Millwall v Charlton Athletic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Millwall

12:30 UTC

Charlton Athletic

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,346h before kick-off

Millwall win

53.2%

model 53.5%

Draw

27.7%

model 28.0%

Charlton Athletic win

19.1%

model 18.5%

532819

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.2%
1-0 12.6%
2-0 11.1%
0-0 10.3%
2-1 9.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.6%	Under 2.5	56.4%
BTTS yes	46.6%	BTTS no	53.4%
Millwall 1+	79.5%	Millwall 2+	47.0%
Charlton Athletic 1+	56.8%	Charlton Athletic 2+	20.6%

Expected goals 1.58 – 0.84. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

45/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.4% fair odds 1.87

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Charlton Athletic not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Millwall carry the stronger rating, 1534 Elo against 1437.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Millwall have an estimated 53.2% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 19.1% for Charlton Athletic. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.58 for Millwall and 0.84 for Charlton Athletic.

Why Millwall

Millwall carry the stronger rating, 1534 Elo against 1437.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Charlton Athletic can win

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Millwall, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Charlton Athletic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Millwall: 54% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Charlton Athletic: 36% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Millwall's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Millwall are the model's most likely outcome at 53.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 45/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	542818	1.58–0.84	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	513018	1.40–0.74	1-0 15%	36%	41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall to win	51.4%	51.4%	43.4%	1.19×	1.94
Draw	30.4%	30.4%	27.6%	1.10×	3.29
Charlton Athletic to win	18.2%	19.4%	29.1%	0.67×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall & not both score	34.6%	29.6%	23.3%	1.27×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	17.2%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.57
Millwall & both teams score	16.8%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.57
Draw & not both score	13.2%	13.3%	7.3%	1.82×	7.54
Charlton Athletic & not both score	11.4%	13.3%	15.2%	0.87×	7.54
Charlton Athletic & both teams score	6.8%	8.3%	13.9%	0.60×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall & under 3.5	40.6%	40.2%	32.4%	1.24×	2.49
Millwall & over 1.5	36.4%	34.9%	32.5%	1.07×	2.87
Draw & under 2.5	26.9%	26.1%	21.8%	1.20×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.9%	26.1%	21.8%	1.20×	3.84
Millwall & under 2.5	26.6%	26.1%	17.1%	1.53×	3.84
Millwall & over 2.5	24.8%	21.6%	26.4%	0.82×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.2%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Charlton Athletic & under 3.5	15.7%	18.0%	22.3%	0.81×	5.56
Millwall & under 1.5	15.0%	18.0%	11.0%	1.63×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	13.2%	12.8%	7.3%	1.76×	7.79
Millwall & over 3.5	10.8%	12.8%	11.1%	1.15×	7.79
Charlton Athletic & over 1.5	11.0%	12.8%	21.4%	0.60×	7.79
Charlton Athletic & under 2.5	10.4%	12.8%	12.9%	0.99×	7.79
Charlton Athletic & over 2.5	7.8%	7.9%	16.2%	0.49×	12.63
Charlton Athletic & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.82
Charlton Athletic & over 3.5	2.5%	4.8%	6.8%	0.71×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (1UP)	62.9%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Charlton Athletic (1UP)	32.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (2UP)	51.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Charlton Athletic (2UP)	18.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
Millwall to win 2nd half	40.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Charlton Athletic to win 2nd half	18.3%	18.0%	—	—	5.56

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.7%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 in 2nd half	64.3%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 in 2nd half	35.7%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.3%	7.7%	—	—	12.92

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Millwall over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.1%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Millwall under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Millwall over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.1%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (+2.5)	89.9%	88.5%	91.9%	0.96×	1.13
Millwall (+0.5)	81.8%	82.5%	70.9%	1.16×	1.21
Charlton Athletic (+1.5)	73.8%	73.7%	80.7%	0.91×	1.36
Millwall (-0.5)	51.4%	52.4%	43.4%	1.21×	1.91
Charlton Athletic (+0.5)	48.6%	47.6%	56.6%	0.84×	2.10
Millwall (-1.5)	26.2%	26.3%	19.3%	1.37×	3.80
Charlton Athletic (-0.5)	18.2%	17.5%	29.1%	0.60×	5.73
Millwall (-2.5)	10.1%	11.5%	8.1%	1.43×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to concede	75.4%	78.7%	77.6%	1.02×	1.27
Charlton Athletic clean sheet	24.6%	21.3%	22.4%	0.95×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic clean sheet in 1st half	54.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Charlton Athletic to concede in 1st half	45.3%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to concede in 2nd half	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Charlton Athletic clean sheet in 2nd half	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 6.5 corners	77.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 corners	73.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Charlton Athletic under 5.5 corners	67.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 corners	58.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Charlton Athletic under 4.5 corners	55.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Charlton Athletic over 4.5 corners	44.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 corners	41.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Charlton Athletic over 5.5 corners	32.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 corners	26.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Charlton Athletic over 6.5 corners	22.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 goals	96.1%	97.5%	90.6%	1.08×	1.03
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 goals	83.1%	81.5%	70.0%	1.16×	1.23
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 goals	52.1%	53.5%	69.5%	0.77×	1.87
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 goals	47.9%	46.5%	30.5%	1.52×	2.15
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 goals	16.9%	18.5%	30.0%	0.62×	5.40
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 goals	3.9%	2.5%	9.4%	0.27×	39.87
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.5%	2.2%	1.13×	40.03

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 in 1st half	96.4%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 in 1st half	74.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 in 1st half	25.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 in 1st half	3.6%	3.9%	—	—	25.80

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic scores equally in both	54.3%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Charlton Athletic scores more in 2nd half	28.3%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Charlton Athletic scores more in 1st half	17.4%	18.0%	—	—	5.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (away no bet)	62.9%	61.9%	61.1%	1.01×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	37.1%	38.1%	38.9%	0.98×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic even goals	61.5%	59.1%	52.4%	1.13×	1.69
Charlton Athletic odd goals	38.6%	40.9%	47.6%	0.86×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.0%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.0%	7.9%	—	—	12.68

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	50.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.3%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.2%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Millwall to score 2+ in a row	35.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Millwall to score 3+ in a row	12.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Charlton Athletic to score 2+ in a row	12.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Charlton Athletic to score 3+ in a row	2.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.47

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall corners (+3.5)	93.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Millwall corners (+2.5)	89.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Millwall corners (+1.5)	85.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Millwall corners (-1.5)	67.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Millwall corners (-2.5)	59.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Millwall corners (-3.5)	51.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Charlton Athletic corners (+3.5)	48.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Charlton Athletic corners (+2.5)	40.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Charlton Athletic corners (+1.5)	32.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Charlton Athletic corners (-1.5)	14.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Charlton Athletic corners (-2.5)	10.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Charlton Athletic corners (-3.5)	7.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	58.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	21.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
0-8 corners	20.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	85.5%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Over 8.5 corners	79.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	72.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 10.5 corners	65.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 11.5 corners	58.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 12.5 corners	50.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 12.5 corners	49.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 11.5 corners	41.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 10.5 corners	34.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 9.5 corners	27.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 8.5 corners	20.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Under 7.5 corners	14.5%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.0%	13.8%	11.0%	1.25×	7.24
0-0	13.2%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.71
1-1	13.6%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.71
2-0	11.6%	11.5%	6.1%	1.88×	8.72
2-1	8.5%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
0-1	7.2%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
3-0	5.4%	7.4%	4.0%	1.85×	13.51
0-2	3.2%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.31
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.32
1-2	4.5%	1.7%	8.0%	0.21×	58.29
1-3	1.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.32
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	1.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32
Any other score	1.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (2nd half DNB)	68.9%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Charlton Athletic (2nd half DNB)	31.1%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall leading at HT (DNB)	70.8%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Charlton Athletic leading at HT (DNB)	29.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall or draw (1X)	81.8%	80.6%	70.9%	1.14×	1.24
Millwall or Charlton Athletic (12)	69.6%	69.6%	72.4%	0.96×	1.44
Charlton Athletic or draw (X2)	48.6%	48.6%	56.6%	0.86×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall or draw at HT	85.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Charlton Athletic or draw at HT	63.7%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Millwall or Charlton Athletic at HT	51.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall or draw (1UP)	81.8%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Charlton Athletic or draw (1UP)	48.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall or draw in 2nd half	81.7%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Charlton Athletic or draw in 2nd half	59.4%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Millwall or Charlton Athletic in 2nd half	59.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.3%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	31.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (DNB)	73.9%	71.4%	59.9%	1.19×	1.40
Charlton Athletic (DNB)	26.1%	28.6%	40.1%	0.71×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall to score first	56.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Charlton Athletic to score first	29.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
No goal scored	13.2%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.2%	55.0%	45.6%	1.21×	1.82
Both teams to score	40.8%	45.0%	54.4%	0.83×	2.23

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	50.3%	47.2%	37.1%	1.27×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	27.2%	33.3%	39.9%	0.83×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	13.6%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.3%	8.6%	0.97×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.1%	89.0%	89.0%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.9%	11.0%	11.0%	1.00×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.8%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.2%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.3%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	17.9%	15.1%	—	—	6.64
Both score 1st half only	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Both score in both halves	2.3%	4.8%	—	—	20.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.2%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	11.8%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.1%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	42.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.6%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
0-1 goals	35.5%	35.1%	25.9%	1.35×	2.85
4-6 goals	16.3%	20.2%	22.4%	0.90×	4.95
7+ goals	0.6%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.47

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 0	47.9%	42.9%	30.5%	1.41×	2.33
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.9%	39.6%	0.91×	2.78
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 2	13.0%	12.9%	20.6%	0.62×	7.76
Charlton Athletic to score 3+	3.9%	4.6%	9.4%	0.49×	21.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall to score exactly 1	34.5%	32.6%	37.0%	0.88×	3.07
Millwall to score exactly 0	24.6%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.29
Millwall to score exactly 2	24.2%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Millwall to score 3+	16.7%	18.8%	16.1%	1.16×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Millwall leading at HT	36.3%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Charlton Athletic leading at HT	14.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.35

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall -1: 2	48.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Millwall -1: 1	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Millwall -1: X	25.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:1)	48.6%	46.2%	56.6%	0.82×	2.17
Millwall (0:1)	26.2%	27.0%	19.3%	1.40×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	25.2%	27.0%	24.2%	1.11×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:2)	73.8%	75.7%	80.7%	0.94×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.1%	15.3%	11.3%	1.35×	6.56
Millwall (0:2)	10.1%	11.0%	8.1%	1.36×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:3)	89.9%	90.7%	91.9%	0.99×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.0%	5.8%	4.8%	1.22×	17.23
Millwall (0:3)	3.1%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:4)	96.9%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	81.91
Millwall (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (1:0)	81.8%	81.4%	70.9%	1.15×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.5%	12.7%	17.4%	0.73×	7.87
Charlton Athletic (1:0)	5.7%	6.9%	11.7%	0.59×	14.51

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (2:0)	94.3%	94.0%	88.3%	1.06×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.4%	2.3%	8.6%	0.27×	43.61
Charlton Athletic (2:0)	1.2%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.81

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.0%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Halves equal	31.2%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall to concede	52.1%	53.2%	69.5%	0.77×	1.88
Millwall clean sheet	47.9%	46.8%	30.5%	1.54×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall clean sheet in 1st half	74.5%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Millwall to concede in 1st half	25.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall clean sheet in 2nd half	64.3%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Millwall to concede in 2nd half	35.7%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall over 2.5 corners	93.7%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Millwall over 3.5 corners	88.0%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Millwall over 4.5 corners	80.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Millwall over 5.5 corners	72.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Millwall over 6.5 corners	63.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Millwall under 6.5 corners	36.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Millwall under 5.5 corners	27.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Millwall under 4.5 corners	19.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Millwall under 3.5 corners	12.0%	13.8%	—	—	7.27
Millwall under 2.5 corners	6.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.2%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Millwall under 2.5 goals	83.3%	82.2%	83.9%	0.98×	1.22
Millwall over 0.5 goals	75.4%	77.7%	77.6%	1.00×	1.29
Millwall under 1.5 goals	59.1%	58.6%	59.4%	0.99×	1.71
Millwall over 1.5 goals	40.9%	41.4%	40.6%	1.02×	2.42
Millwall under 0.5 goals	24.6%	22.3%	22.4%	0.99×	4.49
Millwall over 2.5 goals	16.7%	17.8%	16.1%	1.10×	5.63
Millwall over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.8%	5.2%	1.50×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall under 1.5 in 1st half	87.7%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Millwall under 0.5 in 1st half	54.7%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Millwall over 0.5 in 1st half	45.3%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Millwall over 1.5 in 1st half	12.3%	9.8%	—	—	10.17

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall scores equally in both	38.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Millwall scores more in 2nd half	36.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Millwall scores more in 1st half	25.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	62.5%	60.0%	48.7%	1.23×	1.67
Charlton Athletic (home no bet)	37.5%	40.0%	51.3%	0.78×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall even goals	53.0%	50.7%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Millwall odd goals	47.0%	49.3%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	41.0%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 1-0	24.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	7.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 2-0	7.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.03
HT 2-1	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 0-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall at HT / Millwall at FT	30.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Millwall at FT	19.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Charlton Athletic at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	8.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.39
Draw at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	8.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.41
Millwall at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Charlton Athletic at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Charlton Athletic at HT / Millwall at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Millwall at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall to score last	57.1%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Charlton Athletic to score last	29.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	13.2%	9.5%	—	—	10.50

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.8%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Millwall to lead by 1 at any time	62.9%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.0%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Charlton Athletic to lead by 1 at any time	32.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Millwall to lead by 2 at any time	30.6%	29.7%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.50
Millwall to lead by 3 at any time	11.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Charlton Athletic to lead by 2 at any time	8.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.91
Charlton Athletic to lead by 3 at any time	1.7%	1.6%	—	—	63.32

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall most corners	74.1%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Charlton Athletic most corners	19.6%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	6.3%	8.3%	—	—	12.00

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.6%	83.4%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.2%	83.4%	83.3%	1.00×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.9%	68.8%	69.1%	1.00×	1.45
2-6 goals	63.9%	63.3%	72.8%	0.87×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.3%	63.3%	70.2%	0.90×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.9%	59.1%	64.7%	0.91×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.7%	53.2%	44.4%	1.20×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.6%	48.5%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-6 goals	35.5%	39.2%	47.2%	0.83×	2.55
3-5 goals	33.9%	35.2%	44.5%	0.79×	2.84
3-4 goals	29.5%	30.2%	39.1%	0.77×	3.31
4-6 goals	16.3%	18.8%	22.4%	0.84×	5.31
4-5 goals	14.7%	14.8%	19.8%	0.75×	6.75
5-6 goals	6.0%	8.9%	8.2%	1.09×	11.28
7+ goals	0.6%	2.5%	1.4%	1.88×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall never behind	54.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Charlton Athletic never behind	23.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.4%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	53.6%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.2%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.8%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.8%	95.4%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.8%	87.6%	92.7%	0.94×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	83.1%	82.3%	76.3%	1.08×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	64.5%	61.8%	74.1%	0.83×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	63.9%	61.7%	51.6%	1.20×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	36.1%	38.3%	48.4%	0.79×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.5%	38.2%	25.9%	1.48×	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	16.9%	17.7%	23.7%	0.75×	5.66
Under 0.5 goals	13.2%	12.4%	7.3%	1.70×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	2.2%	4.6%	4.0%	1.15×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.7%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.6%	92.4%	89.0%	1.04×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	79.1%	75.9%	68.5%	1.11×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.4%	51.9%	65.1%	0.80×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.6%	48.1%	34.9%	1.38×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	20.9%	24.1%	31.5%	0.76×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.4%	7.6%	11.0%	0.69×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.3%	2.8%	4.2%	0.67×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.0%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	41.0%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.78

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	87.0%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.6%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.3%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.7%	38.5%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.4%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.0%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic not to score in both halves	90.9%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Millwall not to score in both halves	75.1%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Millwall to score in both halves	24.9%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Charlton Athletic to score in both halves	9.1%	9.9%	—	—	10.09

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	40.8%	46.5%	54.4%	0.86×	2.15
Only Millwall scores	34.6%	33.3%	23.3%	1.43×	3.00
Neither team scores	13.2%	11.0%	7.3%	1.51×	9.06
Only Charlton Athletic scores	11.4%	11.0%	15.2%	0.73×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.4%	24.9%	25.7%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	22.3%	22.6%	18.7%	1.21×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.2%	17.5%	24.8%	0.70×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.2%	12.1%	7.3%	1.66×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	10.3%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	4.4%	4.5%	5.5%	0.81×	22.35
6 or more goals	2.2%	4.5%	4.0%	1.12×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	41.0%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	16.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
3+ goals in 1st half	6.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.78

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	35.7%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
1 goal in 2nd half	34.9%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	29.4%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic not to win both halves	97.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Millwall not to win both halves	85.0%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Millwall to win both halves	15.0%	16.1%	—	—	6.23
Charlton Athletic to win both halves	2.9%	2.8%	—	—	35.83

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to win neither half	69.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Millwall to win either half	61.9%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Millwall to win neither half	38.1%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Charlton Athletic to win either half	30.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic not to win to nil	88.6%	88.1%	84.8%	1.04×	1.14
Millwall not to win to nil	65.4%	69.6%	76.7%	0.91×	1.44
Millwall to win to nil	34.6%	30.4%	23.3%	1.31×	3.29
Charlton Athletic to win to nil	11.4%	11.9%	15.2%	0.78×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall by 1	25.2%	27.9%	24.2%	1.15×	3.59
Draw	30.4%	27.7%	27.6%	1.00×	3.61
Millwall by 2	16.1%	17.0%	11.3%	1.51×	5.87
Charlton Athletic by 1	12.5%	11.8%	17.4%	0.67×	8.51
Millwall by 3+	10.1%	11.7%	8.1%	1.46×	8.51
Charlton Athletic by 2	4.4%	2.7%	8.6%	0.32×	36.79
Charlton Athletic by 3+	1.2%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.89