Middlesbrough v Charlton Athletic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Middlesbrough

11:00

Charlton Athletic

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,337h before kick-off

Middlesbrough win

53.6%

model 53.9%

Draw

27.6%

model 27.2%

Charlton Athletic win

18.8%

model 18.9%

542819

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.9%
1-0 11.6%
2-0 10.7%
2-1 9.6%
0-0 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.8%	Under 2.5	53.2%
BTTS yes	49.1%	BTTS no	50.9%
Middlesbrough 1+	80.8%	Middlesbrough 2+	49.2%
Charlton Athletic 1+	59.1%	Charlton Athletic 2+	22.5%

Expected goals 1.65 – 0.89. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

42/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Middlesbrough carry the stronger rating, 1516 Elo against 1438.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Middlesbrough have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 27.6% for the draw and 18.8% for Charlton Athletic. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.65 for Middlesbrough and 0.89 for Charlton Athletic.

Why Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough carry the stronger rating, 1516 Elo against 1438.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.6%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Charlton Athletic can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Middlesbrough, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Charlton Athletic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Middlesbrough: 64% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Charlton Athletic: 36% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Middlesbrough's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Middlesbrough are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%. Confidence 42/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	493021	1.40–0.82	1-1 14%	38%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to win	49.2%	47.5%	43.5%	1.09×	2.11
Draw	30.3%	30.3%	27.6%	1.10×	3.30
Charlton Athletic to win	20.6%	24.4%	29.0%	0.84×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough & not both score	31.6%	29.7%	23.4%	1.27×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	17.9%	20.4%	0.88×	5.58
Middlesbrough & both teams score	17.5%	17.9%	20.2%	0.89×	5.58
Draw & not both score	12.2%	13.3%	7.3%	1.82×	7.54
Charlton Athletic & not both score	12.3%	13.3%	15.3%	0.87×	7.54
Charlton Athletic & both teams score	8.2%	8.4%	13.8%	0.61×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough & under 3.5	38.0%	34.9%	32.5%	1.07×	2.87
Middlesbrough & over 1.5	35.5%	34.9%	32.5%	1.07×	2.87
Draw & under 2.5	26.2%	26.0%	21.6%	1.20×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.2%	26.0%	21.6%	1.20×	3.84
Middlesbrough & over 2.5	24.9%	21.7%	26.4%	0.82×	4.62
Middlesbrough & under 2.5	24.3%	21.7%	17.2%	1.26×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Charlton Athletic & under 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	22.3%	0.81×	5.56
Middlesbrough & under 1.5	13.7%	12.9%	11.1%	1.16×	7.77
Charlton Athletic & over 1.5	13.2%	12.9%	21.4%	0.60×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	12.2%	12.9%	7.3%	1.76×	7.77
Middlesbrough & over 3.5	11.2%	12.9%	11.1%	1.16×	7.77
Charlton Athletic & under 2.5	11.1%	12.9%	13.0%	0.99×	7.77
Charlton Athletic & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	16.2%	0.49×	12.69
Charlton Athletic & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.1%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.93
Charlton Athletic & over 3.5	3.4%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (1UP)	61.7%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Charlton Athletic (1UP)	35.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (2UP)	49.2%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Charlton Athletic (2UP)	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.4%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
Middlesbrough to win 2nd half	39.2%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Charlton Athletic to win 2nd half	20.4%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (+2.5)	90.5%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Middlesbrough (+0.5)	79.4%	78.5%	71.0%	1.11×	1.28
Charlton Athletic (+1.5)	75.1%	78.4%	80.7%	0.97×	1.28
Charlton Athletic (+0.5)	50.8%	52.3%	56.5%	0.93×	1.91
Middlesbrough (-0.5)	49.2%	47.7%	43.5%	1.10×	2.10
Middlesbrough (-1.5)	24.9%	21.6%	19.3%	1.12×	4.63
Charlton Athletic (-0.5)	20.6%	21.5%	29.0%	0.74×	4.64
Middlesbrough (-2.5)	9.5%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.61

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to concede	75.4%	79.0%	77.5%	1.02×	1.27
Charlton Athletic clean sheet	24.6%	21.0%	22.5%	0.93×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to concede in 1st half	45.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Charlton Athletic clean sheet in 1st half	54.7%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 6.5 corners	86.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Charlton Athletic under 5.5 corners	78.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Charlton Athletic under 4.5 corners	66.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 corners	64.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 corners	52.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 corners	47.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 corners	35.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Charlton Athletic over 4.5 corners	33.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Charlton Athletic over 5.5 corners	21.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Charlton Athletic over 6.5 corners	13.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 goals	99.0%	97.6%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 goals	80.0%	81.4%	69.9%	1.16×	1.23
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 goals	56.1%	59.5%	69.4%	0.86×	1.68
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 goals	43.9%	40.5%	30.6%	1.32×	2.47
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 goals	20.0%	18.6%	30.1%	0.62×	5.37
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	9.5%	0.81×	13.06
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 goals	1.0%	2.4%	2.2%	1.10×	40.83

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 in 1st half	95.6%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 in 1st half	71.9%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 in 1st half	28.1%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 in 1st half	4.4%	4.4%	—	—	22.81

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (away no bet)	61.9%	62.1%	61.2%	1.01×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	38.1%	37.9%	38.8%	0.98×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic even goals	59.6%	56.9%	52.6%	1.08×	1.76
Charlton Athletic odd goals	40.4%	43.1%	47.4%	0.91×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.1%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	—	—	12.98

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	46.6%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Middlesbrough to score 2+ in a row	35.2%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.2%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Charlton Athletic to score 2+ in a row	14.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.17
Middlesbrough to score 3+ in a row	12.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Charlton Athletic to score 3+ in a row	2.9%	2.6%	—	—	38.80

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough corners (+3.5)	96.8%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Middlesbrough corners (+2.5)	94.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Middlesbrough corners (+1.5)	92.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Middlesbrough corners (-1.5)	78.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Middlesbrough corners (-2.5)	71.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Middlesbrough corners (-3.5)	64.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Charlton Athletic corners (+3.5)	35.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Charlton Athletic corners (+2.5)	28.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Charlton Athletic corners (+1.5)	22.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Charlton Athletic corners (-1.5)	7.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Charlton Athletic corners (-2.5)	5.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Charlton Athletic corners (-3.5)	3.2%	4.2%	—	—	23.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	59.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
9-11 corners	20.6%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
0-8 corners	19.8%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	85.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 8.5 corners	80.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 9.5 corners	73.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 10.5 corners	66.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 11.5 corners	59.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 12.5 corners	52.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 12.5 corners	47.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 11.5 corners	40.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 10.5 corners	33.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 9.5 corners	26.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Under 8.5 corners	19.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.19
Under 7.5 corners	14.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.7%	11.5%	11.1%	1.03×	8.73
1-1	13.9%	11.5%	14.4%	0.79×	8.73
0-0	12.2%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.73
2-0	10.6%	11.5%	6.2%	1.85×	8.73
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.48
0-1	7.4%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.48
1-2	5.1%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.48
3-0	5.0%	1.7%	4.0%	0.42×	58.46
0-2	3.7%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.47
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.48
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	3.98×	58.49
1-3	1.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.48
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.49
2-2	3.6%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.47
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.48
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.49
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.47
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.48
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.49
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.48
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	9.95×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	19.90×	58.49
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough leading at HT (DNB)	68.1%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Charlton Athletic leading at HT (DNB)	31.9%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough or draw (1X)	79.4%	75.6%	71.0%	1.06×	1.32
Middlesbrough or Charlton Athletic (12)	69.7%	69.7%	72.4%	0.96×	1.44
Charlton Athletic or draw (X2)	50.8%	52.5%	56.5%	0.93×	1.91

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough or draw at HT	83.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Charlton Athletic or draw at HT	64.6%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Middlesbrough or Charlton Athletic at HT	51.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough or draw (1UP)	79.4%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Charlton Athletic or draw (1UP)	50.8%	59.2%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough or draw in 2nd half	79.6%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Charlton Athletic or draw in 2nd half	60.8%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Middlesbrough or Charlton Athletic in 2nd half	59.6%	59.1%	—	—	1.69

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.5%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	32.5%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (DNB)	70.5%	71.3%	60.0%	1.19×	1.40
Charlton Athletic (DNB)	29.5%	28.7%	40.0%	0.72×	3.49

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to score first	55.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Charlton Athletic to score first	32.5%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	12.2%	10.1%	—	—	9.94

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.2%	54.9%	45.8%	1.20×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.8%	45.1%	54.2%	0.83×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.6%	44.3%	37.3%	1.19×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	29.9%	33.6%	39.9%	0.84×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	13.9%	12.3%	14.4%	0.85×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.4%	8.6%	0.97×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.8%	89.1%	89.0%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.2%	10.9%	11.0%	0.99×	9.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.0%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.0%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	19.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Both score 1st half only	10.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	2.7%	5.0%	—	—	20.16

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.0%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	13.0%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.1%	47.4%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
0-1 goals	33.3%	30.8%	25.9%	1.19×	3.25
4-6 goals	17.8%	20.2%	22.4%	0.90×	4.96
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	1.4%	1.33×	54.73

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 0	43.9%	37.1%	30.6%	1.21×	2.70
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 1	36.1%	36.0%	39.4%	0.91×	2.78
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 2	14.9%	12.8%	20.7%	0.62×	7.79
Charlton Athletic to score 3+	5.1%	8.4%	9.5%	0.89×	11.85

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to score exactly 1	34.5%	32.7%	36.9%	0.88×	3.06
Middlesbrough to score exactly 0	24.6%	23.3%	22.5%	1.03×	4.30
Middlesbrough to score exactly 2	24.2%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.30
Middlesbrough to score 3+	16.7%	18.9%	16.2%	1.17×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Middlesbrough leading at HT	35.4%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Charlton Athletic leading at HT	16.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough -1: 2	50.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Middlesbrough -1: 1	24.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Middlesbrough -1: X	24.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:1)	50.8%	51.1%	56.5%	0.90×	1.96
Middlesbrough (0:1)	24.9%	24.3%	19.3%	1.26×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	24.3%	24.3%	24.2%	1.00×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:2)	75.1%	79.4%	80.7%	0.98×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	15.4%	15.3%	11.3%	1.35×	6.55
Middlesbrough (0:2)	9.5%	7.7%	8.1%	0.96×	12.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:3)	90.5%	92.6%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.6%	5.8%	4.8%	1.21×	17.17
Middlesbrough (0:3)	2.9%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:4)	97.1%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.42
Middlesbrough (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (1:0)	79.4%	78.4%	71.0%	1.11×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	13.6%	12.8%	17.3%	0.74×	7.80
Charlton Athletic (1:0)	6.9%	6.9%	11.9%	0.58×	14.45

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (2:0)	93.1%	93.9%	88.1%	1.07×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.3%	6.4%	8.7%	0.74×	15.51
Charlton Athletic (2:0)	1.6%	2.3%	3.3%	0.69×	44.27

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.6%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Halves equal	30.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to concede	56.1%	60.9%	69.4%	0.88×	1.64
Middlesbrough clean sheet	43.9%	39.1%	30.6%	1.28×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough clean sheet in 1st half	71.9%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Middlesbrough to concede in 1st half	28.1%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough over 2.5 corners	95.4%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Middlesbrough over 3.5 corners	91.1%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Middlesbrough over 4.5 corners	85.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Middlesbrough over 5.5 corners	78.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Middlesbrough over 6.5 corners	70.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Middlesbrough under 6.5 corners	29.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Middlesbrough under 5.5 corners	21.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Middlesbrough under 4.5 corners	14.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.28
Middlesbrough under 3.5 corners	8.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.36
Middlesbrough under 2.5 corners	4.6%	5.1%	—	—	19.47

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Middlesbrough under 2.5 goals	83.3%	82.1%	83.8%	0.98×	1.22
Middlesbrough over 0.5 goals	75.4%	77.7%	77.5%	1.00×	1.29
Middlesbrough under 1.5 goals	59.0%	58.8%	59.4%	0.99×	1.70
Middlesbrough over 1.5 goals	41.0%	41.2%	40.6%	1.01×	2.43
Middlesbrough under 0.5 goals	24.6%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
Middlesbrough over 2.5 goals	16.7%	17.9%	16.2%	1.11×	5.59
Middlesbrough over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	5.2%	1.50×	12.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough under 1.5 in 1st half	87.7%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Middlesbrough over 0.5 in 1st half	45.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Middlesbrough under 0.5 in 1st half	54.7%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Middlesbrough over 1.5 in 1st half	12.3%	10.2%	—	—	9.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	59.6%	56.7%	48.7%	1.16×	1.76
Charlton Athletic (home no bet)	40.4%	43.3%	51.3%	0.84×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough even goals	53.0%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Middlesbrough odd goals	47.0%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.6%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
HT 1-0	23.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	12.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	8.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 2-0	7.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
Any other HT score	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.58

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough at HT / Middlesbrough at FT	29.1%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Middlesbrough at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Charlton Athletic at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	10.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	9.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Middlesbrough at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Charlton Athletic at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Charlton Athletic at HT / Middlesbrough at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Middlesbrough at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to score last	55.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Charlton Athletic to score last	32.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	12.2%	9.5%	—	—	10.58

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.8%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Middlesbrough to lead by 1 at any time	61.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Charlton Athletic to lead by 1 at any time	35.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Middlesbrough to lead by 2 at any time	29.6%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Middlesbrough to lead by 3 at any time	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Charlton Athletic to lead by 2 at any time	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Charlton Athletic to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	1.6%	—	—	62.09

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough most corners	83.7%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Charlton Athletic most corners	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Corners level	4.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.63

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.1%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.2%	83.5%	83.4%	1.00×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.1%	69.0%	69.1%	1.00×	1.45
2-6 goals	65.9%	68.9%	72.8%	0.95×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.1%	63.4%	70.2%	0.90×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.1%	59.2%	64.8%	0.91×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.3%	48.7%	44.4%	1.10×	2.06
2-3 goals	48.1%	48.7%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06
3-6 goals	37.7%	39.2%	47.1%	0.83×	2.55
3-5 goals	35.9%	39.1%	44.5%	0.88×	2.56
3-4 goals	30.9%	35.4%	39.1%	0.90×	2.83
4-6 goals	17.8%	18.6%	22.4%	0.83×	5.37
4-5 goals	16.0%	18.6%	19.8%	0.94×	5.37
5-6 goals	6.8%	8.7%	8.1%	1.08×	11.45
7+ goals	0.8%	2.5%	1.4%	1.85×	39.30

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough never behind	51.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Charlton Athletic never behind	26.1%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.5%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.5%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	41.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.2%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.4%	95.5%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.8%	87.6%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.4%	82.4%	76.3%	1.08×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	66.7%	66.2%	74.1%	0.89×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	61.5%	61.7%	51.6%	1.20×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.5%	38.3%	48.4%	0.79×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	33.3%	33.8%	25.9%	1.30×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	18.6%	17.6%	23.7%	0.74×	5.67
Under 0.5 goals	12.2%	12.4%	7.3%	1.69×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	9.4%	0.83×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	2.6%	4.5%	4.0%	1.14×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.2%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.5%	92.5%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.8%	75.9%	68.5%	1.11×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.6%	51.8%	65.1%	0.80×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.4%	48.2%	34.9%	1.38×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.2%	24.1%	31.5%	0.77×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.5%	7.5%	10.9%	0.69×	13.25
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.8%	4.2%	0.66×	36.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	1.4%	1.96×	36.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.2%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.8%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.2%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.79

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.8%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.1%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.9%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.2%	14.7%	—	—	6.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic not to score in both halves	89.0%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Middlesbrough not to score in both halves	75.0%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Middlesbrough to score in both halves	25.0%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Charlton Athletic to score in both halves	11.0%	14.1%	—	—	7.10

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.8%	46.6%	54.2%	0.86×	2.15
Only Middlesbrough scores	31.6%	33.3%	23.4%	1.43×	3.00
Neither team scores	12.2%	10.9%	7.3%	1.50×	9.15
Only Charlton Athletic scores	12.3%	10.9%	15.3%	0.72×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.2%	25.0%	25.8%	0.97×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	21.1%	22.6%	18.7%	1.21×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	19.9%	17.4%	24.7%	0.70×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	12.2%	12.1%	7.3%	1.66×	8.27
Exactly 4 goals	11.1%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	4.9%	4.4%	5.5%	0.80×	22.64
6 or more goals	2.6%	4.4%	4.0%	1.12×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.6%	39.8%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 2nd half	34.5%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	27.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic not to win both halves	96.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Middlesbrough not to win both halves	85.9%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Middlesbrough to win both halves	14.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Charlton Athletic to win both halves	3.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.76

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to win neither half	66.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Middlesbrough to win either half	60.4%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Middlesbrough to win neither half	39.6%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Charlton Athletic to win either half	33.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic not to win to nil	87.7%	88.2%	84.7%	1.04×	1.13
Middlesbrough not to win to nil	68.4%	69.7%	76.6%	0.91×	1.44
Middlesbrough to win to nil	31.6%	30.3%	23.4%	1.30×	3.30
Charlton Athletic to win to nil	12.3%	11.8%	15.3%	0.77×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.3%	27.6%	27.6%	1.00×	3.63
Middlesbrough by 1	24.3%	24.2%	24.2%	1.00×	4.14
Middlesbrough by 2	15.4%	16.9%	11.3%	1.49×	5.91
Charlton Athletic by 1	13.6%	11.8%	17.3%	0.68×	8.47
Middlesbrough by 3+	9.5%	7.3%	8.1%	0.90×	13.77
Charlton Athletic by 2	5.3%	7.3%	8.7%	0.84×	13.79
Charlton Athletic by 3+	1.6%	2.7%	3.3%	0.83×	37.03