0%	15.4%	0.52×	12.51
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.9%	2.7%	6.1%	0.44×	36.69
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.7%	3.4%	0.80×	36.72

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.2%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.0%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.3%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.7%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.0%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.8%	8.1%	—	—	12.34

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.0%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.3%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.2%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.8%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli not to score in both halves	89.5%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
FC Rustavi not to score in both halves	74.0%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
FC Rustavi to score in both halves	26.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Meshakhte Tkibuli to score in both halves	10.5%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.2%	45.6%	54.3%	0.84×	2.19
Only FC Rustavi scores	33.8%	31.4%	17.0%	1.85×	3.18
Neither team scores	11.5%	11.2%	8.0%	1.40×	8.94
Only Meshakhte Tkibuli scores	11.6%	11.2%	21.3%	0.52×	8.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.7%	25.0%	22.3%	1.12×	4.00
Exactly 1 goals	21.5%	22.3%	18.7%	1.19×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	20.1%	22.3%	25.3%	0.88×	4.49
Exactly 0 goals	11.5%	12.3%	8.0%	1.53×	8.15
Exactly 4 goals	11.4%	12.3%	13.7%	0.90×	8.15
Exactly 5 goals	5.1%	7.8%	8.0%	0.97×	12.89
6 or more goals	2.8%	4.0%	5.7%	0.71×	24.74

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.7%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
2 goals in 1st half	17.2%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
3+ goals in 1st half	6.8%	8.1%	—	—	12.34

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.8%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
1 goal in 2nd half	34.4%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	26.7%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli not to win both halves	96.8%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
FC Rustavi not to win both halves	84.8%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
FC Rustavi to win both halves	15.2%	18.0%	—	—	5.57
Meshakhte Tkibuli to win both halves	3.2%	2.7%	—	—	36.98

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli to win neither half	68.0%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
FC Rustavi to win either half	62.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
FC Rustavi to win neither half	37.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Meshakhte Tkibuli to win either half	32.0%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Meshakhte Tkibuli not to win to nil	88.4%	87.9%	78.7%	1.12×	1.14
FC Rustavi not to win to nil	66.2%	69.5%	83.0%	0.84×	1.44
FC Rustavi to win to nil	33.8%	30.5%	17.0%	1.80×	3.28
Meshakhte Tkibuli to win to nil	11.6%	12.1%	21.3%	0.57×	8.24

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.7%	27.3%	25.7%	1.06×	3.66
FC Rustavi by 1	25.1%	27.3%	21.0%	1.30×	3.66
FC Rustavi by 2	16.3%	17.2%	8.3%	2.07×	5.80
Meshakhte Tkibuli by 1	13.1%	11.8%	22.3%	0.53×	8.44
FC Rustavi by 3+	10.7%	11.8%	5.7%	2.09×	8.45
Meshakhte Tkibuli by 2	4.8%	3.0%	9.7%	0.31×	33.44
Meshakhte Tkibuli by 3+	1.4%	3.0%	9.0%	0.33×	33.47