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Molde v Bodo/Glimt — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 20 November 2026 · NOR-Eliteserien · 2627

NOR-Eliteserien results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Molde win
22.1%
model 21.0%
Draw
22.1%
model 20.6%
Bodo/Glimt win
55.7%
model 58.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-2 9.3%
  2. 1-1 8.6%
  3. 1-3 7.1%
  4. 0-2 7.0%
  5. 2-2 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.570.1% Under 2.529.9%
BTTS yes66.7% BTTS no33.3%
Molde 1+73.7% Molde 2+38.6%
Bodo/Glimt 1+89.9% Bodo/Glimt 2+66.7%

Expected goals 1.34 – 2.29. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals
Away goals O/U · usually 37%
68.1% fair odds 1.47
strong signal · 1155 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 2.5 in 1st half
Over/Under 1HT
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Bodo/Glimt carry the stronger rating, 1813 Elo against 1557.
  • Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Bodo/Glimt have an estimated 55.7% win probability, against 22.1% for Molde and 22.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.33 for Molde and 2.29 for Bodo/Glimt.

Why Molde

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.1%. Draws run at 20% in this competition.

Why Bodo/Glimt can win

Bodo/Glimt carry the stronger rating, 1813 Elo against 1557. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Molde, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Bodo/Glimt, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Molde: 61% possession, 19.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Bodo/Glimt: 62% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 8.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Bodo/Glimt are the model's most likely outcome at 55.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.3%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.34–2.29 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.25–2.19 1-2 10% 67% 64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to win 58.2% 54.0% 31.3% 1.72× 1.85
Draw 21.2% 24.4% 19.9% 1.23× 4.09
Molde to win 20.6% 24.4% 49.0% 0.50× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt & both teams score 33.3% 29.6% 16.8% 1.76× 3.38
Bodo/Glimt & not both score 24.9% 21.8% 14.8% 1.48× 4.58
Draw & both teams score 17.5% 18.0% 15.0% 1.20× 5.56
Molde & both teams score 13.1% 13.3% 25.1% 0.53× 7.54
Molde & not both score 7.5% 8.3% 24.1% 0.35× 12.01
Draw & not both score 3.7% 4.9% 5.2% 0.94× 20.59
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt & over 1.5 51.7% 48.8% 26.4% 1.85× 2.05
Bodo/Glimt & over 2.5 44.0% 40.3% 21.5% 1.87× 2.48
Bodo/Glimt & under 3.5 29.4% 26.1% 19.4% 1.34× 3.84
Bodo/Glimt & over 3.5 28.8% 26.1% 12.2% 2.14× 3.84
Draw & over 1.5 17.5% 18.0% 15.0% 1.20× 5.56
Molde & over 1.5 17.1% 18.0% 41.2% 0.44× 5.56
Molde & over 2.5 14.6% 12.8% 34.7% 0.37× 7.79
Bodo/Glimt & under 2.5 14.2% 12.8% 10.1% 1.27× 7.79
Molde & under 3.5 12.5% 12.8% 28.0% 0.46× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 13.0% 12.8% 14.5% 0.88× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 13.0% 12.8% 14.5% 0.88× 7.79
Molde & over 3.5 8.0% 7.9% 21.2% 0.37× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 8.2% 7.9% 5.7% 1.39× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 8.2% 7.9% 5.7% 1.39× 12.63
Molde & under 2.5 6.0% 7.9% 14.5% 0.55× 12.63
Bodo/Glimt & under 1.5 6.5% 7.9% 5.2% 1.53× 12.63
Molde & under 1.5 3.5% 4.8% 8.0% 0.60× 20.82
Draw & under 1.5 3.7% 4.8% 5.2% 0.93× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (1UP) 73.3% 75.6% — — 1.32
Molde (1UP) 41.7% 38.4% — — 2.60
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (2UP) 58.2% 55.2% — — 1.81
Molde (2UP) 20.6% 23.2% — — 4.31
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to win 2nd half 50.9% 51.0% — — 1.96
2nd half drawn 29.1% 25.9% — — 3.86
Molde to win 2nd half 20.1% 24.0% — — 4.17
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 in 2nd half 73.1% 75.4% — — 1.33
Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 in 2nd half 62.2% 60.2% — — 1.66
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 in 2nd half 37.8% 39.8% — — 2.51
Bodo/Glimt under 0.5 in 2nd half 26.9% 24.6% — — 4.06
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde under 1.5 in 2nd half 84.0% 82.6% — — 1.21
Molde over 0.5 in 2nd half 51.0% 55.0% — — 1.82
Molde under 0.5 in 2nd half 49.0% 45.0% — — 2.22
Molde over 1.5 in 2nd half 16.0% 17.4% — — 5.74
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (+2.5) 97.3% 96.3% 85.5% 1.13× 1.04
Bodo/Glimt (+1.5) 91.6% 92.1% 72.0% 1.28× 1.09
Bodo/Glimt (+0.5) 79.4% 78.5% 51.0% 1.54× 1.27
Bodo/Glimt (-0.5) 58.2% 57.0% 31.3% 1.82× 1.75
Molde (+0.5) 41.8% 43.0% 68.7% 0.63× 2.33
Molde (-0.5) 20.6% 21.5% 49.0% 0.44× 4.65
Molde (-1.5) 8.4% 7.9% 28.0% 0.28× 12.68
Molde (-2.5) 2.7% 3.7% 14.5% 0.25× 27.14
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to concede 71.3% 76.7% 80.3% 0.96× 1.30
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet 28.7% 23.3% 19.7% 1.18× 4.29
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet in 1st half 58.4% 57.1% — — 1.75
Bodo/Glimt to concede in 1st half 41.6% 42.9% — — 2.33
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to concede in 2nd half 51.0% 54.8% — — 1.82
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet in 2nd half 49.0% 45.2% — — 2.21
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt over 2.5 corners 84.9% 81.4% — — 1.23
Bodo/Glimt over 3.5 corners 72.7% 71.6% — — 1.40
Bodo/Glimt under 6.5 corners 66.7% 67.6% — — 1.48
Bodo/Glimt over 4.5 corners 58.9% 57.2% — — 1.75
Bodo/Glimt under 5.5 corners 54.6% 53.1% — — 1.89
Bodo/Glimt over 5.5 corners 45.4% 46.9% — — 2.13
Bodo/Glimt under 4.5 corners 41.1% 42.8% — — 2.34
Bodo/Glimt over 6.5 corners 33.3% 32.4% — — 3.09
Bodo/Glimt under 3.5 corners 27.3% 28.4% — — 3.52
Bodo/Glimt under 2.5 corners 15.1% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 goals 88.8% 87.8% 71.0% 1.24× 1.14
Bodo/Glimt under 3.5 goals 82.2% 81.5% 93.5% 0.87× 1.23
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 64.3% 63.2% 37.0% 1.71× 1.58
Bodo/Glimt under 2.5 goals 62.5% 63.2% 82.6% 0.76× 1.58
Bodo/Glimt over 2.5 goals 37.5% 36.8% 17.4% 2.12× 2.72
Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 goals 35.7% 36.8% 63.0% 0.58× 2.72
Bodo/Glimt over 3.5 goals 17.9% 18.5% 6.5% 2.86× 5.39
Bodo/Glimt under 0.5 goals 11.2% 12.2% 29.0% 0.42× 8.21
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 in 1st half 78.1% 75.4% — — 1.33
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 in 1st half 58.4% 62.0% — — 1.61
Bodo/Glimt under 0.5 in 1st half 41.6% 38.0% — — 2.63
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 in 1st half 21.9% 24.6% — — 4.06
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt scores more in 2nd half 46.8% 47.8% — — 2.09
Bodo/Glimt scores equally in both 28.3% 26.3% — — 3.81
Bodo/Glimt scores more in 1st half 24.9% 22.2% — — 4.51
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 50.8% 51.6% 28.9% 1.78× 1.94
Molde (away no bet) 49.2% 48.4% 71.1% 0.68× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt even goals 50.6% 52.6% 52.9% 0.99× 1.90
Bodo/Glimt odd goals 49.4% 47.4% 47.2% 1.01× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 75.2% 81.0% — — 1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals 24.8% 19.0% — — 5.27
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 76.9% 72.4% — — 1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals 23.2% 27.6% — — 3.62
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 69.0% 62.5% — — 1.60
Bodo/Glimt to score 2+ in a row 54.8% 51.1% — — 1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row 31.3% 29.2% — — 3.43
Bodo/Glimt to score 3+ in a row 25.8% 25.1% — — 3.98
Molde to score 2+ in a row 24.1% 19.7% — — 5.09
Molde to score 3+ in a row 6.1% 5.5% — — 18.07
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt corners (+3.5) 86.7% 84.5% — — 1.18
Bodo/Glimt corners (+2.5) 80.4% 79.8% — — 1.25
Molde corners (+3.5) 75.4% 74.8% — — 1.34
Bodo/Glimt corners (+1.5) 72.6% 70.7% — — 1.41
Molde corners (+2.5) 66.9% 65.9% — — 1.52
Molde corners (+1.5) 57.2% 57.1% — — 1.75
Bodo/Glimt corners (-1.5) 42.8% 42.9% — — 2.33
Bodo/Glimt corners (-2.5) 33.1% 34.1% — — 2.93
Molde corners (-1.5) 27.4% 29.3% — — 3.42
Bodo/Glimt corners (-3.5) 24.6% 25.2% — — 3.97
Molde corners (-2.5) 19.6% 20.2% — — 4.94
Molde corners (-3.5) 13.3% 15.5% — — 6.44
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 36.4% 34.0% — — 2.94
12+ corners 34.6% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 29.0% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 73.2% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 73.3% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 65.4% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 63.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 56.3% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 53.5% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 46.5% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 43.7% 42.1% — — 2.38
Under 8.5 corners 36.4% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 11.5 corners 34.6% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 26.8% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 26.7% 27.5% — — 3.64
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 9.3% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.50
1-2 9.6% 7.4% 6.2% 1.19× 13.50
0-1 6.5% 7.4% 5.2% 1.43× 13.51
0-2 7.7% 7.4% 5.2% 1.43× 13.51
1-3 7.0% 7.4% 3.1% 2.38× 13.51
Any other score 8.0% 7.4% 7.3% 1.02× 13.51
0-3 5.6% 7.4% 3.6% 2.04× 13.51
2-1 5.5% 7.4% 9.8% 0.75× 13.51
2-2 6.0% 7.4% 4.4% 1.68× 13.51
0-0 3.7% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.30
0-4 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.31× 58.30
1-0 3.5% 1.7% 8.0% 0.21× 58.30
1-4 3.8% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.30
2-0 2.5% 1.7% 6.7% 0.25× 58.31
2-3 4.4% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.29
2-4 2.4% 1.7% 1.3% 1.32× 58.31
3-0 1.0% 1.7% 4.1% 0.41× 58.31
3-1 2.3% 1.7% 6.2% 0.28× 58.31
3-2 2.5% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.31
3-3 1.8% 1.7% 1.0% 1.66× 58.31
3-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3.31× 58.31
4-0 0.3% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.32
4-1 0.7% 1.7% 2.9% 0.60× 58.32
4-2 0.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.32× 58.31
4-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.5% 3.31× 58.32
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.5% 3.31× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (2nd half DNB) 71.7% 71.0% — — 1.41
Molde (2nd half DNB) 28.3% 29.0% — — 3.45
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt leading at HT (DNB) 66.1% 73.8% — — 1.36
Molde leading at HT (DNB) 33.9% 26.2% — — 3.82
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt or draw (X2) 79.4% 75.6% 51.0% 1.48× 1.32
Molde or Bodo/Glimt (12) 78.8% 75.6% 80.1% 0.94× 1.32
Molde or draw (1X) 41.8% 46.0% 68.7% 0.67× 2.18
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt or draw at HT 78.8% 79.3% — — 1.26
Molde or Bodo/Glimt at HT 62.6% 61.4% — — 1.63
Molde or draw at HT 58.6% 57.2% — — 1.75
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt or draw (1UP) 79.4% 84.2% — — 1.19
Molde or draw (1UP) 41.8% 52.4% — — 1.91
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt or draw in 2nd half 79.9% 76.0% — — 1.32
Molde or Bodo/Glimt in 2nd half 70.9% 74.1% — — 1.35
Molde or draw in 2nd half 49.2% 49.0% — — 2.04
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 55.0% 50.4% — — 1.98
Neither half drawn 45.0% 49.6% — — 2.02
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (DNB) 73.9% 71.6% 39.0% 1.83× 1.40
Molde (DNB) 26.1% 28.4% 61.0% 0.47× 3.52
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to score first 61.3% 64.5% — — 1.55
Molde to score first 35.0% 27.7% — — 3.62
No goal scored 3.7% 4.3% — — 23.35
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 63.9% 56.7% 56.5% 1.00× 1.77
Not both teams to score 36.1% 43.3% 43.5% 1.00× 2.31
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 54.6% 47.3% 47.2% 1.00× 2.11
Not both score & under 2.5 23.9% 27.8% 29.3% 0.95× 3.60
Not both score & over 2.5 12.2% 12.4% 14.5% 0.85× 8.09
Both score & under 2.5 9.3% 8.3% 9.6% 0.87× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 77.1% 79.6% 83.4% 0.95× 1.26
Both teams to score 2+ 22.9% 20.4% 16.6% 1.23× 4.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 62.6% 65.5% — — 1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half 37.4% 34.5% — — 2.90
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 47.2% 52.9% — — 1.89
Both score 2nd half only 28.4% 27.2% — — 3.68
Both score 1st half only 15.3% 14.9% — — 6.72
Both score in both halves 9.0% 6.8% — — 14.61
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 75.6% 80.9% — — 1.24
Both teams to score by HT 24.4% 19.1% — — 5.25
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 66.0% 66.0% — — 1.52
A half without a goal 34.0% 34.0% — — 2.94
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 41.3% 42.1% 43.8% 0.96× 2.37
4-6 goals 39.0% 35.1% 35.5% 0.99× 2.85
0-1 goals 13.7% 16.9% 17.9% 0.95× 5.91
7+ goals 6.0% 7.6% 3.4% 2.26× 13.16
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to score 3+ 37.5% 35.9% 17.4% 2.07× 2.78
Bodo/Glimt to score exactly 2 26.8% 27.4% 19.9% 1.37× 3.65
Bodo/Glimt to score exactly 1 24.5% 22.3% 34.2% 0.65× 4.48
Bodo/Glimt to score exactly 0 11.2% 12.9% 29.0% 0.44× 7.77
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde to score exactly 1 35.8% 35.6% 28.2% 1.26× 2.81
Molde to score exactly 0 28.7% 26.6% 19.7% 1.35× 3.77
Molde to score exactly 2 22.4% 23.3% 25.9% 0.90× 4.29
Molde to score 3+ 13.2% 14.3% 26.7% 0.54× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt leading at HT 41.4% 42.8% — — 2.33
Draw at HT 37.4% 38.6% — — 2.59
Molde leading at HT 21.2% 20.7% — — 4.84
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt -1: 1 41.8% 42.8% — — 2.34
Bodo/Glimt -1: 2 36.6% 37.4% — — 2.68
Bodo/Glimt -1: X 21.7% 23.5% — — 4.26
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (0:1) 79.4% 73.9% 51.0% 1.45× 1.35
Draw (0:1) 12.1% 13.7% 21.2% 0.65× 7.29
Molde (0:1) 8.4% 9.3% 28.0% 0.33× 10.80
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (0:2) 91.6% 90.7% 72.0% 1.26× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 5.7% 7.7% 13.7% 0.56× 13.06
Molde (0:2) 2.7% 3.7% 14.5% 0.26× 26.72
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (0:3) 97.3% 96.6% 85.5% 1.13× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.0% 2.4% 7.0% 0.34× 42.12
Molde (0:3) 0.7% 2.4% 7.8% 0.31× 42.18
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (0:4) 99.3% 98.1% 92.2% 1.06× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.6% 1.2% 4.7% 0.26× 82.04
Molde (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 3.4% 0.36× 82.09
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde (1:0) 41.8% 43.3% 68.7% 0.63× 2.31
Bodo/Glimt (1:0) 36.6% 37.5% 16.8% 2.23× 2.67
Draw (1:0) 21.7% 21.7% 14.8% 1.47× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde (2:0) 63.4% 66.5% 83.2% 0.80× 1.50
Bodo/Glimt (2:0) 19.0% 15.9% 8.0% 1.97× 6.31
Draw (2:0) 17.6% 15.8% 9.1% 1.74× 6.32
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 51.3% 50.3% — — 1.99
1st half highest scoring 26.4% 26.2% — — 3.82
Halves equal 22.3% 24.4% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde to concede 88.8% 85.7% 71.0% 1.21× 1.17
Molde clean sheet 11.2% 14.3% 29.0% 0.49× 6.97
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde to concede in 1st half 58.4% 62.0% — — 1.61
Molde clean sheet in 1st half 41.6% 38.0% — — 2.63
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde to concede in 2nd half 73.1% 72.4% — — 1.38
Molde clean sheet in 2nd half 26.9% 27.6% — — 3.63
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde over 2.5 corners 78.0% 76.5% — — 1.31
Molde under 6.5 corners 77.3% 76.5% — — 1.31
Molde under 5.5 corners 66.3% 66.7% — — 1.50
Molde over 3.5 corners 62.8% 62.3% — — 1.61
Molde under 4.5 corners 52.6% 52.6% — — 1.90
Molde over 4.5 corners 47.4% 47.4% — — 2.11
Molde under 3.5 corners 37.2% 37.7% — — 2.65
Molde over 5.5 corners 33.7% 33.3% — — 3.01
Molde over 6.5 corners 22.7% 23.5% — — 4.26
Molde under 2.5 corners 22.0% 23.5% — — 4.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde under 3.5 goals 96.2% 96.4% 87.6% 1.10× 1.04
Molde under 2.5 goals 86.8% 87.3% 73.3% 1.19× 1.15
Molde over 0.5 goals 71.3% 74.2% 80.3% 0.92× 1.35
Molde under 1.5 goals 64.5% 63.6% 47.7% 1.33× 1.57
Molde over 1.5 goals 35.5% 36.4% 52.3% 0.70× 2.75
Molde under 0.5 goals 28.7% 25.8% 19.7% 1.31× 3.88
Molde over 2.5 goals 13.2% 12.7% 26.7% 0.48× 7.85
Molde over 3.5 goals 3.8% 3.6% 12.4% 0.29× 27.49
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde under 1.5 in 1st half 89.8% 90.4% — — 1.11
Molde under 0.5 in 1st half 58.4% 56.8% — — 1.76
Molde over 0.5 in 1st half 41.6% 43.2% — — 2.32
Molde over 1.5 in 1st half 10.2% 9.6% — — 10.37
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde scores equally in both 40.7% 42.2% — — 2.37
Molde scores more in 2nd half 35.1% 37.7% — — 2.65
Molde scores more in 1st half 24.2% 21.3% — — 4.69
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (home no bet) 73.3% 67.0% 61.1% 1.10× 1.49
Draw (home no bet) 26.7% 33.0% 38.9% 0.85× 3.03
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde even goals 54.1% 50.7% 53.9% 0.94× 1.97
Molde odd goals 45.9% 49.3% 46.1% 1.07× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 24.4% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-1 21.2% 24.3% — — 4.11
HT 1-0 13.0% 11.0% — — 9.11
HT 1-1 11.5% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 0-2 9.3% 6.9% — — 14.44
Any other HT score 7.5% 6.9% — — 14.47
HT 1-2 5.0% 6.9% — — 14.51
HT 2-0 3.5% 2.4% — — 42.07
HT 2-1 3.1% 2.4% — — 42.09
HT 2-2 1.3% 2.4% — — 42.21
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt at HT / Bodo/Glimt at FT 35.2% 41.2% — — 2.43
Draw at HT / Bodo/Glimt at FT 18.7% 16.8% — — 5.97
Molde at HT / Molde at FT 11.7% 12.6% — — 7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.5% 12.6% — — 7.91
Draw at HT / Molde at FT 7.2% 6.0% — — 16.62
Molde at HT / Draw at FT 5.2% 6.0% — — 16.67
Bodo/Glimt at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% — — 28.62
Molde at HT / Bodo/Glimt at FT 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.63
Bodo/Glimt at HT / Molde at FT 1.7% 3.5% — — 28.73
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to score last 61.4% 62.1% — — 1.61
Molde to score last 34.9% 32.8% — — 3.05
No goal scored 3.7% 4.3% — — 23.35
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.3% 95.7% — — 1.05
Bodo/Glimt to lead by 1 at any time 73.3% 74.3% — — 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 59.0% 54.9% — — 1.82
Bodo/Glimt to lead by 2 at any time 44.8% 39.2% — — 2.55
Molde to lead by 1 at any time 41.7% 39.1% — — 2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 27.0% 25.5% — — 3.92
Bodo/Glimt to lead by 3 at any time 22.8% 19.7% — — 5.09
Molde to lead by 2 at any time 14.6% 10.5% — — 9.52
Molde to lead by 3 at any time 4.2% 1.7% — — 60.62
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt most corners 53.1% 51.7% — — 1.93
Molde most corners 36.7% 39.3% — — 2.55
Corners level 10.2% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 82.8% 83.4% 87.0% 0.96× 1.20
2-6 goals 80.2% 83.4% 79.0% 1.06× 1.20
2-5 goals 72.9% 72.4% 74.4% 0.97× 1.38
1-4 goals 70.0% 68.8% 73.1% 0.94× 1.45
3-6 goals 60.8% 63.3% 58.3% 1.09× 1.58
2-4 goals 60.0% 59.1% 60.4% 0.98× 1.69
3-5 goals 53.4% 53.2% 53.6% 0.99× 1.88
1-3 goals 51.2% 53.2% 56.5% 0.94× 1.88
2-3 goals 41.3% 43.6% 43.8% 1.00× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.5% 43.6% 39.6% 1.10× 2.30
4-6 goals 39.0% 39.2% 35.5% 1.10× 2.55
4-5 goals 31.6% 35.2% 30.8% 1.14× 2.84
1-2 goals 29.5% 30.2% 33.7% 0.90× 3.31
5-6 goals 20.3% 24.5% 18.9% 1.29× 4.09
7+ goals 6.0% 8.9% 3.4% 2.63× 11.27
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt never behind 54.6% 62.6% — — 1.60
Molde never behind 23.0% 24.7% — — 4.06
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.9% 50.9% 51.6% 0.99× 1.96
Even number of goals 51.1% 49.1% 48.4% 1.01× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.1% 51.6% — — 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 46.9% 48.4% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.2% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.8% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.3% 95.4% 94.8% 1.01× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 86.6% 87.6% 92.0% 0.95× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 86.3% 87.6% 82.1% 1.07× 1.14
Under 4.5 goals 73.7% 72.5% 78.0% 0.93× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 66.8% 66.3% 61.4% 1.08× 1.51
Under 3.5 goals 55.0% 52.5% 61.4% 0.86× 1.90
Over 3.5 goals 45.0% 47.5% 38.6% 1.23× 2.11
Under 2.5 goals 33.2% 33.7% 38.6% 0.87× 2.97
Over 4.5 goals 26.3% 27.5% 22.0% 1.25× 3.63
Under 1.5 goals 13.7% 12.4% 17.9% 0.69× 8.06
Over 5.5 goals 13.4% 12.4% 8.0% 1.54× 8.06
Under 0.5 goals 3.7% 4.6% 5.2% 0.88× 21.86
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 93.5% 92.4% 96.5% 0.96× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 84.6% 81.1% 90.7% 0.89× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 83.0% 81.1% 77.5% 1.05× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 67.6% 67.4% 73.6% 0.92× 1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 57.6% 55.8% 50.0% 1.12× 1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 42.4% 44.2% 50.0% 0.88× 2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 32.4% 32.6% 26.4% 1.23× 3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 17.0% 18.9% 22.5% 0.84× 5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 15.4% 18.9% 9.3% 2.02× 5.30
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 6.5% 7.6% 3.5% 2.15× 13.16
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 83.0% 85.8% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 75.6% 78.3% — — 1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half 58.6% 63.8% — — 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 41.4% 36.2% — — 2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half 24.4% 21.7% — — 4.60
Over 2.5 in 1st half 17.0% 14.2% — — 7.04
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 86.6% 85.4% — — 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 67.0% 68.8% — — 1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 60.3% 61.5% — — 1.63
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 39.7% 38.5% — — 2.60
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 33.0% 31.2% — — 3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 13.4% 14.6% — — 6.87
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde not to score in both halves 78.8% 78.6% — — 1.27
Bodo/Glimt not to score in both halves 57.3% 58.1% — — 1.72
Bodo/Glimt to score in both halves 42.7% 41.9% — — 2.38
Molde to score in both halves 21.2% 21.4% — — 4.66
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 63.9% 60.4% 56.5% 1.07× 1.66
Only Bodo/Glimt scores 24.9% 22.3% 14.8% 1.51× 4.49
Only Molde scores 7.5% 7.1% 24.1% 0.30× 14.04
Neither team scores 3.7% 4.6% 5.2% 0.89× 21.70
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 21.8% 22.6% 23.1% 0.98× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 19.5% 17.5% 21.0% 0.83× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 18.7% 17.5% 16.8% 1.04× 5.73
6 or more goals 13.4% 12.1% 8.0% 1.51× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 12.9% 12.1% 14.2% 0.85× 8.25
Exactly 1 goals 10.0% 7.6% 13.0% 0.59× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 3.7% 4.5% 5.2% 0.86× 22.38
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 34.2% 35.8% — — 2.79
No goals in 1st half 24.4% 21.5% — — 4.65
2 goals in 1st half 24.4% 21.5% — — 4.65
3+ goals in 1st half 17.0% 15.6% — — 6.39
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 60.3% 58.5% — — 1.71
1 goal in 2nd half 26.4% 29.2% — — 3.43
No goals in 2nd half 13.4% 14.4% — — 6.97
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde not to win both halves 95.7% 97.1% — — 1.03
Bodo/Glimt not to win both halves 78.8% 75.5% — — 1.32
Bodo/Glimt to win both halves 21.2% 24.5% — — 4.09
Molde to win both halves 4.3% 2.9% — — 35.05
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to win either half 71.1% 72.9% — — 1.37
Molde to win neither half 63.0% 65.1% — — 1.54
Molde to win either half 37.0% 34.9% — — 2.87
Bodo/Glimt to win neither half 28.9% 27.1% — — 3.69
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde not to win to nil 92.5% 92.1% 75.9% 1.21× 1.09
Bodo/Glimt not to win to nil 75.1% 78.1% 85.2% 0.92× 1.28
Bodo/Glimt to win to nil 24.9% 21.9% 14.8% 1.48× 4.57
Molde to win to nil 7.5% 7.9% 24.1% 0.33× 12.66
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt by 1 21.7% 24.1% 14.8% 1.63× 4.15
Draw 21.2% 24.1% 19.9% 1.21× 4.15
Bodo/Glimt by 3+ 19.0% 17.1% 8.0% 2.12× 5.87
Bodo/Glimt by 2 17.6% 17.0% 9.1% 1.88× 5.87
Molde by 1 12.1% 11.8% 21.2% 0.55× 8.51
Molde by 2 5.7% 7.2% 13.7% 0.52× 13.92
Molde by 3+ 2.7% 2.7% 14.5% 0.19× 36.82
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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