Mito Hollyhock v Tokyo Verdy 1969 — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 25 November 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Mito Hollyhock

10:00 UTC

Tokyo Verdy 1969

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 719h before kick-off

Mito Hollyhock win

47.0%

model 45.5%

Draw

26.5%

model 27.1%

Tokyo Verdy 1969 win

26.5%

model 27.4%

472727

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.6%
1-1 12.6%
0-1 9.9%
0-0 9.7%
2-0 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	40.6%	Under 2.5	59.4%
BTTS yes	45.5%	BTTS no	54.5%
Mito Hollyhock 1+	73.7%	Mito Hollyhock 2+	38.6%
Tokyo Verdy 1969 1+	62.1%	Tokyo Verdy 1969 2+	25.3%

Expected goals 1.34 – 0.97. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Mito Hollyhock or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 69%

72.6% fair odds 1.38

moderate signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Mito Hollyhock carry the stronger rating, 1436 Elo against 1408.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Mito Hollyhock have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.5% for Tokyo Verdy 1969 and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.34 for Mito Hollyhock and 0.97 for Tokyo Verdy 1969.

Why Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock carry the stronger rating, 1436 Elo against 1408.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. A combined 2.31 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Tokyo Verdy 1969 can win

Nothing in the data singles out Tokyo Verdy 1969.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Mito Hollyhock, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Tokyo Verdy 1969, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Mito Hollyhock: 39% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Tokyo Verdy 1969: 41% possession, 8.6 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Mito Hollyhock are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.6%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	452727	1.34–0.97	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	472825	1.30–0.87	1-0 15%	37%	42%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock to win	46.9%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11
Draw	27.9%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.58
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win	25.2%	27.9%	31.1%	0.90×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock & not both score	30.8%	29.6%	25.0%	1.18×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	16.8%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.57
Mito Hollyhock & both teams score	16.1%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.57
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & not both score	16.1%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.57
Draw & not both score	11.2%	13.3%	7.0%	1.89×	7.54
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & both teams score	9.1%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	11.99

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock & under 3.5	37.4%	34.9%	33.1%	1.05×	2.87
Mito Hollyhock & over 1.5	31.7%	30.7%	30.3%	1.01×	3.25
Mito Hollyhock & under 2.5	24.8%	21.6%	20.0%	1.08×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	23.8%	21.6%	20.3%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.8%	21.6%	20.3%	1.06×	4.63
Mito Hollyhock & over 2.5	22.1%	21.6%	23.1%	0.93×	4.63
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & under 3.5	21.4%	21.6%	23.4%	0.92×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	16.8%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Mito Hollyhock & under 1.5	15.2%	18.0%	12.8%	1.41×	5.56
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & over 1.5	15.0%	12.8%	21.3%	0.60×	7.79
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & under 2.5	14.5%	12.8%	13.4%	0.96×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	11.2%	12.8%	7.0%	1.83×	7.79
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & over 2.5	10.7%	12.8%	17.8%	0.72×	7.79
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & under 1.5	10.2%	12.8%	10.0%	1.28×	7.79
Mito Hollyhock & over 3.5	9.5%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.62
Draw & over 2.5	4.1%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.82
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & over 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	7.8%	0.61×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock (1UP)	59.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (1UP)	39.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock (2UP)	46.9%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (2UP)	25.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Mito Hollyhock to win 2nd half	36.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win 2nd half	23.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.3%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 0.5 in 2nd half	59.4%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 0.5 in 2nd half	40.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.7%	8.5%	—	—	11.77

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.0%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Mito Hollyhock over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Mito Hollyhock under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Mito Hollyhock over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (+2.5)	92.3%	92.1%	93.8%	0.98×	1.09
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (+1.5)	78.4%	78.5%	81.9%	0.96×	1.27
Mito Hollyhock (+0.5)	74.8%	73.7%	68.9%	1.07×	1.36
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (+0.5)	53.1%	52.4%	57.0%	0.92×	1.91
Mito Hollyhock (-0.5)	46.9%	47.6%	43.0%	1.11×	2.10
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (-0.5)	25.2%	26.3%	31.1%	0.85×	3.80
Mito Hollyhock (-1.5)	21.6%	21.5%	18.1%	1.19×	4.65
Mito Hollyhock (-2.5)	7.7%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to concede	72.7%	76.7%	75.3%	1.02×	1.30
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet	27.3%	23.3%	24.7%	0.94×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet in 1st half	57.2%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to concede in 1st half	42.8%	43.6%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to concede in 2nd half	52.3%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet in 2nd half	47.7%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 6.5 corners	89.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 5.5 corners	80.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 4.5 corners	68.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 2.5 corners	67.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 3.5 corners	51.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 3.5 corners	48.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 2.5 corners	32.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 4.5 corners	31.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 5.5 corners	19.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 6.5 corners	10.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 3.5 goals	98.8%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 2.5 goals	94.2%	92.4%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 1.5 goals	78.4%	76.3%	68.3%	1.12×	1.31
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 0.5 goals	58.0%	59.4%	68.1%	0.87×	1.68
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 0.5 goals	42.0%	40.6%	31.9%	1.27×	2.47
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 1.5 goals	21.6%	23.7%	31.7%	0.75×	4.21
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 2.5 goals	5.8%	7.6%	12.2%	0.63×	13.09
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 3.5 goals	1.2%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.91

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 1.5 in 1st half	95.2%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 0.5 in 1st half	70.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 0.5 in 1st half	29.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 1.5 in 1st half	4.8%	4.1%	—	—	24.67

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores equally in both	49.9%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores more in 2nd half	31.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores more in 1st half	19.0%	18.2%	—	—	5.51

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock (away no bet)	62.7%	61.9%	62.2%	1.00×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.3%	38.1%	37.8%	1.01×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 even goals	58.8%	56.9%	54.2%	1.05×	1.76
Tokyo Verdy 1969 odd goals	41.2%	43.1%	45.8%	0.94×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.7%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.3%	8.5%	—	—	11.76

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	50.5%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.5%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	44.7%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
Mito Hollyhock to score 2+ in a row	31.6%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 2+ in a row	16.2%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Mito Hollyhock to score 3+ in a row	10.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 3+ in a row	3.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.87

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock corners (+3.5)	92.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Mito Hollyhock corners (+2.5)	86.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Mito Hollyhock corners (+1.5)	78.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (+3.5)	77.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (+2.5)	67.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (+1.5)	55.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Mito Hollyhock corners (-1.5)	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Mito Hollyhock corners (-2.5)	33.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Mito Hollyhock corners (-3.5)	23.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (-1.5)	21.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (-2.5)	13.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (-3.5)	7.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.0%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	18.2%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.8%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	81.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	74.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	59.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	26.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	18.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	12.2%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.2%	13.8%	12.8%	1.08×	7.24
1-1	12.6%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.71
0-0	11.2%	11.5%	7.0%	1.63×	8.72
0-1	10.2%	11.5%	10.0%	1.15×	8.72
2-0	9.7%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.51
1-2	5.6%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.51
0-2	4.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.29
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.32
1-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.32
2-2	3.6%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.32
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.32
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock (2nd half DNB)	61.4%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (2nd half DNB)	38.6%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock leading at HT (DNB)	64.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Tokyo Verdy 1969 leading at HT (DNB)	35.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock or draw (1X)	74.8%	72.1%	68.9%	1.05×	1.39
Mito Hollyhock or Tokyo Verdy 1969 (12)	72.1%	72.1%	73.9%	0.98×	1.39
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw (X2)	53.1%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock or draw at HT	81.6%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw at HT	66.9%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Mito Hollyhock or Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT	51.5%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock or draw (1UP)	74.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw (1UP)	53.1%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock or draw in 2nd half	76.9%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw in 2nd half	63.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Mito Hollyhock or Tokyo Verdy 1969 in 2nd half	59.9%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.5%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	30.5%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock (DNB)	65.0%	67.4%	58.0%	1.16×	1.48
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (DNB)	35.0%	32.6%	42.0%	0.78×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock to score first	53.3%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score first	35.6%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	11.2%	9.5%	—	—	10.51

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.1%	55.0%	49.5%	1.11×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.9%	45.0%	50.5%	0.89×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	50.5%	47.2%	40.2%	1.18×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	29.3%	33.3%	37.2%	0.90×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	12.4%	13.4%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.6%	8.3%	9.5%	0.87×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.9%	89.0%	86.3%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.1%	11.0%	13.8%	0.80×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.9%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.1%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	69.0%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	18.5%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Both score 1st half only	9.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.61
Both score in both halves	2.7%	4.8%	—	—	20.62

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.5%	85.0%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	12.5%	15.0%	—	—	6.67

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.4%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	42.6%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.2%	47.2%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	36.5%	35.0%	29.5%	1.19×	2.86
4-6 goals	16.7%	20.2%	20.9%	0.97×	4.94
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	2.7%	0.69×	54.50

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score exactly 0	42.0%	37.3%	31.9%	1.17×	2.68
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score exactly 2	15.8%	19.5%	19.7%	0.99×	5.12
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 3+	5.8%	8.5%	12.2%	0.70×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.5%	36.3%	0.98×	2.81
Mito Hollyhock to score exactly 0	27.3%	26.6%	24.7%	1.08×	3.77
Mito Hollyhock to score exactly 2	23.0%	23.3%	24.5%	0.95×	4.29
Mito Hollyhock to score 3+	14.3%	14.3%	14.8%	0.96×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.5%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Mito Hollyhock leading at HT	33.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Tokyo Verdy 1969 leading at HT	18.4%	16.0%	—	—	6.25

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock -1: 2	53.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Mito Hollyhock -1: X	25.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Mito Hollyhock -1: 1	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:1)	53.1%	51.3%	57.0%	0.90×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	25.3%	27.0%	25.0%	1.08×	3.70
Mito Hollyhock (0:1)	21.6%	24.2%	18.1%	1.34×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:2)	78.4%	79.4%	81.9%	0.97×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.9%	11.0%	12.0%	0.91×	9.09
Mito Hollyhock (0:2)	7.7%	7.7%	6.3%	1.23×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:3)	92.3%	92.7%	93.8%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.5%	5.8%	4.2%	1.37×	17.27
Mito Hollyhock (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	2.2%	1.09×	42.04

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:4)	97.8%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	81.71
Mito Hollyhock (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	81.84

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock (1:0)	74.8%	72.5%	68.9%	1.05×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	17.0%	17.1%	19.4%	0.88×	5.85
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (1:0)	8.2%	6.9%	11.9%	0.58×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock (2:0)	91.8%	94.0%	88.1%	1.07×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.2%	6.4%	6.1%	1.05×	15.67
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (2:0)	2.0%	2.3%	5.9%	0.38×	43.80

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.8%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Halves equal	28.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock to concede	58.0%	60.7%	68.1%	0.89×	1.65
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet	42.0%	39.3%	31.9%	1.23×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet in 1st half	70.7%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Mito Hollyhock to concede in 1st half	29.3%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet in 2nd half	59.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Mito Hollyhock to concede in 2nd half	40.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock over 2.5 corners	81.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Mito Hollyhock under 6.5 corners	76.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Mito Hollyhock over 3.5 corners	66.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Mito Hollyhock under 5.5 corners	64.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Mito Hollyhock over 4.5 corners	50.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Mito Hollyhock under 4.5 corners	49.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Mito Hollyhock over 5.5 corners	35.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Mito Hollyhock under 3.5 corners	33.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Mito Hollyhock over 6.5 corners	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Mito Hollyhock under 2.5 corners	18.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock under 3.5 goals	95.7%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Mito Hollyhock under 2.5 goals	85.7%	87.3%	85.2%	1.02×	1.15
Mito Hollyhock over 0.5 goals	72.7%	74.2%	75.3%	0.99×	1.35
Mito Hollyhock under 1.5 goals	62.7%	63.6%	60.8%	1.05×	1.57
Mito Hollyhock over 1.5 goals	37.3%	36.4%	39.2%	0.93×	2.75
Mito Hollyhock under 0.5 goals	27.3%	25.8%	24.7%	1.04×	3.88
Mito Hollyhock over 2.5 goals	14.3%	12.7%	14.8%	0.86×	7.85
Mito Hollyhock over 3.5 goals	4.3%	3.6%	5.2%	0.71×	27.50

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock under 1.5 in 1st half	89.1%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Mito Hollyhock under 0.5 in 1st half	57.2%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Mito Hollyhock over 0.5 in 1st half	42.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Mito Hollyhock over 1.5 in 1st half	10.9%	9.7%	—	—	10.26

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock scores equally in both	39.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Mito Hollyhock scores more in 2nd half	35.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Mito Hollyhock scores more in 1st half	24.5%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.5%	51.4%	45.6%	1.13×	1.94
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (home no bet)	47.5%	48.6%	54.4%	0.89×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock even goals	53.7%	50.8%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Mito Hollyhock odd goals	46.3%	49.2%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 1-0	22.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	14.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 2-0	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
Any other HT score	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-1	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock at HT / Mito Hollyhock at FT	27.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Mito Hollyhock at FT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT / Tokyo Verdy 1969 at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Tokyo Verdy 1969 at FT	11.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Mito Hollyhock at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT / Mito Hollyhock at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Mito Hollyhock at HT / Tokyo Verdy 1969 at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock to score last	53.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score last	35.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	11.2%	8.9%	—	—	11.22

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.8%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Mito Hollyhock to lead by 1 at any time	59.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to lead by 1 at any time	39.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	37.8%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Mito Hollyhock to lead by 2 at any time	26.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to lead by 2 at any time	11.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Mito Hollyhock to lead by 3 at any time	9.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.97
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to lead by 3 at any time	2.7%	1.6%	—	—	62.58

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock most corners	57.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Tokyo Verdy 1969 most corners	31.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.9%	83.4%	81.7%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.4%	72.3%	69.7%	1.04×	1.38
2-6 goals	62.8%	63.3%	68.0%	0.93×	1.58
2-5 goals	61.1%	63.3%	65.0%	0.97×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.6%	59.1%	59.2%	1.00×	1.69
1-2 goals	52.0%	53.2%	46.6%	1.14×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.4%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	36.2%	39.2%	44.1%	0.89×	2.55
3-5 goals	34.5%	35.2%	41.1%	0.86×	2.84
3-4 goals	30.0%	30.2%	35.3%	0.86×	3.31
4-6 goals	16.7%	18.8%	20.9%	0.90×	5.31
4-5 goals	15.1%	18.8%	18.0%	1.05×	5.32
5-6 goals	6.2%	8.9%	8.9%	1.00×	11.27
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	2.7%	0.96×	39.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock never behind	49.4%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Tokyo Verdy 1969 never behind	29.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	53.3%	0.96×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	46.7%	1.05×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.7%	95.4%	94.4%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	88.6%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.8%	87.6%	93.0%	0.94×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.6%	82.3%	76.6%	1.08×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	63.5%	61.7%	70.5%	0.88×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	63.1%	61.7%	53.4%	1.16×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	36.9%	38.3%	46.6%	0.82×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	36.5%	38.3%	29.5%	1.30×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	17.4%	17.7%	23.4%	0.76×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	11.2%	12.4%	7.0%	1.76×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	11.4%	0.68×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.3%	4.6%	5.6%	0.81×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.5%	97.2%	94.0%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.3%	92.4%	87.0%	1.06×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	78.4%	75.9%	69.5%	1.09×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.2%	51.8%	61.2%	0.85×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.8%	48.2%	38.8%	1.24×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.6%	24.1%	30.5%	0.79×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.7%	7.6%	13.0%	0.59×	13.19
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.5%	2.8%	6.0%	0.47×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	2.7%	1.02×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.6%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.1%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.6%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.6%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.8%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.1%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.2%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.4%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to score in both halves	88.1%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Mito Hollyhock not to score in both halves	77.6%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Mito Hollyhock to score in both halves	22.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score in both halves	11.9%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.9%	46.6%	50.5%	0.92×	2.15
Only Mito Hollyhock scores	30.8%	33.3%	25.0%	1.33×	3.01
Only Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores	16.1%	16.0%	17.8%	0.90×	6.24
Neither team scores	11.2%	11.0%	7.0%	1.57×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.6%	24.9%	24.1%	1.03×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	25.4%	24.9%	22.7%	1.10×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	19.4%	17.5%	23.3%	0.75×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	11.2%	12.1%	7.0%	1.72×	8.26
Exactly 4 goals	10.5%	12.1%	12.2%	0.99×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	4.6%	4.5%	5.9%	0.75×	22.33
6 or more goals	2.3%	4.5%	5.6%	0.80×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	40.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
1 goal in 1st half	36.7%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	16.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.06

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.9%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
2+ goals in 2nd half	35.9%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	28.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to win both halves	95.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Mito Hollyhock not to win both halves	87.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Mito Hollyhock to win both halves	12.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win both halves	4.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.48

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win neither half	62.7%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Mito Hollyhock to win either half	57.7%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Mito Hollyhock to win neither half	42.3%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win either half	37.3%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to win to nil	83.9%	83.1%	82.2%	1.01×	1.20
Mito Hollyhock not to win to nil	69.2%	69.7%	75.0%	0.93×	1.43
Mito Hollyhock to win to nil	30.8%	30.3%	25.0%	1.21×	3.30
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win to nil	16.1%	16.9%	17.8%	0.95×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.9%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.59
Mito Hollyhock by 1	25.3%	27.9%	25.0%	1.11×	3.59
Tokyo Verdy 1969 by 1	17.0%	17.0%	19.4%	0.88×	5.87
Mito Hollyhock by 2	13.9%	11.8%	12.0%	0.98×	8.50
Mito Hollyhock by 3+	7.7%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.91
Tokyo Verdy 1969 by 2	6.2%	7.2%	6.1%	1.18×	13.92
Tokyo Verdy 1969 by 3+	2.0%	2.7%	5.9%	0.46×	36.91