Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Minnesota United FC

00:00 UTC

San Jose Earthquakes

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 325h before kick-off

Minnesota United FC win

49.2%

model 46.6%

Draw

23.1%

model 24.8%

San Jose Earthquakes win

27.8%

model 28.6%

492328

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.5%
2-1 9.4%
1-0 7.8%
2-0 7.2%
1-2 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.2%	Under 2.5	41.8%
BTTS yes	60.4%	BTTS no	39.6%
Minnesota United FC 1+	82.1%	Minnesota United FC 2+	51.3%
San Jose Earthquakes 1+	72.9%	San Jose Earthquakes 2+	37.5%

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.30. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

59/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

2-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 59%

62.1% fair odds 1.61

moderate signal · 3852 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Minnesota United FC over 0.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 82%

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1431 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Minnesota United FC.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Minnesota United FC have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.8% for San Jose Earthquakes and 23.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.72 for Minnesota United FC and 1.30 for San Jose Earthquakes.

Why Minnesota United FC

Nothing in the data singles out Minnesota United FC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why San Jose Earthquakes can win

Nothing in the data singles out San Jose Earthquakes.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Minnesota United FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for San Jose Earthquakes, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Minnesota United FC: 47% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. San Jose Earthquakes: 56% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Minnesota United FC are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5%. Confidence 59/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	472529	1.72–1.30	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	492427	1.85–1.33	1-1 11%	62%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to win	49.2%	47.4%	45.3%	1.05×	2.11
San Jose Earthquakes to win	27.1%	27.9%	30.0%	0.93×	3.58
Draw	23.8%	24.5%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC & both teams score	27.4%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Minnesota United FC & not both score	21.8%	21.8%	21.1%	1.03×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	19.1%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
San Jose Earthquakes & both teams score	16.1%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.57
San Jose Earthquakes & not both score	11.0%	13.3%	12.1%	1.10×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.7%	4.9%	5.8%	0.85×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC & over 1.5	42.0%	40.2%	37.2%	1.08×	2.49
Minnesota United FC & over 2.5	34.9%	30.8%	31.0%	0.99×	3.25
Minnesota United FC & under 3.5	28.1%	26.1%	28.4%	0.92×	3.84
San Jose Earthquakes & over 1.5	22.1%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Minnesota United FC & over 3.5	21.0%	21.6%	17.0%	1.27×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.1%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
San Jose Earthquakes & over 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.56
San Jose Earthquakes & under 3.5	17.1%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Minnesota United FC & under 2.5	14.3%	12.8%	14.4%	0.89×	7.79
San Jose Earthquakes & over 3.5	10.0%	7.9%	11.3%	0.70×	12.63
San Jose Earthquakes & under 2.5	8.7%	7.9%	9.6%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.3%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Minnesota United FC & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	5.8%	0.84×	20.81
San Jose Earthquakes & under 1.5	5.0%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (1UP)	65.9%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
San Jose Earthquakes (1UP)	47.3%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (2UP)	49.2%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
San Jose Earthquakes (2UP)	27.1%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to win 2nd half	40.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
2nd half drawn	32.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
San Jose Earthquakes to win 2nd half	26.9%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
San Jose Earthquakes over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
San Jose Earthquakes under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
San Jose Earthquakes over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.6%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Minnesota United FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.2%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Minnesota United FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.8%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Minnesota United FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (+2.5)	87.3%	88.5%	89.4%	0.99×	1.13
Minnesota United FC (+0.5)	72.9%	73.7%	70.0%	1.05×	1.36
San Jose Earthquakes (+1.5)	72.3%	73.6%	76.8%	0.96×	1.36
San Jose Earthquakes (+0.5)	50.8%	52.4%	54.7%	0.96×	1.91
Minnesota United FC (-0.5)	49.2%	47.6%	45.3%	1.05×	2.10
Minnesota United FC (-1.5)	27.8%	26.4%	23.2%	1.13×	3.79
San Jose Earthquakes (-0.5)	27.1%	26.3%	30.0%	0.88×	3.80
Minnesota United FC (-2.5)	12.7%	11.5%	10.6%	1.09×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes to concede	84.3%	81.6%	82.3%	0.99×	1.23
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet	15.7%	18.4%	17.7%	1.04×	5.43

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes to concede in 1st half	54.9%	50.6%	—	—	1.97
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet in 1st half	45.1%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes to concede in 2nd half	65.2%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet in 2nd half	34.8%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes over 2.5 corners	83.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
San Jose Earthquakes over 3.5 corners	71.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
San Jose Earthquakes under 6.5 corners	69.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
San Jose Earthquakes under 5.5 corners	57.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
San Jose Earthquakes over 4.5 corners	56.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
San Jose Earthquakes under 4.5 corners	43.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
San Jose Earthquakes over 5.5 corners	42.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
San Jose Earthquakes over 6.5 corners	30.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
San Jose Earthquakes under 3.5 corners	29.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
San Jose Earthquakes under 2.5 corners	16.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes under 3.5 goals	95.4%	97.5%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
San Jose Earthquakes under 2.5 goals	85.0%	87.8%	83.3%	1.05×	1.14
San Jose Earthquakes over 0.5 goals	73.6%	71.9%	73.3%	0.98×	1.39
San Jose Earthquakes under 1.5 goals	61.6%	63.2%	61.2%	1.03×	1.58
San Jose Earthquakes over 1.5 goals	38.4%	36.8%	38.8%	0.95×	2.72
San Jose Earthquakes under 0.5 goals	26.4%	28.1%	26.7%	1.05×	3.55
San Jose Earthquakes over 2.5 goals	15.0%	12.2%	16.7%	0.73×	8.19
San Jose Earthquakes over 3.5 goals	4.6%	2.5%	6.0%	0.42×	39.83

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes under 1.5 in 1st half	90.0%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
San Jose Earthquakes under 0.5 in 1st half	58.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
San Jose Earthquakes over 0.5 in 1st half	41.3%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
San Jose Earthquakes over 1.5 in 1st half	10.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.55

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes scores equally in both	38.9%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
San Jose Earthquakes scores more in 2nd half	38.7%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
San Jose Earthquakes scores more in 1st half	22.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (away no bet)	67.4%	66.4%	64.6%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.6%	33.6%	35.4%	0.95×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes even goals	53.5%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
San Jose Earthquakes odd goals	46.5%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.8%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.0%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Minnesota United FC to score 2+ in a row	45.4%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
San Jose Earthquakes to score 2+ in a row	27.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.7%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Minnesota United FC to score 3+ in a row	18.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
San Jose Earthquakes to score 3+ in a row	7.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.04

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC corners (+3.5)	81.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
San Jose Earthquakes corners (+3.5)	80.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Minnesota United FC corners (+2.5)	74.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
San Jose Earthquakes corners (+2.5)	72.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Minnesota United FC corners (+1.5)	66.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
San Jose Earthquakes corners (+1.5)	63.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Minnesota United FC corners (-1.5)	36.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
San Jose Earthquakes corners (-1.5)	33.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Minnesota United FC corners (-2.5)	27.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
San Jose Earthquakes corners (-2.5)	25.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Minnesota United FC corners (-3.5)	20.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
San Jose Earthquakes corners (-3.5)	18.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	39.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	68.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 12.5 corners	68.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	60.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	59.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	50.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	49.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 9.5 corners	40.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	39.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	31.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	31.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	22.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.8%	11.5%	10.4%	1.11×	8.72
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
1-0	7.2%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
1-2	6.8%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
3-1	5.8%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
Any other score	5.1%	7.4%	4.7%	1.56×	13.51
0-1	5.0%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.29
0-0	4.7%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.29
0-2	3.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
1-3	3.0%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.30
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
2-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
3-0	4.4%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.29
3-2	3.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.31
4-1	2.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.30
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (2nd half DNB)	60.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
San Jose Earthquakes (2nd half DNB)	39.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC leading at HT (DNB)	63.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
San Jose Earthquakes leading at HT (DNB)	36.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC or San Jose Earthquakes (12)	76.2%	75.5%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
Minnesota United FC or draw (1X)	72.9%	72.1%	70.0%	1.03×	1.39
San Jose Earthquakes or draw (X2)	50.8%	52.6%	54.7%	0.96×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC or draw at HT	77.6%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
San Jose Earthquakes or draw at HT	61.5%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Minnesota United FC or San Jose Earthquakes at HT	60.8%	60.9%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC or draw (1UP)	72.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
San Jose Earthquakes or draw (1UP)	50.8%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC or draw in 2nd half	73.1%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Minnesota United FC or San Jose Earthquakes in 2nd half	67.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
San Jose Earthquakes or draw in 2nd half	59.2%	58.3%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.2%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	41.8%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (DNB)	64.5%	62.7%	60.2%	1.04×	1.59
San Jose Earthquakes (DNB)	35.5%	37.3%	39.8%	0.94×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to score first	55.5%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
San Jose Earthquakes to score first	39.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	4.7%	4.4%	—	—	22.95

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.5%	56.6%	61.3%	0.92×	1.77
Not both teams to score	37.5%	43.4%	38.7%	1.12×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.8%	47.2%	51.1%	0.92×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	27.6%	33.3%	29.5%	1.13×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.8%	12.4%	10.4%	1.19×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.8%	8.3%	9.2%	0.90×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.8%	79.8%	79.5%	1.00×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	21.2%	20.2%	20.5%	0.99×	4.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.0%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	27.9%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Both score 1st half only	14.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.25
Both score in both halves	8.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.63

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.3%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.2%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	37.8%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.9%	42.2%	43.0%	0.98×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.0%	30.8%	33.0%	0.93×	3.25
0-1 goals	16.8%	20.2%	20.2%	1.00×	4.95
7+ goals	4.3%	1.8%	4.1%	0.46×	54.09

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes to score exactly 1	35.2%	35.9%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
San Jose Earthquakes to score exactly 0	26.4%	27.4%	26.7%	1.03×	3.65
San Jose Earthquakes to score exactly 2	23.4%	22.3%	22.2%	1.00×	4.49
San Jose Earthquakes to score 3+	15.0%	12.9%	16.7%	0.77×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to score exactly 1	29.1%	26.6%	31.1%	0.85×	3.77
Minnesota United FC to score 3+	28.3%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Minnesota United FC to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
Minnesota United FC to score exactly 0	15.7%	18.7%	17.7%	1.06×	5.34

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.2%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Minnesota United FC leading at HT	38.5%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
San Jose Earthquakes leading at HT	22.4%	20.5%	—	—	4.87

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC -1: 2	50.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Minnesota United FC -1: 1	27.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Minnesota United FC -1: X	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (0:1)	50.8%	51.3%	54.7%	0.94×	1.95
Minnesota United FC (0:1)	27.8%	27.0%	23.2%	1.16×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	21.4%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (0:2)	72.3%	75.7%	76.8%	0.99×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.1%	15.2%	12.7%	1.20×	6.56
Minnesota United FC (0:2)	12.7%	11.0%	10.6%	1.04×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (0:3)	87.3%	90.6%	89.4%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.9%	5.8%	6.7%	0.87×	17.22
Minnesota United FC (0:3)	4.8%	2.4%	4.1%	0.59×	42.02

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (0:4)	95.2%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	81.81
Minnesota United FC (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	82.00

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (1:0)	72.9%	72.4%	70.0%	1.03×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	15.2%	17.1%	17.1%	1.00×	5.85
San Jose Earthquakes (1:0)	11.8%	12.7%	13.0%	0.98×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (2:0)	88.2%	88.5%	87.0%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.8%	6.4%	8.6%	0.75×	15.67
San Jose Earthquakes (2:0)	4.1%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.63

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	23.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to concede	73.6%	73.1%	73.3%	1.00×	1.37
Minnesota United FC clean sheet	26.4%	26.9%	26.7%	1.01×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC clean sheet in 1st half	58.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Minnesota United FC to concede in 1st half	41.3%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to concede in 2nd half	55.0%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Minnesota United FC clean sheet in 2nd half	45.0%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC over 2.5 corners	84.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Minnesota United FC over 3.5 corners	72.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Minnesota United FC under 6.5 corners	67.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Minnesota United FC over 4.5 corners	58.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Minnesota United FC under 5.5 corners	55.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Minnesota United FC over 5.5 corners	44.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Minnesota United FC under 4.5 corners	41.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Minnesota United FC over 6.5 corners	32.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Minnesota United FC under 3.5 corners	27.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Minnesota United FC under 2.5 corners	15.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC under 3.5 goals	88.3%	87.3%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Minnesota United FC over 0.5 goals	84.3%	82.2%	82.3%	1.00×	1.22
Minnesota United FC under 2.5 goals	71.7%	74.2%	75.0%	0.99×	1.35
Minnesota United FC over 1.5 goals	55.2%	58.6%	51.3%	1.14×	1.71
Minnesota United FC under 1.5 goals	44.8%	41.4%	48.7%	0.85×	2.42
Minnesota United FC over 2.5 goals	28.3%	25.8%	25.0%	1.03×	3.88
Minnesota United FC under 0.5 goals	15.7%	17.8%	17.7%	1.00×	5.63
Minnesota United FC over 3.5 goals	11.7%	12.7%	9.4%	1.36×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC under 1.5 in 1st half	81.0%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Minnesota United FC over 0.5 in 1st half	54.9%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Minnesota United FC under 0.5 in 1st half	45.1%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Minnesota United FC over 1.5 in 1st half	19.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.14

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC scores more in 2nd half	41.0%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Minnesota United FC scores equally in both	31.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Minnesota United FC scores more in 1st half	27.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (home no bet)	53.2%	51.4%	54.7%	0.94×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	46.8%	48.6%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC even goals	51.2%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
Minnesota United FC odd goals	48.8%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 1-0	21.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	14.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	11.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	8.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
Any other HT score	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	41.92
HT 0-2	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.96
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.13

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC at HT / Minnesota United FC at FT	30.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Draw at HT / Minnesota United FC at FT	15.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
San Jose Earthquakes at HT / San Jose Earthquakes at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / San Jose Earthquakes at FT	10.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Minnesota United FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
San Jose Earthquakes at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
San Jose Earthquakes at HT / Minnesota United FC at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Minnesota United FC at HT / San Jose Earthquakes at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to score last	55.5%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
San Jose Earthquakes to score last	39.8%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
No goal scored	4.7%	4.4%	—	—	22.95

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.3%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Minnesota United FC to lead by 1 at any time	65.9%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
San Jose Earthquakes to lead by 1 at any time	47.3%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Minnesota United FC to lead by 2 at any time	35.6%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
San Jose Earthquakes to lead by 2 at any time	18.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Minnesota United FC to lead by 3 at any time	15.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
San Jose Earthquakes to lead by 3 at any time	5.8%	6.7%	—	—	15.03

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC most corners	46.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
San Jose Earthquakes most corners	43.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.0%	83.4%	83.4%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	78.8%	78.7%	75.9%	1.04×	1.27
1-4 goals	73.7%	72.4%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.9%	72.4%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.3%	59.1%	56.3%	1.05×	1.69
1-3 goals	56.0%	59.1%	57.4%	1.03×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.3%	53.2%	49.4%	1.08×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.9%	43.6%	43.0%	1.02×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.0%	43.6%	39.1%	1.11×	2.29
4-6 goals	35.0%	35.2%	33.0%	1.07×	2.84
1-2 goals	33.7%	35.2%	34.2%	1.03×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.0%	30.2%	26.2%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.3%	18.8%	17.2%	1.09×	5.31
7+ goals	4.3%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	39.06

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC never behind	48.0%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
San Jose Earthquakes never behind	29.4%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.7%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.3%	95.4%	94.3%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.7%	87.6%	89.1%	0.98×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.2%	82.3%	79.8%	1.03×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	78.4%	77.3%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	61.6%	61.7%	60.2%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	60.7%	61.7%	63.0%	0.98×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39.3%	38.3%	37.0%	1.04×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	38.4%	38.3%	39.8%	0.96×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	21.6%	22.7%	21.2%	1.07×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	16.8%	17.7%	20.2%	0.88×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	10.3%	12.4%	10.9%	1.13×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	4.7%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.4%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.4%	86.7%	87.8%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.5%	75.9%	74.9%	1.01×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.8%	72.4%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.6%	51.9%	48.2%	1.08×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.4%	48.1%	51.8%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	26.2%	27.6%	25.2%	1.10×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.5%	24.1%	25.1%	0.96×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.6%	13.3%	12.2%	1.09×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.6%	2.8%	4.4%	0.65×	35.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.1%	88.9%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.4%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.6%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.9%	11.1%	—	—	9.04

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.6%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.4%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes not to score in both halves	77.3%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Minnesota United FC not to score in both halves	64.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Minnesota United FC to score in both halves	35.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
San Jose Earthquakes to score in both halves	22.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.5%	60.2%	61.3%	0.98×	1.66
Only Minnesota United FC scores	21.8%	22.3%	21.1%	1.06×	4.49
Only San Jose Earthquakes scores	11.0%	11.0%	12.1%	0.91×	9.07
Neither team scores	4.7%	4.6%	5.8%	0.81×	21.59

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.6%	22.6%	19.7%	1.14×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.7%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.1%	12.1%	14.5%	0.83×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	11.3%	12.1%	10.4%	1.17×	8.25
6 or more goals	10.3%	12.1%	10.9%	1.11×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	4.7%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	26.6%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	23.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	14.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.5%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.7%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	15.9%	16.6%	—	—	6.02

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes not to win both halves	93.9%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Minnesota United FC not to win both halves	84.2%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Minnesota United FC to win both halves	15.8%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
San Jose Earthquakes to win both halves	6.1%	5.8%	—	—	17.15

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to win either half	63.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
San Jose Earthquakes to win neither half	56.8%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
San Jose Earthquakes to win either half	43.2%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Minnesota United FC to win neither half	36.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes not to win to nil	89.0%	88.1%	87.9%	1.00×	1.14
Minnesota United FC not to win to nil	78.2%	78.1%	78.9%	0.99×	1.28
Minnesota United FC to win to nil	21.8%	21.9%	21.1%	1.04×	4.57
San Jose Earthquakes to win to nil	11.0%	11.9%	12.1%	0.98×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.8%	24.1%	24.8%	0.97×	4.15
Minnesota United FC by 1	21.4%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.15
San Jose Earthquakes by 1	15.2%	17.0%	17.1%	0.99×	5.87
Minnesota United FC by 2	15.1%	17.0%	12.7%	1.34×	5.87
Minnesota United FC by 3+	12.7%	11.8%	10.6%	1.11×	8.51
San Jose Earthquakes by 2	7.8%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.90
San Jose Earthquakes by 3+	4.1%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	36.80