Middlesbrough v Charlton Athletic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Middlesbrough

15:00 UTC

Charlton Athletic

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 148h before kick-off

Middlesbrough win

55.2%

model 56.0%

Draw

26.6%

model 27.2%

Charlton Athletic win

18.2%

model 16.8%

552718

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.9%
1-1 12.8%
2-0 11.7%
0-0 10.0%
2-1 9.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.2%	Under 2.5	55.8%
BTTS yes	45.9%	BTTS no	54.1%
Middlesbrough 1+	80.7%	Middlesbrough 2+	48.9%
Charlton Athletic 1+	55.2%	Charlton Athletic 2+	19.2%

Expected goals 1.64 – 0.80. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

45/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

Middlesbrough (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 43%

57.0% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Middlesbrough or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Middlesbrough carry the stronger rating, 1516 Elo against 1437.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Middlesbrough have an estimated 55.2% win probability, against 26.6% for the draw and 18.2% for Charlton Athletic. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.64 for Middlesbrough and 0.80 for Charlton Athletic.

Why Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough carry the stronger rating, 1516 Elo against 1437.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Charlton Athletic can win

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Middlesbrough, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Charlton Athletic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Middlesbrough: 64% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Charlton Athletic: 36% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Middlesbrough's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Middlesbrough are the model's most likely outcome at 55.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.9%. Confidence 45/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	562717	1.64–0.80	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	483121	1.35–0.79	1-0 14%	36%	42%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to win	48.3%	47.4%	43.4%	1.09×	2.11
Draw	31.2%	30.4%	27.6%	1.10×	3.29
Charlton Athletic to win	20.6%	24.4%	29.1%	0.84×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough & not both score	31.9%	29.6%	23.3%	1.27×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.57
Middlesbrough & both teams score	16.3%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.57
Draw & not both score	13.3%	13.3%	7.3%	1.82×	7.54
Charlton Athletic & not both score	12.8%	13.3%	15.2%	0.87×	7.54
Charlton Athletic & both teams score	7.8%	8.3%	13.9%	0.60×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough & under 3.5	38.2%	34.9%	32.4%	1.08×	2.87
Middlesbrough & over 1.5	33.9%	30.8%	32.5%	0.95×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	27.4%	26.1%	21.8%	1.20×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	27.4%	26.1%	21.8%	1.20×	3.84
Middlesbrough & under 2.5	25.0%	21.6%	17.1%	1.27×	4.63
Middlesbrough & over 2.5	23.3%	21.6%	26.4%	0.82×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Charlton Athletic & under 3.5	17.5%	18.0%	22.3%	0.81×	5.56
Middlesbrough & under 1.5	14.3%	12.8%	11.0%	1.16×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	13.3%	12.8%	7.3%	1.76×	7.79
Charlton Athletic & over 1.5	12.7%	12.8%	21.4%	0.60×	7.79
Charlton Athletic & under 2.5	11.6%	12.8%	12.9%	0.99×	7.79
Middlesbrough & over 3.5	10.0%	12.8%	11.1%	1.15×	7.79
Charlton Athletic & over 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	16.2%	0.49×	12.63
Charlton Athletic & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.8%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.81
Charlton Athletic & over 3.5	3.1%	4.8%	6.8%	0.71×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (1UP)	60.5%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Charlton Athletic (1UP)	35.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (2UP)	48.3%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Charlton Athletic (2UP)	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Middlesbrough to win 2nd half	38.3%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Charlton Athletic to win 2nd half	20.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.7%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 in 2nd half	62.1%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 in 2nd half	37.9%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.3%	7.9%	—	—	12.72

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Middlesbrough over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Middlesbrough under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Middlesbrough over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	17.4%	—	—	5.76

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (+2.5)	91.2%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Middlesbrough (+0.5)	79.4%	78.5%	70.9%	1.11×	1.27
Charlton Athletic (+1.5)	76.2%	78.5%	80.7%	0.97×	1.27
Charlton Athletic (+0.5)	51.7%	52.4%	56.6%	0.93×	1.91
Middlesbrough (-0.5)	48.3%	47.6%	43.4%	1.10×	2.10
Middlesbrough (-1.5)	23.8%	21.5%	19.3%	1.12×	4.65
Charlton Athletic (-0.5)	20.6%	21.5%	29.1%	0.74×	4.65
Middlesbrough (-2.5)	8.8%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to concede	73.9%	76.7%	77.6%	0.99×	1.30
Charlton Athletic clean sheet	26.1%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic clean sheet in 1st half	56.1%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Charlton Athletic to concede in 1st half	43.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to concede in 2nd half	53.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Charlton Athletic clean sheet in 2nd half	46.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 6.5 corners	86.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Charlton Athletic under 5.5 corners	78.1%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Charlton Athletic under 4.5 corners	66.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 corners	64.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 corners	52.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 corners	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 corners	35.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Charlton Athletic over 4.5 corners	33.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Charlton Athletic over 5.5 corners	21.9%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Charlton Athletic over 6.5 corners	13.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 goals	99.1%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 goals	95.3%	97.5%	90.6%	1.08×	1.03
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 goals	81.1%	81.5%	70.0%	1.16×	1.23
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 goals	54.8%	53.5%	69.5%	0.77×	1.87
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 goals	45.2%	46.5%	30.5%	1.52×	2.15
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 goals	18.9%	18.5%	30.0%	0.62×	5.40
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 goals	4.7%	2.5%	9.4%	0.27×	39.83
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 goals	0.9%	2.5%	2.2%	1.13×	40.02

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 in 1st half	95.9%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 in 1st half	72.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 in 1st half	27.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 in 1st half	4.1%	3.9%	—	—	25.35

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic scores equally in both	52.3%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Charlton Athletic scores more in 2nd half	29.6%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Charlton Athletic scores more in 1st half	18.1%	18.1%	—	—	5.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (away no bet)	60.8%	61.9%	61.1%	1.01×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.2%	38.1%	38.9%	0.98×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic even goals	60.2%	59.0%	52.4%	1.13×	1.69
Charlton Athletic odd goals	39.8%	41.0%	47.6%	0.86×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.0%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.0%	7.9%	—	—	12.69

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	50.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.3%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	44.6%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Middlesbrough to score 2+ in a row	33.5%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Charlton Athletic to score 2+ in a row	14.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Middlesbrough to score 3+ in a row	11.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Charlton Athletic to score 3+ in a row	2.7%	2.6%	—	—	39.16

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough corners (+3.5)	97.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Middlesbrough corners (+2.5)	95.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Middlesbrough corners (+1.5)	92.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Middlesbrough corners (-1.5)	79.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Middlesbrough corners (-2.5)	72.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Middlesbrough corners (-3.5)	65.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Charlton Athletic corners (+3.5)	34.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Charlton Athletic corners (+2.5)	27.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Charlton Athletic corners (+1.5)	21.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Charlton Athletic corners (-1.5)	7.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Charlton Athletic corners (-2.5)	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.42
Charlton Athletic corners (-3.5)	3.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.47

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	61.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	20.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
0-8 corners	18.8%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	86.6%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Over 8.5 corners	81.2%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Over 9.5 corners	74.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 10.5 corners	68.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 11.5 corners	61.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 12.5 corners	54.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 12.5 corners	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 11.5 corners	38.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 10.5 corners	31.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 9.5 corners	25.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 8.5 corners	18.8%	19.4%	—	—	5.17
Under 7.5 corners	13.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.90

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.3%	11.5%	11.0%	1.04×	8.71
1-1	14.1%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.71
0-0	13.3%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.71
2-0	10.7%	11.5%	6.1%	1.88×	8.72
2-1	8.5%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
0-1	7.8%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
1-2	5.0%	1.7%	8.0%	0.21×	58.29
3-0	4.8%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.29
0-2	3.7%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.32
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.32
2-2	3.4%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
3-1	3.8%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	1.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
4-1	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (2nd half DNB)	65.5%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Charlton Athletic (2nd half DNB)	34.5%	33.5%	—	—	2.99

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough leading at HT (DNB)	67.8%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Charlton Athletic leading at HT (DNB)	32.2%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough or draw (1X)	79.4%	75.6%	70.9%	1.07×	1.32
Middlesbrough or Charlton Athletic (12)	68.8%	69.6%	72.4%	0.96×	1.44
Charlton Athletic or draw (X2)	51.7%	52.6%	56.6%	0.93×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough or draw at HT	83.6%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Charlton Athletic or draw at HT	65.6%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Middlesbrough or Charlton Athletic at HT	50.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough or draw (1UP)	79.4%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Charlton Athletic or draw (1UP)	51.7%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough or draw in 2nd half	79.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Charlton Athletic or draw in 2nd half	61.7%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Middlesbrough or Charlton Athletic in 2nd half	58.6%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.7%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.3%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (DNB)	70.1%	71.3%	59.9%	1.19×	1.40
Charlton Athletic (DNB)	29.9%	28.7%	40.1%	0.72×	3.49

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to score first	54.5%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Charlton Athletic to score first	32.2%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
No goal scored	13.3%	10.1%	—	—	9.86

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.0%	55.0%	45.6%	1.21×	1.82
Both teams to score	42.0%	45.0%	54.4%	0.83×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	49.8%	44.4%	37.1%	1.20×	2.25
Both score & over 2.5	27.9%	33.3%	39.9%	0.83×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	14.1%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	8.1%	8.3%	8.6%	0.97×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.6%	89.0%	89.0%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.4%	11.0%	11.0%	1.00×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.2%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.8%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	69.4%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	18.4%	15.1%	—	—	6.62
Both score 1st half only	9.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Both score in both halves	2.4%	4.8%	—	—	20.62

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.8%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	12.2%	14.4%	—	—	6.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.2%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	42.8%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.7%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
0-1 goals	35.5%	35.1%	25.9%	1.35×	2.85
4-6 goals	16.2%	20.2%	22.4%	0.90×	4.95
7+ goals	0.6%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.47

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 0	45.2%	42.8%	30.5%	1.40×	2.34
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.9%	39.6%	0.91×	2.78
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 2	14.2%	12.9%	20.6%	0.62×	7.75
Charlton Athletic to score 3+	4.7%	4.6%	9.4%	0.49×	21.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to score exactly 1	35.0%	35.5%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Middlesbrough to score exactly 0	26.1%	26.5%	22.4%	1.18×	3.77
Middlesbrough to score exactly 2	23.6%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Middlesbrough to score 3+	15.3%	18.7%	16.1%	1.16×	5.34

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Middlesbrough leading at HT	34.4%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Charlton Athletic leading at HT	16.4%	16.0%	—	—	6.26

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough -1: 2	51.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Middlesbrough -1: X	24.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Middlesbrough -1: 1	23.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:1)	51.7%	51.3%	56.6%	0.91×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	24.4%	24.2%	24.2%	1.00×	4.13
Middlesbrough (0:1)	23.8%	24.2%	19.3%	1.26×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:2)	76.2%	79.4%	80.7%	0.98×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	15.0%	11.0%	11.3%	0.97×	9.09
Middlesbrough (0:2)	8.8%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	13.03

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:3)	91.2%	92.7%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.2%	5.8%	4.8%	1.22×	17.25
Middlesbrough (0:3)	2.6%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:4)	97.4%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	81.95
Middlesbrough (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	82.10

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (1:0)	79.4%	78.6%	70.9%	1.11×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.8%	12.7%	17.4%	0.73×	7.87
Charlton Athletic (1:0)	6.8%	6.9%	11.7%	0.59×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (2:0)	93.2%	94.0%	88.3%	1.06×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.2%	6.4%	8.6%	0.74×	15.70
Charlton Athletic (2:0)	1.6%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.79

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.0%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Halves equal	31.3%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to concede	54.8%	53.2%	69.5%	0.77×	1.88
Middlesbrough clean sheet	45.2%	46.8%	30.5%	1.53×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough clean sheet in 1st half	72.8%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Middlesbrough to concede in 1st half	27.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.02

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough clean sheet in 2nd half	62.1%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Middlesbrough to concede in 2nd half	37.9%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough over 2.5 corners	95.8%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Middlesbrough over 3.5 corners	91.7%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Middlesbrough over 4.5 corners	86.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Middlesbrough over 5.5 corners	79.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Middlesbrough over 6.5 corners	71.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Middlesbrough under 6.5 corners	28.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Middlesbrough under 5.5 corners	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Middlesbrough under 4.5 corners	13.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.27
Middlesbrough under 3.5 corners	8.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Middlesbrough under 2.5 corners	4.2%	5.1%	—	—	19.51

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough under 3.5 goals	95.2%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Middlesbrough under 2.5 goals	84.7%	82.2%	83.9%	0.98×	1.22
Middlesbrough over 0.5 goals	73.9%	74.3%	77.6%	0.96×	1.35
Middlesbrough under 1.5 goals	61.1%	63.6%	59.4%	1.07×	1.57
Middlesbrough over 1.5 goals	38.9%	36.4%	40.6%	0.90×	2.75
Middlesbrough under 0.5 goals	26.1%	25.7%	22.4%	1.15×	3.88
Middlesbrough over 2.5 goals	15.3%	17.8%	16.1%	1.10×	5.63
Middlesbrough over 3.5 goals	4.8%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.46

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough under 1.5 in 1st half	88.5%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Middlesbrough under 0.5 in 1st half	56.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Middlesbrough over 0.5 in 1st half	43.9%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Middlesbrough over 1.5 in 1st half	11.5%	9.8%	—	—	10.20

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough scores equally in both	39.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Middlesbrough scores more in 2nd half	36.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Middlesbrough scores more in 1st half	24.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.2%	59.9%	48.7%	1.23×	1.67
Charlton Athletic (home no bet)	39.8%	40.1%	51.3%	0.78×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough even goals	53.4%	50.7%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Middlesbrough odd goals	46.6%	49.3%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	41.1%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 1-0	23.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	12.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 2-0	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 2-1	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough at HT / Middlesbrough at FT	28.4%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Middlesbrough at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Charlton Athletic at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	10.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	9.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.39
Middlesbrough at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Charlton Athletic at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Charlton Athletic at HT / Middlesbrough at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Middlesbrough at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to score last	54.7%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Charlton Athletic to score last	32.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
No goal scored	13.3%	9.5%	—	—	10.48

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.7%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Middlesbrough to lead by 1 at any time	60.5%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.1%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Charlton Athletic to lead by 1 at any time	35.4%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Middlesbrough to lead by 2 at any time	28.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Middlesbrough to lead by 3 at any time	10.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Charlton Athletic to lead by 2 at any time	9.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.85
Charlton Athletic to lead by 3 at any time	2.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.90

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough most corners	84.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Charlton Athletic most corners	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Corners level	4.6%	4.2%	—	—	23.70

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.5%	83.4%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.1%	83.4%	83.3%	1.00×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.8%	68.8%	69.1%	1.00×	1.45
2-6 goals	63.9%	63.3%	72.8%	0.87×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.3%	63.3%	70.2%	0.90×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.9%	59.1%	64.7%	0.91×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.6%	53.2%	44.4%	1.20×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.7%	48.5%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-6 goals	35.4%	39.2%	47.2%	0.83×	2.55
3-5 goals	33.9%	35.2%	44.5%	0.79×	2.84
3-4 goals	29.5%	30.2%	39.1%	0.77×	3.31
4-6 goals	16.2%	18.8%	22.4%	0.84×	5.31
4-5 goals	14.7%	14.8%	19.8%	0.75×	6.75
5-6 goals	6.0%	8.9%	8.2%	1.09×	11.28
7+ goals	0.6%	2.5%	1.4%	1.88×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough never behind	51.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Charlton Athletic never behind	26.2%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.3%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	53.7%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.2%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.8%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.8%	95.4%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.7%	87.6%	92.7%	0.94×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	83.1%	82.3%	76.3%	1.08×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	64.5%	61.8%	74.1%	0.83×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	63.9%	61.7%	51.6%	1.20×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	36.1%	38.3%	48.4%	0.79×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.5%	38.2%	25.9%	1.48×	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	16.9%	17.7%	23.7%	0.75×	5.66
Under 0.5 goals	13.3%	12.4%	7.3%	1.70×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	2.2%	4.6%	4.0%	1.15×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.7%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.6%	92.4%	89.0%	1.04×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	79.1%	75.9%	68.5%	1.11×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.4%	51.9%	65.1%	0.80×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.6%	48.1%	34.9%	1.38×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	20.9%	24.1%	31.5%	0.76×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.4%	7.6%	11.0%	0.69×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.3%	2.8%	4.2%	0.67×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	58.9%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	41.1%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.2%	7.3%	—	—	13.79

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	87.0%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.6%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.2%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.4%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.0%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic not to score in both halves	89.7%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Middlesbrough not to score in both halves	76.5%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Middlesbrough to score in both halves	23.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Charlton Athletic to score in both halves	10.3%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	42.0%	46.6%	54.4%	0.86×	2.15
Only Middlesbrough scores	31.9%	33.3%	23.3%	1.43×	3.00
Neither team scores	13.3%	11.0%	7.3%	1.51×	9.06
Only Charlton Athletic scores	12.8%	11.0%	15.2%	0.73×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.5%	24.9%	25.7%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	22.2%	22.6%	18.7%	1.21×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.2%	17.5%	24.8%	0.70×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.3%	12.1%	7.3%	1.66×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	10.3%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	4.4%	4.5%	5.5%	0.81×	22.35
6 or more goals	2.2%	4.5%	4.0%	1.12×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	41.1%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	16.6%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
3+ goals in 1st half	6.2%	7.3%	—	—	13.79

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	35.8%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
1 goal in 2nd half	34.8%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	29.4%	29.5%	—	—	3.40

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic not to win both halves	96.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Middlesbrough not to win both halves	86.5%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Middlesbrough to win both halves	13.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Charlton Athletic to win both halves	3.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.59

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to win neither half	66.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Middlesbrough to win either half	59.3%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Middlesbrough to win neither half	40.7%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Charlton Athletic to win either half	33.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic not to win to nil	87.2%	88.1%	84.8%	1.04×	1.14
Middlesbrough not to win to nil	68.1%	69.7%	76.7%	0.91×	1.44
Middlesbrough to win to nil	31.9%	30.3%	23.3%	1.30×	3.30
Charlton Athletic to win to nil	12.8%	11.9%	15.2%	0.78×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.2%	27.7%	27.6%	1.00×	3.61
Middlesbrough by 1	24.4%	24.1%	24.2%	1.00×	4.15
Middlesbrough by 2	15.0%	11.8%	11.3%	1.04×	8.51
Charlton Athletic by 1	13.8%	11.8%	17.4%	0.67×	8.51
Middlesbrough by 3+	8.8%	7.2%	8.1%	0.89×	13.90
Charlton Athletic by 2	5.2%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.92
Charlton Athletic by 3+	1.6%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.88