Millwall v Sheffield United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 8 December 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Millwall

19:45 UTC

Sheffield United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 1,041h before kick-off

Millwall win

44.2%

model 44.3%

Draw

27.9%

model 29.4%

Sheffield United win

27.9%

model 26.3%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.0%
1-0 10.3%
0-0 9.7%
2-1 9.0%
2-0 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.6%	Under 2.5	54.4%
BTTS yes	51.4%	BTTS no	48.6%
Millwall 1+	76.3%	Millwall 2+	42.2%
Sheffield United 1+	65.4%	Sheffield United 2+	28.6%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

44/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 83%

78.8% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2624 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Over 7.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4340 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Millwall carry the stronger rating, 1534 Elo against 1496.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Millwall have an estimated 44.2% win probability, against 27.9% for the draw and 27.9% for Sheffield United. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.44 for Millwall and 1.06 for Sheffield United.

Why Millwall

Millwall carry the stronger rating, 1534 Elo against 1496.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Sheffield United can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Sheffield United's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Ben Brereton Díaz (0.39), Oliver McBurnie (0.30), Cameron Archer (0.28).

Availability

No lineup on record for Millwall, so availability is unknown. 1 of Sheffield United's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Millwall: 54% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sheffield United: 40% possession, 8.2 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.36 xG a match from set pieces. Millwall's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Millwall are the model's most likely outcome at 44.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.0%. Confidence 44/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Sheffield United are finishing below their chances — 2.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 9.0 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DLDLLLLLLL last 10 scored 11 from 13.8 xG conceded 30 from 21.1 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442926	1.44–1.06	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	413128	1.28–1.02	1-1 15%	41%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall to win	40.9%	42.9%	43.4%	0.99×	2.33
Draw	31.2%	30.4%	27.6%	1.10×	3.29
Sheffield United to win	27.9%	27.9%	29.1%	0.96×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall & not both score	24.5%	21.8%	23.3%	0.94×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Millwall & both teams score	16.4%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.57
Sheffield United & not both score	16.1%	18.0%	15.2%	1.18×	5.57
Draw & not both score	11.5%	13.3%	7.3%	1.81×	7.54
Sheffield United & both teams score	11.8%	13.3%	13.9%	0.95×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall & under 3.5	31.4%	30.7%	32.4%	0.95×	3.25
Millwall & over 1.5	29.7%	26.1%	32.5%	0.80×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	26.2%	26.0%	21.8%	1.20×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.2%	26.0%	21.8%	1.20×	3.84
Sheffield United & under 3.5	22.3%	21.6%	22.3%	0.97×	4.63
Millwall & over 2.5	21.4%	21.6%	26.4%	0.82×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.55
Millwall & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	17.1%	1.05×	5.55
Sheffield United & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	21.4%	0.84×	5.55
Sheffield United & over 2.5	14.1%	12.8%	16.2%	0.79×	7.79
Sheffield United & under 2.5	13.8%	12.8%	12.9%	0.99×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	11.5%	12.8%	7.3%	1.76×	7.79
Millwall & under 1.5	11.2%	12.8%	11.0%	1.16×	7.79
Millwall & over 3.5	9.5%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.62
Sheffield United & under 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.63
Sheffield United & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.8%	1.17×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.0%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	5.0%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (1UP)	55.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Sheffield United (1UP)	44.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (2UP)	40.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Sheffield United (2UP)	27.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.96

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Millwall to win 2nd half	33.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Sheffield United to win 2nd half	26.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.4%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Sheffield United under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Sheffield United over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Sheffield United over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.6%	12.9%	—	—	7.76

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.3%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Millwall over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Millwall under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Millwall over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (+2.5)	93.3%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Sheffield United (+1.5)	80.8%	82.6%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
Millwall (+0.5)	72.1%	73.7%	70.9%	1.04×	1.36
Sheffield United (+0.5)	59.1%	57.1%	56.6%	1.01×	1.75
Millwall (-0.5)	40.9%	42.9%	43.4%	0.99×	2.33
Sheffield United (-0.5)	27.9%	26.3%	29.1%	0.91×	3.80
Millwall (-1.5)	19.2%	17.4%	19.3%	0.90×	5.73
Millwall (-2.5)	6.7%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to concede	72.3%	76.7%	77.6%	0.99×	1.30
Sheffield United clean sheet	27.7%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United clean sheet in 1st half	57.6%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Sheffield United to concede in 1st half	42.4%	43.6%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to concede in 2nd half	51.9%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Sheffield United clean sheet in 2nd half	48.1%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United over 2.5 corners	83.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Sheffield United over 3.5 corners	71.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Sheffield United under 6.5 corners	63.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Sheffield United over 4.5 corners	59.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Sheffield United under 5.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Sheffield United over 5.5 corners	47.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Sheffield United under 4.5 corners	40.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Sheffield United over 6.5 corners	36.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Sheffield United under 3.5 corners	28.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Sheffield United under 2.5 corners	16.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United under 3.5 goals	98.0%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Sheffield United under 2.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Sheffield United under 1.5 goals	72.8%	71.8%	70.0%	1.03×	1.39
Sheffield United over 0.5 goals	64.0%	63.2%	69.5%	0.91×	1.58
Sheffield United under 0.5 goals	36.0%	36.8%	30.5%	1.21×	2.72
Sheffield United over 1.5 goals	27.2%	28.2%	30.0%	0.94×	3.55
Sheffield United over 2.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	9.4%	0.81×	13.06
Sheffield United over 3.5 goals	2.0%	2.5%	2.2%	1.14×	39.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United under 1.5 in 1st half	93.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Sheffield United under 0.5 in 1st half	66.5%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
Sheffield United over 0.5 in 1st half	33.5%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Sheffield United over 1.5 in 1st half	6.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.57

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United scores equally in both	45.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Sheffield United scores more in 2nd half	34.0%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Sheffield United scores more in 1st half	20.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (away no bet)	56.7%	57.3%	61.1%	0.94×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	43.3%	42.7%	38.9%	1.10×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United even goals	56.5%	56.9%	52.4%	1.09×	1.76
Sheffield United odd goals	43.5%	43.1%	47.6%	0.91×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.3%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.7%	8.8%	—	—	11.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.0%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.0%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.1%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Millwall to score 2+ in a row	30.2%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Sheffield United to score 2+ in a row	20.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Millwall to score 3+ in a row	9.5%	5.6%	—	—	18.01
Sheffield United to score 3+ in a row	5.1%	5.4%	—	—	18.36

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall corners (+3.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Millwall corners (+2.5)	79.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Millwall corners (+1.5)	73.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Sheffield United corners (+3.5)	63.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Sheffield United corners (+2.5)	55.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Millwall corners (-1.5)	52.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Sheffield United corners (+1.5)	48.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Millwall corners (-2.5)	44.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Millwall corners (-3.5)	37.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Sheffield United corners (-1.5)	26.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Sheffield United corners (-2.5)	20.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Sheffield United corners (-3.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	60.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	21.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
0-8 corners	18.7%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	86.9%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Over 8.5 corners	81.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 9.5 corners	74.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 10.5 corners	67.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 11.5 corners	60.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 12.5 corners	52.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 12.5 corners	47.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 11.5 corners	39.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 10.5 corners	32.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 9.5 corners	25.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 8.5 corners	18.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Under 7.5 corners	13.1%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.7%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.71
0-0	11.5%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.72
1-0	11.2%	11.5%	11.0%	1.04×	8.72
0-1	8.6%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
1-2	6.7%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
2-0	8.2%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
0-2	5.2%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
0-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.32
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.32
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
3-0	3.5%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (2nd half DNB)	56.1%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Sheffield United (2nd half DNB)	43.9%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall leading at HT (DNB)	59.4%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Sheffield United leading at HT (DNB)	40.6%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall or draw (1X)	72.1%	72.1%	70.9%	1.02×	1.39
Millwall or Sheffield United (12)	68.8%	69.6%	72.4%	0.96×	1.44
Sheffield United or draw (X2)	59.1%	57.1%	56.6%	1.01×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall or draw at HT	78.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Sheffield United or draw at HT	69.1%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Millwall or Sheffield United at HT	52.1%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall or draw (1UP)	72.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Sheffield United or draw (1UP)	59.1%	63.1%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall or draw in 2nd half	73.7%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Sheffield United or draw in 2nd half	66.5%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Millwall or Sheffield United in 2nd half	59.8%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	32.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (DNB)	59.4%	58.1%	59.9%	0.97×	1.72
Sheffield United (DNB)	40.6%	41.9%	40.1%	1.04×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall to score first	49.3%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Sheffield United to score first	39.2%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	11.5%	9.6%	—	—	10.40

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	52.2%	51.3%	45.6%	1.12×	1.95
Both teams to score	47.8%	48.7%	54.4%	0.90×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.8%	41.6%	37.1%	1.12×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	33.2%	34.6%	39.9%	0.87×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	14.7%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	7.3%	8.3%	8.6%	0.97×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.0%	89.0%	89.0%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	10.0%	11.0%	11.0%	1.01×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.7%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.3%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.6%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	20.9%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	3.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.47

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.5%	84.7%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.5%	15.3%	—	—	6.54

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	46.4%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.4%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
0-1 goals	31.4%	30.7%	25.9%	1.19×	3.26
4-6 goals	19.2%	20.2%	22.4%	0.90×	4.94
7+ goals	0.9%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.47

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	39.6%	0.91×	2.78
Sheffield United to score exactly 0	36.0%	35.9%	30.5%	1.18×	2.78
Sheffield United to score exactly 2	18.8%	19.5%	20.6%	0.95×	5.12
Sheffield United to score 3+	8.4%	8.6%	9.4%	0.91×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall to score exactly 1	35.6%	35.5%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Millwall to score exactly 0	27.7%	26.6%	22.4%	1.18×	3.77
Millwall to score exactly 2	22.8%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Millwall to score 3+	13.9%	14.3%	16.1%	0.89×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.9%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Millwall leading at HT	30.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Sheffield United leading at HT	21.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall -1: 2	59.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Millwall -1: X	21.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Millwall -1: 1	19.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (0:1)	59.1%	55.9%	56.6%	0.99×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	21.7%	24.2%	24.2%	1.00×	4.13
Millwall (0:1)	19.2%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (0:2)	80.8%	82.9%	80.7%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.5%	11.0%	11.3%	0.97×	9.10
Millwall (0:2)	6.7%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (0:3)	93.3%	92.7%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.8%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	41.93
Millwall (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (0:4)	98.1%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	81.74
Millwall (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.1%	1.11×	81.85

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (1:0)	72.1%	72.4%	70.9%	1.02×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.9%	17.1%	17.4%	0.98×	5.85
Sheffield United (1:0)	11.0%	12.7%	11.7%	1.08×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall (2:0)	89.0%	88.5%	88.3%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.9%	6.4%	8.6%	0.74×	15.65
Sheffield United (2:0)	3.2%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.73

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Halves equal	30.0%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall to concede	64.0%	63.7%	69.5%	0.92×	1.57
Millwall clean sheet	36.0%	36.3%	30.5%	1.19×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall clean sheet in 1st half	66.5%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Millwall to concede in 1st half	33.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall clean sheet in 2nd half	54.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Millwall to concede in 2nd half	45.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall over 2.5 corners	91.4%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Millwall over 3.5 corners	84.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Millwall over 4.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Millwall over 5.5 corners	65.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Millwall over 6.5 corners	55.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Millwall under 6.5 corners	44.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Millwall under 5.5 corners	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Millwall under 4.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Millwall under 3.5 corners	15.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Millwall under 2.5 corners	8.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall under 3.5 goals	95.9%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Millwall under 2.5 goals	86.1%	87.3%	83.9%	1.04×	1.15
Millwall over 0.5 goals	72.3%	74.2%	77.6%	0.96×	1.35
Millwall under 1.5 goals	63.3%	63.6%	59.4%	1.07×	1.57
Millwall over 1.5 goals	36.7%	36.4%	40.6%	0.90×	2.75
Millwall under 0.5 goals	27.7%	25.8%	22.4%	1.15×	3.88
Millwall over 2.5 goals	13.9%	12.7%	16.1%	0.79×	7.85
Millwall over 3.5 goals	4.2%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.50

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall under 1.5 in 1st half	89.4%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Millwall under 0.5 in 1st half	57.6%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Millwall over 0.5 in 1st half	42.4%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Millwall over 1.5 in 1st half	10.6%	9.7%	—	—	10.27

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall scores equally in both	40.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
Millwall scores more in 2nd half	35.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Millwall scores more in 1st half	24.4%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.7%	51.4%	48.7%	1.06×	1.94
Sheffield United (home no bet)	47.3%	48.6%	51.3%	0.95×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall even goals	53.8%	50.8%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Millwall odd goals	46.2%	49.2%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	20.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	15.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	8.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	5.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall at HT / Millwall at FT	23.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Millwall at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Sheffield United at HT / Sheffield United at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Sheffield United at FT	11.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Millwall at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Sheffield United at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Sheffield United at HT / Millwall at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Millwall at HT / Sheffield United at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall to score last	49.4%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
Sheffield United to score last	39.1%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	11.5%	9.0%	—	—	11.09

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.5%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Millwall to lead by 1 at any time	55.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Sheffield United to lead by 1 at any time	44.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Millwall to lead by 2 at any time	24.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Sheffield United to lead by 2 at any time	15.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
Millwall to lead by 3 at any time	8.2%	6.7%	—	—	15.01
Sheffield United to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.6%	—	—	61.26

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall most corners	59.7%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Sheffield United most corners	32.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	7.4%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.4%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	83.4%	83.3%	1.00×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.3%	68.8%	69.1%	1.00×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.7%	68.8%	72.8%	0.95×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.6%	68.8%	70.2%	0.98×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.2%	63.3%	64.7%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.4%	48.4%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
1-2 goals	47.9%	48.4%	44.4%	1.09×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.6%	39.2%	47.2%	0.83×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.5%	39.2%	44.5%	0.88×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.1%	35.2%	39.1%	0.90×	2.84
4-6 goals	19.2%	18.8%	22.4%	0.84×	5.31
4-5 goals	17.1%	18.8%	19.8%	0.95×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.5%	8.9%	8.2%	1.09×	11.26
7+ goals	0.9%	2.5%	1.4%	1.88×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millwall never behind	44.4%	48.9%	—	—	2.05
Sheffield United never behind	32.9%	36.3%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.4%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.6%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.0%	95.4%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.5%	87.6%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.8%	77.3%	76.3%	1.01×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.6%	66.3%	74.1%	0.90×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.5%	58.7%	51.6%	1.14×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	40.5%	41.4%	48.4%	0.85×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	31.4%	33.7%	25.9%	1.30×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.2%	22.7%	23.7%	0.96×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	11.5%	12.4%	7.3%	1.70×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.0%	4.6%	4.0%	1.15×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.8%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.4%	92.4%	89.0%	1.04×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.7%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.3%	55.8%	65.1%	0.86×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.7%	44.2%	34.9%	1.27×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.3%	27.6%	31.5%	0.88×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.6%	7.6%	11.0%	0.69×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.2%	2.8%	4.2%	0.67×	35.59
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.7%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.8%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.2%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.3%	7.2%	—	—	13.93

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.4%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.6%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United not to score in both halves	84.6%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Millwall not to score in both halves	78.0%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Millwall to score in both halves	22.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Sheffield United to score in both halves	15.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	47.8%	50.7%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Only Millwall scores	24.5%	22.3%	23.3%	0.96×	4.49
Only Sheffield United scores	16.1%	16.0%	15.2%	1.05×	6.24
Neither team scores	11.5%	11.0%	7.3%	1.51×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.1%	24.9%	25.7%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	20.4%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.9%	17.5%	18.7%	0.93×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	11.5%	12.1%	7.3%	1.66×	8.26
Exactly 4 goals	11.7%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	5.5%	1.38×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.0%	4.5%	4.0%	1.12×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	17.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	7.3%	7.2%	—	—	13.93

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.4%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	34.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goals in 2nd half	26.6%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United not to win both halves	94.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Millwall not to win both halves	89.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Millwall to win both halves	10.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Sheffield United to win both halves	5.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.24

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to win neither half	58.3%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Millwall to win either half	53.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Millwall to win neither half	46.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Sheffield United to win either half	41.7%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United not to win to nil	83.9%	83.1%	84.8%	0.98×	1.20
Millwall not to win to nil	75.5%	78.1%	76.7%	1.02×	1.28
Millwall to win to nil	24.5%	21.9%	23.3%	0.94×	4.57
Sheffield United to win to nil	16.1%	16.9%	15.2%	1.11×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.2%	27.7%	27.6%	1.00×	3.61
Millwall by 1	21.7%	24.1%	24.2%	1.00×	4.15
Sheffield United by 1	16.9%	17.0%	17.4%	0.98×	5.87
Millwall by 2	12.5%	11.8%	11.3%	1.04×	8.51
Sheffield United by 2	7.9%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.91
Millwall by 3+	6.7%	7.2%	8.1%	0.89×	13.91
Sheffield United by 3+	3.2%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.87